SPA35 trade ideas
IBEX 35 IDEA [UPDATE]We have IBEX 35 doing the same movement as did at 2010 wich it's paired with a support and the 60% fib.
Regards
IBEX35 - Back to the future?Some beautiful symmetry on this index.
As the world has a mini melt down in 2016 I'll be looking around 7,000 level to find support and hopefully mirror the move from 2008 to take us up and hopefully beyond 12,000
Spanish Bull SharkBullish shark pattern at median line and the head & shoulders target area with bullish RSI divergence.
IBEX 35 ShortWell... After all this news, this index is so overbought and on critical levels of resistance, we should see this one going down sooner than later.
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(J) Trade 7: Speculating on Trend Resumption #IBEXUpdate: Target Reached without entry Trade Cancelled.
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Trade 7: Pending Long IBEX35 @ 10,800
S.L @ 10590
T1 11,160
T2 11,585
For $29,798.94 Balance, Position size = 0.4 lot (0.2+0.2) .
Risk= 4(position size) x0.8(point value per 0.1 lot)x210(stop loss)=$672 ~ 2.2% of Balance.
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Reasoning
Long term trend is up
200 Days SMA forming support
Multiple hammer candles at 200-days Average
1.271 extension of recent bullish wave
Fundamental factor: Any minor progress on Greece will probably lead to a major rally, as economic conditions improved recently in the euro area and ECB continues to pump money through QE.
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Unemployment in Spain 23.2 percent. Market index up 100 percent.Spain could be facing the same outcome as Greece. But a much bigger economy.
Finds support at prior resistanceGood looking setup as the index rebounded of previous resistance forming a long pin bar. Good risk reward ratio trade as well.
Retesting Previous Major ResistanceThe index is retesting the previously broken high, it look like a Good level to look for long positions towards 12255 next resistance.
Uptrend continues?Open 3 positions or more for the two main targets with additional positions for a continuation. Move stops to protect positions once price has cleared them.
Good Luck!
Long Spain after broken important resistance and bullish pin barUPDATE 5/5: Stopped out on both positions. Result: -2R
Two entries:
1. Buy limit half of 26/03 pin bar, s/l under horizontal support, t/p around highs on monthly chart, R:R 3,5:1
2. Buy stop top of 26/03 pin bar, s/l under horizontal support, t/p around highs on monthly chart, R:R 2:1
Let the euro QE roll...
España Challenging Sideways ResistanceWatch-out España traders, the IBEX is challenging the major key long term sideways resistance or ceiling. Typically, in sideways markets, we expect price to reverse to the downside. However, this time might be different, as the price test the level for sixth time. The latest test(March 2) was followed by a minor pullback and a bullish pin bar.
I would think twice before going short at that resistance for now. why? For the first time , the ECB is pumping money for free with its new asset purchase program. History and the FED have taught us what happens to equities when central banks go full throttle.
We might see a reactive correction but i advise waiting for a candlestick confirmation for such scenario and look only for limited downside potential.
A breakout above 11235 resistance with at least a weekly closing would confirm the bullish breakout. I wont suggest targets for this scenario as this idea is just a general opinion...
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Spain IBEX - Stuck and Complex
If the QE was meant to help peripherals, so far it s not working as planned (for Spain at least).
I keep this one on the radar - It is not driving but is a good metric to see if the plan is working or not.
IBEX - Spain - On cliff for a dive
The European QE is pending - It is largely in the media for a long while now.
I doubt equities would be trading where they are if they expected something great to come (this is speculative, i acknowledge).
IBEX is on a cliff that rejected up twice in weekly close...
The third attempt down may break the elastic this time and there is 25% free fall zone.
In any case: very pivotal supported zone that shall launch something rather soon.
My view: down.
Short 10% stop 11000... TP 8000.
IBEX 35 Spanish Index ( Daily )IBEX 35 Spanish Index ( Daily )
Bullish Pennant brake_out.
RSI at 65.
Spain index doesn't look promisingAfter a few channels are drawn, i though i see a potential right shoulder forming.
And the potential neckline is the channel support. Whatever it is, since Nov 2007 market top, the price has been in the current downtrend channel. The channel resistance at Aug 2014 makes the channel very very well.
Spain analysis - Weekly bearish, daily bullishI will set this chart on neutral because it isn't a trade signal. The daily chart gives me a buy signal (), like all other major european markets, but the weekly has a beautiful bearish picture at 11000, which is the most important area in this chart.
If the daily will give me a selling signal, I will short this, if not, well... I think it is due for a pullback and it will probably five a buy signal on the daily when the weekly reaches the Wave (well, hopefully).
I forgot to link related ideas, so if you are interested, here they are
* The evening star signal is confirmed or not depending on the platform you use. For example here, the red candle did not close below 50% of the blue candle, but on my platform it did. These things don't really matter in my opinion, you can bend the rules a bit, in the long run, it shouldn't affect trading performance.
