NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Macro economic Indicators: Most data came red and few were inline confirming the slowing down of the economy.
2- Inflation data came better than expected.
3- Trump Tariffs: Strong rumors about deals underway from this week. The 90-day pause will become an indeterminate pause.
4- We have the FED this week. Nothing in terms of immediate rate cut, but the conference is very important for the looking forward.
5-ISM Services data is important.
From FA perspective, market is focusing on Tariffs deals. If it materializes, the ST outlook will change from Sell to Buy. MT and LT Outlook will stay Sell.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
The weekly close was bullish and price retraced more than 61.8. This could be the end of this wave.
The FED and/or the tariff deals will give the signal for either the start of wave 3 or a continuation up. Until then, a consolidation is expected.
Daily TF:
Same as weekly... a bullish daily close. A consolidation is expected until the FED.
Happy and green week to Everyone!
US100 trade ideas
US100 BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 20,101.6
Target Level: 18,779.9
Stop Loss: 20,975.6
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NAS100 1WTake a look at this chart! After a solid uptrend, the price broke an important ascending trendline and corrected down to the 0.5 Fibonacci level — right where a key structural support zone is (that blue area near the bottom).
From there, we’ve seen a strong bounce back upward, and now the price has reached a critical zone:
Previous resistance
The 0.618 to 0.786 Fibonacci retracement area
And most importantly, a retest (pullback) to the broken trendline
There are two possible scenarios ahead:
1. If the price breaks and holds above this resistance zone, we might see the continuation of the bullish move.
2. But if it fails to break through, the market could enter another corrective phase.
Also, keep in mind that we have the interest rate decision this week. With Trump applying repeated pressure, there’s a chance rates might be cut — which could fuel a green, bullish market.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NAS100 Breakdown Watch: Bearish Structure Forms Below Key Highs1. Key Levels
Yesterday’s High: 20,037.0
Yesterday’s Low: 19,658.8
Today’s High (so far): 19,912.4
Current Price: 19,844.4
Price is currently trading below today’s high and below yesterday’s high, but still well above yesterday’s low.
2. Structure & Market Flow
The BoS/ChoCh (Break of Structure / Change of Character) indicator marks:
Multiple BoS (green) up to the April 30th peak, showing bullish structure.
A ChoCh (red) occurred just after the top on April 30, followed by more ChoCh signals, indicating potential short-term bearish momentum.
Most recent price action shows consolidation between 19,840–19,912, forming a range after rejecting near today's high.
3. Moving Averages (3EMA)
Blue Line (Short EMA - 20): 19,843.0
Purple Line (Mid EMA - 50): 19,840.3
Price is slightly above both the 20 and 50 EMA, which are now flattening — suggesting neutral momentum with no strong trend currently in place.
4. Market Context / Price Action
The sharp rejection at 20,037 (yesterday's high) indicates supply pressure.
Price wicked above today’s high before dropping below both EMAs.
Price bounced around the 50 EMA and appears to be forming lower highs, showing bearish microstructure.
Current structure looks like a potential distribution pattern.
5. Trade Ideas (Scenarios)
A. Bearish Bias (High Probability if 19,840 breaks cleanly)
Entry: Break and close below 19,840 with volume confirmation.
TP1: 19,700 (just above yesterday’s low)
TP2: 19,658.8 (yesterday’s low)
SL: Above 19,912 (today’s high)
This setup capitalizes on a rejection of key highs, a ChoCh confirmation, and fading bullish momentum.
B. Bullish Scenario (Only if we reclaim today’s high)
Entry: Strong 15-min candle close above 19,912, targeting 20,037 and beyond.
TP1: 20,037 (yesterday’s high)
TP2: 20,100–20,150 (psychological and recent rejection zone)
SL: Below 19,840
This would be a breakout-retest continuation trade, but less favorable given current structure.
6. Bias & Recommendation
Short Bias is currently favored due to:
Repeated ChoCh signals
Price trading below today's high and rejecting yesterday’s high
Weak upside follow-through despite attempts to push higher
Tight consolidation and lower highs forming near resistance
NASDAQ Sell idea🔸 Resistance Strong supply zone around 19,419.5–19,430 (previous high & breakout failure)
🔸 Bearish Structure If price fails to break and hold above 19,430, double top or lower high forms
🔸 Wick Rejection Multiple upper wicks near resistance could signal rejection and exhaustion
🔸 Volume Behavior Potential volume spike without follow-through → trap buyers
🔸 Momentum Divergence If momentum slows on retest of high, weakening bullish pressure
NAS100 – Supply Zone Rejection! Are Tech Bulls Out of Breath?Timeframe: 4H | Methodology: Supply & Demand + Structure
The NASDAQ 100 (US100) is struggling to break above the key supply zone around 19,832. Price has printed multiple wicks at resistance, hinting at weakening bullish momentum.
Technical Breakdown:
Major Supply Zone: 19,800 – 19,850
Critical Support Level: 18,846
Demand Zone Target: 17,700 – 18,000 (highlighted in orange)
Key Observations:
Price has rallied into supply after a strong bullish move from the 18,000s
Repeated rejection candles are forming inside the supply zone
Bearish divergence may be developing — a possible early reversal signal
Trade Setup Idea: (Bearish Bias)
Sell Trigger: Break below 19,700
Target Range: 18,850 first, then 18,000
Stop Loss: Above 19,850
Macro Note:
Several U.S. economic events are lined up (see calendar icons). Expect high volatility — perfect environment for trap moves and liquidity grabs.
Will NAS100 reverse from this zone or break out to new highs? Let me know your view!
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#NAS100 #NASDAQ #USTech #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #ReversalSetup #TradingView
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NAS100 | 4H Bullish Breakout from Channel – Eyes on 19,970 ZoneNAS100 4H Chart Analysis
Price broke out of a well-respected descending channel with a strong bullish push. Currently approaching a supply zone around 19,970, where we may see a reaction.
Key Levels:
• Resistance/Supply: 19,970
• Support: 19,450 / 18,823
Technical Notes:
• Breakout confirmation above descending trendline
• Clean retest zone formed at previous structure (around 18,800)
• Watching for either a rejection at supply or continuation into 21,000+
Next Steps:
• Waiting for confirmation: reaction or break of the 19,970 zone
• Will look for 15m–1H entry if we get a pullback to structure
Is Nasdaq still bullish? Steep correction today as expectedIf you look at my last post, you can see where I explained the expectation.
As range theory would state, the rejection from the bottom of a range creates a target in the high of the range. I have identified the candle top that I believe is the target for this rally.
If the bearish imbalance is stacked with too many orders we will not make it there. We are sitting right around the 50EMA for hourly as well as retesting the break point and bottom of the hourly bearish orderblock as I have marked.
It is in my opinion that the Void will act as a magnetic anomaly and assist in pulling price up as many institutional orders will be in that range, but we'll see 🔑
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NASDAQ a look ahead...As the NASDAQ and other major U.S. Equity Indexes face the pressure of economic uncertainty, the price action between days show that investors are not quite convinced this bull run has seen its finish line. However, we shouldn't only be looking toward private investor sentiment, but also that of the Federal Reserve's presence in the market and how the bond market reflects the Fed's position moving forward.
As shown here, the all time high for the TVC:NDQ is $22,133.22. Our position is that the NASDAQ must reclaim, retest, and continue beyond the all time high in order for us to continue our confirmation on the bull run. The path described should look as shown below...
In this instance, we can assume the bull run should continue. However, we should also be prepared for an alternate scenario where investors leave risk assets behind to chase non-risk assets (bonds for example). This scenario would look as shown below.
All though these are not the only two possible scenarios, we can most likely expect the future to play out in a similar fashion as the examples.
As for the market metrics to keep an eye on, look to TVC:US10Y for any bond yield manipulation, FRED:RRPONTSYD for market liquidity metrics, and FRED:M1V for M1 money velocity. Furthermore, keep an eye on tariffs for consumer tech ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NYSE:TSM ) and military activity ( NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , NYSE:NOC ). Lastly, keep an eye on the banking and financial sector for more than likely banking deregulations withing the coming years.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY trend change supported at 18950 Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19590
Resistance Level 2: 20070
Resistance Level 3: 20344
Support Level 1: 18460
Support Level 2: 17820
Support Level 3: 17330
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