SILVER trade ideas
SILVER LONG SIGNAL|
✅SILVER fell down sharply
By more than 15% which is
A lot so Silver is clearly oversold
Therefore we can enter a long
Trade with the TP of 30.19$
And the SL of 28.71$
LONG🚀
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Silver looking like a good buy on technicals, $34 targetI am putting on a small silver position, it really likes to bounce off the up sloping resistance line that is in orange, also indicated by the orange circles where it previously bounced. Good luck and please do your own research. Not financial advice.
SILVER INTRADAY pullback to support at 3090Silver maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support.
Key Level: 3090
This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level.
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback toward 3090 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3266, with extended upside potential toward 3350 and 3450 over the longer term.
Bearish Alternative:
A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3090 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3028, followed by 2945.
Conclusion:
Silver remains technically bullish while trading above 3090. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3090 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction.
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Silver (XAG/USD) – Long Setup IdeaSilver (XAG/USD) – Long Setup Idea
Silver is currently trading around $31.30, while gold has surpassed the $3,000 mark, pushing the Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) above 99 – a level that historically signals strong upside potential for silver. Industrial demand is surging, especially from solar energy, EVs, and electronics, with silver consumption expected to exceed 700 million ounces in 2025. Analysts from Capital Economics, UBS, and Citi forecast a price target of $36–38 in the next few months, supported by a persistent supply deficit and investor rotation from gold into undervalued silver.
🎯 Take Profit: $36.00
⏱️ Timeframe: 1–3 months
📊 Bias: Bullish
📉 Risk: Correction below $29 in case of weak macro or strong USD
Detailed Analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) – Double Top BreakoutThe chart represents a technical analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe (1D). A Double Top pattern, one of the most reliable bearish reversal formations, is developing. This signals a potential downtrend, with key price levels and trendlines confirming weakness in bullish momentum. Below is a full breakdown of the pattern, price action, and trading setup.
1️⃣ Pattern Formation: Double Top – Bearish Reversal
A Double Top pattern occurs when the price reaches a resistance level twice, failing to break higher. It indicates a shift from a bullish trend to a bearish one.
🔹 Characteristics of the Double Top in This Chart:
First Peak (Top 1 - Resistance at ~$34.57):
The price made a strong move upward, reaching a high near $34.57.
Selling pressure at this level pushed the price downward, forming a support level near $30 (Neckline).
Pullback & Temporary Support (~$30 Neckline):
Buyers stepped in at the support zone, causing a bounce back towards resistance.
This level acted as strong demand, preventing further decline temporarily.
Second Peak (Top 2 - Rejection at Resistance Again):
Price attempted to break above the previous peak but failed.
This failure to form a higher high confirms the presence of strong sellers.
The second rejection strengthens the resistance level at $34.57, signaling exhaustion in buying momentum.
Break of the Trendline Support (Bearish Shift):
A previously ascending trendline (black dashed line) was providing support for the uptrend.
Price broke below this trendline, indicating a possible trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Trading Setup
🔸 Resistance Zone (~$34.57 - Stop Loss Area)
This is the major resistance level, tested twice and confirmed as a supply zone.
A move above $34.57 would invalidate the bearish pattern, making this an ideal stop-loss level.
🔹 Support Level / Neckline (~$30 - Breakdown Confirmation)
The neckline acts as a critical level. If the price breaks below $30, the Double Top formation is confirmed.
If the price retests this level from below and rejects (fails to reclaim it as support), it becomes a strong short entry signal.
🔻 Target Price (Projected Move - $23.01)
The target is based on the measured move rule of a Double Top:
Distance from resistance ($34.57) to neckline ($30) ≈ $4.57.
Projecting this same distance downward gives a target of ~$23.01.
This aligns with historical demand zones, increasing the probability of price reaching this level.
3️⃣ Trading Plan: Short Setup Execution
🔽 Short Entry (Breakdown Confirmation Below $30)
Ideal entry point is after the neckline breaks and confirms resistance upon a retest.
A breakdown with strong volume enhances the validity of the setup.
🚨 Stop Loss Placement (Above $34.57 Resistance Level)
Placing a stop above the second peak ($34.57) ensures protection against invalidation.
If price moves back above this level, the pattern fails, indicating a potential return to bullish momentum.
🎯 Target Price ($23.01) – Measured Move Projection
The price target aligns with the pattern structure and historical support levels.
Traders can take partial profits at intermediary levels ($27–$26) before full target realization.
4️⃣ Additional Confirmation Factors – Confluence for Bearish Bias
1️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI & MACD Bearish Signals
If RSI (Relative Strength Index) drops below 50, it confirms weakening bullish momentum.
A MACD bearish crossover (signal line crossing below the MACD line) would further validate the downtrend.
2️⃣ Volume Analysis – Breakout Confirmation
A high volume breakout below $30 confirms selling pressure.
Low-volume breakdowns can lead to false breakouts, making volume a crucial factor to watch.
3️⃣ Fundamental Factors – Macro Outlook on Silver (XAG/USD)
Silver prices are influenced by interest rates, inflation, and USD strength.
If USD strengthens, silver could face more selling pressure, aligning with this bearish technical setup.
Any hawkish monetary policy statements could accelerate the downside movement.
5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios
✔️ Ideal Risk-Reward Ratio
Risk: Stop loss at $34.57 (~4.5% above entry)
Reward: Target at $23.01 (~23% move)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (highly favorable for short trades)
⚠️ Bullish Invalidations – When to Avoid the Trade?
If Silver reclaims $34.57 and holds above, the pattern fails.
A false breakout scenario could occur if price breaks below $30 but quickly moves back above.
Watching for bullish divergence on indicators like RSI before entering a short position is recommended.
Final Conclusion: Bearish Bias with Strong Downside Potential
📉 Summary of the Bearish Case:
✔️ Double Top pattern confirms a bearish reversal if the neckline breaks.
✔️ Break of ascending trendline signals increasing seller control.
✔️ Key levels: Stop-loss above $34.57 | Entry below $30 | Target $23.01.
✔️ Additional confluence: RSI, MACD, and volume confirmation strengthen the trade setup.
🚀 If price action aligns with this analysis, this setup presents a high-probability short opportunity.
Would you like any refinements or additional insights? 🔥
Buy SilverAs long as there is no break in the uptrend on the daily chart, a long position can be attempted from the current level with a target of the previous highs at 34.80-35.00
Since the trade is taking place during a period of high volatility and the entry is not the most stable, it is better to trade with a stop-loss, adjusting it throughout the day as the price moves up.
The first stop is at 31.70. Then, if 32.50 is broken, move it to 32.10, and so on.
Silver- sell on rallies (breaks major trend line support)
Trend line support- $31.95 (trend line joining $28.79 and $30.81)
Silver crashed more than 7% after Tariff announcement. It hit a intraday low of $31.40 and is currently trading around $31.65.
The gold/silver ratio climbed to 95.50, reflecting silver's relative weakness compared to gold.
Trading Strategy and Key Levels for Silver
The commodity is trading below short term (34 and 55 EMA) and long-term moving average (200- EMA) in the 4-hour chart. The near-term support is around $31.25 and any violation below will drag the commodity to $30.75/$30/$29.60/$29/$28.40. The immediate resistance is at $32.60 any breach above targets $33/$35/$36.
It is good to sell on rallies around $32 with a stop-loss at $32.60 for a TP of $30/$28.40.
Bearish drop?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 31.91
1st Support: 30.92
1st Resistance: 32.68
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Fri 4th Apr 2025 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
XAG/USD...4h pairMY analysis presents a solid trade plan for XAGUSD based on technical indicators. A few additional considerations:
1️⃣ For the short setup:
A break below 33.85 aligns with momentum weakening, but watch for fakeouts, especially if volume is low.
The 32.00 target is ambitious, so partial profits around 33.00 could be wise.
2️⃣ For the long setup:
If price rebounds from 34.60, confirmation with bullish candlesticks or an RSI divergence could strengthen the trade.
Watch for resistance near 34.80–35.00 before fully committing.
Would you like to add risk management tips or additional confluences?
Silver Breakdown: Rising Wedge Bearish Move Towards Target1. Chart Overview
This 4-hour (H4) chart of Silver (XAG/USD) shows a clear Rising Wedge Pattern, a bearish technical formation. The price action recently broke below the lower support trendline, confirming a downside move. Several key levels, indicators, and trading strategies can be derived from this setup.
2. Identified Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal)
A Rising Wedge is a pattern that forms when price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines, with the support line rising at a steeper angle than the resistance line. This pattern is considered bearish because it signals weakening buying pressure and an impending breakdown.
Uptrend Formation: The price had been moving within a wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Volume Considerations: A wedge breakout is often accompanied by increasing volume, further confirming the trend shift.
Breakout Confirmation: The price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating that sellers are taking control.
3. Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy
Resistance Level (Rejection Zone) – $34.00 - $34.50
The upper boundary of the rising wedge acted as strong resistance.
Multiple price rejections confirm sellers' dominance in this area.
Any future retest of this level may provide a new opportunity for short entries.
Support Level (Broken & Retested) – $32.50 - $32.80
This zone previously acted as strong support, preventing price from falling lower.
Now that price has broken this support level, it could act as resistance if a retest occurs.
A confirmed rejection here will further validate the bearish outlook.
Stop Loss Placement – $34.16
A logical stop-loss placement is slightly above the previous swing high and resistance area.
If price moves above this level, it would indicate that the breakdown has failed, invalidating the bearish setup.
Bearish Target – $30.76 (Measured Move Projection)
This level is derived from the height of the rising wedge pattern projected downward.
The area around $30.76 aligns with a previous support zone, making it a reasonable target for the current breakdown.
4. Price Action & Future Expectations
Current Market Sentiment: Bearish
The break below the wedge confirms a bearish sentiment.
A slight retracement to the previous support (now resistance) around $32.80 - $33.00 is possible before further downside.
If selling pressure remains strong, Silver is likely to reach the $30.76 target in the coming sessions.
Alternative Scenario: Bullish Recovery
If the price moves back above $34.16, the bearish outlook is invalidated.
A sustained move above this level could indicate a false breakdown and may push Silver toward new highs.
5. Trading Plan Based on This Setup
🔹 Entry Strategy:
Look for a retest of the broken support zone ($32.80 - $33.00) to enter short positions.
A rejection from this level with bearish confirmation (e.g., a bearish engulfing candle) strengthens the trade setup.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Placed above the wedge resistance at $34.16 to protect against false breakouts.
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
First Target: $31.50 (intermediate support level)
Final Target: $30.76 (measured move projection of the wedge)
6. Conclusion
This Rising Wedge Breakdown on Silver’s H4 chart presents a strong bearish trading opportunity with a well-defined risk-reward ratio. The break below key support signals continued downside, with $30.76 as the next major target. However, traders should monitor any retest of the broken support zone to confirm further selling momentum before entering new positions.
Silver H4 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.69 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 31.70 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 34.02 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Silver Golden butterflyThe silver butterfly's decline from the 34.57 level is being observed as a golden Fibonacci level. This particular point holds significance for analysts and enthusiasts who closely monitor Fibonacci retracement levels in various contexts, whether in nature, art, or even financial markets.
It’s fascinating how these mathematical patterns appear in diverse areas, sparking curiosity and deeper exploration.
SEYED.