Get started
SPDR S&P500 US$SPDR S&P500 US$SPDR S&P500 US$

SPDR S&P500 US$

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview Analysis Holdings News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals

S27 trade ideas

Warren Buffett's Approach to Long-Term Wealth BuildingUnderstanding Value Investing: Warren Buffett's Educational Approach to Long-Term Wealth Building Learn the educational principles behind value investing and dollar-cost averaging strategies, based on historical market data and Warren Buffett's documented investment philosophy. --- Introduction: The Million-Dollar Question Every Investor Asks Warren Buffett—the Oracle of Omaha—has consistently advocated that index fund investing provides a simple, educational approach to long-term wealth building for most investors. His famous 2007 bet against hedge funds proved this principle in dramatic fashion: Buffett wagered $1 million that a basic S&P 500 index fund would outperform a collection of hedge funds over 10 years. He crushed them. The S&P 500 returned 7.1% annually while the hedge funds averaged just 2.2%. Today, we'll explore the educational principles behind this approach—examining historical data, mathematical concepts, and implementation strategies for learning purposes. --- Part 1: Understanding Value Investing for Modern Markets Value investing isn't about finding the next GameStop or Tesla. It's about buying quality assets at attractive prices and holding them for compound growth . For beginners, this translates to: Broad Market Exposure: Own a cross-section of businesses through low-cost index funds Long-term Perspective: Think decades, not months Disciplined Approach: Systematic investing regardless of market noise "Time is the friend of the wonderful business, the enemy of the mediocre." - Warren Buffett Real-World Application: Instead of trying to pick between NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , or NASDAQ:GOOGL , you simply buy AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) and own pieces of all 500 companies automatically. --- Part 2: Dollar-Cost Averaging - Your Secret Weapon Against Market Timing The Problem: Everyone tries to time the market. Studies show that even professional investors get this wrong 70% of the time. The Solution: Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) eliminates timing risk entirely. How DCA Works: Decide on your total investment amount (e.g., $24,000) Split it into equal parts (e.g., 12 months = $2,000/month) Invest the same amount on the same day each month Ignore market fluctuations completely DCA in Action - Real Example: Let's say you started DCA into AMEX:SPY in January 2022 (right before the bear market): January 2022: AMEX:SPY at $450 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.22 shares) June 2022: AMEX:SPY at $380 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.63 shares) December 2022: AMEX:SPY at $385 → You buy $1,000 worth (2.60 shares) Result: Your average cost per share was $405, significantly better than the $450 you would have paid with a lump sum in January. --- Part 3: The Mathematics of Wealth Creation Here's where value investing gets exciting. Let's run the actual numbers using historical S&P 500 returns: Historical Performance: - Average Annual Return: 10.3% (1957-2023) - Inflation-Adjusted: ~6-7% real returns - Conservative Estimate: 8% for planning purposes Scenario 1: The $24K Start Initial Investment: $24,000 | Annual Addition: $2,400 | Return: 8% Calculation Summary: - Initial Investment: $24,000 - Annual Contribution: $2,400 ($200/month) - Expected Return: 8% - Time Period: 20 years Results: - Year 10 Balance: $86,581 - Year 20 Balance: $221,692 - Total Contributed: $72,000 - Investment Gains: $149,692 Scenario 2: The Aggressive Investor Initial Investment: $60,000 | Annual Addition: $6,000 | Return: 10% Historical example after 20 years: $747,300 - Total Contributed: $180,000 - Calculated Investment Gains: $567,300 Educational Insight on Compound Returns: This historical example illustrates how 2% higher returns (10% vs 8%) could dramatically impact long-term outcomes. This is why even small differences in return rates can create life-changing wealth over decades. The mathematics of compound growth are both simple and incredibly powerful. --- Part 4: Investing vs. Savings - The Shocking Truth Let's compare the same contributions invested in stocks vs. a high-yield savings account: 20-Year Comparison: - Stock Investment (8% return): $221,692 - High-Yield Savings (5% return): $143,037 - Difference: $78,655 (55% more wealth!) "Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it... he who doesn't, pays it." - Often attributed to Einstein Key Insight: That extra 3% annual return created an additional $78,655 over 20 years. Over 30-40 years, this difference becomes truly life-changing. 📍 Global Savings Reality - The Investment Advantage Worldwide: The power of index fund investing becomes even more dramatic when we examine savings rates around the world. Here's how the same $24K initial + $2,400 annual investment compares globally: 🇯🇵 Japan (0.5% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $76,868 - Advantage: $144,824 (188% more wealth) 🇪🇺 Western Europe Average (3% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $107,834 - Advantage: $113,858 (106% more wealth) 🇬🇷 Greece/Southern Europe (2% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $93,975 - Advantage: $127,717 (136% more wealth) 🇰🇷 South Korea (2.5% savings): - Stock Investment: $221,692 - Savings Account: $100,634 - Advantage: $121,058 (120% more wealth) 💡 The Global Lesson: The lower your country's savings rates, the MORE dramatic the advantage of global index fund investing becomes. For investors in countries with minimal savings returns, staying in cash is essentially guaranteed wealth destruction when compared to broad market investing. This is exactly why Warren Buffett's advice transcends borders - mathematical principles of compound growth work the same whether you're in New York, London, or Athens. Note: Savings rates shown are approximate regional averages and may vary by institution and current market conditions. Always check current rates in your specific market for precise calculations. --- Part 5: Building Your Value Investing Portfolio Core Holdings (80% of portfolio): AMEX:SPY - S&P 500 ETF (Large-cap US stocks) AMEX:VTI - Total Stock Market ETF (Broader US exposure) LSE:VUAA - S&P 500 UCITS Accumulating (Tax-efficient for international investors) Satellite Holdings (20% of portfolio): NASDAQ:QQQ - Technology-focused (Higher growth potential) AMEX:VYM - Dividend-focused (Income generation) NYSE:BRK.B - Berkshire Hathaway (Value investing & diversification) --- Part 6: Implementation Strategy - Your Action Plan Month 1: Foundation Open a brokerage account (research low-cost brokers available in your region) Set up automatic transfers from your bank Buy your first AMEX:SPY shares 💡 Broker Selection Considerations: Traditional Brokers: Interactive Brokers, Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab Digital Platforms: Revolut, Trading 212, eToro (check availability in your country) Key Factors: Low fees, ETF access, automatic investing features, regulatory protection Research: Compare costs and features for your specific location/needs Month 2-12: Execution Invest the same amount on the same day each month Ignore market news and volatility Track your progress in a simple spreadsheet Year 2+: Optimization Increase contributions with salary increases Consider additional core holdings like LSE:VUAA for tax efficiency Consider tax-loss harvesting opportunities Visualizing Your DCA Strategy Understanding DCA concepts is easier when you can visualize the results. TradingView offers various tools to help you understand investment strategies, including DCA tracking indicators like the DCA Investment Tracker Pro which help visualize long-term investment concepts. 🎯 Key Visualization Features: These types of tools typically help visualize: Historical Analysis: How your strategy would have performed using real market data Growth Projections: Educational scenarios showing potential long-term outcomes Performance Comparison: Comparing actual vs theoretical DCA performance Volatility Understanding: How different stocks behave with DCA over time 📊 Real-World Examples from Live Users: Stable Index Investing Success: AMEX:SPY (S&P 500) Example: $60K initial + $500/month starting 2020. The indicator shows SPY's historical 10%+ returns, demonstrating how consistent broad market investing builds wealth over time. Notice the smooth theoretical growth line vs actual performance tracking. Value Investing Approach: NYSE:BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway): Warren Buffett's legendary performance through DCA lens. The indicator demonstrates how quality value companies compound wealth over decades. Lower volatility = standard CAGR calculations used. High-Volatility Stock Management: NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Shows smart volatility detection in action. NVIDIA's explosive AI boom creates extreme years that trigger automatic switch to "Median (High Vol): 50%" calculations for conservative projections, protecting against unrealistic future estimates. Tech Stock Long-Term Analysis: NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms): Despite being a tech stock and experiencing the 2022 crash, META's 10-year history shows consistent enough performance (23.98% CAGR) that volatility detection doesn't trigger. Standard CAGR calculations demonstrate stable long-term growth. ⚡ Educational Application: When using visualization tools on TradingView: Select Your Asset: Choose the stock/ETF you want to analyze (like AMEX:SPY ) Input Parameters: Enter your investment amounts and time periods Study Historical Data: See how your strategy would have performed in real markets Understand Projections: Learn from educational growth scenarios 🎓 Educational Benefits: This tool helps you understand: - How compound growth actually works in real markets - The difference between volatile and stable investment returns - Why consistent DCA often outperforms timing strategies - How your current performance compares to historical market patterns - The visual power of long-term wealth building As Warren Buffett said: "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." This tool helps you visualize your financial tree growing over time through actual market data and educational projections. --- Part 7: Common Mistakes to Avoid The "Perfect Timing" Trap Waiting for the "perfect" entry point often means missing years of compound growth. Time in the market beats timing the market. The "Hot Stock" Temptation Chasing individual stocks like NASDAQ:NVDA or NASDAQ:TSLA might seem exciting, but it introduces unnecessary risk for beginners. The "Market Crash" Panic Every bear market feels like "this time is different." Historical data shows that patient investors who continued their DCA through 2008, 2020, and other crashes were handsomely rewarded. --- Conclusion: Your Path to Financial Freedom Value investing through broad index funds and dollar-cost averaging isn't glamorous. You won't get rich overnight, and you won't have exciting stories about your latest trade. But here's what you will have: Proven strategy backed by decades of data Peace of mind during market volatility Compound growth working in your favor 24/7 A realistic path to serious wealth creation The Bottom Line: Warren Buffett's approach works because it's simple, sustainable, and based on fundamental economic principles. Start today, stay consistent, and let compound growth do the heavy lifting. "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." - Warren Buffett Educational Summary: Understanding these principles provides a foundation for informed decision-making. As Warren Buffett noted: "The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second-best time is now" - emphasizing the educational value of understanding long-term investment principles early. --- 🙏 Personal Note & Acknowledgment This article was not entirely my own work, but the result of artificial intelligence in-depth research and information gathering. I fine-tuned and brought it to my own vision and ideas. While working with AI, I found this research so valuable for myself that I could not avoid sharing it with all of you. I hope this perspective gives you a different approach to long-term investing. It completely changed my style of thinking and my approach to the markets. As a father of 3 kids, I'm always seeking the best investment strategies for our future. While I was aware of the power of compound interest, I could never truly visualize its actual power. That's exactly why I also created the open-source DCA Investment Tracker Pro indicator - so everyone can see and visualize the benefits of choosing a long, steady investment approach. Being able to see compound growth in action makes all the difference in staying committed to a strategy. As someone truly said: compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world. --- Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by TradeVizion
SPY Macro Analysis: Premium-Discount Dynamics, Trade Setup etc..Macro Perspective: The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is currently consolidating in a critical premium zone, with a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Economic uncertainty and broader market sentiment suggest a cautious approach, particularly with upcoming economic events (e.g., Fed policy updates, inflation data). The equilibrium level (~599) appears to be pivotal for directional bias. Technical Breakdown Premium Zone (599.80–606.19): Price is testing key resistance levels near Fibonacci 0.886 and 2.618 extensions. A failure here could signal a bearish reversal. A sustained breakout beyond 606.19 would open doors to higher targets (612–617.50). Discount Zone (585–577): A retracement into this zone could attract buyers looking for value entries. Key support: 565.51 (swing low, potential liquidity grab). Volume Dynamics: Noticeable spikes at resistance levels, suggesting potential liquidity sweeps before a decisive move. Trade Setup Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Entry: Upon breakout and close above 606.19. Stop-Loss: Below 604 (to avoid fakeouts). Targets: 612 (initial), 617.50 (extended). Risk-Reward: Maintain at least 1:3. Scenario 2: Bearish Reversal Entry: Upon rejection from the premium zone (~599–606). Stop-Loss: Above 607. Targets: 585 (initial), 577 (secondary). Risk-Reward: At least 1:4. Scenario 3: Discount Rebound Entry: Bullish price action confirmation within the 585–577 range (e.g., engulfing candle, double bottom). Stop-Loss: Below 575. Targets: 599 (initial), 606.19 (secondary). Risk-Reward: Adjust based on entry levels. Risk Management Position Sizing: Use no more than 2% of your account per trade. Confirmation: Wait for clear price action signals or key volume levels to confirm entries. Trailing Stop: Consider trailing stops to lock in profits during trending moves. Macro Insights Keep an eye on macroeconomic drivers like inflation data, job reports, and Federal Reserve commentary. Correlation with bond yields and volatility (e.g., VIX) could provide additional cues for market sentiment. 💡 Pro Tip: Patience pays—let the price come to you. Always stick to your plan and maintain discipline in both entries and exits.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-6 : Inside-Breakaway Counter-TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt a Counter-trend type of Inside Breakaway pattern. I read this as a downward price trend (counter to the current upward price trend). The markets seem to have bounced overnight - prompting a potentially strong opening price level. If my Inside-Breakaway shows up today, things could get very interesting if a breakdown in price sets up. Many of you know I've been expecting a broader market breakdown to take place - sending the SPY/QQQ down about 7% to 13% or more. It hasn't happened yet and the SPY/QQQ continue to try to push a bit higher - but, until we break to new highs, the breakdown event is still possible. Let's see how things play out today. Platinum is showing that the global markets are entering an extreme speculative phase (very similar to 2000-2008). Transports are stalling, showing the US economy is expected to weaken over the next 3+ months. Imagine that. Speculation is ramping up while the US market may move into a recession in H2:2025. Wow. We certainly live in interesting times. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
3
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 U.S. Labor Market in Focus Investors are closely watching the upcoming May employment report, which is expected to show a gain of 125,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.2%. These figures will provide insights into the labor market's response to recent economic pressures, including tariff impacts . 🇮🇳 RBI Expected to Cut Rates Amid Low Inflation The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is anticipated to announce a 25 basis point cut in the repo rate on June 6, marking the third consecutive reduction. This move aims to support economic growth amid persistent low inflation and global uncertainties . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 6: 8:30 AM ET – U.S. Employment Report (May): Analysts expect non-farm payrolls to increase by 125,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings are projected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month. These figures will be critical in assessing the health of the labor market and potential Federal Reserve policy actions . 3:00 PM ET – U.S. Consumer Credit (April): The Federal Reserve will release data on consumer credit, with forecasts predicting an increase of $10 billion. This report will shed light on consumer borrowing trends and financial health . ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
$SPY bearish, to break April lows?Most people are thinking that we'll see a correction that goes back to the $560 area and then from there, we'll go to new highs. They also don't think it's likely that we'll retest the lows from April and think it's nearly impossible that we'll break the lows. However, my base case is that we will break the lows. Yes, in the past, most dips like the one in April were good buying opportunities, but the chart looks different here. You can see that ever since April, all we've done is consolidate up into a rising wedge. We look set to break down from that in the coming days. If we do break down and are unable to reclaim the highs, then I think my base case will become the highest probability outcome. I think it's likely that the move down will take us to the $424- 402 levels. Let's see what happens.
AMEX:SPYShort
by benjihyam
33
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-5 : Inside BreakawayToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern - which indicates the markets want to try to break away from the sideways range I've been sharing with you. Gold and Silver are making a very big move higher this morning - which may be indicative of some crisis or military conflict move throughout the world. I see this move in Metals as a bit of a warning to the global markets. Metals hedge global risk levels. A rise in metals suggests traders fear some crisis event and are banking on Silver/Gold as an efficient hedge. BTCUSD is still trading within the sideways channel as well. I see BTCUSD less as a hedge and more as a technology/Block-chain asset. No matter how you slice it, BTCUSD is not really an alternate currency, it is a Technology asset. We could see some big moves over the next 2-5+ days because of how the markets are setting up and how Gold/Silver are reacting. Buckle Up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
3
Thesis on the SPY ETF being rigged (live demonstration 5/5/25)Worlds Saddest Story I have an algorithm running to find order block's in the form of resistance in the market at any given time. Here I will show the power of computers and how they both effectively and unknowingly create a repeatable system than unfortunately rigs the market to act in predictable ways. This theory will be tested at open today and lucky souls who find this thesis before open will have a rare opportunity to witness these events unfold. The events I am referring to are the SPY ETF opening at or around 597.75~ and immediately creating the high point of the day and promptly descending to create a market drop that exceeds 1% by EOD. While it is rather unfortunate and unfair that the stock market, a once globally competitive market for people to fund ventures, has now turned into a profit making machine for math specialists who have an knack for understanding price movements that inevitably widens the wealth gap for the rich that can afford to invest in computer driven algorithms, while the working man must try to create their own system that CAN NEVER consistently beat the machine. TL/DR: Bet on the SPY ETF making a high off open and plummeting over 1%
AMEX:SPYShort
by oscar_malik
6
Introduction to HFT Involvement in financial marketsIntroduction to HFT Involvement in financial markets Market Making algorithms continuously post buy (bid) and sell (ask) limit orders, aiming to earn the bid- ask spread while providing liquidity. HFT market makers function much like traditional market makers but at much higher speed and scale. They simultaneously quote both sides of the market and profit from the small price differential (spread) between bids and asks . Exchanges often incentivize market makers via liquidity rebates (fractions of a penny per share) for adding liquidity, which HFT firms capitalize on through very large trading volumes. Over the past two decades, human specialists have largely been supplanted by automated HFT market makers, which now dominate liquidity provision. Limit orders are prioritized over market orders, which in some capacity is fair; however special order types made for HFT that are just slightly more advanced limit orders are prioritized over regular limit orders but are not accessible by retail investors is very unfair. If you search up the IEX exchange website and look at their order types you can see that they are targeting HFT system creators and retail isn't able to use those products themselves. Statistical Arbitrage (Stat Arb) strategies use quantitative models to exploit pricing inefficiencies among related instruments. In traditional stat arb, a trading system might track a portfolio of securities and identify when price relationships deviate from statistical norms, betting on convergence. In an HFT context, stat arb often means very short-term, high-speed versions of these tactics, sometimes called “data-driven” or “quantitative” HFT strategies. These strategies are market-neutral and typically involve trading a long-short portfolio of correlated assets based on mean reversion expectations. For example, an HFT stat-arb algorithm might monitor price spreads between an ETF and its underlying basket of stocks, or between index futures and the index’s component equities, and rapidly trade to exploit divergences before they close. One common HFT arbitrage is index arbitrage – comparing the real-time value of an index future (say the S&P 500 E-mini) with the aggregated price of the index’s constituent stocks. If the future is temporarily overpriced relative to the underlying, the algo will sell the future and buy the basket (or vice versa), capturing a virtually risk-free profit as prices realign. This is a relatively difficult strategy but is also the strategy I primarily focus on building since as someone who lacks resources, it is the one thing I can make, test, and deploy from my computer. Latency Arbitrage strategies exploit tiny timing differences in information arrival between trading venues or market participants. If one market moves slightly before another, an HFT latency-arb algorithm can capitalize by racing to trade on the slower venue with knowledge of the price change that is about to occur. In essence, this is a race condition: the fastest trader to react to new information can “pick off” resting orders on venues that have not yet updated their prices. Latency arbitrage is often considered a predatory strategy – it’s been described as effectively front-running public information by virtue of speed. Virtually every time you place a trade through a broker, one of these systems will profit off you buy being payed a maker taker fee for bringing you to an exchange; this isn't fair since in many cases you'll be brought to the BATS exchange which pays the taker and charges the maker (every other exchange does the opposite) and you'll still be stuck paying a commission that someone else profits from. Event-Driven HFT strategies focus on trading around news or specific trigger events. These algorithms rapidly analyze real-time news feeds, economic data releases, earnings reports, or even social media, and execute trades before human traders can react. In the modern market, machine-readable news feeds and NLP (Natural Language Processing) models are integrated directly into some HFT systems. For example, an event-driven algo might parse a company’s earnings press release the instant it appears and decide to buy or sell the stock based on whether results beat or miss expectations – all within milliseconds. HFT firms subscribe to low-latency news services and sometimes even co-locate servers near newswire sources to get a time advantage in receiving the information. This is self explanatory, just whatever system can react to news the fastest wins. Some of the more controversial HFT strategies involve detecting liquidity and exploiting it, or conversely avoiding adverse selection from toxic order flow. Liquidity detection algorithms (sometimes called “pinging” strategies) attempt to sniff out hidden orders and large trading interest in the market. HFT firms may send out a flurry of tiny orders – often immediate-or-cancel (IOC) orders for 100 shares or 1 lot – across different price levels or venues to probe for supply or demand. If these pinging orders get hits (even partial fills), it indicates the presence of a large buyer or seller hidden in the order book or a dark pool. The HFT’s algorithm can then escalate its activity: for example, if a ping reveals a big buyer in a dark pool, the HFT might buy up shares on other venues and then sell into the buyer’s demand at a higher price. I'd compare this to playing call of duty and throwing a stun grenade into a room before entering, if someone gets stunned and you get +25 points, you know to move in immediately, and if you don't stun someone, you may proceed with caution. Momentum Ignition refers to a strategy where a trader deliberately attempts to ignite a rapid price movement – up or down – and capitalize on the frenzy that follows. An HFT or algorithmic trader employing momentum ignition will initiate a series of aggressive orders (market orders or large trades) in a short span, hoping to spark other algorithms or investors to also start buying or selling, thereby driving the price further in that direction. Once momentum takes hold, the instigator can profit by flipping their position (for example, buying shares to start an up-move, then selling into the rally they created). This is what happens every time you see newsa drop and the price of the stock goes in the opposite direction for a split second Spoofing and Layering are abusive tactics where a trader places non-genuine orders to mislead other market participants about supply or demand, with the intent to cancel those orders before execution. They are illegal in most jurisdictions (for example, spoofing was explicitly outlawed in the US via the 2010 Dodd- Frank Act). These tactics deserve discussion both to understand how rogue algorithms might attempt them and how modern systems detect and prevent them. Currently an order can be cancelled in 0.5 seconds after it has been placed legally. In essence all of these are ways of fooling retail and institutional investors to profit off their lack of knowledge; I think its important to be informed hence I am pointing this out and publicizing it. There are 100's of pages on the federal registry that will tell you how HFT algorithms are screwing you (the retail investor) over and with all that being said I believe that investing should be left to computers as they have taken over the market. It isn't fair but it's how the world works now. You are just liquidity swimming in pools for larger fish to feed off.
AMEX:SPY
by oscar_malik
11
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings Surprise to Upside U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose to 7.39 million in April—well above forecasts—indicating that labor demand remains robust despite macro headwinds and trade-policy uncertainty 🛢️ OPEC+ Greenlights July Supply Increase OPEC+ agreed to boost production by 411 K barrels per day starting in July, adding downward pressure to oil prices and weighing on energy equities 📈 Fed’s John Williams Signals Patience New York Fed President John Williams reiterated that the Fed sees no urgency to cut rates, citing mixed inflation signals and a balanced labor market—keeping investors cautious on rate-cut timing 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, June 5: 8:30 AM ET – JOLTS Job Openings (April) Measures total U.S. job vacancies, a leading indicator of labor-market strength. 10:00 AM ET – OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting) Details on production quotas for July, guiding energy market supply expectations. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : Carryover in Carryover modeToday's pattern suggests we may see more upward price consolidation/trending. As many of you already know, I've been tracking the Excess Phase Peak pattern all the way up this incredible rally from the $480 lows on the SPY. In my opinion, we have moved into the "island" topping phase where price is struggling to break either upward or downward right now. Currently, price seems to be attempting to break to the upside after yesterday's meltup. Today should be interesting because we could see solid REJECTION of yesterday's move with a big breakdown move. We'll see how things play out. The SPY trend is still BULLISH based on my research. Thus, until and IF we get a breakdown, traders should continue to expect a MELT UP type of trend in the SPY/QQQ. Hedging trades is a good idea right now. Gold and Silver had a big move early this week and have not stalled into a sideways FLAGGING trend. By my estimates, the APEX of the flag will come near 1900-2100 today (Wednesday 6-3). That is when I think Gold/Silver will attempt to move into extreme volatility and attempt to make another big move. I hope it is to continue the upside price trend, as this breakout move needs to push higher (breaking recent highs) for metals to move into a new dominant upward price trend. BTCUSD is trading sideways - possibly setting up that DOUBLE-TOP pattern I suggested was going to take place on 5-20-25. Now, with Bitcoin leading the US markets by about 3-5 days (on average), we'll see if BTCUSD can attempt to move into another rally phase or if BTCUSD breaks below the $103k level and moves into a new downward price phase. In my opinion, look out below. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🌐 Markets Rally on Chinese PMI Surprise China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly climbed to 50.8 in May, signaling expansion in smaller export-focused factories. Asian markets jumped, lifting U.S. equity futures as investors recalibrated global growth expectations . 📉 U.S. Factory Orders Remain Soft April’s U.S. Factory Orders fell 0.4%, underscoring persistent weakness in industrial demand amid elevated input costs and trade uncertainty. Declines in durable-goods orders weighed on industrial stocks . 🏦 Fed’s Bowman to Speak on Economic Outlook Fed Governor Michelle Bowman is scheduled to deliver remarks at 2:00 PM ET, likely emphasizing caution on future rate moves given mixed data. Markets will watch for any shifts in tone regarding inflation risks and labor-market resilience . 🛢️ Oil Prices Slip on Rising U.S. Inventories U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels last week, according to API data, pressuring oil prices lower and dragging energy shares down as supply concerns outweighed strong demand signals . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 4: 2:00 PM ET – Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks Remarks on economic outlook and monetary policy, watched for any hints on the Fed’s next moves. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY in Wave 5This week I am expecting a final rally to 608 to finish wave 5. SPY broke above 595.50 resistance today, but with RSI at incredibly high levels on the 1HR chart I am anticipating a minor pullback tomorrow and the final push up to occur Thursday and Friday. Jobless claims are released Thursday and unemployment rate released on Friday. These are the two major data points coming out this week that will likely drive the market upward to finish this final wave up. For the remainder of the month, I am looking for major selling to begin and will likely lead us down to the 530 gap fill. Cheers
AMEX:SPY
by FiboTrader1
7
SPY Inverse Head & Shoulders Played Out Clean – Bounce from Buy Just wanted to follow up on the AMEX:SPY idea I published yesterday — this played out exactly as expected 👇🏾 We got that clean pullback right into the 588.50–589.90 buy zone, which aligned perfectly with high-volume support. From there, price reversed and gave us that upside move back toward 593+. Even more validating: the pattern that formed was a textbook inverse head and shoulders 🔹 Left Shoulder → formed near 586 🔹 Head → at the deeper 585 level 🔹 Right Shoulder → bounced cleanly off the buy zone 🔹 Neckline Break → confirmed the move above 591.12 This is why I always say: have your levels ready and wait for confirmation. No chasing, just execution. 🔑 Buy zone held 📊 Volume-backed support 📈 Continuation in progress Will continue monitoring for follow-through above 593.46. If bulls hold control, next resistance is near 596–597.
AMEX:SPYLong
by boiigtg