Silver Break-Out! The Next Level to Watch?We come back to the silver market where our previous article indicated a potential breakout. Now that we have seen a decisive break and close above previous major resistance, we have new hurdles to clear.
Drivers:
Partially fueled by the rally in the Gold market, silver prices have also witnessed a disconnect from traditional fundamentals such as tighter financial conditions. Silver does have many uses in industrial applications, and China is one of the largest consumers.
Recent Chinese Manufacturing PMI showed improving conditions, expanding at the highest levels in nearly a year. Stronger economic data from China will remain in focus as silver prices approach the next level of resistance.
Technicals:
As we have broken out of the near four year long wedge, we now approach major overhead resistance. To see Silver prices test $30/oz we will first need a decisive break and close above $28.30 - $28.89.
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Disclaimers:
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
AG1! trade ideas
75: Silver Analysis: Is it Lagging Behind Gold?Silver, often considered the "poor man's gold," has been under scrutiny lately as it seems to lag behind its more illustrious counterpart. Traders and investors are closely monitoring silver's behavior relative to gold, seeking potential opportunities amidst this divergence. Let's delve into the technical analysis to discern potential trading scenarios.
Currently, silver is hovering around the $24 mark, displaying a notable gap in performance compared to gold. This gap prompts us to consider whether silver is presenting a buying opportunity or if further downside is expected.
Long Entry Points:
Primary Entry: A compelling long entry presents itself around $23.37, where historical support levels align. This level could serve as a strong base for a potential bullish reversal.
Secondary Entry: For more conservative traders, a secondary entry around $20 offers an additional opportunity. This level provides a wider margin of safety but may require patience as price action stabilizes.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: If the support at $23.37 holds firm, we anticipate a bullish continuation towards $30 and beyond. This scenario would validate the long positions and affirm silver's potential to catch up with gold.
Bearish Breakdown: However, if $23.37 fails to hold, a deeper retracement towards $15 becomes a possibility. Traders should closely monitor price action and consider implementing risk management strategies to mitigate potential losses in such a scenario.
silver's divergence from gold presents both challenges and opportunities for traders. With long positions eyed around $23.37 and a secondary option near $20, traders can capitalize on potential bullish reversals. However, vigilance is crucial, as a failure to hold support may result in further downside towards $15. Ultimately, a successful hold at support levels could pave the way for a rally towards $30 and beyond.
As always, traders are advised to conduct thorough research, manage risks prudently, and adapt to evolving market conditions. Stay tuned for further updates as we navigate through the intricacies of the market. Happy trading!
Sliver Futures (SL1!): Feeling crazy when looking at this chartSliver Futures (SL1!): I am probably crazy to even look at this Quarerly chart.
However, it looks like it is going to break to the upside out of a huge 10-year old (?) cup-and-handle formation.
What if it is going to materialize? Are we looking at potential gains in silver as the traditional TA measurements show?
Is the chart indicating potential appreciation of silver or a decline in the vlaue of the US dollar happening at the same time?
I can't even fathom it. Can you?
Happy trading,
LTT
Silver is Next to Rally After Gold Whenever gold prices are trending higher, it hints at trouble ahead. Historically, silver always catches up later. During past crises, when this happens, this “silver shift” is very fast and furious. Its magnitude for silver is much greater than that of gold.
Video discussion:
1. One key reason why silver is lagging behind for the time being
2. Why Gold and Silver always move in tandem over the long-term?
3. Is there a bond crisis ahead?
Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: CG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00
Silver Futures & Options
Ticker: SI
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $25.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Silver (Futures): 1 Apr, 2024© Master of Elliott Wave Analysis: Shane Hua (CEWA-M)
This outlook analysis suggests a further upward push in Silver futures with wave 3-red. However, it's still early to conclude this, so there's an alternative wave count (ALT Wave count) to consider. Nevertheless, approaching the target of $25.97 seems feasible, while maintaining a price above $24.82 is a strong support advantage for this bullish outlook.
Invalidation point: $24.44
Silver made the news with 4% gains but at multiple resistance - Silver finally playing catch up rally with Gold
- Strong trend but hitting the multiple resistance zone
- A small pullback can be expected in couple days in this area
- Gold/silver ratio is a bullish sign for silver for near term
- Any pull back can be a buying opportunity for Silver!
- I will be entering for long once its close above 26
$Silver making moves, has it finally stopped consolidating?Silver is looking like it finally wants to break out!
AMEX:SLV looks even better on the weekly chart!
Monthly, looks okay. not great but that can change over time.
This could be the beginning of a HUGE Squeeze!!!
2x would be nice and is possible this year.
Have physical, AMEX:CEF , 2025 #silver call options.
Silver monthly (+silver vs gold)NO confirmation yet on monthly chart for silver's much anticipated breakout.
Note, silver will most likely breakout on its own chart merit, a few months BEFORE it breaks out versus gold.
That is what it has done the PREVIOUS 6 times since the early 2000s.
#silver #gold OANDA:XAGUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Silver Fails At Top of Range . . . Now what?Silver: Daily Fibs and Indicators: Silver has a bull fib objective that takes it to 28.86, a massive move. It held it's 61.8% line in October 23 and was on it's way until December 23 when it stopped at the high of it's daily range. We traded down early in the year, only to test that high again htis past week. And, we are selling off of it again. We can't trust gold to go higher if Silver doesn't make a new high here. Silver lost it's embedded reading of the past 4 days. Big test for silver is 24.21, the BB midpoint, and the bull fibs from lows. that 23.55 level was resistance and the fact that it's the 61.8% line and support could be very key to support here. IMO, that would be a good place be a buyer for silver.
Short Silver on COT Force PushThe markets are really all about finding patterns and taking advantage of such forcefully. With Silver, the commercial producers and bullion banks tend to exert the most amount of market influence upon its price. The reason is that Silver is primarily an industrial metal sensitive to economic demands and also due to the fact that unlike gold, it is primarily mined as a by-product through the mining of other metals such as copper, iron, aluminum, etc.
If one can recognize the behavior of Silver once the commercial entities are starting to sell in larger then usual amounts, we can catch the downside action just as it starts to occur. In addition, the price action through the evident "force push" when the price is forced to a quick swing high and abruptly u-turned tends to signal that a price reversal is being confirmed. Today we have witnessed such event take place and we are now getting in position for an estimated $3+ decline in the price of silver in the coming weeks.
TSLE DXY OIL SILVER3.19.24 This video is a review of tesla, dxy, oil, and silver. It's all about using a handful of tools to help you decide where the markets are going to reverse and whether or not you should be taking profits or entering markets as a buyer or a seller with a high probability that the market will at least trade in your direction for a while... using a small stop. About a year or so when the markets were reaching or highs and starting to move lower I stated that bear markets ultimately become much more difficult to trade because they contrast. In the beginning part of this market reversal to go lower from the highs it was very easy to spot reversal patterns on the equity markets and also on the indexes because the markets had lots of volatility and range.But when you look at the markets that I'm showing you today... you can see that they're not as easy as they could be, But if you're patient and you wait for the setups using the tools we use you can find opportunities especially if you're willing to scalp... looking for nice reversal patterns and being willing to get in and out of the market. for the most part these are not buy and hold markets in my opinion. also, the metals are going higher and I don't think they're particularly easy to trade... but they are tradable if you're selective. I don't think day trading Tesla is a good way to go for many reasons including the fact that it's a equity market and it's hundreds of dollars a share and there are penalties if you have a losing trade in equities markets when it comes to tax liability and wash rules. if you own equities markets and you're willing and able to use opsins, that might be an option.