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SPY to $650 in January?SPY recently retraced to the bottom of our Magic Linear Regression Channel with a large 3%+ move. Today, there was a nice bounce bounce from the channel bottom, back up to yesterday's open. So, what's next for SPY. The Magic Linear Regression Channel shows upside potential to it's baseline back at its recent all-time highs, and the potential for a higher move to the $630-$650 range. However, there is also the potential for it to fall back through the channel. Since we've been in a bull market for awhile now, that channel break would have to happen more definitively in order for that to be a likely scenario. We've recently introduced the Magic Candles PRO indicator, which shows high volume candles that have very little price movement. When paired with the Magic Linear Regression Channel on a 1 day chart, it tends to show reversals at key levels on the Magic Linear Regression Channel. However, because we had a large move down on Weds, Dec. 17th 2024, and a large move up on Friday, Dec. 20th 2024 and ended up at the open of Thurs., Dec. 18th 2024, we get a doji on the 2 day chart that shows a massive "volume hammer" signal not seen since 2019, 5 years ago. This signals that we are on the verge of a large sustained move. Again, because we've been in a bull market, and there aren't any very strong signs that it is over, we suspect that the large sustained move will be to the upside, because of the signal. If the price breaks down out of the channel, then we'll be in for a nice downward ride. Until that happens, though, we're bullish as we approach the all-time high again, and all the way to the $630-$650 range.
AMEX:SPYLong
by mwrightinc
3
S&P 500 (SPY) - Buy Alert; Buy in the Green Box💡 Setup Overview: We're eyeing a bullish opportunity for SPY. The suggested buy zone lies within the green box area on the chart. This aligns with the 1.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, providing a strong probability for price action reversal. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Entry Zone: $563 - $573 Stop-Loss: $556.50 Targets: First Target: $602.30 Second Target: $624.29 📊 Strategy: The plan focuses on buying dips, with no intention to short the S&P 500. This setup leverages Elliott Wave analysis and Fibonacci extensions for precision trading. Keep an eye out for validation at the support zone before entry. 🕒 Expected Timeline: Medium-term hold.
AMEX:SPYLong
by MrStockWhale
SPY Technical Analysis for Jan. 2, 20251-Hour Chart Trading Analysis: Current Observations: * Trend: SPY is trading within a descending wedge pattern, suggesting a potential breakout soon. * Volume: Slight increase on the recent candles, indicating growing interest. * Indicators: * MACD: Starting to show signs of bullish divergence, with the histogram nearing the zero line. * Stochastic RSI: Moving upward from oversold territory, which is a positive signal for potential buying. Trading Strategy: * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Wait for a breakout above $588.60 with strong bullish momentum and increased volume. * Stop Loss: Set below $577.24, the recent swing low. * Target: First target at $595, with an extended target of $600. * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: If the price breaks below $577 with strong volume, enter a short position. * Stop Loss: Place above $588. * Target: First target at $570, with an extended target of $560. Daily Chart GEX Analysis: Key Levels from GEX: * HVL: $584.41 acts as a strong Gamma Wall, suggesting a potential reversal area. * Call Resistance: Significant resistance at $595 and $600 levels. * Put Support: Strong support at $577 and $560. Options Strategy: * Bullish Play: * Call Option: Buy calls with a strike at $590, expiring in 2 weeks, targeting $600. * Suggested Position Size: Moderate, as IV is relatively low. * Bearish Play: * Put Option: Buy puts with a strike at $575, targeting $565. * Suggested Position Size: Moderate, as IV is stable. Summary and Recommendations: * Trading: Monitor for a breakout above or below the wedge. Ensure confirmation via volume and indicators. * Options: Align with the trading direction, and choose strikes close to GEX levels for maximum leverage. * Caution: The GEX data suggests strong resistance at $595-$600 and solid support at $577-$560, making those levels critical decision points. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk effectively before making any trades.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
4
S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY): Correction will occur in 2025📊 Chart Overview: This analysis highlights the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) from an Elliott Wave perspective. It identifies key trends, corrective patterns, and long-term opportunities for investors. The broader market remains structurally bullish, with corrective dips likely providing accumulation opportunities. Elliott Wave Breakdown Wave Count: - The SPY is in a long-term bullish sequence, completing Wave (I) around $610.85. - The recent structure shows signs of a developing Wave II correction before the next impulsive move higher. Wave II Correction: - Wave II is expected to form an ABC corrective pattern, targeting deeper retracements within 2025. - Wave A is projected to pull back into the $520–$540 range. - Wave C could test lower supports near $480–$500, completing the corrective phase. Invalidation Level: - The invalidation level for the bullish count is $347.26. Any movement below this level negates the current wave structure. Market Outlook Macro Environment: - Economic conditions, including interest rates and inflation trends, will heavily influence SPY's price action. - Anticipate increased market volatility during Wave II but retain a bullish outlook for the long term. Sector Implications: - SPY's diversified exposure suggests broad market recovery after corrective dips, particularly in tech and industrials. Key Takeaways - SPY remains in a right-side bullish structure, with short-term corrections likely providing excellent entry points. - Long-term investors should focus on accumulating positions during corrective phases, while swing traders can capitalize on price volatility. 💡 Reminder: Corrections are natural and necessary for healthy market growth. Stick to your plan and "buy the dips." 🚀
AMEX:SPYLong
by MrStockWhale
Higher For Longer "The Trump Trade" This TradingView chart illustrates a bullish long-term projection for SPY, forecasting a sustained rally over the next four years driven by market optimism surrounding Donald Trump’s economic policies. Key technical indicators signal a robust uptrend, with historical parallels drawn from previous pro-business administrations. The chart highlights critical support zones and breakout levels, suggesting minimal downside risk as institutional buying accelerates. Macro factors such as tax cuts, deregulation, and infrastructure spending are projected to fuel corporate earnings, pushing SPY to new all-time highs. The chart outlines a trajectory that aligns with cyclical bull market phases, emphasizing "higher for longer" price action as volatility stabilizes.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hoodchef
Spy Technical Analysis for today December 31Technical Analysis for SPY SPY has been trading in a consolidating downtrend, with potential support at $577 and resistance near $600. Current price action suggests a possible attempt to retest resistance or break below key support levels. Indicators: MACD shows signs of a slight bullish reversal, but momentum remains cautious. The 9 EMA is attempting to cross above the 21 EMA, indicating early bullish momentum. Key Levels to Watch Support: $580 (critical pivot), $577 (strong floor). Resistance: $590 (near-term), $600 (psychological and gamma resistance level). GEX Analysis for Options Gamma Levels: Call Wall: $600 acts as a major resistance, with significant positive gamma exposure (48.19%). Put Wall: $580 shows strong negative gamma pressure, indicating key support. Options Oscillator Insights: IVR: 16.7, reflecting moderate volatility. Put/Call Ratio: Slight bearish tilt, with 55.8% Puts. GEX: -57.75% at $588, highlighting increased downside pressure near this level. Trading Scenarios Bullish Scenario Entry: Above $591. Target 1: $600, Target 2: $607. Stop-Loss: Below $588. Bearish Scenario Entry: Below $580. Target 1: $577, Target 2: $572. Stop-Loss: Above $585. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and manage risks before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-31: Top PatternHappy New Year Everyone, Today's pattern is a TOP pattern. This suggests the SPY/QQQ will rally in early trading, attempting to identify a resistance level and then rolling into a TOP type of pattern. I don't expect the markets to fall much after reaching the top/resistance level. I expect it to be more of a stalling type of price action after reaching resistance. Gold and Silver will likely attempt to confirm a base/bottom near recent lows. I don't expect too much movement in metals today. Bitcoin moved below recent support, then rejected back to the upside. If this support fails, Bitcoin will move strongly to the downside over the next few days. As we move into 2025, capital will start to rush back into the markets in early January. This low-liquidity phase will end near Jan 5 through Jan 8. Be prepared for price to attempt to revert back into normal 0.5 to 1.25% price ranges - consolidating as liquidity increases in the markets over time. Remember, the first half of 2025 will be very volatile - so buckle up and get ready for some big price rotation in early 2025. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Bull & Bear New Year SPY OptionsAMEX:SPY We see the indices having a tough January. Long-term trend is still intact. The 10-year yield is a benchmark for bulls/bears. It needs to be down to 4% (currently 4.5%). If it hits 5%, the pullback will intensify. There is a high floor of support on pullbacks, notably the 50SMA ($580) and 200SMA ($550). We are not thinking bear market. We are overextended. $595 CALL 1/13 Entry: Breakdown under white trendline Targets 🎯: $595, $598.67 $585 PUT 1/13 Entry: Breakdown under white trendline Targets 🎯: $585, $583.56, $580 Best of luck to you all and a happy new year from all of us at Pennybois! 🥂🎆🥳
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Daily Price Consolidation - End of 2024SPY (S&P500 ETF) is currently in a short-term consolidation price pattern (end of December 2024). SPY price needs to hold and rally above $583 to avoid a daily bearish head-and-shoulders resistance price pattern. Support Prices to the downside are: $583, $577, $569, $555, $532. Resistance Prices to the upside are: $592, $600, $604, $613, $626. Several Key Events will be occurring in the USA, January 2025: -CES 2025 Conference (week 2) -Inflation Data (week 2) -Stock Market Earnings Season begins (week 2 to 4) -New President taking office, potential law changes (week 3 to 4) -FOMC Press Conference (week 4) Note: Any of the above events can cause stock market volatility and override technical charts. Date: 12/30/2024 pm
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
SPY is going up and into the New YearThe SPY will start going up and continue into the New Year for about 14 days which has been the average upward movement in the past few months. I typically use Heikin Ashi Candlesticks as they show more of a directional move as opposed to regular candles. However, since I have used regular candles in the past, I tend to switch back and forth until I get more comfortable with the Heinkin Ashi Candlesticks. You can see my past posts on why I favour the Heinkin Ashi Candlesticks. Typically, you are only supposed to enter after you see 2 green candlesticks of the Heikin Ashi Candlesticks. In the past, there has been an average move of 34 points on the SPY which would make the target point of 614. (There has been an extreme move of 53 points, but I think that is unlikely. That would make the target equal to 633. But that is an extreme point not a likely point.) The Fibonacci number of 1.618 is 624. This is a good second target point. My time target is about a 12 to 14 day move. This would make Jan 9th the time target. If the SPY hits any one of those targets I am out of my trade. Happy Trading!! In the last few days of the month of January or beginning of February, I suspect the market will start to head lower for that one month. But I will address that in my next chart. The market can always change between now and then. Summary: 34 point move= 614 1.618 fib move=624 12 day move = Jan 9th **can be an extreme move of 53 points, but unlikely= 633 There is an online trading conference/summit I try to attend every 3 to 4 months where I have gotten some of my ideas from. The next one is from Jan 13th - 18th called Wealth365 You can register for the event at www.wealth365.com
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12/30 : GAP ReversalThis week should resolve as a Momentum Rally in the SPY/QQQ. Yet, I believe price action will be very volatile as we are still transitioning through the holidays. Overall, I expect the SPY/QQQ to attempt to mount a fairly solid rally this week - possibly attempting to reach new All-Time highs again. Then, I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into an extended topping pattern over the next 2+ weeks - resulting in a breakdown trend after the Inauguration. Gold and Silver appear to be trying to base/bottom and we may see a decent rally in metals this week. I hope so because I don't believe Metals should be this low compared to the risk factors throughout the global markets. Bitcoin is transitioning through an EPP pattern Flag breakdown event. If this continues, I suspect we'll see a downward price move targeting $74k before the end of January 2025. Remember, my Daily/Weekly Cycle Patterns are designed to help us plan and prepare for market opportunities. No, they are not 100% perfect all the time. But I don't know of anything else that can attempt to accurately identify price trends, setups, events weeks and months into the future. 2025 is going to be a great year for traders. Remember, it is all about what you can do with the information I share to profit from these moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY in a Crucial Zone! Scalping, Swing, and Options StrategiesScalping Analysis for SPY: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: * Immediate support at $594 (key gamma wall and major put support). * Resistance near $599-$602 (gamma resistance and call wall). 2. Key Indicators: * 9 EMA & 21 EMA: Price is below both EMAs on the hourly timeframe, suggesting bearish short-term momentum. * MACD: Early signs of a bullish crossover, indicating potential reversal. 3. Scalping Plan: * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: On rejection near $599-$600. * Target: $594, $591. * Stop Loss: Above $602. * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Breakout above $599 with strong volume. * Target: $602, $605. * Stop Loss: Below $596. Swing/Day Trading Analysis for SPY: 1. Trendlines: * SPY is retesting its recent consolidation zone between $594-$599. A decisive breakout or breakdown will define the next trend. 2. GEX Analysis: * Call resistance at $602-$605 indicates difficulty for bulls in breaching higher levels. * Strong put support at $594 and $591 highlights a potential floor for the downside. 3. Trade Scenarios: * Bullish Swing: * Entry: Above $599 with confirmation or bounce from $594 with support validation. * Target: $605, $610. * Stop Loss: Below $592. * Bearish Swing: * Entry: Below $594 with retest confirmation. * Target: $591, $587. * Stop Loss: Above $596. Options Play with GEX Insights: 1. High GEX Areas: * Call Wall: $602, $605. * Put Wall: $594, $591. 2. Suggested Options Strategy: * Bullish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $600 Call if SPY breaks and sustains above $599 with volume. * Target: Move toward $602-$605. * Risk: Below $596. * Bearish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $590 Put if SPY breaks below $594. * Target: $591-$587. * Risk: Above $596. 3. Options Oscillator Metrics: * IVR (17.2%) suggests reasonable premiums for options strategies. * Puts skew (65.3%) indicates stronger bearish sentiment near current levels. Insights: * SPY is trading at a key pivot level, with strong gamma resistance at $599-$602 and put support at $594. The breakout or breakdown from this zone will likely drive the next significant move. * Volume Focus: Look for volume confirmation around $594 or $599 to validate the directional move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights