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SILVERCFD trade ideas

POTENTIAL AREA TO GO LONG FROM SILVER 1M - As you can see I have gone ahead and marked out an area of Demand I feel will be a good place to buy in, should price retrace back down to this area. The area I have marked is a hidden order block here on the one month TF. By price trading us down and into this area it is allowing us to get involved in this market at a better price meaning we are able to profit nicely from a new leg to the upside. The reason I feel price may trade us down and into this area before taking us higher in the market is because there will be a-lot of Demand waiting to be introduced. On top of that Supply will be removed. Supply will be removed from the market because those shorting will need somewhere to take profit, also the Supply that is sat within this area will also be removed closing positions at break even.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Lukegforex
XAG/USD Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected on 14/10/2024.The XAG/USD (Silver to US Dollar) pair is likely to exhibit a slight bearish bias today, driven by a combination of fundamental and technical factors. The global silver market is influenced by economic data, investor sentiment, and broader financial market trends. In this article, we provide a detailed analysis of the factors likely to drive XAG/USD lower, while optimizing for SEO ranking with relevant keywords. 1. Stronger US Dollar The primary factor putting pressure on XAG/USD is the strengthening US dollar. Despite some recent softness, the US dollar index (DXY) remains elevated due to positive US economic data, particularly in the labor market. The recent release of robust non-farm payrolls (NFP) and a steady unemployment rate has reinforced the Federal Reserve's stance on keeping interest rates higher for longer. With the prospect of higher interest rates, the dollar is maintaining its appeal as a safe-haven asset, which tends to weigh on silver prices. 2. Rising US Treasury Yields In tandem with a strong US dollar, US Treasury yields continue to rise, further pressuring precious metals like silver. Higher yields make non-yielding assets like silver less attractive to investors. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is nearing multi-year highs, suggesting continued demand for safer, interest-bearing assets over riskier commodities such as silver. As long as yields remain elevated, silver prices are likely to stay under pressure, contributing to a bearish outlook for XAG/USD. 3. Silver's Role as an Industrial Metal Silver is not only a precious metal but also an important industrial commodity . Given its extensive use in industries such as electronics, renewable energy (solar panels), and manufacturing, any slowdown in global economic growth tends to dampen demand for silver. Recent concerns over a potential slowdown in China’s economic growth—a major driver of global industrial demand—could lead to weaker silver prices. If demand for industrial silver weakens, this would likely contribute to a bearish trend for XAG/USD. 4. Geopolitical Tensions Easing Silver, like gold, is often viewed as a safe-haven asset during times of geopolitical uncertainty. However, the easing of recent geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, has diminished the demand for safe-haven assets. This shift in sentiment could lead to further downside pressure on silver as risk-on market conditions prevail. If tensions continue to de-escalate, silver could see reduced buying interest, further supporting a bearish bias. 5. Technical Analysis of XAG/USD From a technical perspective, XAG/USD is currently trading below its 50-day moving average, signaling a bearish trend . The pair is hovering near support around the $21.50 level, but a break below this level could open the door to further downside, potentially testing the $21.00 psychological support level. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is showing bearish momentum, while MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is also trending lower, indicating continued selling pressure. 6. Key Data Releases to Watch Traders should pay attention to the following data releases, which could influence XAG/USD today: - US Retail Sales Data: A stronger-than-expected result could boost the US dollar, further weighing on silver prices. - Fed Speakers: Any hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding future rate hikes could add to the bearish sentiment for silver. - China's Industrial Output: Slower growth in China’s industrial production could reduce silver demand, pushing prices lower. Conclusion Overall, XAG/USD is expected to exhibit a slight bearish bias today , driven by a stronger US dollar, rising Treasury yields, weakening industrial demand, and easing geopolitical risks. The technical outlook also supports a downside move, with key support levels in focus. Traders should remain cautious and monitor economic data releases that could impact silver’s price action throughout the day. Keywords for SEO Ranking: - XAG/USD analysis, - XAG/USD bearish bias, - Silver to USD analysis, - US dollar strength, - US Treasury yields impact on silver, - Silver as an industrial metal, - China economic slowdown and silver, - Precious metals analysis, - Technical analysis XAG/USD, - Silver price forecast, - Safe-haven assets, - Geopolitical risks in silver market, - US retail sales impact on silver, - Federal Reserve rate hikes impact on silver, - Trading silver in 2024.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by PERFECT_MFG
Silver Buyers Seek Breakout as Key Resistance FallsTechnical Analysis In the hourly chart, silver ERRANTE:XAGUSD has shown bullish momentum, managing to fill the opening gap during the European session and breaking above the key resistance at $31.298. The bounce from $30.893 reflects solid support at this level, highlighting a firm foundation for further upside movement. If the current upward trend continues, the next targets for silver lie at $31.466, $31.548, $31.703, and potentially $31.871. The price recently closed above the middle Bollinger band, which suggests the possibility of ongoing bullish momentum. As the price trades closer to the upper band, it may face some resistance, while the lower Bollinger band could act as support if there is a pullback. Market Overview From a fundamental standpoint, the environment for silver ERRANTE:XAGUSD remains neutral to slightly positive. Growing industrial demand, especially in sectors such as solar energy and electronics, continues to support silver's prices. If the outlook for these sectors remains positive or if the U.S. dollar weakens, silver's price is likely to rise. The current sentiment appears to be cautiously optimistic, setting the stage for silver buyers to potentially regain control.
ERRANTE:XAGUSDLong
by Errante
#Silver bearish counter trend opportunityAs seen in the chart, silver has formed a 5-wave bullish impulsive move and has since begun a bearish move, which could be labeled as wave A. As we know, corrective waves typically occur in three waves. I believe we are nearing the completion of wave B, which could lead to another bearish leg to complete wave C. This entire 3-wave bearish move could then form wave 2 of 5 on a higher degree. Therefore, while we might be looking at a short-term bearish move, according to Elliott Wave theory, there is still significant bullish potential in the coming weeks.
TVC:SILVERShort
by mohemati
#Silver near the end of wave 3 of 5 of 3 From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that the price has formed wave 3 in an impulsive bullish move. Therefore, we can anticipate a bearish corrective move to complete wave 4. Based on the principle of alternation, since wave 2 was a sharp correction, wave 4 could potentially be a more prolonged, time-consuming corrective phase. This suggests that the upcoming wave 4 correction may develop as a more complex or sideways movement before resuming the uptrend for wave 5. It's important to note that bullish move is still on. However, we may now see a bearish corrective move.
TVC:SILVER
by mohemati
1
XAGUSD View!!Front Month Comex Silver for October delivery lost 60.80 cents per troy ounce, or 1.89% to $31.520 this week Largest one week net and percentage decline since the week ending Sept. 6, 2024 Snaps a four week winning streak Today it is up 51.50 cents or 1.66% Up for three consecutive sessions Up $1.165 or 3.84% over the last three sessions Largest three day dollar and percentage gain since Thursday, Sept. 26, 2024 Off 2.13% from its 52-week high of $32.205 hit Monday, May 20, 2024 Up 42.65% from its 52-week low of $22.096 hit Tuesday, Feb. 13, 2024 Rose 38.69% from 52 weeks ago
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by FXBANkthe8055
#XAGUSD 4HXAG/USD (Silver vs. US Dollar) pair on the 4-hour chart is showing a support pattern, indicating that the price is holding firm at a particular level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Pattern Description: The market seems to have established a solid support level, where downward momentum is being halted. After a period of selling pressure, the price has tested and bounced off this support zone multiple times, signaling that buyers are stepping in to defend this level. This consistent defense suggests that a reversal might be imminent, as the market sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish. Forecast: Given the strength of the support level, the current outlook is bullish, with a potential move to the upside. The price is likely to break higher as buying momentum gathers strength. This makes it a favorable opportunity to buy, targeting the next resistance levels. However, it's important to keep an eye on any additional price action and volume confirmation before entering the trade. Key Indicators: - Strong support - Price consolidating near support, indicating indecision before a potential breakout. - RSI and other momentum indicators suggest oversold conditions, supporting the bullish forecast. Recommendation: Consider entering a buy position near the support level, with a stop-loss placed just below the support zone to manage risk effectively. Potential price targets could be set at key resistance areas above.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by PIPSFIGHTER
XAGUSD Analysis: Slightly Bearish Bias on October 11, 2024The XAGUSD (Silver to US Dollar) pair is expected to show a slightly bearish bias on October 11, 2024, as several fundamental factors and current market conditions weigh on silver prices. For traders and investors looking to make informed decisions today, it’s important to understand the key drivers influencing this precious metal. Key Fundamental Drivers: 1. Stronger US Dollar: - The US Dollar has shown some strength following slightly positive economic data releases, particularly in US jobless claims and PPI (Producer Price Index) figures, which came in higher than expected. A strong US Dollar generally pressures commodity prices, including silver, as it becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies to buy dollar-denominated assets. 2. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance: - Although the Federal Reserve has hinted at a potential pause in interest rate hikes, its overall stance remains hawkish. Comments from Fed officials about maintaining elevated interest rates to control inflation are causing investors to shy away from non-yielding assets like silver, which does not offer interest or dividends. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding silver, adding to bearish sentiment. 3. Weakening Demand for Safe-Haven Assets: - While geopolitical risks, particularly in the Middle East , continue to simmer, the demand for safe-haven assets like silver has not spiked significantly. Market sentiment appears to be stabilizing after recent volatility, causing investors to shift their focus back to riskier assets, which dampens the appeal of silver as a hedge against uncertainty. 4. Industrial Demand Outlook: - Silver’s dual role as a precious metal and an industrial commodity adds complexity to its price movements. Concerns over a slowdown in global industrial activity, particularly from key consumers like China, are weighing on silver prices. The outlook for industrial demand has weakened, with recent reports pointing to sluggish manufacturing data, further reinforcing the bearish bias for XAGUSD. Current Market Sentiment: - Technical Analysis: - XAGUSD is currently trading near $22.50, a key psychological support level. A break below this level could open the door for further downside movement, with the next potential target being the $22.00 mark. - RSI on the 4-hour chart is trending below 50, indicating bearish momentum. The price action shows that silver is struggling to maintain any significant upward momentum, aligning with the overall bearish bias for the day. - Moving Averages: XAGUSD remains below its 50-day moving average, signaling a bearish trend continuation. Traders are likely to view any rallies as selling opportunities, particularly near the $23.00 resistance level. - Market Sentiment: - The overall sentiment in the silver market is leaning bearish, as traders remain cautious about the potential for further downside risk in the near term. The strength of the US Dollar and lackluster industrial demand for silver are key contributing factors to this sentiment. Conclusion: In summary, the XAGUSD pair is likely to maintain a slightly bearish bias today, as the stronger US Dollar, a hawkish Fed, and weakening industrial demand weigh on silver prices. Traders should keep an eye on key technical levels, as a break below critical support zones could trigger further selling pressure. The fundamental outlook for silver remains subdued, with few catalysts for a bullish recovery in the short term. Keywords for SEO Optimization: - XAGUSD analysis - XAGUSD forecast - Silver price forecast - Silver to USD analysis - Silver market outlook - US Dollar impact on silver - Federal Reserve rate hike impact - Silver technical analysis - Precious metals trading strategy - Industrial demand for silver - Silver market trends This XAGUSD analysis provides a comprehensive overview of today’s slightly bearish outlook for silver , giving traders insights into the key drivers influencing the market. Stay updated on forex trading and precious metals market analysis for better trading opportunities.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by PERFECT_MFG