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SILVERCFD trade ideas

XAGUSD (SILVER) TRADE PLANTactical Plan – XAG/USD (as of $36.46) 🧠 Bias: 🔻 Short-Term Bearish due to: Evening Star Doji on 4H Parabolic rally exhaustion Weakening momentum into resistance 📋 TRADE PLAN (SWING SETUP) Parameter Entry / Target Entry Sell on break below $36.30 (confirmation candle close below it) Stop Loss (SL) Above high of the Evening Star: $36.88 TP1 (short-term) $35.85 (1:1 RR) TP2 (core target) $34.95 TP3 (extended) $33.80 (if trend fully unwinds) 🧮 Position Sizing & Risk Aim for 2R or more Size down if volatility spikes or CPI/FOMC events are near (June macro data may distort flows) 🔁 Alternative Scenario Condition Action Price closes above $37.00 Invalidate shorts, flip bias to bullish Price holds $36.30–$36.00 No trade (chop zone), wait for clean break 🔄 TRADE MANAGEMENT Trail stop once TP1 is hit Add to position only if price breaks $35.50 with volume 🧠 RISK CONTEXT: What Would Trigger a Bigger Drop? USD strength (watch DXY reclaim 105+) Risk-off sentiment (bond yields up, equities fall) Any signs of Fed hawkish surprise this week 🎯 Summary of the Play “If $36.30 fails to hold, I'm short to $35.00. If $36.00 breaks, it's a deeper unwind to $34.00. But if bulls push through $37, I’m out immediately — trend resumes upward.”
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDShort
by jibkhan111
Silver about to EXPLODE?If we go and hit the mid range of this channel $114, consistent with the peak in 2011 and the peak in 1974 and 1983, then a 0.71 Fib pullback lands us with support EXACTLY on the $50 historical resistance. Fib extending this gain and pullback from this breakout gives a target of $134! Just some technical speculation. After these blow-off-tops, we can expect a multi-year bear cycle (8-9 years) to some 20% below the 200 week MA, or the bottom of the channel. So potentially back to $35 range in 2035? Or is this time different? Chat GPT states: Phase 3: $134.24 Fibonacci Expansion This is not an arbitrary number. It aligns with: 1.618 extension of the previous full range Long-term silver:gdp/M2 parity when adjusted for gold performance Top of the upper channel (log scale) In real terms, this would still be undervalued compared to historical benchmarks like: 1700s–1800s England/France, where 1 oz silver bought 1 day’s skilled wage ($200–300 today) 1930s–1960s U.S. silver dime could buy a gallon of petrol — still ~$3.50 today = ~$50–70/oz minimum utility parity Why $134 Is Not an Irrational Target Historical + Monetary Convergence: Metric Value Needed for Silver Gold at $3,400, 25:1 Ratio $136 M2 Parity (Silver:M2 = 1:160B) $130–140 ShadowStats Inflation Adj. 1980 $134–150 Industrial Demand Scaling (2025–2030) $100+ minimum
TVC:SILVERLong
by Shauns_Trading
Silver Bulls Breach Key Resistance – Momentum BuildsSilver (XAG/USD) has punched through a major horizontal resistance level around the psychological $35.00 mark, marking a significant technical breakout with bullish continuation potential. 🔍 Technical Highlights Breakout Above Multi-Month Resistance: Price has cleanly broken above the key $35.00 zone, which had capped upside since late 2023. The breakout follows a tight consolidation range, suggesting a measured accumulation phase has ended. Moving Averages Aligned Bullishly: The 50-day SMA is rising sharply and sits well above the 200-day SMA. Price is comfortably trading above both averages, confirming a strong uptrend structure. MACD in Strong Positive Territory: MACD has surged above its signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. No signs of a bearish crossover in sight. RSI Enters Overbought Zone: RSI is currently near 70. While this signals strong momentum, it also raises the potential for short-term cooling or consolidation before any continued leg higher. ⚙️ Outlook The breakout above $35.00 represents a major bullish development, potentially opening the door to further upside exploration. The impulsive nature of recent gains, combined with rising momentum indicators and trend-confirming moving averages, all favor the bulls. However, the overbought RSI suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or sideways consolidation before the next move higher. Traders may want to monitor for a potential retest of the $35.00 area as support, which could offer a higher-probability continuation setup within the broader uptrend. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by FOREXcom
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal off the 61.8% FibBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 36.87, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 36.37, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 36.87, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAGUSDShort
by Tradu
A Logarithmic Projection of Silver's LONG TERM Cup and HandleSilver is perhaps one of the most under-valued assets of our time, with bubbles ragining in almost all asset classes, poor lowly silver is sitting well below historical fair value, when priced in gold. But The Gold Silver Ratio being at such extremes does not mean Silver will rise, it is indeed possible for Gold to collapse and for Silver to merely hold steady-ish, and the gold silver ratio would be back in-sync. What makes this particular time of such undervaluations in Silver so interesting, is that on long term time frames we see some extrenely powerful chart patterns that have been shaping up for 50 years or so. It is a Bullish Cup and Handle Pattern and we're currently drawing in what could be the last few months of the handle and if we confirm this pattern, chartists would give price targets between $90 on the low end and $700 on the high end. I've show the reasons for both extremes below. Reality, likely, will wind up being somewhere between both camps (if we do confirm the pattern) and someone will get cheeky with some Fibs and say they saw the top coming all along, or something, lol. Historically Silver has pulled back HARSHLY after these moves, as much as 80-90%, however that was when the USD still had a very high likelihood of remaining the world resere currency still moving forward. If this happens, this time that won't look so certain, but I would still expect major volatility once a top is found and a pretty wide trading range to form.
TVC:SILVERLong
by mattrazz1100
Silver's Next Supercycle: $200+ by 2031?Silver has twice hit the $50 mark — once in 1980 and again in 2011. Today, it trades around $35, but the technical landscape is shifting fast. At Vital Direction, our long-term Elliott Wave and Gann analysis signals a major breakout cycle already underway. 🌀 Wave structure suggests a multi-year impulsive rally 📐 Gann angles align with historic turning points 💥 Target: $200+ by 2031 (conservative) ⚙️ Backed by growing industrial demand, inflation risks, and monetary instability This isn’t just a metal — it’s a macro opportunity.
TVC:SILVER
by VitalDirection
13
XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incomi🔍 XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incoming 💥🪙 📊 Overview: This monthly chart of XAG/USD (Silver vs. US Dollar) reveals a critical technical juncture, where price action is testing a multi-year resistance-turned-support zone around $36.27. The chart is structured with major zones of support and resistance, and it includes a potential bullish extension followed by a bearish correction scenario. 📌 Key Technical Levels: 🟧 Support Zone: $22.50 – $24.00 🟨 Resistance-Turned-Support Zone: $34.00 – $36.50 🟪 Major Resistance: $43.60 – $48.80 🔼 Bullish Scenario (Preferred Path): Current Price: ~$36.27 is at the upper edge of a crucial S/R flip zone. 📈 A breakout above this zone could propel silver toward the next resistance target at $43.60, with a potential full extension to $48.80. ✨ Momentum and historical breakout behavior from this region suggest strong buying interest if breached convincingly. 🔽 Bearish Scenario (Rejection Path): 🔄 If silver faces rejection at the $36.27 zone, it may retrace towards: 🟥 $28.31 minor support (intermediate target), 🔻 followed by a deeper correction to the $22.50–$24.00 support zone. 🔁 This would complete a classic retest of broken support, allowing accumulation before any further long-term rally. 🧠 Strategic Notes: ⚠️ Macro-driven: Silver is highly sensitive to inflation, Fed policy, and industrial demand. 📅 Long-term chart suggests cyclical behavior, with consolidation phases followed by aggressive trends. 📌 Traders should monitor weekly closes around $36.27 to confirm breakout or rejection. ✅ Conclusion: Silver is at a make-or-break zone 🧨. A breakout may lead to a multi-year high, but failure here opens the door for a healthy pullback. The next few candles will be decisive for long-term positioning. 📉 Watch for rejection wicks at resistance 📈 Monitor volume on breakout attempts 📊 Plan for both outcomes: breakout or retest
OANDA:XAGUSD
by MrStellanSight
SILVERRelationship Between Silver, 10-Year Bond Yield, and DXY (US Dollar Index) as of June 2025 1. Silver Price: Silver has surged past $35 per ounce, approaching $36, marking a 13-year high and a strong rally driven by supply deficits and robust industrial demand, especially from electronics, solar panels, and renewable energy sectors. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: The 10-year yield recently rose to around 4.50% to 4.55% (June 6, 2025), up about 12 basis points over a couple of days, reflecting inflation concerns and fiscal uncertainties. US Dollar Index (DXY): The DXY has strengthened amid hawkish Fed expectations and safe-haven flows, generally exerting downward pressure on commodities priced in USD, including silver. 2. Correlation and Dynamics Inverse Correlation with Real Yields: Silver prices exhibit a strong negative correlation with real interest rates (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). As real yields rise, silver tends to fall due to higher opportunity costs of holding non-yielding assets. Impact of Rising 10-Year Yields: The recent increase in the 10-year Treasury yield typically pressures silver prices lower. However, silver’s strong industrial demand and supply deficits have offset this effect, supporting prices despite higher yields. DXY Influence: A stronger dollar (higher DXY) makes silver more expensive in other currencies, usually suppressing demand and prices. Yet, silver’s recent rally suggests that supply constraints and investor interest are outweighing the dollar’s negative impact. 3. Fundamental Drivers Behind Silver’s Rally Supply Deficits: Silver mine production has declined since 2022, while industrial demand, especially for green technologies, continues to grow, creating persistent deficits. Reduced Recycling: Despite higher prices, recycled silver supply has diminished, indicating limited above-ground stocks. Safe-Haven and Inflation Hedge Demand: Economic uncertainties, rising government debt, and geopolitical tensions have increased investor interest in silver as a store of value alongside gold. Gold-to-Silver Ratio: The ratio remains elevated (~75:1), suggesting silver is undervalued relative to gold and has room to outperform. 4. Technical Outlook Silver’s breakout above $35 is a key technical milestone, triggering momentum buying and algorithmic trading. Overbought conditions suggest possible short-term profit-taking or consolidation near Support levels Conclusion Despite rising US 10-year Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar, silver prices have surged due to persistent supply deficits, strong industrial demand, and safe-haven buying amid economic uncertainties. The usual inverse relationship between silver and bond yields/DXY is currently moderated by fundamental supply-demand imbalances and technical momentum. However, silver remains sensitive to real interest rate movements and dollar strength, which could cap gains or trigger corrections in the near term. #SILVER #DOLLAR
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Psst… Wanna Rob the Silver Market? XAG/USD Trade Inside!"🔥 "SILVER HEIST ALERT! 🚨 XAG/USD Bullish Raid Plan (Thief Trading Style)" 🔥 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting a heist on XAG/USD "The Silver" Market. Follow the strategy on the chart—LONG ENTRY is key! Aim to escape near the high-risk Red Zone (overbought, consolidation, bear traps). 🏆 Take profits & treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉 📈 ENTRY: "The Heist Begins!" Wait for MA breakout (33.700)—then strike! Bullish profits await. Options: Buy Stop above Moving Average OR Buy Limit near pullback zones (15-30min timeframe, swing lows/highs). 📌 Pro Tip: Set an ALERT for breakout confirmation! 🛑 STOP LOSS: "Listen Up, Thieves!" For Buy Stop Orders: DO NOT set SL until after breakout! Place SL at recent/swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk, lot size, & order count. Rebels, be warned: Set it wherever, but you’re playing with fire! 🔥⚡ 🏴‍☠️ TARGET: 34.700 Scalpers: Only trade LONG. Use trailing SL to protect gains. Swing Traders: Join the robbery squad & ride the trend! 📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: Bullish drivers in play! Check: Macro trends, COT reports, sentiment, intermarket analysis. 🔗 Linkks in bio/chart for deep dive. ⚠️ TRADING ALERTS: News = Volatility! Avoid new trades during releases. Lock profits with trailing stops. Stay sharp! 💥 BOOST THE HEIST! Hit 👍 "LIKE" & "BOOST" to fuel our robbery team! More heists coming—stay tuned! 🚀🤩 🎯 Let’s steal the market’s money—Thief Trading Style! 🏆💵
FXOPEN:XAGUSDLong
by Thief_Trader