✅NATGAS LONG FROM SUPPORT🚀 ✅NATGAS is approaching a demand level So according to our strategy We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best Risk reward ratio for us LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ Longby ProSignalsFxPublished 101012
The unknown obvious: when to use log-scaleThere's a semi-wide-spread snake oil "wisdom" in near-quant circles that you need to use log-charts/log-scale/log-transform all the time. No, you need to use it only when the range of the data been processed exceeds one order of magnitude (data maximum at least 10 times data minimum). Before dat, no-no! Please, don't stabilize the variance unless it'll asks you to. Now bringing your attention to the important detail -> data 'being processed'. It means that you don't push the log button when your chart's arbitrary time range is 456-986755. You push dat button when the particular domain (part of the chart) you analyze does exceed one order of magnitude. P.S.: disregard the studies applied, it's all R&DEducationby gorx1Published 8
Could the Markets Crash in January?EU and US futures are recovering after the slide that followed the decision of the central bank of Japan. Surprisingly, the central bank of Japan has revised the tolerance threshold of the ten-year bond yield to 0%-0.5%. Some monetary policy adjustments have been talked about in recent days. Still, most economists expected that the most important announcements would come later, closer to the end of Governor Haruhiko Kuroda's mandate. In the press release, the Bank of Japan confirmed interest rates at -0.1% and anticipated a temporary increase in bond purchases for January to 9,000 billion yen a month from 7,300 billion. What does it mean in practical terms? There is room for a rise in interest rates on Japanese ten-year government bonds. Previously the maximum range was 0.25; now, it is 0.50. It is the first sign after a long time of a possible end to Japan's ultra-expansionary policies. Nasdaq 100 Futures, S&P 500 Futures, DAX Futures, FTSE MIB, IBEX 35: As written in previous articles the indices have exhausted their strength and are starting to go down. The recession, which will lead to a substantial decline in earnings, is not yet discounted by the markets. This means there is plenty of room to descend. Markets always anticipate a recession three months in advance so that we will see the real market crash in January. The ideal instrument in these cases is the VIX - the S&P 500 volatility index - that usually scores excellent returns with a global recession at the door. I will shortly open a buy operation on this instrument with a $35-36 target. Natural gas: As predicted in previous articles, the crash has arrived. There is a clear difference between the short run and the long run right now. In the long run, the situation is interesting. Europe will need even more LNG to replace Russian volumes next summer as the continent reloads storage as Chinese demand recovers from lockdowns and offsets lower imports from other Asian buyers. In the short term, one must be careful to avoid impulsive purchases. There are big doubts about the reopening of the export plants, which have been offline for some time now and which are creating domestic excess supply, potentially negative for prices along with the seasonality. Furthermore, the price cap on the TTF, set at 180, even if quite high considering thatfour4 years ago, the TTF was quoted at 20, will certainly put a stop to speculation by lowering prices, exactly what we are seeing now. This is also indirectly affecting American natural gas as it is very likely that next year American gas will be increasingly the protagonist in Europe with the exit of Russia. I will evaluate a gas entry only in the 4.50-5 area, prices that I expect between the end of December and the beginning of January. Crude oil proves very solid despite the collapse of the indices. Two main reasons are behind the excellent performance. The price cap, although not penalizing Russia, could lead to an increase in demand for American oil, which is very positive. Chinese oil demand, held back by COVID, will pick up in 2023. All this is combined with the fact that oil stocks are at their lowest in 20 years, with countries like Russia reporting sharply declining production, a factor that is good for prices as it creates a shortage of oil. I remain positive over the long term with a target of $85-90. Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN): As written in previous articles, prices were too high already at the beginning of 2022. I'm still pessimistic, the profitability of the group has practically disappeared, and the prospects for 2023 are negative. According to my model, the stock is worth $70, so it can go further down. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA): Bad period for the stock is destined to continue. There are problems in China, with lower prices, due to a weakening demand which means lower margins, and competition in Europe with Stellantis NV (NYSE:STLA) is increasingly threatening. Also, Elon Musk is increasingly distracted by Twitter. As written early in 2022, according to my model, the stock was worth $170 and was already very expensive at the beginning of the year. My current positions: I currently have a buy position on the Dax index, which is about to close in profit.Shortby Antonio_FerlitoPublished 113
NATGAS Swing Long! Buy! Hello,Traders! NATGAS is trading along the Long-term rising trend-line And the price is about To retest the support From where a rebound And a move up are To be expected Buy! Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading! See other ideas below too!Longby TopTradingSignalsPublished 998
Dec 20,22-NG-Did anyone else go long?So there was some consolidating around 5.4 so I put a Buy Order in and so far so good. I'll probably get out of it by close on Friday as Monday temps are back to warmer temps so I don't want to get burned by a huge dip when the markets open again on Sun night. Did anyone else put their Buy order in? Or am I the only crazy one :-) HeikoLongby HEIKOTradingSystemPublished 20205
Is GAS giving us a good entry into buy?The data indicates that gas supplies in the US are beginning to withdraw part of the stock from circulation, therefore, it would mean that Texas could possibly resume its activity. Technically we are in a good support, which we will try to make purchases, without neglecting the corresponding stops. Good Trading. Diego Castro Trader. Longby DiegoCastroGPublished 11
Dec 20,22-NG-Go Long at 5.4? or 5?Price is continuing to drop even though the temperature this week across the U.S. especially into Christmas is going to be damn cold!! So the question is...will price drop all the way down to 5?? or should we get in now at around 5.4? Both are areas of Support, and this cold is going to send demand through the roof, but when? Will price keep going down until Thurs or Fri this week? Or will price spike up early next week? All I know is I'm not missing out on this trade....could be a nice 1000 point spike :-) What are your thoughts? HeikoLongby HEIKOTradingSystemPublished 448
NG1! NEW UPDATE HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT NG1! is nice to see strong volume area.... Where is lot of contract accumulated.. I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this LONG position.. and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again.. UP TREND + Resistance from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade.. IF you like my work please like and follow thanksLongby rebenga93Published 2
Opening (Margin): /NG January 26th 12.5/13.5 Short Call Vertical... for a 1.80 credit. Comments: Short call vertical hedge against my short put verticals. Will look to take off the 1.8/2.8/12.5/13.5 iron condor on which I've collected a total of 3.60 ($360) as a unit at 50% max and scratch out the more at-risk 1.9/2.9 short put vertical if I get the opportunity.Shortby NaughtyPinesUpdated 223
Dec 19,22-NG-Not yet time to go longSO obviously my last call was horrible--I exited my position with a small loss. The outside of the Linnear Regression Indicator is around the 5 mark so I'm thinking price action might drop to around there. I will wait for clear signs of a turnaround, then I'll put in my Buy Order. I can't believe the price, I mean this is winter!! Anyway, sometimes there is no logic to trading. When price gets down there I'll let you know what my plans are. With the holidays also, things are a bit wonky - might not even get a trade in until Jan. To all, please have a safe and splendid Christmas, Holiday Season and a fantastic New Year!! Have a drink for me :-) Heikoby HEIKOTradingSystemPublished 3
NG held key level with additional confluenceNg managed to hold a key 50% at $6.18 and at the same time put in a strong ATR spike on the 2h. Key level combined with ATR spike means pay attention. This has swung my bias neutral leaning bullish but the first step is getting above $6.7's. If we can get above our local range highs I think we target $7.7. Bullish as long as we are above that $6.18 level. Bearish below ultimately targeting 3 and lower. Ideally we get a wick below $6.47 to start filling longs stop below $6.18. Longby goldenroad00000001Updated 443
NATGAS Next Support! Buy! Hello,Traders! NATGAS is going down But a local horizontal support Is ahead of the price so I think After the retest we will see A local bullish rebound Buy! Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading! See other ideas below too! Longby TopTradingSignalsPublished 9912
NG1!HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT NG1! is nice to see strong volume area.... Where is lot of contract accumulated.. I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this LONG position.. and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again.. UP TREND + Resistance from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade.. IF you like my work please like and follow thanksLongby rebenga93Published 3
NATURALGAS CHART 🎁🎁🎁🎁🤔🤔🤔😘😘 💖💖💖💖💖💖💖💖💖 LIKE if you agree / and for more such jackpot trades do follow. ❤❤❤ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I am not sebi registered , Please do your own research before investing des 2022 Comment: It Bounced again from said level. heers!!Longby kumawatsurya84Published 889
NATURAL GAS FUTURESi will like see your opinions about NATURAL GAS FUTURES on comments Shortby MaDasurferUpdated 222
Opening (Margin): /NG January 26th 1.90/2.90 Short Put Vertical... for a 1.70 credit. Comments: Neutral to bullish assumption trade on weakness. 1.70 credit on buying power effect of 16.41; 10.4% ROC at max as a function of buying power effect; 5.2% at 50% max.Longby NaughtyPinesUpdated 2
Pump or dump. Im calling dumpChart says most of my thoughts. NG markup period consistently propped by low volume during low liquidity (after hours) to manipulate price. This only supports my idea that NG is gonna nuke hard eventually. True target is way lower then chart says but that might some time. Im thinking close to $3. The patient and vigilant will be rewarded. GLTAShortby goldenroad00000001Updated 333
Natural Gas Futures (Road Map)!!!🗺️What are Natural Gas Futures ❗️❓ Natural Gas Futures can be used for hedging or speculating and can be traded nearly 24 hours per day, 6 days per week. Trading Natural Gas Futures allows hedgers to manage risk within the highly volatile natural gas price, which is driven by weather-related demand. Natural Gas Futures is running in Heavy Resistance Zone & Important Trendlin & Resistance Line, and at the same time, it was able to pass the main wave 5 in this zone. So I expect Natural Gas Futures to go down to my🎯targets🎯 that I showed in my chart. Where can Natural Gas Futures go (🎯Targets🎯)❗️❓ Target🎯: 4.67$-4.55$ Target🎯: 2.98$-2.84$ Natural Gas Futures Analyze, Monthly Timeframe (Logscale). Also, we can see one of the valid candlestick reversal patterns (💫Shooting Star💫) at a weekly timeframe 👇 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.Shortby pejman_zwinUpdated 4415
NatGas: Don't trip 🚶🏼NatGas is currently facing down and should leave the turquoise target zone to climb below the support line at $4.750 to complete the pink wave iii. Our alternative scenario implies, that the course could rise above the resistance mark at $7.064 instead, if the course would stay above the $5.337-mark. After the completion of the pink iii in our primary scenario, we're expecting the course to rise between $4.750 and $5.337 to finish off the pink wave iv, before dropping back South. The downwards slope should stretch until the turquoise target zone between $3.436 and $1.880 to end the green wave .by MarketIntelPublished 116
Dec 15,22-NG-Time to go long??I put in a Buy Order at 6.6. Not sure what's going to happen tomorrow being the end of the week. What I do know is Europe is having colder than normal temps for this time of year and Germany just released that their supplies for NG have dwindled faster than expected for this time of year; hence, price for European NG could go up shortly. Also, the Dec Contract Expiry is coming up and I have found NG goes up a bit toward contract end. Also, the War - Also, weather in the U.S. is pretty cold - who knows if it will warm up or get colder - colder would be good for my Buy Order of course :-) Anyway, I'm thinking price will drop a bit tomorrow and trigger my Buy Order. Then I will pray next week price goes up and up. HeikoLongby HEIKOTradingSystemPublished 883
Update on US Henry Hub Natural Gas Prices – December 2022A cold weather snap forecast across much of the United States is driving demand for natural gas as a heating fuel higher. Prices of front month Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures have risen over the past week as a result. The front of the curve has moved more than the rest of the curve. The curve is now close to where it was two weeks ago. Natural gas in storage is within seasonally normal range. Since June 2022, when Freeport LNG Terminal had to shut down after a fire, natural gas storage in the US has been ramped up as the gas produced in the US can no longer be exported at the same volume as prior to the shut-down. Freeport LNG accounts for close to 20% of US export capacity. Its re-opening has been delayed many times and the latest guidance from Freeport is a partial opening in mid-December 2022 and full production in March 2023 . However, in an email statement to Reuters they have pushed the reopening to end-of-year , and we remain sceptical that there will be any flow of LNG from the terminal this side of the of the New Year. Ample storage could drive US natural gas prices lower when the cold weather snap passes. Europe has been able to fill its natural gas storage capacity to close to 90% coming into the start of the winter period (October 2022) and is now drawing on that capacity at a slower than expected rate due to thrifting and an initially milder-than-expected weather pattern. However, colder weather has arrived, which could drive higher demand. Natural gas flows to Europe from Russia have slowed to a trickle and hence the region is reliant on Liquified Natural Gas from elsewhere. Unfortunately, with Freeport LNG offline, the US will not participate fully in meeting this demand over the coming weeks, but US Henry Hub may get a boost when Freeport LNG opens. The European Union is currently trying to implement a price cap on imports. There is no final deal to speak of, but the European Commission’s proposal, is for a market correction mechanism that would kick in when the price of month-ahead contracts on the Dutch Title Transfer Facility exceeded €275 ($290) per megawatt hour and the gap between world prices was greater than €58 . Any success in approving this price cap, could limit upside for US Henry Hub used as feedstock for LNG exports to Europe. However, with the price gap between US and European natural gas prices being so wide (almost 6 times ), we believe the upside could nevertheless very large. Source: 1 FREE PORTING NEW ROUTER 2 Reuters 3 Bloomberg 13/12/2022 4 WisdomTree calculation on 13/12/2022 using Dutch TTF Gas 1st Line Financial Futures (USD/MMBTU) as published by ICE Endex who convert megawatt hour to Metric Million British Thermal Unit (MMBTU) and USD using the WM/Refinitiv Closing EURUSD Spot Rates as published by Refinitiv at 4 pm UK time and Henry Hub Front month futures. by aneekaguptaWTEPublished 2
same pattern different dayNG just did a huge gap up on open with very low liquidity. This has happened a few times in this range. Thinking this was the final though and we are gonna nuke hard over the coming days assuming we can get back under 6.8. 6.8 is the line in the sand. under down over up. I would assume whomever bought the 900 contracts to bring it up 10% has many more contracts that they will now be able to distribute significantly higher for relatively little cost.Shortby goldenroad00000001Updated 224