Silver's Rally Looks Exhausted – Eyeing a PullbackOur last signal on this pair resulted in 290+ pips
Silver losing steam! 📉 Shorting XAGUSD from 32.9784 zone , targeting 30.9891. Let’s see if the setup plays out! 🎯
SILVER trade ideas
XAG_USD SHORT This is our Position on Yesterday's Short Idea, well price has been moving sporadic coupled with the news released today.
I still think Silver is bearish temporarily. Although I've closed most of my position in profit, we'll still see how it plays out in the end.
Could Silver's Price Soar to New Heights?In the realm of precious metals, silver has long captivated investors with its volatility and dual role as both an industrial staple and a safe-haven asset. Recent analyses suggest that the price of silver might skyrocket to unprecedented levels, potentially reaching $100 per ounce. This speculation isn't just idle talk; it's fueled by a complex interplay of market forces, geopolitical tensions, and industrial demand that could reshape the silver market landscape.
The historical performance of silver provides a backdrop for these predictions. After a notable surge in 2020 and a peak in May 2024, silver's price has been influenced by investor sentiment and fundamental market shifts. Keith Neumeyer of First Majestic Silver has been an outspoken advocate for silver's potential, citing historical cycles and current supply-demand dynamics as indicators of future price increases. His foresight, discussed across various platforms, underscores the metal's potential to break through traditional price ceilings.
Geopolitical risks add another layer of complexity to silver's valuation. The potential for an embargo due to escalating tensions between China and Taiwan could disrupt global supply chains, particularly in industries heavily reliant on silver like technology and manufacturing. Such disruptions might not only increase the price due to supply constraints but also elevate silver's status as a safe-haven investment during times of economic uncertainty. Moreover, the ongoing demand from sectors like renewable energy, electronics, and health applications continues to press against the available supply, setting the stage for a significant price rally if these trends intensify.
However, while the scenario of silver reaching $100 per ounce is enticing, it hinges on numerous variables aligning perfectly. Investors must consider not only the positive drivers but also factors like market manipulation, economic policies, and historical resistance levels that have previously capped silver's price growth. Thus, while the future of silver holds immense promise, it also demands a strategic approach from those looking to capitalize on its potential. This situation challenges investors to think critically about market dynamics, urging a blend of optimism with strategic caution.
Silver's Rally Reaches Critical ResistanceSilver continues to respect the extended trendline (May 2024–Jan 2025), marking the upper boundary of an expanding consolidation.
A rebound from $28.80 lifted XAGUSD toward the 32.60 resistance, aligning with the lower border of the Oct 2023–Oct 2024 uptrend, supported by haven demand from Trump Tariffs & Trade Wars.
Retracement risks are rising at the lower channel border. A decisive close above 32.60 is needed to extend gains toward 35, 37 & 40. Failure to break higher may trigger a pullback to 30, with further support levels at 29.50, 28 & 26.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Silver ShortSilver broke the structure and created new LL. It touched the fair vaule gap and corrected upwords but is still in downtrend.
4-hr Silver: At Least Another $1 to the UpsideOver the past month, Silver has experienced an impressive 13% surge, marking a strong bullish trend. Despite notable volatility and multiple pullbacks, the overall momentum remains firmly to the upside. This strength is further validated by the Golden Cross, a historically reliable buy signal that reinforces the long-term uptrend.
However, since Friday, Silver has entered a corrective phase. Currently, the 4-hour chart displays a significant bearish candle, suggesting strong selling pressure. Given this setup, it is possible that the decline could extend into today and tomorrow, as investors might be reallocating capital from Silver to Stocks in response to shifting market conditions.
Despite the ongoing correction, we remain aligned with the broader uptrend and are looking for an optimal entry point to maximize risk-to-reward. Instead of jumping in prematurely, we prefer to enter a long trade near the $31.20 level. This area is particularly significant as it aligns with the critical 38% Fibonacci retracement, a level that could act as strong technical support before the next bullish leg resumes.
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!On the 4-hour timeframe, silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its ascending channel. If the correction continues, we can see a demand range. We can buy in that range with an appropriate reward to risk.
Gold demand in China is showing signs of a strong rebound, even as the physical flow of gold from the UK to the United States continues. Meanwhile, analysts at Heraeus Precious Metals have indicated that there is evidence suggesting that the growing demand for silver in the solar industry may have peaked.
Last week, both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank acted in line with market expectations. The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, while the European Central Bank implemented a 25-basis-point rate cut.
Regarding silver, Heraeus analysts questioned whether China could sustain its rapid growth in the solar energy sector. They reported, “The total installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) panels in China reached 886.66 gigawatts in 2024, marking a 46% increase compared to the previous year.
This 277-gigawatt expansion exceeded industry forecasts and surpassed China’s own 2024 capacity projections by 17 gigawatts. However, while this growth is remarkable, it falls short of the record 54% increase seen in 2023, following a 28% rise in 2021. This trend suggests that China may be approaching its peak photovoltaic capacity growth.”
The analysts also noted that, over the past two years, rapid solar energy growth has been driven by unprecedentedly low photovoltaic module prices, largely due to intense competition among manufacturers. They explained, “However, in 2025, polysilicon producers (GCL and Tongwei) have agreed to limit their production, while solar module manufacturers (Jinko, JA Solar, and Canadian Solar) have reached a minimum pricing consensus to restore profitability. This could drive up the price of solar modules, leading to higher capital costs for projects.”
They added, “Projections indicate that 232 million ounces of silver were used in 495 gigawatts of photovoltaic applications in 2024. If installation rates remain steady year-over-year, solar demand for silver could reach a record 270 million ounces in 2025, an increase of 39 million ounces.”
Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett announced that the Trump administration is focusing on reducing the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds rather than the Federal Reserve’s short-term interest rate cuts. Over the weekend, Trump remarked that the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision not to cut interest rates was a “good” move, indicating his emphasis on 10-year yields.
This policy could contribute to financial stability and help control inflation. However, some analysts have warned that Trump’s measures, along with spending cuts by his ally Elon Musk, may not have a significant impact, as a large portion of U.S. government expenditures remains allocated to healthcare, social security, and defense.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, economists at Morgan Stanley no longer anticipate that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in March. They now predict only one rate cut in 2025, expected in June. As Morgan Stanley stated, “The implementation of tariffs earlier than expected is likely to halt the downward inflation trend at a higher level, making any short-term rate cuts impossible.”
Silver Rallies on Trade War Concerns and Strong Industrial DemanSilver rose above $32 per ounce on Wednesday, a three-month high, as trade and economic uncertainties fueled safe-haven demand. A weaker US dollar also supported prices. The US delayed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada but enforced a 10% levy on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to impose its own tariffs and consider sanctions on US firms. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive year of market deficits in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, offsetting weaker jewelry and silverware consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.80 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Bullish Continuation ..... BUY STOP @ 31.746
strong rejection @ 30.800
Further advancement possible if price breaks above 31.746 to 32.810
Silver is now net long on Regression Break UpwardsSilver has move above the swing high and broken the regression channel.
This is now a net-long only pair.
Review a possible trade with an EA to manage the entry and risk.
XAG USD SHORT.This is my current Silver position, price is still very choppy and Bears still very much in the power struggle of the market.
So we'll see how it ends but for now fingers crossed 😅
5-2 Silver: a buy executed based on this score of +5 where Silver still has to go the way of Gold. This metal can still touch the 35 points. With that position the metal has only reached the high of October but if it imitates Gold it can go much further. We have placed a buy at 32,452.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Rally Expected to ContinueSilver has been in a strong uptrend for over a month, surpassing a key horizontal resistance level.
The ongoing retest of this level is likely to hold within a rising parallel channel, with further upside expected toward the 32.91 resistance level.
Manufacturing Data Fuels Silver's RiseSilver rose above $31.5 per ounce, near its highest since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data stimulated demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs eased protectionist concerns. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, reinforcing silver’s industrial demand outlook.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth market deficit in 2025, with strong industrial and retail investment demand outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand.
Key resistance levels are 32.50, 33.00, and 33.50. Support stands at 31.80, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Rally is Going to ContinueSilver has been in a strong uptrend for over a month, breaking through a significant horizontal resistance level.
The current retest of this level is expected to hold within a rising parallel channel pattern, with further bullish movement anticipated towards the 32.90 resistance level.
Silver’s Deep Retrace: Long Setup with Bullish Potential I’ve entered a long trade on Silver (XAG/USD) after observing a deep retrace to the 0.7 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe. The entry at $28.96 is positioned strategically based on historical support and the current technical setup.
The stop loss is set at $26.54 to mitigate risk, while the take profit target is $36.00, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. In the bearish scenario, a break below $27.50 will prompt a reassessment and tighter risk management. Conversely, on the bullish side, breaking above $32.50 will strengthen the case for holding towards the TP.
Silver’s price action showcases its potential for a significant bounce back, supported by current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions.
Fundamentals:
1. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance:
The Fed’s updated projections for rate cuts in 2025 have pressured silver prices, as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields (above 4.5%) diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets. However, easing inflation in the long term could rejuvenate demand for precious metals.
2. Geopolitical Tensions:
Although silver traditionally benefits from uncertainty, recent macroeconomic headwinds, such as concerns about tariffs under the new Trump administration and sluggish global economic recovery, have overshadowed its safe-haven status.
3. Industrial Outlook:
Challenges in the industrial demand for silver, particularly from China’s solar panel production slowdown, add pressure. However, as inflation stabilizes and geopolitical risks unfold, silver could regain its industrial and safe-haven allure.
Technicals:
• Entry: $28.96
• Stop Loss: $26.54
• Take Profit: $36.00
• Key Levels:
• Bearish Scenario: Manage position below $27.50.
• Bullish Case: Strength above $32.50 confirms upward momentum.
This setup leverages a confluence of technical retracement, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a trend reversal. Stay sharp and pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Bear are coming in and may push the price lowerAs we can see the overall trend is an uptrend, the break above neckline and new higher high confirmed this. However if you notice the market failed to make new higher highs meaning we have sellers participating and they might push the trend down
It would be advisable to stay away from the market until we can clearly see who is in control of the market between Bulls and Bears
Now let's talk about the best entry point here, a break above Resistance would mean buyers regained total control of the market and we should look for buys here and If the market breaks below the Solid Low then we have our confirmation that sellers are in control and we should look for sells
so all in all it's best to wait and not chase the market as that can end in negative results. Good luck Traders
Silver, bullish or bearish? Greetings, traders! Welcome to this Silver (XAGUSD) market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
If you like the breakdown, boost the idea and follow to receive more ideas.
Trade safely
XAGUSD - Silver - Long Setting Up.If we break this area then I will be looking for a possible long on Silver dollar.
XAGUSD breakout twice in a row to 3 month highwww.tradingview.com
The silver price has kept running today and is in resounding shape and position.
Silver insights for Short If H4 rejection happens at my point of interest 32.410 then I'll look for short opportunities to my draw on Liquidity as shown in the chart.
But if there's no rejection I'll keep observing the chart till it shows trade opportunity.
XAGUSD Silver outlookThis is my current view on XAGUSD. I have a trade running which has a lose target starting around $36, but will be subject to change as the price action develops. I'm in silver for the chance that we see much higher prices than that!!. Trading spot is a small part of my exposure to the silver sector.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 31.73
1st Support: 31.19
1st Resistance: 32.33
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