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S27 trade ideas

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 6-24 : Flat-Down patternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move in a consolidated downward type of price trend. Given the news that a ceasefire was initiated yesterday - and ENDED yesterday with Iran/Israel trading missile attacks and other conflicts, suggests the markets may react to extended FEAR today. Gold and Silver are both moving downward. I see this as a PANIC move in metals. When metals move into a Panic Selling phase, usually the SPY/QQQ also move into a panic selling phase. Bitcoin bounced back above $105k. Could be very interesting to see how all these moves play out over the rest of this week. Buckle up. Volatility is BACK. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
18
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-23 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern suggests the markets will struggle to find any support for a rally. A CRUSH pattern is usually a large breakdown type of price bar that moves aggressively against the dominant trend. Som, today I'm expecting some fairly large price action and I believe the markets may start a breakdown move this week as we continue to get more news related to the Israel/Iran/US conflict. This week will be a "resettling" week in my opinion. Buyers will start to actively liquidate and reposition assets as we move deeper into this conflict. When buyers turn into sellers (to get out), the markets usually react very aggressively in trend. Metals continue to hold up without making any big moves. I believe the increased FEAR level could play out as a moderate rally for metals over the next 15-30+ days. BTCUSD broke down very hard (more than 6%) over the past 3-4+ days. This is a big move downward for Bitcoin and could suggest US technology stocks/sectors could also collapse on fear of a "rollover top" in the US stock market. Smart traders will hedge and pull capital away from this potential top - just like I've been suggesting for the past 2-3+ weeks. Oddly enough, if we do get a rollover/top this week because of the Iran conflict, it plays right into my Excess Phase Peak pattern and the predictions I've been making over the past 4+ months. No, I don't foresee events like this Israel/US/Iran conflict. I can't see into the future. What I can do, and continue to try to deliver, is the best analysis I can offer without becoming BIASED by indicators, comments, or other inputs. I just read the chart and will tell you what I see as the most likely outcome. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
11
exposing the inner workings of the illusive 'black box'Black box reveal I was debating whether i'd ever share this publicly, but i came to an agreement with myself and decided to share this out of commission model. With the knowledge that comes with understanding predictive quant models, I was able to derive patterns the had arisen in the market via matching algorithms which gave me the ability to predict where a market was likely to open, make a high, make a low, and close on any given day where no news was being priced in. I was always told to keep my findings private, but no one wins if I do that, so I decided to share and the individuals that have the ability and care to figure out the puzzle for themselves can do so with this as a starting point. Im writing this post in one take so I apologize for any grammatical errors. In tradingview's LEAP challenge i've kinda been blowing my account over the last week and have just under 80% profit and no open positions with a week to go before it ends, so this post is also for people to look back and see if intraday trading can catapult my account. Good luck to all the participants!
AMEX:SPY
by oscar_malik
8
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-19: GAP Reversal Counter TrendToday's pattern is a GAP Reversal in Counter Trend mode. I believe this could represent a breakdown in the ES/NQ as the US stock market is closed for the Juneteenth holiday. Obviously, after the Fed comments yesterday (stating "uncertainty") and with the continued Israel/Iran conflict playing out, it makes sense to me that the US markets would move into a pre-weekend consolidation phase. Even though the US stock market will be closed, the futures market will likely stay open and will carry some general market sentiment and reactions to news. Watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin should be very interesting today. I suspect the markets will continue to consolidate downward today - leading to a potential breakdown seeking support day on Friday. Buckle up. We'll likely have 3-5+ days of news related to the Israel/Iran conflict and other issues over this weekend. It could be very interesting to see how the global markets move through this news. Get some. Happy Juneteenth #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
9
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-23 : Afternoon UpdateWhat happened to the CRUSH pattern? Everyone wants to know why the CRUSH pattern didn't show up today. Well, I keep telling all of you these SPY Cycle Patterns are based on GANN, Tesla and Fibonacci price structures. They do not take into consideration news, global events, or anything outside of PRICE. They are predictive - meaning they attempt to predict potential price shapes/patterns weeks, months, and years in advance. The markets, obviously, are seeking some normalcy after the Iran conflict. I thought the CRUSH pattern would have been a perfect fit for today - but obviously the markets didn't agree. If you have been following my videos, you know I keep saying the US stock market is acting as a global hedge for risks. Traders are pouring capital into the US stock market as a way to avoid global risk factors. Traders are also pouring capital into Gold/Silver. Demand for physical metals is through the roof right now. Time will tell if my Excess Phase Peak pattern plays out as I expect or if we rally to new ATHs. Obviously, this sideways rollover topping pattern could present a breakaway in either direction. Again, my patterns are not correlated based on news or other events. They are strictly price-based. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-20 : Pause Bar PatternToday's Pause Bar pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will slide into a sideways type of PAUSE in price action today. I'm not expecting much to happen and if we do see any breakaway or breakdown trending it will likely be related to news. While we have options expiration today and a host of other things that could drive the markets, I believe the markets are struggling to find direction right now. Thus, a pause in trading would be somewhat normal after a holiday-shortened trading week. Gold and Silver are struggling after a brief rally last week. I believe this is fear related to the Israel/Iran conflict. Metals should continue to move higher. BTCUSD is slightly higher (forgot to cover BTCUSD in the video), but not moving into a breakaway phase. Overall, everything is very flat in early trading today. It may stay that way with my PAUSE BAR pattern. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-18 : GAP Potential PatternToday's GAP Potential pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may GAP a bit higher at the open, then move into a melt-up phase, trying to identify resistance, then roll into a topping pattern and move downward. I believe the recent "rollover" of the markets (initiating last Friday with the Israel/Iran conflict) is still dominating the markets and news related to the ongoing conflict could drive a moderate pullback in US assets. Headed into the Juneteenth holiday (Thursday, June 19), I suggest traders prepare for the US markets to move into somewhat of a SETTLEMENT mode today - where traders don't want to hold too many open positions into Friday's trading. Additionally, Gold and Silver could move into a very strong upward price move over the next 4-5+ days. So be prepared for metals to hedge risks when the US stock market is closed. BTCUSD seems to be struggling into the FLAG APEX. I'm waiting to see if my FLAG count is correct and if we get the breakdown in BTCUSD as I expect. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 6-17: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move into a type of topping pattern, attempting to identify resistance, then roll away from that resistance level and trend downward. I suggest the news related to the conflict between Israel & Iran may continue to drive market trends with traders moving away from uncertainty near these recent highs. Silver makes a big move higher. Gold will likely follow later this week or early next week. BTCUSD moves into a sideways FLAGGING pattern - possibly attempting a BIG BREAKDOWN event over the next few weeks. Overall, the markets look like they are poised for a very big move - just waiting for the GREEN LINK (GO). Stay safe. Protect capital and HEDGE. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
5
SPY At Risk as Geopolitical Tensions Rise Jun 23 — What Monday Holds for Bulls & Bears ⚔️📉 🔍 GEX & Options Sentiment Overview: From the daily GEX chart: * Key Gamma Levels: * 📍Call Walls: 597 → 602 (supply zones), strong resistance. * 📍Put Walls: 590 → 587 → 572, significant gamma exposure to the downside. * High Volatility Zone (HVL) at 590 – a trigger level; under this, the market may accelerate downside toward 587 and even 572. * GEX Summary: * PUTS: 80.4% dominance * GEX Net: 🔴 extremely negative * IVR 23.3, still on the lower side but rising * Implication: Dealers are hedging to the downside. Gamma exposure creates risk of accelerated selloff below 590. 📊 Technical Analysis – Daily (1D) * Price: 594.28 (as of Friday close) * Trend: Daily candle broke prior support; new lower high confirmed. * Structure: * Failed to reclaim 597, now acting as local resistance * Next major demand zone: 587 * Trendline from the recent highs shows lower highs; bearish continuation forming. * Volume: Bearish candle closed with strong volume — sign of institutional distribution. ⏱️ Intraday TA – 1H Chart * CHoCH/BOS: Confirmed Break of Structure near 591, then a small rally attempt. * Micro Supply Box: 596.5–597.5 — liquidity trap if SPY rallies into it. * Support Zones: * 593.35 / 594.00 – holding Friday’s bounce. * If fails, expect sweep to 590 → 587. * Trendline Pressure: Downward diagonal trendline rejecting every bounce. Unless a full candle close over 599.50, bias remains bearish. ⚠️ Geopolitical Risk – U.S. Bombs Iran * News: U.S. launched targeted airstrikes on Iranian assets. Market now faces: * Flight to safety: TLT, Gold, and USD may rise. * Oil likely spikes — expect XLE and energy stocks to outperform. * Tech and indexes may open with gap-down risk due to heightened geopolitical uncertainty. * SPY Implications: * Risk-off behavior could amplify sell-off under 590. * Traders may hedge via VIX calls, gold futures, or SPY puts. * Watch for VIX spikes or DXY rally as confirmation of sentiment shift. 🧠 Trade Scenarios – Monday June 24 🔻 Bearish Case (High-Probability if Geopolitical Escalates) * Rejects at 596–597 zone (supply) * Entry: ~595–596 rejection * Targets: 590 → 587 → 572 (extreme GEX) * Stop: 598.5–599.2 above supply box 🔼 Bullish Case (If Market Shakes Off Iran Tension) * Breaks over 597.5, closes above 599.5 (CHoCH confirmation) * Entry: 598–599 breakout * Targets: 602 → 604.5 (2nd Call Wall) * Stop: 596.5 📌 My Thoughts: SPY is sitting on a knife’s edge. GEX is screaming downside, and now geopolitical risk adds another layer of pressure. Monday could open with volatility spikes, and if the market gaps down under 590, it might cascade to 587 fast. Only a reclaim above 599.5 invalidates the bearish structure — and even then, macro headlines might limit upside. Stay nimble. Hedge if holding longs. 🧭 Action Plan for Monday: * Scalpers: Watch the 596–597 rejection zone — quick puts may work well. * Swing traders: Use HVL 590 as pivot. Lose it? Target 587. * Hedgers: VIX calls or GLD may provide cushion. * Macro watchers: Monitor oil (USO), DXY, and bonds (TLT) for risk-on/off cues. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Low frequency trading (LFT) vs HFTHey fellow tarders and financial mojol, I've got some insider info that's going to blow your minds! 🤯 According to my top-secret sources (aka my pet parrot who squawks numbers at me), low-frequency trading algorithms have finally figured out the true fair price of the S&P 500. Drumroll, please... It's $550! That's right, folks, all those high-frequency trading bots are currently aiming for this magical number as we speak. But wait, there's more! The next step in this thrilling financial adventure involves radiowaving all the way down to $400. Yes, you heard it here first. We're talking about some serious next-level trading strategies that involve actual radio waves. Who needs fiber optics when you've got good old-fashioned radio, right? So, buckle up and get ready for the ride of your life. The market's about to take a trip back to the good old days when $550 was the dream and $400 was just a stone's throw away. Happy trading, and remember, if your broker gives you weird looks, just tell them you're tuning into the market's frequency! 📡💸
AMEX:SPYShort
by protarder
SPY Breaks Out of Gamma Box! Will It a Trend Day or Fade Setup?SPY Breaks Out of Gamma Box! Will IT Trigger a Trend Day or Fade Setup? 🚀📉 🔍 Chart Overview * Timeframes: 1H (GEX + key zones), 15M (Price action + SMC). * Price: $601.65 at close. * SPY broke above 600, a key GEX resistance and call wall area, and is pushing into a zone with less options resistance. 📊 GEX + Options Sentiment * 601–602 Zone: Highest positive NET GEX, aligned with CALL wall and resistance—where market makers may start to hedge against upside. * 604–606: Next upside liquidity zone; low GEX, meaning little dealer resistance = gamma vacuum potential. * IVR: 21.2 (elevated slightly). * Put Positioning: 78.2% heavy skew—market still defensively positioned. * GEX Shift: Bullish; breakout above 599–600 flips structure toward 604 as target. 📐 Smart Money Concepts (15M Chart) * CHoCH → BOS Confirmed: Trend structure flipped bullish today. * SPY rallied off demand at 591.90 (old support/OB) with increasing volume. * Currently tapping into minor supply zone (purple box) at 601.5–602. 📈 Key Technical Levels * Support: * 599.00 (GEX flip zone) * 596.41 (FVG support) * 594.28 (OB + FVG confluence) * Resistance: * 602.00 (GEX wall + supply) * 604.85 (GEX extension zone) 📌 Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Play (Momentum Breakout) * Entry: Above 602.20 (confirm breakout of supply) * Targets: 604.50 → 606.00 * Stop: Below 600.40 * Confluence: Gamma vacuum + weak resistance = ideal for calls if IV remains controlled. 🔴 Bearish Play (Fade from GEX Wall) * Entry: Rejects 602 with wicks + high volume reversal * Targets: 599.50 → 597.00 → 594.50 * Stop: Above 602.50 * Confluence: Heavy puts suggest rally could be faded unless institutions step in. 💡 Game Plan * Watch 602 rejection or acceptance—this will likely decide the rest of the week's direction. * If accepted, it's likely a gamma squeeze to 604–606. * If rejected, SPY may dip back to 599–597 to retest bullish structure. 🎯 Options Strategy * Bullish: Weekly 602C or 604C if breakout confirmed. * Bearish: 600P for fade/rejection plays. Higher risk due to squeeze potential—tight stops. 🧠 Final Thoughts SPY is at a pivotal level. The breakout from 599 suggests bulls in control, but we're now at Gamma resistance. Keep tight risk if playing calls above 602. The upside is open—but only if dealers lose control. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY: ASI DIMENTION SHIFT TRADESPY: ASI Dimension Shift Trade Markets are no longer responding to human logic—they're reacting to macro compression and machine foresight. This trade captures the inflection point where AI and capital collide. 📌 Watch: AMEX:SPY holding above 532 = dimension support Breakdown below 518 = confirmation of SMC exit VolanX signal: “Shift registered. Volatility node expanding. Defensive alignment required.” #SPY #VolanX #SMC #AITrading #ASIDimension #MacroBreakout #WaverVanir
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Warns on Tariffs Fed kept interest rates steady on June 19, cautioning that tariffs could stoke inflation and slow growth. Inflation projections were raised from 2.7% to 3.0%, while growth estimates were revised lower to 1.4% 🌍 Middle East Risk Drags Markets Global stocks fell and safe-haven assets surged after U.S. futures weakened amid heightened tensions in the Israel–Iran conflict. Yields were mixed: gold weakened and bonds gained, while oil held steady near seven-week highs 📈 Treasury Yields Edge Higher Despite safe-haven demand, U.S. 10‑year yields ticked up as markets absorbed the Fed’s updated rate outlook. The yield curve remains elevated ahead of next week’s $38 bn auction of long-dated notes 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 20: (No major U.S. economic reports) Markets will be driven by Fed commentary follow-ups and geopolitical headlines over the weekend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #fixedincome #inflation #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-16 : Up-Down-Up PatternToday's Up-Down-Up Pattern suggests the markets will transition into a moderate upward trending price bar - which is quite interesting in the world we have today. War and a big weekend of events, protests and other new items could drive market trends over the next few days. Still, the SPY Cycle Pattern for today is an Up-Down-Up - which suggests last Thursday was an Up bar, last Friday was a Down bar, and today should be an Up bar. The Gold/Silver pattern is a POP pattern in Counter-trend. I believe the US markets are benefiting as a safe-haven for capital as the global turmoil drives global investors to seek safety and security for their capital. That means as long as the world continues to spin out of control, the US markets and the US-Dollar will act as a moderate safe-haven for capital. Gold and Silver should also benefit from this global chaos. Bitcoin is benefiting from the strength of the US markets (and the technology sector) as well. Let's see how this week start to play out. I'm waiting for some more news. Could be very interesting this week. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
SPY: What's Next After the Resistance Retest? The price action of SPY, shows a significant decline from early February highs, followed by a strong recovery and an established uptrend from mid-April. Price is currently testing the "Previous Flip Zone" (indicated by the purple shaded area), a level that previously acted as support before the market's sharp decline and has since been retested as resistance. The "All time High 613" is marked as a major overhead resistance level, representing the peak achieved before the February drawdown. An "Intermediate Support" zone is identified between 590 and 592, coinciding with the upward-sloping green trendline that has supported the recent rally. A "Key Area" of support is highlighted further down between 576 and 582, indicating a more substantial demand zone should the intermediate support be breached. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
AMEX:SPYLong
by ManiMarkets
SPY Technical Analysis - Jun 16⏱️ 1‑Hour Chart Overview Key Zones * Support: $597–$601 — built on put-gamma support * Resistance: $605–$607 — topped by call-gamma walls Bias: Cautiously bullish — awaiting confirmation above $600–601 Trade Idea: * Structure: Bull call spread (600/605 strikes) * Targets: * T1: $605 (initial gamma cap) * T2: $607 (upper gamma wall) * Invalidation: Break decisively below $595 Management: * Entry: Buy near $600–601 with bullish candle and supportive volume * Scaling: Start small and layer in if price holds * Exit: * Take partial profits at $605 * Trail to $607 * Exit if SPY drops below $595 Why It Works: Gamma flows from option expiries tend to provide momentum near the spread’s strikes, and the debit structure defines both risk and reward. ⏳ 15‑Minute Chart (Intraday Entry) Setup Window: Zooming in for precise entry within 1‑hour framework What to Observe 1. Pullback to $600–601 * Look for a bullish reversal candle (hammer, engulfing) on 15‑m * Ideally, with increasing volume 2. Confirmation Signal * Break above the high of that reversal candle * Volume support confirms genuine demand 3. Momentum Alignment * Pair with an intraday oscillator (e.g., Muscle mover, RSI rising) * Candles should show higher lows or extended wick above support 15‑Minute Trade Rules * Entry: Market or limit buy on a 15‑m candle closing above reversal high (~$601) * Stop: Under that candle’s low (e.g., ~$599.50) * Profit Scaling: * Partial de‑risk at ~$605 * Full exit planned at ~$607 🚦 Multi‑Timeframe Strategy Summary 1‑Hour: Macro bias and strike framework
15‑Min: Precision entry zone & risk control
Spread Trade: Leverages GEX structure for momentum capture Risk Defined: Debit known, stops clear
Upside Potential: Push toward gamma-neutralizing walls
Flow Edge: Option hedging dynamics predominantly active around spread levels 🧠 Watchlist * Price behavior near $600–601 on 15‑m * Volume surge with bullish candle * Macro drivers: Fed noise, SPX futures action, sector rotation * Shifts in implied volatility that may affect spread pricing Trade with discipline — defined risk, entry precision, steady management.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. All trading involves risk; do your own due diligence.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
6
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 25, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 💱 Dollar Slides on Middle East Ceasefire Optimism A fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran lifted risk sentiment across global markets. The U.S. dollar weakened, while the euro and British pound hovered near multi‑year highs 📈 Equities Near Record Highs The S&P 500 and Nasdaq pushed toward all-time highs on June 25, supported by the Middle East truce and retreating energy prices. The S&P 500 rallied ~1.1%, with tech and discretionary sectors leading the charge 🛢 Oil & Treasuries Dip, Yield Cuts Anticipated Oil plunged ~6% to ~$65/bbl as conflict fears eased. Softer prices plus weak consumer confidence spurred expectations of up to 60 bps in Fed rate cuts by December; Treasury yields pulled back accordingly 📉 Consumer Confidence Falls Again The Conference Board’s index dropped to 93—the lowest level since May 2020—as concerns over tariffs and job availability weighed on households 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 25: (No major U.S. economic data scheduled) Markets remain focused on geopolitical dynamics, Fed commentary, and next week’s PCE inflation release. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #Fed #inflation #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao