XAG/USD For Bullishwait for pull-back near by entry point and then go long
general trend is up trend
have fun :)
SILVER trade ideas
Silver continues to riseThere’s a high probability we’ll see higher levels.
In trading, you don’t operate with certainties, but with probabilities—and right now, silver has a high probability of continuing its upward move.
It’s also returning, much like gold, to levels seen before the announcement of trade tariffs.
Additionally, it has broken above the 30.80 level—a very strong level that previously acted as both support and resistance.
As long as the price stays above it, I believe we can talk about long setups.
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 31.806 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 31.490.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver in Q1 2025: Technical and Fundamental BreakdownIntroduction
Silver has emerged as a standout among precious metals in Q1 2025, delivering solid gains amid choppy markets. While gold grabs headlines with its record highs, silver quietly notched a 17% rise since January, showcasing its dual role as an industrial staple and a safe-haven for traders. In this article, we dive into silver’s price action, the impact of tariffs, recession risks, and supply-demand dynamics to uncover trading opportunities.
Silver’s Price Action in Q1
Silver closed 2024 at $28.94 per ounce (December 30) but kicked off 2025 with a strong rebound. Starting at $29.53 (January 2), it cleared the $30 mark by January 7 and ended the month at $31.28. February kept the momentum alive, hitting a high of $32.94 (February 20) before settling at $31.13. March pushed further, breaking $32 on March 5 and reaching a quarterly peak of $34.43 on March 27. However, April brought a pullback: prices dipped to $33.67 on April 1 and briefly fell below $30 after U.S. tariff announcements on April 2.
Technical Analysis
• Support and Resistance Levels: Support has formed around $29.50, with resistance near $34.50. The $30 level has toggled between support and resistance, acting as a key pivot.
• Moving Averages: Prices remain above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a bullish trend.
• RSI: The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 65, suggesting room for upside before hitting overbought territory.
Tariffs: Volatility as a Trading Edge
Since early 2025, U.S. tariff policies have fueled market uncertainty. The announcement of a 10% global tariff, alongside targeted duties on April 2, drove traders toward safe-haven assets like silver.
• Market Impact: Tariffs could dampen industrial demand (e.g., in solar panels and EVs), but silver’s safe-haven appeal may offset this pressure.
• Trading Idea: Volatility creates setups for short-term trades. Breakouts or range-bound strategies using options can capitalize on current conditions.
Recession Risks: A Dual Impact
The looming threat of a U.S. recession continues to shape market sentiment. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecast of -2.8% for Q1 2025, ahead of official data on April 30, has heightened concerns.
• Historical Context: During recessions, silver’s performance varies. Industrial slowdowns can curb demand, but capital flows into safe assets often bolster prices.
• Current Outlook: If recession fears intensify, silver could draw attention as a gold alternative. However, a confirmed downturn risks hitting industrial sectors, so keep an eye on macro releases.
Supply and Demand: Deficit as a Bullish Driver
The Silver Institute’s March 3 report flagged a fifth consecutive year of supply shortages, tightening the market.
• Industrial Demand: Solar panels (232 million ounces annually) and electric vehicles (80 million ounces) remain major consumers. Watch for updates from these sectors, as production shifts could sway prices.
• Supply Constraints: Reports of physical silver moving from UK vaults to New York, possibly in anticipation of tariffs, hint at a potential crunch within six months.
Outlook: Short-Term and Long-Term Views
A near-term consolidation or pullback is possible after Q1’s strong rally. The $29-$30 zone looks like a solid buying opportunity, especially if prices find support at the 50-day moving average.
• Technical Setup: A break above $34.50 could target $37-$38. RSI suggests the rally has legs.
• Trading Strategy: Consider buying dips to $30 with a stop below $28, aiming for $35. Alternatively, enter on a breakout above $34.50 for higher targets.
• Long-Term Trend: Supply deficits and silver’s role in green energy support a bullish case. Still, macro factors like interest rates and the dollar call for adaptability.
Conclusion
In 2025, silver remains a focal point for traders, driven by a mix of technical strength and fundamental catalysts. Tariffs, recession risks, and supply dynamics create a complex but opportunity-rich environment. Leverage technical analysis and stay tuned to newsflow to navigate volatility and tap into silver’s long-term potential.
SILVER rising trendline support retest Silver maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support.
Key Level: 3090
This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level.
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback toward 3090 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3266, with extended upside potential toward 3350 and 3450 over the longer term.
Bearish Alternative:
A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3090 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3028, followed by 2945.
Conclusion:
Silver remains technically bullish while trading above 3090. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3090 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SILVER (XAGUSD): More Growth is Coming
Following Gold, Silver formed a strong bullish pattern on an hourly time frame.
I found the ascending triangle formation and a breakout of its neckline
as a strong bullish confirmation.
I expect growth at least to 31.7 level now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAG/USD Climbs on FOMC WorriesSilver prices climbed above $31 per ounce on Thursday, extending gains for a second straight session as commodities rebounded following President Trump’s rollback of his reciprocal tariff policy. The new measure lowers tariffs on most trade partners to 10% for 90 days to support negotiations. However, China, a key silver consumer, still faces a steep 125% tariff, keeping geopolitical tensions elevated and sustaining safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, FOMC minutes revealed growing concerns about stagflation and the impact of Trump’s trade agenda on the Fed’s dual mandate of price stability and full employment.
Resistance starts at 31.50; if breached, the next levels are 32.15 and 33.30. Support sits at 30.20, with 29.50 and 29.20 below if that level gives way.
Silver at a Crossroads: More Pain or a Rally Above 34?Silver is undergoing a potential trend change. The previous yellow uptrend channel has been broken, and a new, nearly flat-slightly downward channel (marked by blue lines) appears to be forming. While it may be too early to confirm this as an established trend, the structure is developing with increasing clarity.
Silver is now at a crossroads. The former trendline is being retested, and just above it lies a confluence of resistance: a previous demand zone and the 200-day moving average. These former support levels have now merged into a strong resistance area.
Unless this resistance zone is broken, downward pressure is likely to persist. However, a breakout could open the door for a medium-term move toward the 34 level.
Please check gold/silver chart for longer term understanding:
XAGUSD: Silver, and the latest on tariffs!Silver is trading in its ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. If silver reaches the supply zone, it can be sold. A downward correction will also provide us with a buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio.
U.S. President Donald Trump has implemented tariff policies with the aim of revitalizing domestic manufacturing. During the 1980s, a significant portion of American manufacturing jobs either moved overseas or were replaced by automation technologies.
The shift in production was largely driven by wage disparities across countries. Nevertheless, the United States remains a leading global manufacturer, although it now focuses on producing higher-value goods. Experts argue that imposing import taxes is unlikely to achieve one of its stated goals: restoring manufacturing as a central pillar of the U.S. economy.
According to many economists, Trump’s campaign to impose tariffs on a wide range of goods from trade partners is unlikely to bring back the manufacturing jobs that once formed the backbone of the blue-collar middle class.
In the mid-20th century, the U.S. was the manufacturing capital of the world, employing more workers in this sector than any other. At its peak in the 1950s, one-fourth of the civilian workforce was engaged in manufacturing.
However, starting in the 1980s, free trade agreements facilitated the relocation of many industries abroad, while automation reduced the need for human labor in the remaining factories. Today, only about 7% of the workforce is employed in manufacturing—a figure that has remained largely unchanged since the Great Recession.
The goal of tariffs is to incentivize businesses to relocate their factories to the U.S. to avoid paying import taxes—costs that are typically passed on to consumers.
While some economists believe this approach could work for select industries, it is unlikely to recreate an era in which most household items carried the “Made in America” label.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, while it’s unlikely that the Chinese President will initiate a call himself, the odds of Xi Jinping responding to a call from Trump are reportedly high.
This comes amid heightened tensions between the two nations due to new tariffs and escalating trade disputes, where both sides appear to be locked in a power struggle—neither willing to be the first to back down.
Although this news may seem minor on the surface, it carries a deeper signal for the markets: despite ongoing tensions, the possibility for communication and negotiation remains. This prospect, especially in a highly volatile environment, could be seen as a positive sign by investors.
Earlier in the week, Trump had stated he was waiting for a call from Xi. Now, the Wall Street Journal suggests that if Trump initiates the conversation, a response from China is likely. While this may be an unofficial message from within the Chinese leadership, it still indicates that the door to dialogue and de-escalation is not entirely closed.
SilverXAGUSD
- Rising Wedge as an corrective pattern in short time frame
- Break of Structure
- Demand Zone
- Fibonacci Level - 50.00% / 61.80%
- Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves
A Fibonacci 50% Retracement on Silver.A Fibonacci 50% Retracement on Silver, provides another shot at goal for those looking for lower
values!
Potential bullish rise?XAG/USD has bounce off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 29.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 31.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Silver bullish direction
expectation for strong bullish move on silver based on daily charts despite bullish sentiments on 2 H and 4 H and strong support and considering gold move upwards.
SILVER: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 30.949 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 31.206.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Potential Bearish MoveHi Traders.
We saw a clear breakout from the structure and right now we are forming
a continuation correction with a smaller HnS in the
making.
XAG getting ready for another run down.I believe XAG has finished the blue ((c)) of green (iv) with an ending diagonal, and now doing the first 1-2 of the green (v) wave of gray ((c)).
The price might do a very small retrace to 31.12 before starting a 3rd wave down.
I believe the green (v) is going to the green box area at 28.15 - 27.40 area.
But I actually have a weekly trendline lower down, which the price might want to go won and test, which also fits with the idea that the (v) wave could go all the way to the 100% Fiblevel of (i)+(iii) level.
This would mean the price would probably test the 25.0 level.
Silver Remains Volatile Amid Trade War and Recession FearsSilver stayed above $30.50 per ounce on strong safe-haven demand amid U.S.-China trade tensions. Prices held a 3.5% gain after President Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause and a 10% rate for all but China, which now faces a 125% tariff. China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 84%, and the EU approved duties on €21 billion of American exports. Fed minutes showed concerns about stagflation and the impact of Trump’s trade policies. Markets now await March U.S. inflation data on Thursday for clues on the Fed’s next move.
Technically, the first resistance level is located at 31.50. In case of its breach 32.15 and 33.30 could be monitored respectively. On the downside, the first support is at 30.20. 29.50 and 29.20 would become the next support levels if this level is passed.
SILVER (#XAGUSD): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!📈SILVER turned bullish after the yesterday's FOMC Minutes.
After testing a key daily support level, the market is showing a clear intraday reversal.
The formation of an ascending triangle pattern with a broken neckline confirms this bullish reversal.
I expect the market to continue its upward trajectory, potentially reaching the 31.82 level in the near future.
Silver H4 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 31.98 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 33.30 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 30.49 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Sell Idea!Hello all. market will react on the very important Node and collapse. the New Low will be made.
Silver (XAGUSD) might have launched into the next leg higherSilver (XAGUSD) has hit a key turning point after dropping from its October 23, 2024 peak. This decline unfolded in three distinct swings, following a zigzag pattern known as an Elliott Wave structure. Starting from that high, the first drop (wave A) landed at 29.68, followed by a bounce (wave B) to 34.58. Then, the final slide (wave C) bottomed out at 28.328, as seen on the hourly chart. This marked the end of a larger correction phase, called wave (4). Silver found its footing in a critical support zone between 24.86 and 28.56—a range calculated using Fibonacci tools, stretching 100% to 161.8% of the drop from the October high.
Now, silver is climbing again in what’s labeled wave (5). To confirm this upward trend, it needs to break past the prior peak of 34.86 from wave (3); otherwise, it might face another dip. Since bottoming out on April 7, 2025, at 28.328, silver rose to 30.81 (wave (i)), then eased back to 29.31 (wave (ii)). For now, as long as the 28.32 level holds firm, silver seems set to keep rising in the short term, offering hope for bullish traders.
SILVER Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is surging up again
But is about to enter a wide
Supply area around 31.40$
From where a local bearish
Correction is likely to take place
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
