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S27 trade ideas

Technical Analysis Summary: SPY 2hr price actionUSING THE 2 HOUR TIMEFRAME AND FVG. THIS IS MY THOUGHT ON SPY Current Price: $595.01 (as of the last market close on December 27, 2024) Recent Price Movement: The stock closed unchanged at $595.01, with a high of $597.7761 and a low of $590.7647. Technical Indicators: Oscillators : Predominantly indicate a 'Hold' signal, with the Stochastic Oscillator at 65.39 suggesting a potential overbought condition. [ b]Average Directional Index (ADX) : At 25.95, indicating a weak trend. Moving Averages: Present a mixed outlook with short-term averages signaling 'Sell', while longer-term averages suggest 'Buy'. Chart Pattern: A triangle pattern is present, suggesting a potential bullish breakout towards resistance at $599.89. News Sentiment Predominantly Negative: Recent news sentiment is negative, which could exert downward pressure on SPY, potentially hindering bullish momentum. Trade Idea Entry Signal: Consider entering at $594.52. Exit Signal: AMEX:SPY Target an exit at $599.89, aligning with the potential bullish breakout indicated by the triangle pattern. Conclusion SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) presents a mixed technical picture with a potential bullish breakout if the triangle pattern resolves positively. However, the negative news sentiment could pose a risk to this outlook. This trade idea is suitable for those looking to capitalize on short-term movements, but caution is advised due to the overall uncertainty.
AMEX:SPYLong
by CapitalGainz33
SPY will drop ... until Christmas, Part 2In my last chart I didn't account for the market trading sideways before heading downward so I have decided to do another chart. There is a FED meeting this week. I suspect on the day of the announcement on Wednesday, Dec 18, the SPY will be more volatile like it has been on the last few announcements from the FED. Then on Thursday and Friday following the announcement, the SPY will continue to go lower (regardless of what the Fed states) stopping before Christmas. I trade based on what the charts indicate not on current events. The charts will often account for future events. If you look at the weekly charts, it is also indicating a downward trend.I will try to post a weekly chart to this idea so you can see what I am talking about. I have marked where I think the SPY will drop to on the chart (around 584) This is just a short term downward trend. I believe on Thursday and Friday, the SPY will drop about 9 points each day and on Monday and Tuesday it will drop a little or trade sideways. After Christmas, I believe the SPY will go back up. But I will draw another chart showing what I believe will happen after Christmas. If you look at the previous months, after an upward trend of about 10 to 14 days, the market retraced for a few more days. The SPY could retrace to any point on the Fibonacci numbers. But I just believe it will drop for 3-4 days (like it did in the previous months) to a 100% drop before continuing it's climb upward. I am using the Heikin Ashi Candlesticks as I find you can see a definite directional pattern with them on the chart itself. Typically, I will just trade with the dominant trend and I will wait for 2 green Heikin Ashi Candlesticks before I enter. But this time I am showing the brief retracement that will happen before Christmas. I will probably enter this short trade briefly to make a little money. Happy trading everyone!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Princessgirl
10
S&P 500 Reached The Top - Correction UnderwayThe S&P 500 looks to have reached a significant top - being rejected from the 1:1 Fibonacci extension on the Weekly Timeframe. With other confluence like the rising wedge, high weekly RSI levels, and a decreasing momentum on the MACD, all things point downwards for the stock market in 2025. The next target would be the blue zone where a potential chance for reversal could occur. A top in the S&P 500 could also signal tops forming on major stocks like NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:TSLA , etc. so keep a lookout.
AMEX:SPYShort
by MrStockWhale
Spy Whats Next NowWell everyone I've been calling for a 3% drop for the past 10 days and caught it lol!!!! I hope all of you that followed me crushed again and made money!!! Update to the New Narrative Trend Which the stock was Ticker QUBT I entered at $6.50 exited at $23 that I posted this week Resulting in a 4x stock move in 4 days causing some of my options plays to 10-15x insane in 2 days lol!! So What's next for Spy I Believe there will be a dead cat bounce resulting in a price to hit a target of 595-600 this year!!! I believe QQQ SPY both topped out for this year!!! So I Will be investing in The number 1 stock for 2025 resulting in a safe 10x trade by March content out now Good Luck Traders!!!
AMEX:SPYShort
by JoeWtrades
10
SPY Technical Analysis PredictionThis chart is a daily timeframe for SPY (S&P 500 ETF), displaying multiple indicators such as pivot points, dark pool levels, trendlines, moving averages, and volume. The current market structure suggests a potential trend transition phase, with price currently consolidating near critical support levels. Key Observations: 1. Trend Structure: The long-term uptrend is still intact, supported by the green ascending trendline originating from prior lows. The recent pullback breached the 8 EMA and 21 EMA, which implies short-term bearish momentum. However, price is consolidating near the S1 pivot level (579.18), suggesting possible support. Higher Highs (HH) were achieved earlier in the trend, but the failure to maintain levels near the R1 pivot (614.64) indicates resistance and profit-taking. 2. Support and Resistance: Resistance Zones: 600-604: A psychological resistance level and the approximate region of the 8 EMA. 609.07: The previous swing high and a critical level for a bullish continuation. R1 (614.64): A strong pivot resistance level. Support Zones: Immediate support at S1 (579.18), which aligns with current consolidation. Lower supports are seen at S2 (555.80), S3 (543.72), and the ascending green trendline (~524). Dark pool levels between 513.20 - 522.91 represent critical institutional zones, which may act as strong support. 3. Volume Profile: Significant volume spike on the most recent red candle indicates institutional activity. If price remains above key supports (S1, S2), this could suggest accumulation. A breakdown below S1 would imply further distribution and downside. 4. Dark Pool Levels: Dark pool prints at 522.91, 518.92, and 513.20 mark critical price levels for institutional interest. A break into these levels would indicate bearish momentum but could offer significant buying opportunities near those zones. Trade Setup: Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from S1 (579.18) Trigger: A strong bounce off S1 with price reclaiming the 8 EMA (currently near 600) would confirm bullish momentum. Profit Targets: 595-600: The immediate resistance zone and EMA alignment. 609.07: The swing high from earlier in December. 614.64 (R1): A longer-term target at the pivot resistance. Stop-Loss: Below 575, as this invalidates the bullish setup. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below S1 (579.18) Trigger: A break below S1 with high volume and price failing to reclaim the 8 EMA would confirm bearish continuation. Profit Targets: 565.16: The prior swing low and intermediate support. 555.80 (S2): A strong pivot support level. 543.72 (S3): A deeper downside target. Stop-Loss: Above 595, as it would indicate a reversal back above resistance. Scenario 3: Long-Term Reversal Near Dark Pool Levels If price falls into the dark pool zones (522.91-513.20), this could offer significant long-term buying opportunities, especially near the ascending green trendline (~524). Final Thoughts: Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation near S1 requires close monitoring for either a bullish reversal or a bearish breakdown. Volume and price action at the EMAs and pivot levels will be crucial indicators. Long-Term Outlook: The green trendline and dark pool levels represent strong support zones, offering potential for accumulation if prices drop further.
AMEX:SPYLong
by thedarkpooltrader
SPY 15m Analysis: FVGs and Key Levels for Next MovesOverview This idea focuses on the SPY 15-minute chart, highlighting key fair value gaps (FVGs) and critical support/resistance levels. The current price action shows potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios, contingent on price reactions at crucial levels. Bearish Scenario Key Level to Watch: If SPY closes below 566.44, it signals further downside momentum. Traders should look for the formation of the next Bearish FVG to initiate short positions. Projected Target: First Target: 550–555 zone (likely demand zone or support area). Downward momentum is supported by the recent sharp sell-off, indicating heavy selling pressure. Invalidation: A sustained move back above 588.85 will weaken bearish momentum. Bullish Scenario Key Level to Watch: For any upward momentum, a Bullish FVG must form above the current price, likely in the 588.85–595.79 range. Projected Target: First Target: 595.79 Second Target: 600+, where stronger resistance may emerge. Invalidation: Failure to hold above 588.85 could result in further selling pressure. Volume and Momentum Considerations While individual candlestick volume isn't displayed, the rapid decline hints at increased selling pressure. Monitor volume closely during retests for confirmation of strength or weakness in price action. Plan Your Trade: Use clear invalidation levels to manage risk. Wait for price confirmation (e.g., closing below 566.44 or a bullish FVG forming above 588.85). Utilize stop-loss orders to safeguard against unexpected reversals. Conclusion This setup allows for flexibility, focusing on key zones and volume confirmation. The bias leans bearish, but a bullish retracement cannot be ruled out if price action shifts momentum. Keep an eye on FVG formations for entry signals.
AMEX:SPY
by CapitalGainz33
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) 2-Hour Time Frame Analysis Current Current Market Overview As of December 2024, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is showing a bullish trend with the following technical indicators: MACD : Suggests a buy signal. RSI : Indicates a neutral signal. Moving Averages: Both 20-day and 50-day moving averages suggest a buy signal. Price Action: The support level is at US$600.96, and the resistance level is at US$607.46. Options Strategy Recommendations 1. Long Call trade_id: g-663257 Signal: Bullish Option Strategy: Long Call Current Price: US$605.57 Strike Price: US$550.00 Expiry Date: 20-Dec-2024 Buy/Sell: Buy Call/Put: Call Premium: US$55.46 Stop loss: US$49.91 Take profit: US$61.01 Probability of Profit: 51.4% Implied Volatility: 96.81% Max Loss: US$-5546.00 Max Gain: ∞ (infinity) Break-even price: US$605.46 Days to Expiration: 2 Rationale: This strategy is designed to capitalize on a bullish outlook for SPY, with a high probability of profit and a defined risk-reward profile. Conclusion The SPY is currently in a consolidation phase, and the recommended options strategy provides an opportunity to capitalize on potential bullish market movements. The Long Call offers a high probability of profit with defined risk, allowing for profit from significant price movements in the upward direction.
AMEX:SPYLong
by CapitalGainz33
1
Spy Looks Bullish With a 15min bullish FVG forming S&P 500 (SPY) Price Action Analysis Current Price and Technical Overview Current Price: $605.28 (as of last close on 17-Dec-2024) Market Status: Closed Day Change: +$0.99 (+0.16%) Technical Analysis Summary Overall Signal: Bullish Oscillators: Predominantly 'Hold', with the Momentum Indicator suggesting a 'Buy'. Moving Averages: Strong bullish signals from short-term and medium-term averages. Pattern: Breakout above resistance indicates a bullish trend. Resistance Level: Potential price target near $608.65. Pivot Point Analysis: Price is above the pivot level of $606.59, supporting bullish sentiment. News Sentiment Sentiment: Entirely positive, likely to drive buying activity and support upward price movement. Interpretation The technical indicators for SPY suggest a bullish stance. The strong signals from moving averages and the breakout above resistance levels indicate potential for further gains. The positive news sentiment reinforces this outlook, suggesting a likelihood of price appreciation in the near term. Trading Strategy Consideration Given the bullish outlook, traders might consider entering long positions or call options on a retest of the pivot level at $606.59, aiming for the next leg up towards the resistance level of $608.65. However, it's crucial to monitor for any signs of reversal or changes in sentiment that could impact this strategy.
AMEX:SPYLong
by CapitalGainz33
1
Bias for Today: Short with Bearish FVGs or Flip Long on Short with Bearish FVGs or Flip Long entering Calls on the First Bullish Fair Value Gap. AMEX:SPY "Today's market bias is to open with a short outlook. If bearish Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) start to form and price respects them, I’ll look to enter short positions targeting lower levels. However, if price bounces off these zones and a bullish FVG forms, I will shift focus to initiate long positions on the first bullish FVG that sets up cleanly. Watching for clear confirmations and respecting key price action levels will be critical. Let’s stay adaptive to what the market gives us!"
AMEX:SPYShort
by CapitalGainz33
Grinch drop, Santa popSPY is at it's 2 year trend channel resistance level. There's very little upside reward left. There's a greater downside risk. The Grinch may try to steal Christmas with a temporary SPY drop towards support. But then a Santa Claus rally will pop SPY back up to it's resistance level. SPY 2 year trend channel levels: resistance = 605 pivot = 585 support = 565 trade ideas: 1) collar strategy hold 100 shares sell 585 call buy 605 put 2) buy 605 put 3) short call spread sell 585 call buy 605 call 4) long put spread buy 605 put sell 585 put SPY options data: 12/6/24 expiry Put Volume Total 219,329 Call Volume Total 125,297 Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.75 Put Open Interest Total 750,130 Call Open Interest Total 233,054 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.22 12/13/24 expiry Put Volume Total 69,042 Call Volume Total 43,893 Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.57 Put Open Interest Total 317,687 Call Open Interest Total 228,869 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.39 12/20/24 expiry Put Volume Total 336,702 Call Volume Total 139,171 Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.42 Put Open Interest Total 3,273,537 Call Open Interest Total 1,426,800 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 2.29 12/27/24 expiry Put Volume Total 13,062 Call Volume Total 14,931 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.87 Put Open Interest Total 72,224 Call Open Interest Total 59,538 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.21 1/17/25 LEAPS Put Volume Total 191,268 Call Volume Total 63,574 Put/Call Volume Ratio 3.01 Put Open Interest Total 2,376,812 Call Open Interest Total 855,976 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 2.78
AMEX:SPYShort
by Options360
3
(GET READY) The expected move for FOMC in SPYThe expected move for FOMC in SPY After making new all-time highs on Friday, December 6, we have been consolidating back to the 30 minute 200 moving average. You could see how we’ve been chopping around sideways along the 35 EMA back to the 30 minute 200 moving average. So we are just above that 30 minute 200 moving average yesterday we closed directly above it with the 35 EMA directly above that and so far this morning we are above those two levels. We are in that down gap from Monday, going into Tuesday so possible level of resistance around 607 and then we have the one hour 200 average at the very bottom of the implied move. So the implied move is between 600 to 609 and on tomorrow’s contract for Thursday 599 to 610. I’m taking a little short break from making videos because they are very time-consuming and in December in this month with everything going on I just don’t have time to make them, but I will be getting back to that in January and for now I’ll still be posting these still charts GL, y’all
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPY at a Critical Juncture: Will it Reversal or More Pain Ahead?In the past two days, SPY (S&P 500 ETF) has experienced a pronounced downturn, raising critical questions about the next directional move. Today's price action indicates a pivotal moment, with the market consolidating near a key support level at $584. The question remains: is this a pause before a bounce, or a precursor to further downside? This detailed analysis breaks down SPY's current technical setup, provides actionable trade levels, and offers insights into potential scenarios for tomorrow's session. Let’s dive into the charts and indicators to uncover opportunities. Technical Market Trend Analysis 1. Downtrend Confirmation * Price Structure: SPY has formed consistent lower highs and lower lows over the past two sessions, clearly defining a downtrend. The breach of the critical $587 support level early in today’s session amplified selling pressure. * Trendlines: A descending channel on the hourly chart below further confirms bearish control, with price respecting the upper boundary of the channel as resistance. 2. Volume Dynamics * Selling Pressure: Noticeable volume spikes during the declines highlight strong participation by sellers. * Reduced Buying Interest: Rebounds were marked by lower volume, indicating a lack of commitment from buyers. Key Levels to Watch Support Levels 1. $584: The current zone where price consolidates. This is the first line of defense for bulls. 2. $580: Major gamma exposure support level (GEX7). Breaching this level could accelerate downside momentum toward $575. Resistance Levels 1. $587: Immediate resistance. A reclaim of this level would signal strength and could trigger short covering. 2. $590: Aligned with gamma resistance and psychological significance, this is the next target for a bullish breakout. Indicators in Play EMA Analysis * The 9 EMA and 21 EMA are both sloping downward, acting as dynamic resistance levels. This reinforces the short-term bearish trend. MACD * The hourly MACD shows bearish momentum, with a widening histogram and a negative crossover. However, a slight tapering in the histogram near the end of the session hints at potential consolidation or a reversal attempt. Options Oscillator and GEX Insights * Gamma Levels: * $584: Current pivot, showing strong put positioning. * $580: Heavy put support; any break below this would likely see rapid downside. * $590: Significant call resistance; a breakout above would indicate a shift in sentiment. * Sentiment: Dominance of 102.7% puts reflects bearish sentiment in the options market. Trading Strategy Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal Setup 1. Entry: Enter long above $587 with confirmation of strong volume. 2. Target: $590 for the first target, $593 for the second. 3. Stop-Loss: Place stops at $585 to minimize risk. 4. Justification: * Reclaiming $587 would signal a potential reversal or at least a relief rally. * $590 aligns with gamma resistance, offering a logical profit target. Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation Setup 1. Entry: Short below $584 with increasing sell volume. 2. Target: $580 for the first target, $575 for the second. 3. Stop-Loss: Place stops at $585.50 to cap risk. 4. Justification: * A breakdown below $584 would confirm the continuation of the downtrend. * Heavy put support at $580 would likely provide the next pause point. Market Outlook While the short-term trend is bearish, the market is approaching a critical inflection point. Tomorrow’s session will likely determine whether SPY bounces from oversold conditions or continues its descent. Watch for high-impact news and volume trends to validate directional moves. Conclusion SPY’s price action reflects a decisive moment. Both bulls and bears have clear opportunities depending on how the key levels at $584 and $587 play out. Use disciplined risk management and wait for confirmation before entering trades. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-19 : Top PatternToday, we should expect the SPY/QQQ to move a bit higher - trying to form a short-term top before price rolls downward again. I urge traders to stay very cautious of early trending and look for a bigger opportunity later in the day as price rolls downward. Gold and Silver are struggling. I still believe Gold and Silver will rally higher as fear elevates. But right now - that is not happening. I need to see Gold and Silver move away from this panic selling before I can become move convinced of a trend. Stay cautious if you are trying to trade Gold and Silver right now. Bitcoin is moving through an EPP pattern very cleanly - actually a DUAL EPP pattern. $95-$99k should be the downside price target throughout this move. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
Spy Short Well Well Guys, Yes I'm going to continue to go short especially this week with the big big decision of rate cuts Wednesday, if not this Friday or Monday 600 target I'm definitely out of the short position for now!! The New Narrative Trend by the way, is Insane how the results have been so far if you want more info content is out right now about it, generational wealth will be made!! And Yes you can still get in!!! Goodluck Traders and I will Follow Up With Spy on Tuesday Spy under falls under 605 602 for sure that's when we should see blood in the streets QQQ forget about it its A short 1st target $528
AMEX:SPYShort
by JoeWtrades
13