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BABA trade ideas

Alibaba: Will $BABA Bounce Back or Break Key Support (Daily TF)Hey everyone, below is an analysis on NYSE:BABA using MACD, RSI, Fibonacci levels and technical (gap) levels. Current Price Levels: NYSE:BABA is trading around $89.35, down significantly (~26%) from its October 7 high of $117.82. A notable gap between $85 and $86.95 suggests this is a key level of interest for potential support or further downside risk. Momentum Indicators: MACD: Shows signs of curling upward, which could indicate momentum shifting toward bullish sentiment. RSI: Currently not oversold (at 36), but still in a relatively low range, suggesting there is room for price recovery. Technical Levels: Gaps and Fibonacci retracements are marked as potential resistance and support zones: Gap resistance levels: $93.33-$95.05 and $96.80-$99.18. Higher resistance levels around $104.41 (gap from October 15) and $117.82 (October high). Previous daily high at $89.50 could act as near-term resistance. Fibonacci Levels: The chart includes a retracement from the October high ($117.82) to recent lows, with levels such as 0.236 ($90.29), 0.5 ($102.53), and 0.786 ($111.27) potentially serving as resistance on any upward move. Feedback and Outlook: Support and Resistance Analysis: Support: The gap zone between $85-$86.95 may provide a strong base if selling pressure continues. A break below $85 could indicate further downside. Resistance: Short-term resistance is seen at $90.29 (0.236 Fib level) and $93.33-$95.05 (gap resistance). These levels will likely be tested if buying pressure builds. Gaps to Be Filled: If the price begins to recover, the first upside target would be filling the $93.33-$95.05 gap. This aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels and may act as strong resistance. Outlook: Bullish Case: If momentum continues to build, expect a recovery toward the $93-$95 range, with further potential to reach $102 (50% retracement). This would require breaking above immediate resistance at $90.29. Bearish Case: If the current support at $85 fails, further downside to test levels around $80 or lower is possible. Final Thoughts: The chart suggests a cautious bullish outlook in the short term, especially if the $85 support holds. Watch for price action and volume around the resistance zones to confirm whether this is a dead-cat bounce or a true reversal. Currently in NYSE:BABA 1/17/25 $100c (BOT @ $1.73).
NYSE:BABALong
by Brandonthrives
Alibaba for the next 100 years1. Expansion into Emerging Markets Alibaba is likely to deepen its reach into emerging economies such as Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America. These markets offer significant growth opportunities due to increasing internet penetration, growing middle classes, and untapped e-commerce potential. 2. AI and Automation Leadership Alibaba could pioneer next-generation AI technologies, integrating them deeply into its ecosystem: Smart Warehousing: Fully automated warehouses reducing operational costs. AI-Powered Recommendations: More precise personalization in e-commerce platforms. Autonomous Delivery: Expanding drone and robotic delivery systems. 3. Global Logistics Network Through Cainiao Network, Alibaba aims to build a world-class logistics infrastructure, potentially rivaling FedEx and DHL. By 2124, this network could feature: Hyper-speed cargo transport. Global warehousing hubs supported by AI. Decentralized delivery through localized micro-distribution systems. 4. Financial Services Evolution Ant Group’s financial technology could redefine banking and digital finance globally. Key areas: Digital Currencies: Integration with central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). Blockchain Innovations: For transparency and efficiency in global trade. Inclusive Finance: Providing microloans and financial products to underserved communities. 5. Sustainability Leadership Alibaba might invest in cutting-edge sustainability efforts to combat climate change, including: Carbon-neutral supply chains. Renewable energy adoption for data centers. Green packaging solutions. 6. Evolving Social Commerce Alibaba could revolutionize shopping by blending entertainment and commerce. Future platforms might: Utilize augmented and virtual reality (AR/VR). Create immersive, gamified shopping experiences. Build communities around product categories. 7. Healthcare and Biotechnology Alibaba Health could expand into: AI-driven diagnostics and personalized medicine. Blockchain-secured health records. Global distribution of pharmaceutical products. 8. Dominance in Cloud Computing Alibaba Cloud might outpace competitors by: Powering smart cities worldwide. Offering AI solutions for small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Securing data sovereignty for different regions. 9. Influence in Metaverse and Web3 Alibaba’s digital ecosystem could heavily integrate with metaverse experiences: Virtual shopping malls in the metaverse. NFT marketplaces for digital goods. Decentralized identities for secure, seamless e-commerce. 10. Cultural and Social Impact As Alibaba becomes a centennial corporation: It may shape global cultural trends through entertainment subsidiaries like Youku. Alibaba might champion corporate social responsibility (CSR), focusing on poverty alleviation, education, and technology access. Risks and Challenges: Regulatory Pressures: Governments globally might impose stricter controls on monopolistic practices. Competition: Rivals like Amazon, Tencent, and emerging players could challenge its dominance. Globalization Backlash: Political tensions might hinder international expansion. Technological Disruption: Staying at the forefront of AI, quantum computing, or blockchain is critical.
NYSE:BABALong
by ForexCompany
4
BABA shows a signal for the turn aroundYou can notice, that current ascending trend shows a steeper inclination angle for NYSE:BABA , than the previous one. This can indicate, that a growing line will present more intensive and powerful leaps in the nearest future. I expect, that we will observe a rapid jumps direct to the level of 139 very soon. More strategic goals for the future are located near the levels of 220 and 470 (this can become a final point of the current long moving up). Not a recommendation.
NYSE:BABALong
by furoreggs
$BABA Potential Bullish Reversal, (Daily TF)12/25/2024 Alright, I know there's a lot here so let me know if you have any questions and I'll do my best to answer. This is for educational purpose only. 1. Price dropped 18% ($101 -> $82.64) in 15 days. 2. Triple resistance on Tue, Nov 19 & Fri, Nov 29 & Tue, Dec 17 @ ~$87. Resistance zone between $86.70 - $87.75. 3. Bearish Fibonacci (Dec 9 - Dec 20). Anticipate sideways movement around 0.382 ($86.44), 0.5 ($87.91) and 0.618 ($89.38). 4. The light-brown boxes and light-brown line highlight the potential movement of price. -------------------------------- $85.52: Current price $85.00: Next bearish price target Bullish Resistance Points: $86.44 - 0.382 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement) $87.00 - Resistance zone $87.60 - Previous Weekly High $87.91 - 0.5 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement) $89.38 - 0.618 Bearish Fibonacci (potential sideways movement or reversal) $91.44 - 0.786 Bearish Fibonacci (potential reversal) $90.56 - $91.83: Bullish Gap to be filled ------------------------------- Currently in a play: NYSE:BABA 21 MAR 25 110c @ $1.24 Currently up 5% (@ $1.31). Profit Target: $2.24 (contract price) Stop Loss: n/a (manually monitoring for now)
NYSE:BABALong
by Brandonthrives
Alibaba (BABA): Stimulus Hopes Fade, Correction Ahead?We secured solid profits on NYSE:BABA , with a significant rejection at the breakout gap. The stock is now under pressure, facing potential headwinds due to Donald Trump’s presidency and his proposed tariffs. While Chinese stocks surged recently, driven by Beijing’s increased rhetoric around stimulus ahead of a key policymakers’ meeting, the lack of any immediate announcements until March’s National People’s Congress may dampen sentiment. Despite NYSE:BABA dropping pre-market and likely throughout the week, our strategy remains unchanged. With partial profits taken and the stop-loss at break-even, we are not exposed to unnecessary risk. As long as NYSE:BABA continues trading above $82, the position remains stable unless major news changes the outlook.
NYSE:BABALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
BABA Breakout as Beijing Signals StimulusChina’s latest monetary policy shift has set the stage for renewed optimism in US-listed Chinese stocks. For Alibaba (BABA), this could mark the beginning of a turnaround, as stimulus-driven momentum starts to reignite investor confidence. A Rollercoaster Ride for BABA Alibaba’s share price has been on a rollercoaster ride in recent months. The stock surged in September, buoyed by initial stimulus measures, only to lose steam as economic data faltered and Alibaba Pictures delivered weak results. What followed was a steep retracement of nearly 30%, with broader concerns over waning Chinese consumer demand compounding the pressure. By late November, BABA was clinging to its 200-day moving average, with a descending trendline reflecting a market hesitant to price in immediate growth. The pullback underscored lingering doubts over whether Beijing’s earlier efforts would be enough to revitalise the economy. The Breakout: A Shift in Momentum Monday brought a much-needed catalyst. The Politburo, China’s top decision-making body within the Communist Party, announced a shift to a “moderately loose” monetary policy — a stark departure from 14 years of “prudent” guidance. This group, led by President Xi Jinping, sets the economic and policy agenda, making its decisions a critical barometer for investor sentiment. The market reaction was swift. Alibaba surged nearly 8%, breaking above its descending trendline. Volume soared, adding weight to the breakout and fuelling hopes that the sentiment tide might be turning. BABA Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Why This Matters for BABA Alibaba’s extensive reach across China’s economy — spanning e-commerce, cloud computing, and logistics — positions it uniquely to benefit from policies aimed at boosting domestic consumption. As Beijing commits to expanding household spending and enhancing demand, BABA could gain a direct uplift in its core operations. The upcoming Chinese Central Economic Work Conference is expected to clarify how these fiscal and monetary adjustments will be implemented. Market participants will particularly watch for measures aimed at restoring private sector confidence and encouraging discretionary spending. BABA’s Path Forward Alibaba’s breakout above its descending trendline is a positive signal, but caution remains warranted. The stock still trades below its 50-day moving average, a key technical hurdle. Meanwhile, the broader economy faces structural challenges that could temper the pace of recovery. Sustained follow-through from Beijing will be essential for BABA to capitalise on this renewed momentum. For now, the breakout represents a fresh start, but the next few months will reveal whether the recovery has the legs to take BABA to new highs. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NYSE:BABA
by Capitalcom
BABA - ready for a trend reversalhi traders, Let's have a look at the BABA chart on the 1D time frame. After a massive rally, BABA experienced a deep pullback, but it looks like it might be time to load up on BABA again. BABA is still in our buy zone but we're expecting the trend reversal soon. Probably US market will experience some sort of pullback in its bull market and in this period we're expecting China market to have a nice recovery. Our targets for BABA: Target 1: 107 $ Target 2: 117$ We're expecting other Chinese stocks to perform well too . Check NIO stock here: Good luck
NYSE:BABALong
by vf_investment
3
Alibaba - This Is Really Just The Beginning!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is starting to create a bullish reversal: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After perfectly rejecting a major resistance level just three months ago, Alibaba now retested the previous trendline breakout area and bulls are immediately stepping in. If we actually see a break above the neckline of this bottom formation, we could even see new all time highs. Levels to watch: $80, $115 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
1
Alibaba: A Journey Back to Greatness?A Look at BABA’s Resurgence Since its monumental high of $300 in October 2020, Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd. (BABA) has experienced a prolonged downtrend, culminating in a key low around $58. Our analysis indicates that this low may signify the conclusion of a major corrective phase, paving the way for a potential bullish revival. Targets and Scenarios From $58, we foresee an initial rebound targeting $180. Should momentum persist, BABA holds the potential to break past $180 and aim for a new all-time high near $300. However, a breach of the $82 level would invalidate the bullish outlook and suggest further downside risks. Outlook Alibaba stands at a critical juncture. With its immense growth potential, this stock could represent a compelling opportunity for long-term investors. Still, caution remains paramount, with key levels to monitor closely as the market defines its next moves.
NYSE:BABA
by VitalDirection
BABA - yet another hidden Gem we can extract value from?Currently we are observing a re-entry into a ascending channel based on the RSI indicator and additionally we are entering a very big time of the year which we see all of the retailers bring in a lot of revenue, for reference we can check out my last post in my channel in regards Amazon.As an additional benefit from a fundamental point of view BABA is looking to get hard into the AI business and it would be one of the biggest competitors in Asia to get hardly involved, they have the cash and assets to do so. Entry on market open - Target 1 : 89.70 Target 2 : 97.62 Target 3 : 104.58 After we visit all of the targets we will get back onto this opportunity so we can forsee if we can chase the earlier high of 120$ per share Time frame of analysis 4H Time frame of realization Until their next earnings call in January. As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
NYSE:BABALong
by DG55Capital
BABA retesting the Point of Control and 3D 200SMA, will it hold?BABA could be changing trend. It's retesting the 3Day 200 SMA. The Point of Control (POC) represents the price level with the highest traded volume within a given range, making it the most significant level of price acceptance When price retests a previously broken (VRVP) level and holds: It suggests that the level has flipped from resistance to support (if price is above) or from support to resistance (if price is below). If the S/R flip is a fakeout, we could go to the bottom of the pattern. If we can hold the point of control, the trend could be changing. Test overhead resistance again and eventually reach the top of the pattern.
NYSE:BABALong
by NotQualifiedToGiveFinAdv
1