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US100 CFD

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US100 trade ideas

Upcoming Weekly AnalysisFA Analysis: 1- World economy and US economy are slowing down; risk of recession is up again. 2- Inflation is up 3- Trump tariffs and reciprocity are not helping. 4- Deep Seek news is currently behind the scene but it has a huge negative impacts on AI and semi-conductors for the ST and MT. All the above factors are negative for stocks and equities (i.e., NQ). 5- This week, we have key data starting by the Consumer Confidence, to GDP to PCE. Bad news is bad news for equities . 6- On Wednesday, we have NVDA earnings after market closes. This news is extremely important for the ST/MT direction. Any undershoot data will send NVDA and NQ to the LL of Year 2024. Overshoot, it will stop the drop and test back the top of the range. Inline data, it will give a short live up before resuming down. I think Inline scenario will prevail. 7- Trump tweet risk: Trump needs a daily dose of attraction; keep an open eye and manage your risk. TA Analysis: Weekly Analysis: From strictly TA weekly perspective, we got an irrelevant close; we got an inside bar. But based on the FA analysis, we may consider it bearish. Price needs to close below/above the previous weekly green candle for a decisive direction. Daily TF: 1- We got a strong bearish close. A continuation down is expected. 2- I think market will continue the sell off until Wednesday. Based on NVDA data, we will see either: a- Bad data: A straightforward and deep drop; b- Inline data: A short live bounce up; c- Green data: A retest of ATH. That's all for this upcoming week! Trade safely and happy green week to all of you! GL!
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
NAS100 at Key Support – Bullish Rebound Ahead?PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is currently testing a major demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support. The recent bearish move has brought price into this key area, increasing the probability of a potential bullish reversal. If buyers step in and defend this zone, we could see a bounce toward the 21,655 level, aligning with a short-term recovery from the current dip. However, a break and close below this support zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines. Traders should look for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or a shift in momentum before considering long positions. Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts below!
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by DanieIM
1
NASDAQ 100 Feb 27th Below are some general, educational ideas on how traders often approach markets under conditions like these. This is not financial advice—simply a high‐level look at potential strategies, risk‐management considerations, and scenarios based on the previous technical report. Always do your own due diligence and consider professional advice for your specific situation. 1. Short‐Term “Oversold Bounce” Play • Rationale: On the Daily and 4H charts, the RSI/Stochastics and Bollinger Bands all suggest near‐term oversold conditions. When a market is oversold, a relief bounce often occurs—even within a downtrend. • Possible Approach: 1. Entry: Some traders will look for intraday bullish signals (a strong reversal candle, bullish divergence on lower timeframes, or a break/retest of minor resistance) around the 20,200–20,500 zone. 2. Targets: Potential short‐term rebound levels near: • 21,000 (initial pivot/confluence of 4H Fib & round number) • 21,300–21,400 (Daily Ichimoku or 4H cloud base, stronger overhead supply) 3. Stop‐Loss / Invalidation: • Placed below the recent swing low (~20,500) or below the 200‐day SMA (~20,264). If price definitively breaks those on a closing basis, it can signal that the bounce attempt is failing. • Risk: If the market continues sharply lower, oversold can remain oversold. A deeper flush is possible if we lose key supports. 2. “Sell the Rally” Within a Short‐Term Downtrend • Rationale: The Daily and 4H structures are in a confirmed short‐term downtrend (lower highs/lower lows). Traders who believe the market has further to fall might look to short near overhead resistance. • Possible Approach: 1. Entry: Wait for a bounce into known resistance or Fib retracement zones on the 4H or Daily chart: • ~21,000–21,100 (minor) • ~21,300–21,400 (major supply area / daily cloud) 2. Confirmation: Look for bearish candlestick patterns, a failed retest, or negative divergences on short timeframes to signal rally exhaustion. 3. Targets: Could be fresh lows below ~20,500 or deeper daily/weekly support at ~19,500–20,000. 4. Stop‐Loss / Invalidation: A sustained close above the daily Ichimoku cloud or prior pivot highs (~21,400–21,500) would indicate the short‐term trend shift might be reversing back bullish. • Risk: A strong short‐covering rally can quickly stop out short positions if the broader weekly uptrend reasserts itself. 3. Longer‐Term Positioning Near Key Weekly Support • Rationale: The monthly and weekly charts remain in a long‐term uptrend. Some position traders/investors view pullbacks into major weekly levels as potential accumulation zones. • Possible Approach: 1. Key Level: ~19,500–19,600 is the last major weekly swing low. If price ever re‐tests that zone, it’s a critical decision area. 2. Confirmation: Wait for a weekly bullish reversal candle (e.g., a hammer, bullish engulfing) or a break back above the 10‐week SMA. 3. Stop‐Loss / Invalidation: A weekly close below ~19,500 could signal a deeper structural breakdown. 4. Targets: Over the longer horizon, a rebound from weekly support might aim for retests of all‐time highs or upper monthly fib extensions (e.g., 24,000+). • Risk: If the weekly uptrend fails and breaks below ~19,500, it can cascade into a more pronounced corrective phase. 4. Hedge or Manage Existing Long Positions • Rationale: If you’ve been holding longer‐term bullish positions, you might want to hedge part of it during a short‐term downswing. • Possible Approach: • Options: Buying puts or put spreads to limit downside risk or selling covered calls to collect premium if you expect sideways to down movement. • Futures: Small short futures/CFD positions to offset some exposure. • Risk: Over‐hedging can cut into upside gains if the market rebounds strongly. 5. Patience / Sidelines • Rationale: If the technical picture is uncertain—and you don’t have a strong directional edge—sitting on the sidelines and observing is a perfectly valid play. You can wait for more clarity or for the market to confirm a reversal/breakdown before committing capital. • Risk: Missing out on a sudden reversal or failing to catch the next leg if it rebounds quickly. But if uncertainty is high, waiting for a clearer signal can preserve capital. General Guidelines & Risk Management 1. Align With Your Timeframe: • Short‐term scalps (4H or lower) require tight stops and nimble trading. • Swing trades might look to daily/weekly structure for bigger moves. 2. Watch Volatility: • ATR on daily/4H has risen. Expect larger intraday swings; position size accordingly. 3. Use Stop‐Losses: • The market has shown it can move quickly in either direction lately. Protective stops or mental exit levels are crucial. 4. Monitor Macro Drivers: • Economic data, interest rate shifts, or major earnings releases can override technical signals short term. 5. Be Prepared for Whipsaw: • When multiple timeframes conflict (monthly/weekly bullish vs. daily/4H bearish), the market can give false breaks or frequent direction changes. Disclaimer: This outline is for educational purposes only, reflecting common approaches traders might take. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consider your own objectives, risk tolerance, and potentially consult a financial professional when making investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by EliteMarketAnalysis
US100-bias short Bullish indications: Bullish inside bar candle in day time frame. Resistance broken at 21233 Bearish indications: Pair has made three black crows candles previously. Making LLLH in 4 hr time frame. in 2 hr : MA21 is getting respected which is a strong bearish signal , i should exit the trade immediately possible before it hits my SL . 4 hr : MA 21 is crossing over 200 indicates bearish 1 hr : strong bearish engulfer candle from resistance Trade plan bias short @21228 SL:21342 TP1:21118 TP2:21025
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by gouthamkulal1
Potential pullback and bearish continuationNasdaq is ranging between 22000 and 20500, and price action is currently bouncing off the 20500 support. As long as price action is above the 20500 barrier, price action may try to reignite a bullish rise towards the established highs. Failure to continue up and settling under 20500, the indice may now be in a bigger bearish phase. However, if the price action manages to stabilise above the 21300, the indice will probably aim the 22000 barrier.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Two4One4
Crucial to observe Price action on Monday and TuesdayDisclaimer: This is solely a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please conduct your own assessment before making any decisions. The market performance last week aligned with prior expectations. Price maintaining an upward trend from Monday to Thursday. On Friday, prices saw a noticeable pullback; however, the decline was limited and did not break the previous low, remaining above 21,436. If bearish, next week, the price should break below 21,436 between Monday and Tuesday, with any rebound likely staying below 22,000. If the price successfully breaks below 21,436, short opportunities can be considered in the 21,700–21,950 range, with downside targets at 20,870, 20,648, and 20,549. However, in my opinion, the probability of this scenario is relatively low at the moment. The market is still maintaining a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. It is likely that the price will find support around 21436. If the price fails to break below 21,436 effectively on Monday or Tuesday and instead rebounds with solid support near this level, the market is more likely to maintain its upward trend. In this case, long opportunities could be considered on dips, with an upside target of 22,300–22,465. If the bulls gain control, there is a high probability that the price will retest 21,950 between Monday and Tuesday. However, if the price fails to retest 21,950 and remains above 21,700, it may indicate weak bullish momentum, suggesting a potential further decline. Next week, it will be crucial to observe the market’s performance on Monday and Tuesday to further assess its direction.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by zygliu
Is NASDAQ Losing Steam? A Reality Check for TradersHey Realistic Traders, Is CAPITALCOM:US100 Out of Steam? Let’s Dive Into the Analysis… On the daily timeframe, the Nasdaq remains above the EMA-100, which has served as strong support through multiple successful rebounds. Simultaneously, the price has moved above the bullish trendline, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend. Within wave 4, the price formed a falling wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. This signals the initiation of wave 5, which could potentially extend beyond the length of wave 1, given that wave 3 did not exceed the 1.618 Fibonacci ratio. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has already formed a bullish crossover, adding further confirmation of a positive outlook for the Nasdaq. Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move upward toward the first target at 23,538 , or potentially the second target at 24,356. However, this bullish scenario depends on the price staying above the critical stop-loss level at 20,833. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Nasdaq."
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by financialfreedomgoals101
1
NAS100 Breakout Setup – Yesterday’s High & LowChart & Levels: Buy Stop: Placed at the previous day’s high (see the green line on the chart). Sell Stop: Placed at the previous day’s low (red line on the chart). Idea & Rationale: I’m using a simple breakout strategy that allows price action to confirm direction before I commit. If NAS100 breaks above yesterday’s high, I’ll go long, expecting bullish momentum. If it drops below yesterday’s low, I’ll go short, anticipating further downside. Trade Management: Stop Loss: Use recent swing highs/lows or an ATR-based buffer to avoid getting wicked out. Take Profit: Aim for a minimum 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, adjusting as the market evolves. Position Size: Maintain proper risk management; only risk a small percentage of your account on each trade. Why This Setup? Clarity: Using the previous day’s high/low is a straightforward way to spot potential breakouts. Volatility Capture: NAS100 often makes sizable moves around session opens (especially NY). This setup attempts to catch the momentum. Risk Control: Waiting for a breakout confirmation helps reduce false entries in choppy markets. Key Notes: Watch out for major news events (economic releases, tech sector earnings) that could trigger sharp moves. Keep an eye on the overall market sentiment; if there’s a strong risk-on or risk-off environment, that can impact NAS100 direction.
FX:NAS100
by matlhari63
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument...Part 18..Retracement ModeLike I have been saying for months... NAS100 is an eternally bullish instrument and the only way to trade it with 100% success is to trade your HL's to HH's. After looking that the daily timeframe closely, you will see that the last new low created was on October 31, 2024 followed by a new high on December 16, 2024. Since then the price has consolidated within that created range before finally registering a new ATH on Friday 2/14/2025. The easiest way to trade this instrument is to take your largest HL and exiting on your HH's... In the event that you get a consolidation move in the form of a LH, take your profits and wait for the next HL. What am I looking for? 1. Since taking profits from my buys, I am now waiting for the next HL before buying again. 2. Any retracement sells I am taking are only temporary to my largest HL as the market will always remain bullish Since I am not a signal service, please do not expect me to tell you when and how I trade, I am sharing this information so that you can see that it is possible to become a 100% trader with the right level of patience and consistency. I will repeat...profits taken at the HH (ATH) Now I wait for the next HL to be completed. Have a great trading week. HL's to HH's GUARANTEED! #oneauberstrategy #aubersystem #whywewait #zigzagtheory #patience #auberstrategy
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
15
US100 3H Bearish Setup – Key Resistance HoldingUS100 is testing a strong resistance zone around 22,247, showing signs of rejection on the 3-hour timeframe. If price fails to break higher, we could see a potential drop towards 21,818 support in the next sessions. 🔹 Resistance: 22,247 (Rejection Zone) 🔹 Bearish Confirmation: Breakdown below 22,100 🔹 Target: 21,818 support This setup follows a lower high formation, indicating possible downside momentum. Watching price action closely for confirmation! 🚨 This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk properly.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TheSuperDoper
US100 Reversal Setup | Bearish Outlook on 5D TimeframeThis is a potential short setup for US100 (Nasdaq 100) based on the 5-day timeframe. The price is currently testing a key resistance level around 22,131.6, where multiple rejections have occurred. If the price fails to break above this level, we could see a strong downside move. 🔹 Entry Zone: Around resistance with confirmation of rejection 🔹 Stop Loss: Above the key resistance zone 🔹 Target Levels: Key support areas in the downtrend structure The projected price movement follows a lower high, lower low formation, indicating a potential shift in market structure. However, this is not financial advice—just an educational analysis based on technical observations. Always conduct your own research and risk management before trading. 🚀📉
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TheSuperDoper
1
Moustafa! 09.02.25 My analysis and targets for Nasdaq!1- The last bullish wave from 04.02 till 06.02 was meant to fill the upper wick of the 31.01 day candle and to touch the upper yellow line of the symmetrical triangle. And once Mission is done, so a free fall happened to return back and to fill the gap of the 03.02 and 04.02 day candles. And up Touch the lower yellow line of the symmetrical triangle But.... 2- By looking to the sticky turquoise line I drew, you would find a could be a new formation of a short uptrend line and could be too a lower line of a symmetrical triangle so we have to give a huge attention to it as my target will be at the touch point with that line at 21060 which a price in between the low of the daily candles of 28.01 & 09.01 & 19.12 too, moreover on my Fib retracement retracement level of 23.60%. It could go lower to touch the yellow line but I chose the safer logic option in front of me to protect myself from sudden retrace. And it could go further lower, then I would probably set another idea for it. 3- The last ATH was on 16th December and since then the index failed to super pass it! And we are since then, in a big consolidation area. 4- The two purple lines on the chart are from the 4h frame riding wedge, and as a result of breaking it from the its end or top, a free fall followed. 5- I still on my view of my last idea from the 7th Jan when I said that the real target of US 100 is when the index touches the green uptrend line below. That is the real target, but let us monitor the index step by step for now. 6- Let us go to an interesting part now, by looking at the daily candles volumes, you would find out that the bullish momentum was massive when index touched the lower yellow symmetrical triangle (the difference in volume between buyers and sellers) was plus 130.21K comparing to the previous day which finished on 24.01K plus (plus means green number or positive for bullish momentum) then the momentum massively decreased even if the prices were increasing as following: On 04.02...… 34.34K plus On 05.02...… 33K plus On 06.02...…. 2.01K plus ONLY And for sure that was an indication to a bearish day on 07.02 where I posted on the minds and made a good profit and I did not close my short on the weekend either. The volume of day candle of 07.02 finished it 15.23K plus or green, which means, although it is in green, that the bullish momentum is weak than what is supposed to be on, as the index currently at so important price at 21500 which could turn to the upside back from. And in case it will, so I expect till maximum 21680 then back to my TP (may be not straight in a free fall but will reach to it soon) Conclusion based on above My take profit will be at 21060 till 20968 With a SL range at 22000 NOTE: My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:NAS100Short
by moustafa_marei
29