SPY nears pivotMarket drop will begin to form temporary bottom, to start final leg up to complete ending diagonal 5, Then back down for a larger Cycle wave 4, then up. So we are officially in 4-5. 4-5, ending diagonal land. Longby wolffarchitecture4
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.28.2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 PCE Inflation Data Release 📈: The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, is set to be released. Economists predict a 0.3% rise in January and a 2.5% year-over-year growth. This data will provide insights into inflation trends and potential monetary policy adjustments. 🇺🇸🛒 Consumer Spending Trends 🛒: Personal income and spending data for January will be released, offering a glimpse into consumer behavior amid ongoing economic uncertainties. Analysts anticipate a 0.4% increase in personal income and a 0.1% rise in personal spending. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Friday, Feb 28: 💰 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💰: Reports on personal income, consumer spending, and the PCE Price Index for January. 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Measures housing contract activity, providing insights into the real estate market's health. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #tomorrow #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysisLongby TrendTao552
$SPY: Big picture on three time framesThe AMEX:SPY sell-off this week might be scary, and here we want to go back to the old-fashioned three-time frame concept. It works as a good road navigation. Additionally, I added the data from www.aaii.com to show how bearish sentiment prevails now to give us a short-term hope. The bearish sentiment at its extreme zone (twice higher vs average) gives a clue that the local bottom is near, and not acting as a trading signal On the charts, we see AMEX:SPY on a monthly, weekly, and daily basis. More noise is on a daily basis, so I want to keep an eye on the weeklies to help choose the strategy, even for intraday trading. A monthly time frame helps to add gears of consciousness (ATH, 3 bar swing formed). Blue lines form the channel, which is the Keltner Channel. It shows the tunnel of extremes as well. This means that if we reach the lower band, we may dance there for a while, and then it will bounce. Hypothetically, if we enter the bearish market, we need to see the lower low and the lower highs at least on the weeklies. For me it will tell that all bounces will be shorter (~ Fib. 0.382) and sharper, and I will adjust my expectations. Coming back to the current situation on weeklies, I see we are on a bullish trend. On dailies, obviously in a downtrend and near its local bottom. We closed the old gap, so the next potential magnet is ~575-ish support. To confirm a bounce start we want to see at least 3 bar reversal, a ka lower low formed and follow through. The sentiment brightness might be sticky, so no promises. Stay profitable! Cheers! by ChartsPlusFun113
IS THE BULL RUN OVER? DID $SPY REACH ITS MARKET TOP? (2.27.2025)In this video, we look over the possibility of spy topping out and what's nextShort20:00by Jonalius114
#SPYSPY is currently doing a retracement If we hold above 595 this week we'll start seeing a bounce and still touch that long term goal of $617 area But if we dont hold that level of 595 this week. We can keep dropping all the way to 580 area by directoptionalertsUpdated 3
Short term top Looking for retracement into the imbalance. Price have broken out on a lower volume, which means bull trap. Enjoy. Shortby alexxx231Updated 116
SPY in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when at three of these events happen: * Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones * Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands * Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level * Price at Fibonacci levels So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price in buying zone at bottom of channels Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under at bottom of Bollinger Band Entry at $586 Target is upper channel around $612Longby chancethepug1
SPY FractalJust publishing this here to see if this SPY Fractal actually plays out. Purely shits n giggles.by HotsauceShoTYME2
SPY: Still A Good Buy for 2025The SPX500 (SPY) here on the chart has fallen about 4.46% for the year 2025. Already a good retracement for 2025. The price at 587.36 (daily chart) is in a window's range of potential support after hitting that 612 weekly/monthly target of resistance at the top. Tentative Projection for 2025: 680 Daily: Weekly: Longby Rocketman2
SPY - support & resistant areas for today Feb 27, 2025** AMEX:SPY : Daily Support and Resistance Levels** Here are the key support and resistance points for SPY for today. These levels are crucial as they define areas where the price may reverse or consolidate. A bounce off these support or resistance zones can signal potential long (buy) or short (sell) positions for traders. These levels have been calculated using mathematical models and future forecasting techniques, ensuring that they are relevant for the trading day. Please note that these levels are only applicable for today’s trading session and may change in the future. If you find this information helpful and would like me to share these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, please show your support by boosting this post and following me. Your engagement helps me understand the value of this content. If this post does not receive more than 10 boosts, I will reconsider continuing with these daily updates. Thank you for your support!by OnePunchMan916
SPY Holding the Line at $590! Will We See a Bounce or More DownsTechnical Analysis for February 27, 2025: 1. Current Price Action: * SPY is trading around $593, attempting to hold above $590 (key support level). * A falling wedge pattern is forming, which could signal a reversal if SPY reclaims $595-$600. * POC (Point of Control) at $594.43 is the key pivot area for direction. 2. Key Levels to Watch: * Support: $590 (Critical level), $589.56 (Last line of defense), $580 (Major downside risk). * Resistance: $595-$600 (Breakout level), $605 (Strong resistance). * Upside Targets: $610, $615, $620. 3. Indicators Analysis: * MACD: Bearish, but flattening, suggesting slowing downside momentum. * Stoch RSI: Moving higher, indicating a potential short-term bounce. * Volume Profile: Heavy liquidity between $590-$595, indicating strong accumulation or distribution. GEX & Option Strategy for Tomorrow and the Week: 1. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights: * Call Walls: $610, $620 → Resistance areas. * Put Walls: $590, $580 → Key downside support. 2. IV & Sentiment: * IVR: 30.8 (Low) * IVx Avg: 22.7 (Very low volatility, favoring breakouts). * Put Positioning: 102.9% bearish sentiment. * GEX Sentiment: Very bearish—needs $595+ to shift sentiment. 3. Trading Suggestions: * Bullish Setup: If SPY reclaims $595-$600, consider long positions targeting $605-$610, with a stop at $590. * Bearish Setup: If SPY fails to hold $590, short setups targeting $585-$580, stop at $595. * Options Play: Selling put spreads at $590 or call spreads near $610 resistance. 📌 My Thoughts & Suggestion: * SPY is sitting at a critical support zone ($590-$593)—holding here could trigger a bounce toward $600-$605. * A break below $590 could lead to accelerated selling toward $580. * Low volatility suggests a breakout move is coming, making long options attractive. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚀 by BullBearInsightsUpdated 5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-27: Weekday FLUSH PatternToday's Weekday FLUSH pattern is similar to a CRUSH pattern. It usually represents a very wide-range price bar with the potential for a big breakdown or breakaway type of price action. Given yesterday's fairly wide price action and the NVDA earnings last night - I would not be surprised to see quite a bit of profit-taking in early trading, leading to an initial downward price trend, then moving into a basing/bottoming phase after 12-1PM ET. In other words, a fairly large DIP/Sell-off leading to a base/bottom, then flipping bullish through the end of the day today. Overall, I believe the SPY/QQQ will continue to try to push higher in the Excess Phase Peak pattern - reaching a peak between March 5-10 (only about 5-7+ trading days away). Thus, we don't have a big rally ahead of us - only about 3-5+ days of a fairly strong rally over the next 5-10 trading days. Now that the selling pressure has abated, metals should be forming a base or bottom. Get ready for an explosive move higher. BTCUSD has broken downward and is not in the larger consolidation phase. This phase will likely continue for at least 2+ weeks before we attempt to move into the search for the Ultimate Low (likely below $75k). Buckle up. Things are about to get very interesting. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #goldLong12:21by BradMatheny5520
$SPY February 27, 2025AMEX:SPY February 27, 2025 60 Minutes. The move to 598-599 and a retrace to 592-594 levels was completed yesterday. Now for the fall 613.23 to 589.56 i expect a retracement around 598-600 levels being 38.2 and 50 percent retracement moves. At the moment is trend is down. Uptrend only above 608 levels. 601-604 levels should be a good level to short again. In 60 minutes, we have 50,100,200 averages converging around 603-604 levels which is the next area of resistance. by RiderTrader18184
SPY: Buying opportunityOn SPY we have a buying opportunity. You can enter a buying position as soon as the vwap breaks.Longby PAZINI196
SPY A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 609.70 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 600.34 Recommended Stop Loss - 615.13 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Shortby AnabelSignalsUpdated 4412
Buyers stopped outIf the spy reverse and one time frames lower from this point, the rest of the year could be in the red. Shortby WallstMoonManUpdated 113
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend. After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation. Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ. It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends. BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support. This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support. Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place. Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom. Get some today. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #goldLong19:05by BradMatheny2210
$SPY February 26, 2025AMEX:SPY February 26, 2025 15 Minutes. 100% extension move was completed yesterday. Now i expect a bounce before next fall. For the rise 589.56 to 596.67 holding 593.5 - 594 is important for 597.5 to 599 levels. We are still in a series of LL and LH pattern and below 200 averages too. For the extension 589.56 to 599.96 to 593.02 I have a target 597-598 levels. That should be a good level to short again. Longby RiderTrader1
SPY will trade within the triangle ...I thought I would update this chart as the triangle has adjusted slightly since my last 2 posts. This makes the tip of the triangle farther out as well as a different projected time of the SPY exiting out of the triangle. The tip of the triangle is now around Mar 18th and there are many events until that time that could push the market out of the triangle such as jobless claims and inflation, etc. I am not guessing what event is going to make the market move out of the triangle. It looks like the market is going up for 4 to 5 days and then down one or two days while it is in the triangle formation. I think tomorrow (Monday) the market will go up as this will follow the pattern it is displaying. As well, the half hour indicators are already looking bullish. As I have mentioned in other charts: From a technical trading point of view, the market could go up or down closer to the tip of the triangle. Breakouts of triangle pattern usually occur 2/3 to 3/4 of the triangle length, so the SPY could move outside the triangle before the tip. The triangle pattern is usually considered a continuation pattern which means the market will continue in the direction it was moving before the triangle started. This pattern should usually have at least 5 touches of support and resistance. You can get any of this information from the internet. I think there are 3 aspects to trading: 1) Being able to read the charts so you have an idea where the market is going. 2) Being able to choose the correct trade strategy for the market conditions. You do not want to put a bullish trade when the market is bearish and vice versa. There are also certain trades where you can make money when the market is trading sideways with a non-directional trading strategy or a different trade if the market is extremely volatile. You can apply an iron condor, a credit spread, debit spread or butterfly trade depending on the market conditions. All trades have their own risks and rewards. 3) Knowing details, both the positives and negatives about your brokerage which can really elevate your trading. MORE THEORY … which you may have heard before. I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. Why Heikin Ashi candlesticks? 1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks. 2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better. 3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer. 4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.) I personally find: * the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour. * the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour. * the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily. * and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week. Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading. I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them. I will hopefully try to explain these in future trading charts. I am trying to take trading classes through Udemy, mostly because they are cheap. LOL! I usually wait for a sale where the courses are as low as $14.99 instead of over $100 per course which they have regularly. As well, you may be able to get access to Udemy through your local library depending on where you live. www.udemy.com I always try to attend the free Wealth365 Summit which is held about 4 times a year where I always pick up some more useful information. I believe the next one will be around April. Again, I am not affiliated with this company in any way. wealth365.com/ Happy trading everyone! Longby PrincessgirlUpdated 2
SPX Final Blow Off TopSPX going through it's final peak euphoria wave before the final blow off top in my opinion. Recession is coming as indicators such as Sahm Rule, Inverted Yield Curve are predicting a recession. The FED is blindsided by a dead cat bounce in inflation and will find themselves in a position to cut rates insanely fast.Longby EndgameCapitalism3
What Is an ETF and How Does ETF CFD Trading Work?What Is an ETF and How Does ETF CFD Trading Work? Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, have gained significant popularity in recent years as a way to invest in a diversified portfolio of securities. But for the uninitiated, the world of ETFs can seem complex and overwhelming. So, what is an exchange-traded fund, and how does it work? In this article, we’ll cover everything you need to know about ETFs, the advantages and disadvantages, and we’ll explain how to trade ETF CFDs. What Is an ETF and How Does It Work? The ETF definition in investments is the following: exchange-traded funds (ETFs), sometimes called equity-traded funds, are financial products that track the performance of a specific index, commodity, or group of assets. ETFs are popular among individual and institutional investors thanks to their flexibility, low fees, and transparency. Like stocks, ETFs are traded on exchanges. This means that you can buy ETF shares when the stock market is open. Note that you buy shares of a fund, not the fund itself. Unlike stocks, however, ETFs don’t focus on a single asset. Instead, ETFs consist of multiple assets and even different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and cash. Some ETFs are passively managed, meaning they’re designed to track a specific market or sector. Others are actively managed and have professional portfolio managers who choose which assets to include in the ETF. ETFs are an effective way for traders and investors to diversify their positions. Because ETFs comprise a diverse range of securities, holders can gain exposure to different assets, markets, and sectors without having to trade each one individually. This can help reduce risk and volatility and potentially generate more stable returns over the long term. Differences and Pros and Cons of ETFs vs Mutual Funds While they share some similarities to mutual funds, one of the main differences between the two is that mutual funds are only traded at the end of the trading day according to their net asset value (NAV), while an ETF’s share price fluctuates throughout the day. Mutual funds pool money from investors to invest in a range of assets and are often actively managed by a professional portfolio manager. This means they typically come with higher fees and a higher minimum investment requirement. Generally speaking, ETFs are the more cost-effective and flexible option, as they offer lower expense ratios and allow for intraday trading. They also tend to be more tax efficient due to their reduced portfolio turnover rates. However, ETFs come with commissions, while mutual funds do not. Moreover, the passive management style of many ETFs can lead to lower returns compared to mutual funds, which aim to beat the market through active management. ETF Types There are many different types of ETFs out there that can be used to meet a wide variety of investment goals. Let’s look at some examples of exchange-traded funds. Index ETFs What is an ETF in the stock market? Equity ETFs are those that track a stock index. They vary in terms of the sectors, industries, company sizes, and countries they cover. Equity ETFs are divided into broad market and sector ETFs. Broad Market ETFs These ETFs track the performance of the entire market. They can be a useful tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the overall market without having to pick an individual instrument. One of the most significant broad-market ETFs is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF. Sector ETFs Sector ETFs offer investment in specific industries or areas of the market, like technology, healthcare, energy, and financials. These ETFs are ideal for investors looking to profit from the overall growth of an industry. Popular sector ETFs include the ARK Innovation ETF. Bond ETFs These ETFs invest in fixed-income securities such as government, corporate, and municipal bonds. Bond ETFs expose investors to the fixed-income market, which can be an effective tool for diversifying a portfolio. One of the bond ETFs is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF. Commodity ETFs Commodity ETFs invest in assets like gold, silver, oil, and other natural resources. Commodity ETFs offer investors easy access to the commodity market and can help them hedge during market downturns. SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) is an example of a commodity ETF. Currency ETFs These ETFs invest in foreign currencies and are used to gain exposure to a particular country’s currency or group of currencies, meaning they can be used to hedge against currency risk. Primary currency ETFs include the Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund. Leveraged ETFs Leveraged ETFs use derivatives to provide investors with magnified exposure to the underlying assets, typically 2x, 3x, or 5x. For instance, a 2x leveraged ETF based on the S&P 500 would drop 2% if the S&P 500 fell by 1%. Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares ETF is one of the most popular leveraged ETFs. Inverse ETFs These ETFs allow buyers to invest in the inverse performance of the underlying asset. For example, an inverse ETF that tracks the S&P 500 would go up when the S&P 500 goes down. Inverse ETFs can be useful for hedging against market downturns but also shouldn’t be held long-term. An example of an inverse ETF is the ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF. How to Trade ETF CFDs Aside from buying ETFs on stock exchanges, you can trade them via CFDs. CFDs are derivative products that allow traders to speculate on the price movement of an underlying asset, such as an ETF. Unlike traditional ETF investing, ETF CFD trading does not involve owning the ETF itself. Instead, traders are exposed to the price movements of the underlying ETF when they open a position. At FXOpen, we have dozens of ETF contracts for difference (CFDs) that are ideal for short-term trading. One key benefit of CFD trading is the use of leverage, which allows traders to open larger positions with smaller amounts of capital. This can potentially amplify profits but also magnify losses. All of our ETF CFDs offer 1:5 leverage, so to open a $100 position, you’ll need $20 to cover the margin requirements. Moreover, ETF CFDs can be opened long or short, allowing traders to profit from both rising and falling markets. This can be especially useful when looking to hedge against an existing position or take advantage of short-term market movements. Unlike regular ETFs, CFDs are subject to overnight fees, which are charged for holding open positions overnight. However, the same as with regular ETFs, CFD traders receive dividends if applied. The dividend adjustment is positive for buy trades and negative for sell trades. Consider a Trading Strategy If you’re thinking of trading ETF CFDs, it’s important to have a trading strategy in place. One approach is a trend-following strategy, which involves identifying and entering in the direction of the trend of the underlying ETF. Many traders use technical analysis tools, like moving averages and trendlines, to help them gauge the direction of a trend. Seasonal trend trading can also work particularly well for ETF CFDs. Traders using this strategy look at historical market data and identify trends that tend to occur during certain times of the year. For example, a retail sector-based ETF might perform well around the holiday season, so traders could use this expectation to guide the direction of their trade. Some traders prefer breakout trading - taking positions in ETF CFDs when their prices break through key support or resistance levels. Breakout trading can be especially effective in ETF CFD trading because ETFs tend to be less volatile than individual stocks. This means that when an ETF breaks through a support or resistance level, it may continue in that direction for an extended period, providing traders with an opportunity to profit. Trading ETF CFDs: Advantages and Disadvantages While we’ve explained some of the key advantages and disadvantages of ETF CFD trading, there are other factors to consider. Here are some additional advantages and disadvantages of ETF CFDs to be aware of. Advantages Flexibility: ETF CFDs can be bought and sold quickly throughout the day, providing traders with the flexibility to adjust their positions in response to intraday market events. Broad Exposure: ETF CFDs offer exposure to a wide range of global markets and sectors, meaning that traders can diversify their positions and speculate on the price movements of a market or sector as a whole rather than relying on a single asset. Hedging: This broad exposure also allows traders to use ETF CFDs to hedge against their other positions and reduce their potential losses. For example, a trader long on tech stocks could use a technology-based ETF CFD to short the sector during earnings season to protect from downside risk. Disadvantages Only Tradeable During Specific Hours: ETF CFDs are only available to trade when their respective exchanges are open. This might only be 9:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. EST, whereas other types of CFDs, like forex CFDs, are available to trade 24/5. Potential Liquidity Issues: During periods of high volatility or low volume trading hours, some ETF CFDs can suffer from poor liquidity. This can widen spreads, increase costs for traders, and heighten the risk of slippage. Fund Closure: While rare, it is possible for an ETF to cease trading while you have an open CFD position. This would result in the liquidation of the position and the net profit or losses being realised. When combined with leverage, a forced liquidation could lead to significant losses. Your Next Steps Now that you have a solid understanding of ETFs and their CFD counterparts, you may wonder how to start trading them. Follow this step-by-step guide to get started: 1. Open an FXOpen Account: At FXOpen, we offer a wide range of ETF contracts for difference (CFDs) that you can begin trading in minutes. 2. Explore ETFs: The next step is to look for ETFs that align with your strategy. You can research factors like potential for growth and historical performance to help determine if an ETF is right for you. You may also want to consider elements like the ETF’s level of diversification and trading volume. 3. Place a Trade: Once you think you’ve found the ETF you want to trade, you can use one of four trading platforms at FXOpen to enter a position. This involves selecting the ETF CFD you want to trade, choosing the appropriate trade size, and setting stop losses to manage risk. At this stage, you could also set some targets for where you’d like to exit your trade. 4. Manage Risk: As your trade progresses, the only thing left to do is manage your position’s risk. You could do this by gradually moving your stop loss closer to breakeven, taking partial profits, and hedging your position with other ETF CFDs. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.Educationby FXOpen115
SPY's Make-or-Break Moment: Will $590 Hold or Collapse? Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action SPY has been in a clear downtrend, forming a falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, which could indicate an upcoming reversal if price action confirms a breakout. The ETF is currently testing a crucial support level at $590, aligning with major options positioning. Key observations: * Trend Structure: SPY is in a downtrend, but the falling wedge suggests a possible relief bounce. * Support & Resistance: * Major Resistance: $605 (breakout confirmation level). * Key Support: $590 → If this breaks, expect further downside toward $580. * Breakout Target: $610 - $615 if momentum shifts. * MACD Indicator: Slight bullish divergence, signaling early signs of momentum recovery. * Stoch RSI: Extremely overbought at 96.22, suggesting a pullback before a possible reversal. Options Flow & GEX Analysis The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator shows extreme negative gamma, with heavy PUT positioning at $590. If this level holds, a short squeeze could drive SPY back to $605-$610. However, a break below would likely trigger a further gamma-driven selloff toward $580. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 29.7, with IVx avg at 20.2%, signaling moderate volatility. * Put Side Bias: 121.8% of options flow, showing heavy downside hedging. * Key GEX Levels: * PUT Wall & Key Support: $590 → A breakdown could lead to a fast drop to $580. * CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $605 → Breakout here could send SPY toward $615+. Trade Plan & Suggestions 📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play) * Entry: Above $600 with strong volume confirmation. * Target 1: $605 * Target 2: $610-$615 (Extended breakout target). * Stop-loss: Below $589 📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play) * Entry: Below $589 with increasing sell pressure. * Target: $585 → $580 * Stop-loss: Above $595 Final Thoughts SPY is at a critical inflection point, with $590 acting as the battleground. If it holds, expect a short squeeze rally toward $605+. But if it fails, the next leg down could accelerate toward $580. Given the extreme options positioning, expect high volatility and fast moves. 📢 Risk Management: Use defined stop-losses, watch for volume confirmation, and be prepared for sharp price swings. 🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading. by BullBearInsights4
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.26.2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🤔 U.S. Consumer Confidence Dives 🤔: American consumer confidence fell to 98.3 in February (down from 105.3 in January), The steepest one-month drop since 2021. 🇩🇪📉 German GDP Contracts 📉: Germany’s economy shrank by 0.2% in Q4 2024 (quarter-on-quarter), confirming a downturn in Europe’s largest economy. Recession concerns in the Eurozone could influence global growth sentiment as exports and industry show signs of weakness. 🇺🇸💱 Fed Rate Cut Bets Trimmed 💱: Markets are now pricing in only one 25bps rate reduction in 2025 (versus two previously expected), 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Wednesday, Feb 26: 🏠 MBA Mortgage Applications (7:00 ET) 🏠: Last week’s applications fell -6.6% amid rising interest rates. Traders will watch if lower demand continues, as higher borrowing costs cool the housing market. 🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 ET) 🏠: Consensus expects around 680K units (vs 698K in December). This Jan report will show if higher mortgage rates are slowing home sales or if housing demand remains resilient to start 2025. 🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 ET) 🛢️: Last week, inventories rose to about 432.5 million barrels. A larger-than-expected draw could boost oil prices, while a build might ease price pressures (and inflation concerns). 💬 Fed’s Bostic Speaks (12:00 ET) 💬: Markets will monitor his commentary for any hints on monetary policy or growth/inflation views. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #tomorrow #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysisLongby TrendTao0