GMKN Long 1D Investment Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
+ SOS test / T2 level
+ 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume Sp
Calculated stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
- SOS reaction bar level
+ 1/2 weak correction"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
- below SOS
+ 1/2 correction"
GMKN trade ideas
#GMKN - Option x2/x2.5 with 14% annual yield. Good day, dear investors.
We continue to bet on the normalization of relations between the Russian Federation and the United States and Europe, one of the recipients of these events will be Norilsk Nickel.
GMKN is a producer of nickel, copper, platinum, palladium, the list is much wider, but this is the main thing. An export company, it has a full production cycle: mining, enrichment, production, logistics and sales. In connection with foreign economic activity, the devaluation risks of the national currency are less aggressively distributed.
Financial indicators are stable. Under the influence of restrictions, net profit and revenue are decreasing, but net assets remain in surplus and are growing despite the rising cost of servicing debt obligations.
The average dividend yield over the past 10 years is 14.3 ₽ per 1 share, which at the time of writing is 13.6%.
The technical picture is bearish. The stock has dropped to the range of 123-77, where trading is taking place below the lower boundary of the ascending channel. The target of this bearish cycle may be marks near the lower boundary of the range.
Possible scenarios:
- Direct fall to 77
- Growth to 139 - 149 and fall to 77
- End of the bearish cycle.
Our team believes that at the moment the company's quotes are at historically low price levels, especially considering the quotes of precious metals and the growth of the money supply in Russia. At the same time, if our expectations for the normalization of external relations are not met, the shares will still be able to grow and neutralize currency risks, according to the scenario of Iran or Turkey and their stock markets. Therefore, despite the bearish view from technical analysts, we are considering this company for addition to our portfolio on the Russian market.
With respect to you,
Daniel Drozdov.
CIS Market Analyst VokCapital
Lagger that refuses to fall and dreams about greatnessThe world's largest producer of nickel and palladium has had rather lackluster performance in 2023 advancing half as the general Russian Index. And still I cannot get over his accurate price structure that hints that better days are potentially ahead.
I want the price to start forming the right side and later the handle of a cup, and break out above important Sep'22 and Sep'23 high - 17240 area. If price will not be able to hold Sep'23 15730 low, I would want the area above 15250 and 200D line to act as support. Bellow this levels the analysis is to be considered wrong and invalid.
Trading thesis : cow-boy type longs (higher failure risk) may be considered above 16430 area with 3 and 5% stop levels.
Nickel Commodity Europe Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series
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Traditional|GMKN|Long and shortLong and short GMKN
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
The author recommends the use of anchoring fixed the blue zone, this variation is less risky.
If there is increased volatility in the market and the price is held for more than 2-3 minutes behind the activation zone after the breakdown, then the activation of the idea occurs at the prices behind the activation zone.
Working out the support and resistance levels of the consolidation zone.
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author.
+ ! - zone highlighted by the ellipse is a zone of increased resistance, in this area there is a possible reversal for a correction, please take this factor into account in this transaction.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long.
Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zone - take zone.
Red zone - stop zone.
Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take.
Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop.
Priority - The value of the priority parameter implies the author's subjective opinion about the more likely activation zone on this idea, this does not mean that this idea will be 80% activated by this parameter, the purpose of the parameter is to provide for the risk of the inverse of the zone parameter.
Example: "Priority Long: So the author inclines more in the direction of the activation zone open long trades, in this case, when reaching the activation zone in short you should be very careful, because this area may be highly likely to be punched about the breakdown/do not get to take/activate transaction from go to stop."
Please consider this parameter if you use my ideas.
SUM PNL : This parameter displays the total % of all closed ideas of the "new" format (according to the author) for this sector at the time of publication of the idea. The calculation is very "clumsy" just the sum of the profits of all the ideas, based on this indicator, you can more accurately assess the risks when working with my ideas of this sector. I present you the construction of the idea, you can use it yourself as you like based on your subjective view and risks, the calculation of the PNL indicator is carried out only on transactions that the author closed on TV in manual mode or by take.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
GMKN (MOEX) - Be Carefull for BearishHumbled, we would like to thanks for your support who has already liked, commented and followed us. Your support, strengthens us, to help in analyzing the market.
If you have any questions, do not be hesitant to send us message (inbox). Again, We have also provide signal recommendation with detail instruction & also training for technical.
GMKN (MOEX) - Be Carefull for Bearish
PJSC "Norilsk Nickel"PJSC "Norilsk Nickel"
Disclaimer/
On average, 90% of all stocks move down with the market, and 75% move up.
The wave principle applies to some extent to individual stocks, but counting waves for them is often confusing and does not have much practical significance. But since the company has a large capitalization, we assume that the state of shares depends on mass psychology./
Norilsk Nickel shares in indices
Norilsk Nickel shares are included in the following indices of the Moscow Exchange:
- MICEX 10
- The index of wide market MICEXBMI
- MICEX Index
- MICEX Industry Index
- The MSCI Russia index
- MSCI Emerging Market Index
MMC "Norilsk Nickel" — the largest in Russia Russia and one of the world's largest companies for the production of precious and non-ferrous metals. Its share (of the world) accounts for:
- 40% palladium (first place in the world in terms of production),
- 12% nickel (second place in the world in terms of production in 2016),
- 11% platinum,
- 5 % cobalt (cobalt concentrate),
- 2 % copper.
In the domestic market, MMC Norilsk Nickel accounts for:
- 100 % platinum,
- 96 % nickel,
- 95 % cobalt,
- 55 % copper.
Company's share of GDP The share of the Russian Federation is 1.9% . The company's share in the volume of metallurgical production is 9.8%. The company's share in industrial production is 2.8% or 27.9% of the share of non-ferrous metallurgy.
The company's proven copper and nickel reserves at the Taimyr deposits were (as of December 31, 2004):
- 8.8 million tons of copper,
- 5.2 million tons of nickel,
- 1994 tons of palladium,
- 512 tons of platinum.
GMKH NornickelRussian leader of market now
Looking entry
Big potential with blockchain technology
www.forbes.com
Nornickel
Moscow, Russia
The world’s largest high-grade nickel and palladium producer is testing an industrial asset tokenization platform through Connecticut-based startup Atomyze, which it partially owns.
Blockchain platform: Hyperledger Fabric
Key leader: Jeanine Hightower-Sellitto, CEO of Atomyze
Traditional|GMKN|Long and shortLong and short GMKN
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
Working out the support and resistance levels of the consolidation zone.
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author.
+ ! - The zone highlighted by the ellipse in this idea warns the risk of false activation of the short trade, this measure is taken in case of an attempt to close the gap (also highlighted in blue). Blue arrow possible false movement through short activation.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long.
Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zone - take zone.
Red zone - stop zone.
Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take.
Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop.
Priority - The value of the priority parameter implies the author's subjective opinion about the more likely activation zone on this idea, this does not mean that this idea will be 80% activated by this parameter, the purpose of the parameter is to provide for the risk of the inverse of the zone parameter.
Example: "Priority Long: So the author inclines more in the direction of the activation zone open long trades, in this case, when reaching the activation zone in short you should be very careful, because this area may be highly likely to be punched about the breakdown/do not get to take/activate transaction from go to stop."
Please consider this parameter if you use my ideas.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
Purchase confirmation for MCC NORILSK NICKELHey people, **DISCLAIMER** content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions. MCC NORILSK NICKEL ends with a strong bullish signal, buyers should come back in force.
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