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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 25, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🛍️ Amazon Spring Sale Impact 🛍️: Amazon’s Big Spring Sale is underway, and increased consumer activity could lift retail sector sentiment this week. Watch for broader impacts on e-commerce competitors and discretionary stocks. 🇬🇧📉 UK Growth Outlook Cut 📉: Ahead of the UK's Spring Statement, the Office for Budget Responsibility is expected to revise growth forecasts downward. While not U.S.-centric, weaker UK economic momentum may influence broader global risk sentiment. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Tuesday, March 25: 🏠 S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET): Forecast: +4.4% YoY Previous: +4.5% YoY A gauge of housing market strength based on home price changes in 20 U.S. metro areas. 🛒 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 95.0 Previous: 98.3 Measures consumers’ outlook on business and labor conditions. A key sentiment driver. 🏘️ New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 679K annualized Previous: 657K Tracks the number of newly constructed homes sold. Sensitive to rates and affordability. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 28, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📊 Core PCE Inflation Data Release: The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February is set to be released. Economists anticipate a 0.3% month-over-month increase and a 2.5% year-over-year growth, aligning with previous figures. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, this data could influence monetary policy decisions.​ 🇺🇸🛍️ Consumer Spending and Income Reports: February's personal income and spending reports are due, with forecasts indicating a 0.4% rise in personal income and a 0.5% increase in personal spending. These figures will provide insights into consumer behavior and economic momentum.​ 🇺🇸🏠 Pending Home Sales Data: The Pending Home Sales Index for February is scheduled for release, with expectations of a 2.0% increase, following a 1.0% rise in January. This index offers a forward-looking perspective on housing market activity.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, March 28: 💵 Personal Income (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.4%​ Previous: +0.9% Measures the change in income received from all sources by consumers.​ 🛍️ Personal Spending (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.5%​ Previous: -0.2%​ Tracks the change in the value of spending by consumers.​ 📈 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year​ Previous: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year​ Reflects changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.​ 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: +2.0%​ Previous: +1.0%​ Indicates the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
* SPY Update 3/25 *Hello again peoples, As we witnessed today, price did not do what I was looking for yesterday. Instead, we went through some range bound price movement, tested yesterday's high and bounced back strong towards today's high but not break out happened yet. That is just a perfect scenario to raise my blood pressure, but here is what I will be looking for tomorrow. - Today's consolidation could be a bear trap for those that realized the early signs of trend weakness. As you know, our target for W3 to be completed is right above this resistance at $577. We were able to consolidate, and possibly accumulate, right below that level while holding $573 support. Bears tried, but even when they aggressively pushed down price, as soon as it hit our support, price stabilized and bulls pushed back up at the end of the day. - If you look at our 30D Volume Profile, you can see 3 levels that I highlighted. The level #1 is the support we held, #2 is here I can see price finding resistance (end of the 70% value area), #3 is where price might go it it breaks #2. - It might be a crazy coincidence of the universe, but our TP for W3 is right in between #2 and #3. - In our 5min chart, we can see how we were able to bounce off the 200 EMA. And if you look at the 1hour chart: - You can see that our 20Ema(orange) is the same as the 200ema in the 5min chart. - A nice buy opportunity for those that missed today will be if price test that $574 support again before starting our last leg up towards $580. Anyway, this is what I have for today. Let me know what you think and how I can make my analysis better!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Caramel0
$SPY - Keep It SimpleAll about trend lines. Since 2020 to today, there have been three major trends. The first was the bull run from covid bottoms to the 2022 highs; a very distinct trend line being drawn. The second was the correct in 2022; another distinct trendline drawn. Recently, we have a break of the uptrend associated with a bear flag continuation pattern. Keeping it simple, we take the pole of the flag and we measure it; 515-520 is a potential target. It lines up with prior lows and also the 0.385 fib level.
AMEX:SPYShort
by KyleHuang5425299008d3470d
SPY is still on thin iceA month back I wouldn't have believed this post though I did expect 10% correction and exited my major position at the top. I post this as pure academic purpose and my own record. I find volume profile the most important tool in technical analysis. Whatever I present here is an educated guess and not pure speculation. Before doing the profile I did a VP study on major stocks, since VP shows more clarity on the stocks Based on Volume profile the sellers will have little resistance breaking through thin ice zone. We could still be looking at 514 easily. Then it starts facing some resistance Market is still breaking through bubble territory. The reason I call bubble territory is because the volume became significantly lower after May 24. Most of the large investors and funds had bought their major holding by then. If fact based on news Warren Buffet and Michael Burry started selling USA market in August and kept selling till end of Dec. WB sold his entire holding of American express, one of his favourite company Berkshire was holding largest cash balance in is history by Dec. Smart guy. So I just followed him. Then I ask If these heavy weights are selling will they back after 10% correction? No way, they would wait for at least 20% or more markdown This give me confidence in my analysis and economic environment supports that too The market will quick fall through low volume region or imbalances. These act like magnets for the price and stop or pause for a breath at High volume nodes and even bounce back to take back some the low volume nodes. These can create a flag structure. This what happened when the market bounced back from 5500 to 5790 and reversed again. I correctly said in a previous post it was a bear flag When the market is euphoric and in FOMO stage it will leave lots of volume gaps which attracts the market back to those levels
AMEX:SPYShort
by krisoz
SPY WILL FALL|SHORT| ✅SPY has hit a key structure level of 577.50$ Which implies a high likelihood of a move down As some market participants will be taking profit from their long positions While others will find this price level to be good for selling So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ProSignalsFx
1
$SPY Marcg 25, 2025AMEX:SPY Marcg 25, 2025 15 Minutes. No trade for me yesterday as gap up and had no chance to enter. For the rise 561.48 to 575.17 i am expecting a retrace to 566-568 levels as too far away from movoing averages. On 60-minute time frame for the fall 597.37 to 549.68 4SPY has retraced between .5 to .618 levels. So, at the moment I expect upside to be capped at 579-580 levels being .618 levels. So, I will short around that levels or buy around 569 levels for the day.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-21-25 : BreakAway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern may show up in the form of an Island Top or break-away to the upside if my analysis is correct. I see the markets stalling over the past few days, potentially setting up a "last breakaway" type of pattern today. I've highlighted how these "last" patterns work where price sets up a peak or trough (in this case a peak) as a last/exhaustion move and how this move can sometimes be very aggressive. I urge traders to stay cautious today as we are moving into a MAJOR REVERSAL weekend. I believe the markets will suddenly change direction next week (early) and will move back into downward trending by March 25-26. Gold and Silver may rally today if the markets move into that Exhaustion Peak pattern. Keep an eye out for Gold/Silver/Bitcoin to potentially rally today and into early next week. Overall, traders should stay very cautious as we move into next week's peak/top/rollover. Don't get too aggressive trying to prepare for the rollover or any potential upside move over the next 3-5+ days. Let the markets show us what and when we need to be aggressive. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-20-25 : Flat-Down PatternToday's SPY Cycle pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will stay somewhat muted in trading range today. I still believe the SPY/QQQ are in a moderate melt-up type of trend - attempting to reach a peak near the end of this week or early next week (see the patterns for March 24, 25, 26). Even though I believe we are struggling to try to move higher, I do believe any failure of the SPY to move above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level would be a technical failure related to the breadth of this pullback. Thus, I believe the markets have at least one more attempt to try to move higher over the next 5+ days before topping and rolling over into a broader downtrend. Gold and Silver moved solidly lower this morning - almost like a Panic type of selling. I believe this is related to the Flat-Down pattern and I believe Gold/Silver will recover fairly quickly. I do believe this is a huge opportunity for Gold/Silver over the next 30+ days. I believe Gold will attempt to move above $3500-3600 before the end of April. BTCUSD rolled higher yesterday by more than $4000 - just like I predicted. Incredible. And, that is another reason why I believe the SPY/QQQ have more room to the upside than we are seeing right now. Remember this is a trader's market. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
$SPY Bullish Next WeekHere we are in a red market, a market correction some might say. We all know AMEX:SPY is about as trendy as it gets, despite all the macroeconomic headwinds that we currently are enduring, I am seeing a green week ahead. Follow that trend line of the past year, in the twos it has retreated, an average of 7.5% increase occurred in the following 15 trading day. It seems that investor confidence has increased this past week especially with the strong push to end the week. Also, volume of this 15 day segment is 24% ahead of the pace of those previous 15 dat segments - Could we see major green next week?
AMEX:SPYLong
by cbgreeeeennmm
9
SPY at Critical Levels! Decision Point for Bulls and BearsHere’s a clear breakdown for SPY based on the 1-hour chart and Options GEX: 📈 Technical Analysis (TA): * SPY recently broke structure bullishly (BOS) at ~$573, confirming bullish momentum. * Immediate Support identified around $570–$573, marking a potential bullish reversal zone (green zone). * Strong bearish reversal zone detected at $550–$560 (red zone), critical if the market pulls back significantly. * MACD and Stoch RSI are indicating potential weakening momentum; watch closely for consolidation or slight retracement. 📊 GEX & Options Insights: * Highest negative NETGEX / PUT support at $560 level. This area is crucial to watch for downside protection. * Immediate strong CALL resistance at the $575–$580 area, acting as a ceiling for bullish momentum. * IV Rank moderate at 23.2%, indicating balanced option premium pricing. * PUT/CALL ratio balanced (PUT$ 50.7%), indicating mixed market sentiment. 💡 Trade Recommendations: * Bullish Scenario: Confirm a hold above the green reversal zone ($573) and target CALL resistance near $580 initially, with a potential extension to $585–$590 if bullish momentum continues. Keep tight stops around $570. * Bearish Scenario: Consider bearish positions if SPY breaks below $570 decisively, targeting the significant bearish reversal zone at $560. * Neutral Strategy: Iron Condors or credit spreads between the $560–$580 range, benefiting from current balanced IV environment. 🛑 Risk Management: Given current volatility at critical decision points, manage your risks carefully, and consider tighter stops and smaller position sizing. Trade smart and safe! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 20 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if yall havent Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 20 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91