Trendline BreakThe price has shown signs of a bearish trend after making a false breakout and breaking the bullish trendline, now the price has closed with a strong bearish candle suggesting a bearish impulse is at hand
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
SILVERCFD trade ideas
Silver (XAGUSD) Dip Anticipated to Spark Buyer ActivitySilver’s rally from its July 4, 2025, low has unfolded as an impulsive Elliott Wave structure, completing Wave (1) at $33.67. The metal is now in a corrective Wave (2) pullback. It is characterized by a double three Elliott Wave pattern, a common corrective formation in technical analysis. From the Wave (1) peak, Wave ((a)) declined to $32.63, followed by a recovery in Wave ((b)) to $33.53. The subsequent drop in Wave ((c)) reached $31.65, finalizing Wave W of the double three structure.
A corrective rally then formed Wave X, structured as a zigzag. Within Wave X, Wave ((a)) advanced to $32.70, Wave ((b)) pulled back to $31.91, and Wave ((c)) rose to $33.25, completing Wave X at a higher degree. Silver has since resumed its decline in Wave Y. From the Wave X high, Wave ((w)) fell to $32.20, and a minor recovery in Wave ((x)) hit $33.23. As long as Silver stays below the Wave (1) high of $33.67, further downside is expected, targeting $29.90–$31.18, based on the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension from the April 25, 2025, high. This range may attract buyers, potentially sparking a reversal. While the $33.67 pivot holds, rallies are likely to fail in 3, 7, or 11-swing patterns, leading to further declines. Traders should watch these levels for strategic entry points.
Silver Sell Setup- Go for sell only when entry setup given
- will not enter without confirmation
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
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"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s Everything."
SILVER XAGUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidation breakoutKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3332
Resistance Level 2: 3365
Resistance Level 3: 3409
Support Level 1: 3188
Support Level 2: 3138
Support Level 3: 3090
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NEXT MOVEInvalidation of Bearish Setup:
If silver closes above $33.00 with strong momentum, the resistance will turn into support, invalidating the expected sell-off and opening room toward $33.50+ levels.
Silver Surfers & Profit Pirates!Dive into the XAG/USD Silver Market with our slick Coastal Trader Blueprint! We’re blending razor-sharp technicals with juicy fundamentals to surf both bullish and bearish waves. Ready to ride the silver tide and stack those pips? Let’s make waves! 🌊📈
🏄♂️ The Silver Surf Strategy
Entry Signals 🚦:
🐬 Bullish Ride: Catch a dip to the Coastal Support Zone at 34.200—your ticket to ride the bullish swell!
🦈 Bearish Drop: Spot a break below 31.300—dive in for the bearish plunge!
Pro Tip: Set price alerts to nab these levels! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️:
Bullish Trade: Anchor SL at 31.300 (4H swing low, Coastal Support Zone).
Bearish Trade: Fix SL at 33.700 (4H swing high).
Tweak SL based on risk, lot size, and order count. Stay safe—this is your lifeline! ⚓
Take Profit (TP) 🏝️:
Bullish Surfers: Aim for 36.500 or bail if the tide turns.
Bearish Surfers: Target 28.800 or slip out before the market flips.
Exit Trick: Watch RSI for overbought/oversold signals to dodge wipeouts! 🚨
🌍 Why XAG/USD?
Silver’s riding a bearish current 🐻 as of May 12, 2025, fueled by:
Fundamentals: USD strength from Fed hawkishness, US economic growth, and tariff talks.
Macroeconomics: US resilience outshines global slowdown.
COT Data (Latest Friday, May 9, 2025): Speculative net shorts on silver rise, favoring USD
Intermarket: Soaring US yields and equities lift USD, capping silver.
Quantitative: RSI (oversold hints) and Fibonacci (61.8% retracement) signal bearish bias.
📊 Sentiment Snapshot (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Retail Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 40% 😄 (Betting on silver’s safe-haven spark)
🔴 Bearish: 47% 😣 (USD rally and yield spikes dominate)
⚪ Neutral: 13% 🤷♂️
Institutional Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 28% 💼 (Geopolitical hedges fuel demand)
🔴 Bearish: 62% ⚠️ (USD strength and high yields crush silver)
⚪ Neutral: 10% 🧐
⚡ Market Movers: News & Risk Control 📰
Volatility’s our wave, but surf smart:
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (FOMC, NFP).
Use trailing stops to lock profits and cap losses.
Stay alert—ride the news, don’t wipe out! 🌪️
💸 Real-Time Market Data (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Forex (USD Pairs): USD Index (DXY) at 102.50, up 0.3% (source: Financial Juice).
Commodities CFD: Silver (XAG/USD) at 31.850, down 1.2% daily.
Metals: Gold (XAU/USD) at 2,650, down 0.8%; Copper at 4.20, flat.
Energies: WTI Crude Oil at 78.30, up 0.5%.
Crypto: BTC/USD at 62,400, down 0.4%.
Indices: S&P 500 at 5,820, up 0.2%; Nasdaq 100 at 20,100, flat.
🚀 Join the Coastal Trader Crew!
Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our Coastal Trader Blueprint and make this silver surf legendary! 🌟 Every boost powers our squad to conquer the markets. Let’s dominate XAG/USD together! 🤙
Stay locked on your charts, keep alerts active, and vibe high. See you in the profits, surfers! 🤑🎈
#CoastalTrader #XAGUSD #SilverSurf #TradingView #RideTheTide
Silver Shines Again! | XAGUSD Long Trade IdeaXAGUSD is showing bullish potential as price rebounded strongly from a key support zone, forming a higher low structure. On the 4H chart, price has broken above the descending trendline and is now trading above the 50 EMA – a classic bullish confirmation for trend continuation.
With bullish momentum building, a pullback to the breakout zone or the 50EMA could offer an attractive entry opportunity for long positions. Look for confirmation with bullish candlestick patterns or strong volume push.
🎯 Potential Target: Previous swing high / Pivot resistance
🛑 Stop Loss: Below recent higher low or 50EMA support zone
📚 Educational Note: In metals like silver, trendline breaks coupled with EMA alignment often provide high-probability setups. Always wait for confirmation to avoid fakeouts.
4 hour Triangle patternThe price has formed a triangle pattern followed by a false breakout and now if the price makes a higher high, we might get a bullish impulse
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
SILVER Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 32.746 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target -32.586
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short Idea on Silver (XAGUSD)Based On :
- 1h Supply covered by weekly
- POIV divergence
- IQMS Extremes about to flip
Trade idea: XAGUSD long (BUY LIMIT)1. Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend)
• Trend: Strong bullish structure, recent consolidation after breakout above $30.
• MACD: Histogram tapering but still positive — momentum cooling but bullish bias intact.
• RSI (48.70): Neutral zone, not overbought or oversold — room for upside continuation.
• Price Action: Holding near previous resistance-turned-support around $32.40.
15-Min Chart (Intraday Context)
• Trend: Pullback from recent highs, but signs of base forming near $32.40.
• MACD: Still bearish, but histogram is flattening — suggesting downside momentum weakening.
• RSI (42.98): Near oversold territory — early sign of bounce potential.
3-Min Chart (Entry Timing)
• MACD: Just flipped bullish (signal line crossover), bullish divergence spotted.
• RSI (61.34): Rebounding strongly — confirmation of short-term bullish momentum.
• Price Action: Higher lows forming; reclaiming the 20 EMA.
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2. Fundamental Backdrop (as of May 2025):
• Dovish Fed stance and expectations of interest rate cuts continue to support metals.
• Global macro uncertainty (inflation, geopolitical tensions) keeps demand for silver intact.
• Industrial demand for silver remains strong due to green energy initiatives.
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3. Trade Setup (Long Position):
Bias: LONG XAGUSD
• Entry: 32.43 (current price, confirming breakout on 3M chart)
• Stop Loss (SL): 31.90 (below recent intraday low and structure support)
• Take Profit (TP): 33.80 (previous swing high from April, daily resistance zone)
FUSIONMARKETS:XAGUSD
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.455 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 32.035.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAGUSD 11/05/2025Weekly:
-Liqudity sweep.
-Bullish Weekly candle.
Daily:
-Inverse H&S pattern.
4H:
-Bullish M pattern.
-Inverse H&S pattern.
SILVER: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Silver USM2 Projections: 2032As we see USM2 Expand along this exponential line we can project around $33 trillion USDM2 around 2032. Silver, which is currently undervalued relative to many assets may fall again against M2, or rise. It seems to have hit resistance currently. Here I have outlined three scenarios:
Red: Silver falls against M2, but is nominally higher by 2032 at $43 an ounce.
Orange: Silver meets resistance again along this line at $72 an ounce.
Green: Silver reaches 2011 resistance at $294 an ounce.
Projecting the 1980 peak onto 2032 M2 supply gives $1746.
Of course we may see any range in between here, but buying at $33 and it being worth $43 in 2032 still outperforms 4% compounding on cash by about 10%.
SILVER INTRADAY important support at 3200Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3300
Resistance Level 2: 3364
Resistance Level 3: 3405
Support Level 1: 3200
Support Level 2: 3136
Support Level 3: 3095
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver Market Steady — Eyes on the UpsideSilver is consolidating, holding above the 32 level. Dips are being bought actively, though there's no breakout higher yet — likely just a matter of time.
There were hopes for a deeper pullback to buy around 30.8–31, but the market didn’t offer the opportunity.
I'm holding a long position with a stop just below the 32.15 support level. I believe there's a solid chance for an upside acceleration and a breakout higher.
SilverXAGUSD
- Break of Structure
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves
- RSI - Divergence
- Consolidation Phase as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Order Block
SILVERSilver Price, Bond Yield, and DXY Correlation in the Economy
Key Correlations
Silver and DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse Relationship
Silver is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (DXY↑) makes silver more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and pressuring prices lower. Conversely, a weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts silver’s affordability, increasing demand and prices.
Example: In early 2025, silver surged toward $32.60 as the DXY dropped to 99.50, highlighting this dynamic.
Silver and Bond Yields: Typically Inverse, But Context-Dependent
Higher bond yields (e.g., US 10-year Treasury) raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding silver, often pressuring prices downward.
Exception: During stagflation (high inflation + low growth) or geopolitical crises, silver and yields may rise together as investors seek inflation hedges.
Bond Yields and DXY: Positive Correlation
Rising US bond yields attract foreign capital, strengthening the dollar (DXY↑). This synergy often pressures silver prices via both channels.
Economic Applications
1. Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics
Fed Rate Hikes: Increase bond yields and often strengthen the dollar, creating dual headwinds for silver. However, if hikes fail to curb inflation, silver may rally as a hedge.
Quantitative Easing (QE): Expands money supply, weakening the dollar and supporting silver. For example, post-2008 QE drove silver to $50/oz by 2011.
2. Stagflation Scenarios
When inflation outpaces growth (e.g., 2024–2025), silver often outperforms despite rising yields. Investors prioritize its role as an inflation hedge over yield-driven opportunity costs.
3. Industrial Demand and Currency Volatility
Silver’s industrial use (e.g., solar panels, electronics) ties its price to economic growth. A weak dollar (DXY↓) can amplify demand from tech and green energy sectors, offsetting yield-driven declines.
4. Safe-Haven Flows
During geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade wars), silver and the dollar may both strengthen temporarily, disrupting their usual inverse correlation.
Strategic Implications
Factor Silver Price Impact Economic Signal
DXY ↑ + Yields ↑ Bearish Strong dollar, tight monetary policy
DXY ↓ + Yields ↓ Bullish Weak dollar, accommodative policy
DXY ↓ + Yields ↑ Mixed Stagflation or growth-inflation mix
Yield Peaks: Negatively divergent 10-year yields (~4.54% in May 2025) suggest impending declines, potentially boosting silver.
Debt-Driven Inflation: With U.S. debt-to-GDP exceeding 200%, monetary debasement fears support long-term silver demand despite short-term yield pressures.
Conclusion
The interplay between silver, bond yields, and the DXY provides critical insights into economic health and investor sentiment. While their correlations are often inverse, stagflation or systemic risks can override these trends, positioning silver as both a cyclical and structural hedge. Policymakers and traders monitor these relationships to navigate inflation, growth, and currency volatility.
#SILVER #DOLLAR #GOLD #FX #FOREX
Market falls downward
1. Resistance Zone May Be Weak
Observation: A red rectangle marks a resistance area.
Disruption: This "resistance" level is based on a short-term bounce and may not have strong historical confluence. It lacks multiple rejections to establish it as a true resistance zone.
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2. Overemphasis on Bearish Bias
Observation: Two bearish paths (blue and yellow) dominate the projection, indicating an expected drop.
Disruption: This may be prematurely bearish. There's no confirmation of rejection yet—no strong bearish candlestick pattern (like a shooting star, engulfing, or evening star) is visible in that zone.
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3. Lack of Bullish Consideration
Observation: A small green arrow is shown but not given much weight.
Disruption: The recent candles show higher lows, indicating potential bullish pressure. If price breaks above the marked zone, it may trigger a short squeeze rally.
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4. Volume Misalignment
Observation: Volume spikes during the bounce, especially on the green candles.
Disruption: Rising volume on a recovery typically supports continuation upward. This analysis ignores the bullish volume context and instead forecasts reversal.
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5. No Higher Timeframe Confluence
Observation: 1-hour chart used in isolation.
Disruption: A strong bearish or bullish direction on the 4H or Daily chart would validate or invalidate this local setup. Without it, the trade thesis lacks broader context.
Silver following a similar channel back in 2008I was looking at silver and noticed that it's currently in a channel similar to one that started in late 2008 and went on for about 749 days before it rocketed to new highs.
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.882 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.317.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAG USD LONG RESULT Silver price moved exactly as I calculated after the break of the Trendline as I wrote even in the chart, I simply followed my strategy and executed and boom TP smashed.
Good Trade and Setup, let's keep it Going 💪👌🔥
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.🔱
