Market next move
1. False Breakout / Bull Trap Risk
Observation: Price just touched the support and bounced slightly.
Disruption: If buyers fail to push above the next resistance (around 32.95–33.00), it could be a bull trap.
Implication: The bounce might just be a short-covering rally before another leg down.
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2. Weak Buying Volume
Observation: The bounce lacks strong green volume bars so far.
Disruption: Weak volume on the bounce suggests limited buyer conviction.
Implication: Without a volume surge, the upward move could fizzle out quickly.
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3. Lower High Structure
Observation: The trend before the support touch is clearly down.
Disruption: This bounce may only form a lower high before continuation lower.
Implication: The larger trend remains bearish unless 33.20+ is reclaimed with strength.
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4. Fundamental Headwinds
Disruption: Any upcoming data like strong USD, rising interest rates, or weak industrial demand could push silver down despite technical setups.
Implication: Bullish setups could fail fast due to macroeconomic pressure.
SILVER trade ideas
SILVER Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 33.484
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 32.948
Safe Stop Loss - 33.744
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Chart Pattern Analysis Of XAG
K1 and K2 break up the downtrend line of a potential bullish triangle pattern.
If K3 still stand upon the line,
It will be a valid break up.
On the other hand,
If the following candles close below K2 immediately,
K1 will be a fake up candle,
And the risk will sharply increase.
Long-33.4/Stop-33.08/Target-36
Silver Slips to $33.31 on Profit-TakingSilver eased to $33.31 per ounce, pulling back slightly as investors booked profits after recent gains. The retreat came even as the dollar remained weak and geopolitical tensions, including the conflict in Ukraine, persisted. While momentum slowed, physical demand, especially from Asia, continues to provide a firm base for silver.
Support is at $32.30, with resistance at $33.80. Additional levels include $34.20 and $34.90 above, and $31.40 and $30.20 below.
Nine Failures at $33.50—Will Silver Bulls Finally Step Aside?How many more failures above $33.50 will silver bulls need to see before they step aside and let the market correct? Nine times since mid-April we’ve seen the level breached, only for price to reverse lower—providing a decent short setup if and when the bulls give up.
Positions could be established around the level with a stop above $33.69 for protection, targeting the 50DMA initially with $32.00 and $31.67 options after that. If the price is unable to break uptrend support, considering squaring the position. It’s found around $33.20 today.
Momentum indicators remain bullish, although there are signs upward momentum is waning.
If the bulls manage to break and hold above $33.69, the setup could be flipped, with longs established on the break and a stop beneath for protection. The March high of $34.59 screens as an obvious target.
Good luck!
DS
Silver M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reading near our sell entry at 33.38, a pullback resistance close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 33.24, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 33.53, which is a swing-high resistance.
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XAGUSD: Wait for a clear breakout to buy.Silver turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.038, MACD = 0.169, ADX = 26.102) but that alone isn't enough to turn us into buyers again just yet, as the Channel Up on the 4H timeframe has failed so far twice to break over the R1 level. If it does, then we will turn bullish, aiming for a +5.75% rise from the last 4H MA50 contact with TP = 34.4500.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Market next target ---
Bearish Disruption Analysis
1. False Breakout Zone (Red Box Area):
The price is revisiting the red box area (potential supply/resistance zone). If it fails to break and close above this zone convincingly, it may signal a bull trap.
Previous attempts to push higher were rejected around this level, showing seller strength.
2. Lower High Formation Risk:
The recent upward move might form a lower high compared to the high from the 25th.
If price reverses below $33.30–$33.20, it could trigger more downside momentum, potentially targeting the $33.00 or even $32.80 level.
3. Volume Divergence:
Notice the decline in volume as price attempts to rise. Lower buying volume may indicate weak bullish conviction, which increases the risk of a downturn.
4. Bearish Candlestick Reversal Pattern:
If any bearish engulfing or shooting star candlestick forms near resistance, it would support a bearish reversal case.
Silver Continues to Face Broad Lateral ChannelOver the past five trading sessions, silver has managed to sustain a significant short-term bullish move, posting a steady gain of just over 4%. The current bullish bias has remained relatively consistent, as global risk perception stays elevated, mainly due to the ongoing back-and-forth of the trade war.
In his recent comments, President Trump announced that he might impose tariffs of up to 50% on European products if negotiations failed to progress quickly. Although a temporary truce has been reached following this statement, the European Union may continue preparing countermeasures in case no concrete agreement is achieved.
In this context, silver plays a crucial role, as XAG/USD is widely regarded as one of the quintessential safe-haven assets. As global economic risk perception—tied to the growing trade conflict—continues to rise, silver will likely attract enough capital to sustain steady buying pressure.
Additionally, it's important to note that the U.S. dollar is currently showing marked weakness against its major peers. If this weakness persists, buying pressure on silver could become even more relevant in upcoming sessions, provided these macroeconomic factors remain in place.
Broad Lateral Channel:
Since October 2024, silver has remained within a broad lateral channel between resistance at $34.43 and support at $30.38. Recently, a short-term bullish trend has begun to form, although buying momentum still seems insufficient to break out of this range. Therefore, this remains the most important technical pattern to monitor in the short term. As long as the top of the channel holds, it could serve as a key level triggering pullbacks in the current buying trend.
RSI:
Although the RSI line has started to rise steadily, it remains close to the neutral 50 level, suggesting equilibrium between buying and selling forces in the market. As long as the RSI continues to hover around this level, such neutrality may start to weigh on the current upward trend.
ADX:
The ADX line remains below the 20 mark, indicating that average volatility in recent movements is not decisive. This may signal that a phase of persistent neutrality is reemerging in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$32.75 – Near-term resistance marked by the 50-period moving average. This level could serve as a barrier in case of downside corrections.
$31.45 – A critical support level, aligned with the 200-period moving average. Selling movements reaching this area could invalidate the ongoing bullish setup.
$34.43 – Main resistance, representing the upper boundary of the broad lateral range. Breakouts above this level would reinforce a stronger bullish bias.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 33.383 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.469.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,333.6.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,538.8 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAGUSD Technical Analysis : MMC Breakdown from Resistance ZoneChart Concept: By Using MMC – Mirror Market Concepts
🔎 1. Major Resistance Zone – The Brick Wall
At the top of the chart, around $33.85–$34.00, we see a strong major resistance zone. This area has acted as a ceiling for price multiple times in the past. Think of it like a brick wall where the bulls keep trying to break through but get pushed back. When price touches this level and fails to break above it, that’s a clear rejection.
This rejection gives the first sign that buyers are losing steam and sellers are stepping in.
🧠 2. Mirror Market Concept (MMC) in Action
Using the MMC (Mirror Market Concept), we’re treating the chart like a reflection — what happened on one side of the move is likely to mirror or repeat on the other.
So when price aggressively moved up into resistance, you look for a symmetrical move back down once it's rejected — just like looking in a mirror. This concept helps predict where price might land based on previous movements, levels, and psychological patterns.
🧱 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support ↔ Resistance Flip)
Look around the $33.10–$33.25 area — this is a critical SR interchange zone. Price used this zone as resistance in the past, broke above it, and then used it as support.
Now that price has rejected from the top, it’s coming back down to retest this SR zone. If it breaks below this area, it confirms a shift in market structure—from bullish to bearish.
🌀 4. Black Mind Curve Support – Dynamic Support
That curved black line? That’s not just a drawing — it's called Mind Curve Support in MMC. This curve helps map out dynamic support based on price memory and human psychology.
As long as the price respects that curve, the structure is bullish. But once it breaks below it — like it’s threatening to do now — it often means momentum has shifted and a correction is underway.
⛓️ 5. Bearish Breakdown Structure
Once price touched the major resistance, it formed two swing highs labeled TP1 and TP2. That’s very similar to a double top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal signal. After the second peak, price dropped sharply — that’s your early confirmation of a potential move lower.
And now, price is forming lower highs and lower lows, another classic sign of bearish momentum taking over.
🎯 6. Target Zone – Why $32.72?
Here’s where MMC really helps:
The projected target zone is $32.72, which is marked in the chart.
Why this exact level?
It’s previous market structure (support zone from earlier)
It aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
It’s the mirror reflection of the bullish move, completing the MMC concept
This is a high-probability area where buyers may step in again.
💼 Trade Setup Summary (Educational Only)
Parameter Level
Entry Below $33.20 after confirmation candle
Stop Loss Above $33.85 (recent high)
Take Profit $32.72 (MMC Mirror Target)
🧠 Final Thoughts – The MMC Edge
This chart isn’t just about lines and levels. It’s about understanding how traders think — where they get excited, scared, greedy, or exhausted. That’s what Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) are built on.
By recognizing structure, psychological curves, and SR flips, you're not just guessing—you’re reading the market’s mind.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Always use proper risk management and confirm setups with your own trading plan before entering any trade.
Skeptic | Silver (XAG/USD): Bullish Breakout Ready to Surge?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s dive into a quick Silver (XAG/USD) update—I’m catching some serious bullish vibes! 😎
On the 4-hour chart , Silver’s teasing a major resistance level right now. Keep your eyes locked on 33.68855 . If we break and hold above it, we could see a nice rally kick off. You can also use RSI hitting overbought to confirm that bullish momentum is heating up. Just stay patient and wait for that breakout confirmation to ride the wave! 👀 By the way, for you forex traders out there, what’s your go-to alternative to volume, which is super key in crypto? Drop your thoughts in the comments so we can learn together! 📝
💬 Let’s Chat!
If this sparks some trading ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Want me to dive into another pair or setup? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for hanging out—keep trading sharp! ✌️
Silver Consolidates After Huge Drop – Breakout Ahead?At the beginning of April, XAGUSD experienced a dramatic decline, losing over 5,000 pips in just three trading days — a drop of more than 15% of its value.
However, after bottoming out on Monday, April 7, the price staged a sharp rebound and, within a week, was back around the 33.00 level.
📉➡️📈 From Panic to Pause – What’s Next?
For more than a month now, Silver has been trading in a tight range, between just under 32.00 and slightly above 33.00.
This consolidation forms a rectangle pattern, which is typically a continuation structure in technical analysis.
With this in mind, I expect further upside from Silver. A clean breakout above the current range could send the price toward the 35.00 zone — and possibly beyond this psychological level.
📊 Trading Plan:
As long as the 32.00 support holds, I remain bullish and will look to buy dips, aiming for a positive risk-reward setup, ideally around 1:2.
🧠 Consolidation breeds momentum — don’t sleep on Silver. If the genuine breakout comes, it could be explosive. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.