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Plan Your Trade : Behind The Scenes - Learning PerspectiveI created this video to help answer a question from a follower. One of the biggest concerns for traders is how to use my research/info in a way that benefits them. My Plan Your Trade videos are based on Daily & Weekly price patterns/cycles. I won't delve into the Intraday research much because it is almost impossible to predict 2 to 10-minute price bars/action throughout the day when new hits and external price data may dramatically change how price moves throughout the day. I would have to continue making videos every 30 to 45 minutes to help you understand the dynamics of intraday price action. Either way, watch this video to learn a bit more about my research and why I'm trying to help traders learn to make better decisions. I'm really not here to tell you what to trade - or when to trade. I'm here to help you learn to make better trading decisions ON YOUR OWN. I try to help you learn to become a more knowledgeable and skilled trader by sharing some of my advanced research and demonstrating patterns, setups, price levels, and Cycle Patterns. The only thing I can do to help you become a better trader is to help you learn better skills and techniques. If you treat trading like gambling, you'll go broke (often). If you understand trading as a process of grabbing profits when efficient and limiting risks, you'll survive and grow your account over time. It's really that simple. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
8
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Jan 31 : GAP PotentialAs we move into the end of January 2025, I'm still watching for technical failure near these higher levels. On Monday, we saw a huge breakdown in the markets just days after my Jan 21-23 Top prediction. Now, as we are moving into the Feb 9-11 DeepV base/bottom pattern - I've been expecting the markets to move into a downward trending phase - which has not happened yet. The way I see the markets right now and how I would offer a general interpretation of the trend is "struggling to find/set a new trend". In other words, the markets are really congested in a wide range. I believe the markets will attempt to move downward after today's opening GAP higher. I believe the markets are going to continue to struggle to find support and trade in a downward-sloping consolidated price range until Q3/Q4:2025. I believe the markets are reacting to earnings and continued support right now, but that will ultimately resolve as a breakdown phase over the next 60+ days - leading to the multiple BASE/BOTTOM patterns my cycle research suggests will happen. So, I continue to explain what I see in the context of the broader cycle phases. Gold and Silver may rally a bit today - but we have a CRUSH pattern on Monday - so try not to carry any positions over the weekend. BTCUSD is struggling to move away from very strong consolidation. It is also setting up multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns. I believe we need to be patient as BTCUSD struggles to find a new trend. Right now, I see more downside potential than upside potential. I would offer one warning about today. Today's opening GAP will likely prompt a breakdown in price (moving downward) as we head into next week. I believe next week will be very volatile. Buckle up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
SPY 30m Analysis – Breakout or Fakeout?Key Observations: Breakout Attempt – Price has pushed above previous consolidation, testing a critical resistance level. Declining Volume Trend – Despite the breakout, overall volume has been decreasing, which could signal weakness. However, there was a slight volume spike during the breakout. Trendline Holding – The upward-sloping trendline suggests bullish structure remains intact. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Case: If buyers step in with strong volume, we could see a continuation move toward new highs. Watch for a solid close above resistance with increasing volume. Bearish Case: If this breakout lacks follow-through and volume dries up, we could see a rejection and potential retracement back into the previous range. Trading Plan: Watch price action around the resistance zone for confirmation. A strong close above resistance with high volume = bullish confirmation. A rejection with weak volume = potential fakeout and reversal. What’s your take? Is this the start of a bigger move, or is SPY about to roll over? Drop your thoughts below! #SPY #StockMarket #Trading #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis
AMEX:SPY
by scottzilla
Spy will clear 615Looking at SPY over the past few weeks on the daily chart. We will see several time spy has tried to come down. This noticeable in chart gaps on the daily. Each time the gaps filled back in going up. Quote unquote news that may not have been favorable to the US has tested the market and it did not break. I believe that overall buyer sentiment is good and health. At this point the only thing to shake the market to its knees would be globe conflict. With Trump in office. There is overall confidence in the market and at this time rumbling in the news will not shake it. The bulls are getting ready to have a field day.
AMEX:SPYLong
by phat86thony
Whale Accumulation Post-Selloff: SPY Range and Resistance LevelsAt the moment, we're seeing accumulation by the whales following a recent sell-off, which also filled the gap from 2/10/2025. It's important to note that this was a sell-off with no significant downward momentum. For a clearer picture of the accumulation, check the lower timeframes (1-5 minutes). The price remains within the current SPY range. On these shorter timeframes, we could see a push towards the resistance level at 599.40, followed by a move to 600.57.
AMEX:SPY
by scottzilla
$SPY: Three timeframe analysis, One Chart Pattern, Sentiment📢!Hey there! #Tariffs negative news drives bearish sentiment. Is it just mass media noise? And Mr. Market will continue up? WHY? Let's have a look at the charts: 1. 📈We are in a bullish trend on a weekly and monthly basis, meaning long-term and mid-term, yet in a bearish on a daily one, a ka short-term 2. 🤓The bullish Flag pattern has formed. Yeah, I know; how do you qualify it? For this theoretical exercise only visually, but for anything more serious, Bukowski starts, or you may want to run your own tests. 3. 🍒And the cherry on top: Bearish sentiment is significantly higher than the historical average, standing at 42.9% (2/5/2025) compared to 31.0%. On my side, it means that we might be in for a heavy short squeeze for a couple of days.👋Just observations, not advice For now, enjoy Super Bowl Sunday! 🏈 S ource of the screenshot: AAII Investor Sentiment Survey, www.aaii.com
AMEX:SPYLong
by ChartsPlusFun
SPY GEX Analysis and Option Trading SuggestionsKey Observations from GEX Chart 1. Call Resistance: * $610 is the key resistance level, marked by the highest positive gamma exposure, likely acting as a ceiling for SPY. * Additional resistance is present at $603. 2. Put Support: * $595 serves as critical support, aligning with the highest negative gamma exposure. * Below this, $580 is the next major support zone, with high put concentration. 3. Gamma Pivot Zone: * $600 is the gamma pivot point. Holding above this level signals bullish momentum, while a rejection could push SPY lower. 4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): * IVR at 24.6, indicating moderate implied volatility, making options relatively affordable for trading. 5. Implied Volatility (IVx): * IVx at 19.2, reflecting a slight uptick in implied volatility (+1.47%). Option Trading Suggestions 1. Bullish Scenario: * If SPY sustains above $603: * Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $605 (Buy Call) * Strike 2: $610 (Sell Call) * Expiry: 2 weeks out. * Reasoning: Capitalizes on potential movement towards the key resistance at $610. 2. Bearish Scenario: * If SPY breaks below $595: * Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread. * Strike 1: $595 (Buy Put) * Strike 2: $580 (Sell Put) * Expiry: 2-3 weeks out. * Reasoning: Targets downside momentum towards the $580 support zone. 3. Neutral Strategy: * For consolidation between $595 and $610: * Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor. * Sell Put: $595 * Buy Put: $580 * Sell Call: $610 * Buy Call: $620 * Reasoning: Profits from time decay within the identified range with limited risk. Thoughts and Insights * Critical Levels: * Support: $595, $580 * Resistance: $603, $610 * Momentum Analysis: Holding above $600 with increasing volume confirms bullish sentiment, while breaking below $595 signals bearish pressure. * Volatility Context: Low IVR suggests initiating directional trades or neutral strategies with moderate premium costs. Reminder: GEX data updates every 15 minutes. Always refer to real-time data to adjust trading strategies accordingly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk effectively when trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Bearish Sentiment Prevails: Consider Shorting SPY Next Week - Key Insights: The current bearish trend in SPY suggests a cautious approach for traders. With the SPY closing below critical support levels and exhibiting patterns of weakness, market participants may want to consider short positions, particularly if SPY continues to struggle at resistance levels. Close monitoring of the support zones will be vital in assessing subsequent moves. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1: 594 T2: 590 - Stop levels: S1: 598 S2: 601 - Recent Performance: SPY has shown a significant decline, recently closing at 601.82 after a notable drop. This continued downward movement signifies a lack of buyer interest as bearish patterns persist. Market volatility has spooked investors as SPY faced increased selling pressure, resulting in lower closes both daily and weekly. - Expert Analysis: Market sentiment is predominantly cautious due to the prevailing bearish patterns. While some positive technical indicators have emerged, expert opinions converge on the view that unless SPY can reclaim vital price points above 603, further declines seem likely. Analysts advise maintaining a disciplined approach to trading given the current landscape of uncertainty. - News Impact: Recent unscheduled news from China has exacerbated market volatility, prompting considerable sell-offs in major indices including SPY. Rising bond yields further complicate the situation as they add to market pressures. Earnings reports from major companies such as Apple will be closely watched as they could significantly influence SPY's direction in the upcoming sessions.
AMEX:SPYShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
2/03/2025 Weekly Analysis + WatchlistSPY - Failed 2U week after going outside month the week before. Not super shocking, but now we sit in an interesting spot. The new month will open inside bar and has to either take out previous month highs (Which is ATH) or Jan Lows. Seeing that the range is pretty wide for downside, It will take less effort to make new ATH. Not that it means a whole lot, but that is something to note. Next, we see the week closed failed 2D, but is pretty much slapped right in the middle of last weeks range, so it will take an equal amount of effort to make a HH or LL. Finally, from a daily perspective we have a large failed 2U with slight PMG to the downside. We are definitely primed for a sharp corrective move Monday, but of course anything can happen, we are just much closer to seeing the bear scenario than bull. In my mind, the ideal weekly scenario is this: Monday sees sharp corrective move, taking out the PMG guys, then the rest of the week climbs, triggering the weekly 2-2 Rev, which then ideally sends us into ATH once more before seeing either BF expansion on the Month (since we would go 3-2U.), or seeing us start to come back through last months range for a larger corrective move. In the pure bear scenario, we trigger the daily reversal, head down to weekly 2-2 cont. trigger, then see if we can make progress down back through a few daily gaps, ultimately targeting prev month low for the 3-2D M. Given that we are going into a new monthly open after going 3, we could very easily just chop and go nowhere for the week seeing as we may just remain inside week with the month being inside to start out before possibly seeing control more clearly dictated in the 2nd/3rd week of Feb. Main advice regardless is to trade things that are moving early on like gappers, and anything where the month goes 2U or 2D in the first week. Avoid inside bars if possible and trade light! Main setups for the week: Bull: GE - Inside D and W ORCL - Hammer W to head back through D gap. Cautious with this one MRVL - Weekly 2-2U. Daily gap fill to the upside after giant gap down to exhaustion risk Bear: BA - Shooter 3-2D weekly. Bear Revstrat daily. Daily BF looks solid. MSFT - MoMo Shooter M, 3-2D W, Daily 2-1-2D. Check daily BF. Still has magnitude after massive ER drop VZ - Weekly 2-2D, Daily shooter 2-1-2D, FTFC Red. Check daily BF Neutral: RKLB - Inside week. Nuclear Green FTFC and super crazy ATR lately
AMEX:SPY
by Alanger17
SPY Technical Analysis: for Jan. 31Market Structure Analysis: SPY is trading within a symmetrical wedge, suggesting consolidation with a potential breakout approaching. Recent price action indicates higher lows, creating an upward bias, but resistance around $610 needs to be cleared for confirmation of further upside. Support and Resistance Levels: * Immediate Support: $600 * Key Support: $590 (aligned with the PUT Support Zone) * Immediate Resistance: $610 * Major Resistance: $620 (Gamma Wall with strong Call resistance) Indicators Analysis: * MACD: Momentum is slightly bullish but flattening, signaling caution for overextension. * Stochastic RSI: Currently overbought, which could lead to a short-term pullback or pause in the rally. Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Options Insights: * Positive Gamma is dominant, with the highest Call Resistance at $620. * Put support is strong around $590, creating a likely floor unless broader market sentiment shifts. Trade Setup Suggestions: 1. Bullish Breakout: * Entry: Above $610 * Target: $620 * Stop Loss: Below $600 2. Bearish Rejection: * Entry: Below $600 * Target: $590 * Stop Loss: Above $610 Outlook: Today, SPY is likely to test the upper boundary of the wedge. A breakout above $610 could lead to strong bullish momentum targeting $620. However, if rejected, SPY may retrace towards $600 or even $590, especially if market sentiment weakens. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 1-30 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the markets will attempt a minor rally in early trading, possibly targeting the 605 resistance level, then shift/rollover into a downward price trend (the TOP pattern) and being to move downward into the pre-DeepV low levels I've suggests (possibly near 585-588). At that point, I suspect we'll get a few days of consolidation before we see the DeepV breakdown take place near Feb 11-13 (which may actually start on Friday the previous week). Overall, I'm expecting the markets to roll into downward trending over the next 7 to 10+ days. Gold and Silver are moving higher - which is great to see (finally). Maybe all Gold needed was to roll to the newer contract to finally break above the $2820 level. lol Who knows. This is the start of the BIG RALLY (Expansion Phase) in metals that should last almost all year. If my research is correct, Gold and Silver will reach a peak level near July-October 2025. Bitcoin has moved into an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern that may prompt a rally up to resistance near $108,450. At this point, the inverted EPP pattern is in the consolidation phase and I'm watching for it to break above $105,500 (moving to the ultimate high), or below $100,270 (as an invalidation breakdown move). The next 5+ trading days should be very interesting for everyone. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day TradersAll right today is the day after FOMC and some big earnings and because we had big earnings yesterday we have a pretty wide trading range today so just because we are options are we could have a more volatile day The expected move on today’s contract is between 596 and 608. We did close underneath 35EMA and we have a red signal line. If we get about the 35 EMA today which future so far are taking us above, we do have a down gap from yesterday and then a down gap from Monday that we haven’t completely filled yet. We also have an up gap from last Wednesday and they do overlap. It’s a little bit hard to see but right around 603 is the overlap . To the downside, we have the 50 day moving average so far that has been our support this week. You could see on Monday. We did see that balance and underneath that the 30 minute two and removing average and the one hour 200 moving average those levels have been supporting us With some nice technical bounces
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2