US100 CFD forum
๏ปฟ2/2 Summary of Key Levels
Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance
Daily Support Levels: 20,000 USD, 19,800 USD, 19,600 USD
Daily Resistance Levels: 20,100 USD, 20,250 USD, 20,400 USD
4-Hour Support Levels: 20,050 USD, 19,900 USD, 19,700 USD
4-Hour Resistance Levels: 20,200 USD, 20,350 USD, 20,500 USD
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels
Daily EMA Levels:
EMA 50: 20,000 USD
EMA 100: 19,850 USD
EMA 200: 19,600 USD
EMA 400: 19,200 USD
4-Hour EMA Levels:
EMA 50: 20,100 USD
EMA 100: 19,950 USD
EMA 200: 19,750 USD
EMA 400: 19,500 USD
Weekly Pivots
Weekly Pivot Point: 20,000 USD
Resistance Levels: 20,100 USD, 20,200 USD
Support Levels: 19,900 USD, 19,800 USD
Daily Pivots
Daily Pivot Point: 20,050 USD
Resistance Levels: 20,150 USD, 20,250 USD
Support Levels: 19,950 USD, 19,850 USD
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
23.6% Level: 20,056 USD
38.2% Level: 20,141 USD
50% Level: 20,211 USD
61.8% Level: 20,281 USD
Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News
As we look ahead, several key USD news events could impact the NASDAQ market:
CPI Data Release: Scheduled for next week, this report will provide insights into inflation trends, which are pivotal for monetary policy.
FOMC Meeting: The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting will address interest rates, influencing investor sentiment.
Jobless Claims: Weekly jobless claims data will be released, providing a glimpse into the labor market's health.
These events can significantly affect market dynamics, particularly for tech stocks within the NASDAQ.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the NASDAQ market is at a crucial point, with various technical indicators providing insights into potential future movements. By keeping an eye on support and resistance levels, EMAs, and upcoming economic news, traders can better position themselves for potential opportunities. As always, thorough analysis and strategic planning are essential for navigating the complexities of the market.
1/1 NASDAQ Daily Market AnalysisโMay 12, 2025
Introduction
The NASDAQ market has shown significant volatility recently, with the current live price standing at 20,885 USD. This analysis will delve into the daily and 4-hour timeframes, utilizing a variety of technical indicators including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, and others. Understanding these indicators not only aids in identifying potential market movements but also helps traders make informed decisions.
Market Analysis
Current Market Overview
As of today, the NASDAQ index is trading at 20,885 USD, reflecting a critical juncture in market sentiment. The recent swing high was recorded at 20,331 USD, while the swing low was noted at 19,592 USD. These levels will serve as essential references throughout our analysis.
Support and Resistance Levels
Daily Timeframe
Resistance Levels:
R1: 20,100 USD
R2: 20,250 USD
R3: 20,400 USD
Support Levels:
S1: 20,000 USD
S2: 19,800 USD
S3: 19,600 USD
4-Hour Timeframe
Resistance Levels:
R1: 20,200 USD
R2: 20,350 USD
R3: 20,500 USD
Support Levels:
S1: 20,050 USD
S2: 19,900 USD
S3: 19,700 USD
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Using the recent swing high of 20,331 USD and swing low of 19,592 USD, the Fibonacci Retracement levels are as follows:
23.6% Level: 20,056 USD
38.2% Level: 20,141 USD
50% Level: 20,211 USD
61.8% Level: 20,281 USD
These levels indicate potential reversal zones where traders might expect price pullbacks.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
Daily Timeframe
EMA 50: 20,000 USD
EMA 100: 19,850 USD
EMA 200: 19,600 USD
EMA 400: 19,200 USD
4-Hour Timeframe
EMA 50: 20,100 USD
EMA 100: 19,950 USD
EMA 200: 19,750 USD
EMA 400: 19,500 USD
RSI Divergence
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently shows a divergence on the daily timeframe, indicating potential overbought conditions. A reading above 70 suggests that the market could be due for a correction, while a reading below 30 could indicate oversold conditions.
Order Blocks
Order blocks are significant areas where large institutional orders are placed. In the current market, the following order blocks have been identified:
Bearish Order Block: Around 20,200 USD
Bullish Order Block: Around 19,800 USD
These blocks can serve as key areas for potential price reversals.
MACD Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bullish crossover on the daily timeframe, suggesting upward momentum. However, traders should remain cautious as the MACD histogram shows some signs of weakening momentum.
โ Titan Protect โ Alpha Insights: Watchlist Companion
๐น Instrument Set: Indices | Crypto | Commodities | Macro Dashboard
๐ก๏ธ Signal Type: Full Risk-On Breakout Watch | Volatility Collapse + Crypto Leadership
๐ Market Overview
The tone is strongly risk-on. Global indices are pushing higher with powerful momentum. Volatility is collapsing, while crypto and equities are breaking key levels.
NASDAQ100USD: ๐ +3.78% | 20,825
SPX500USD: ๐ +2.72% | 5,820
DJI: Soft -0.29%, but breadth remains positive
DXY (Dollar): 101.53 (+1.11%) โ strength in USD not dampening risk
VIX: 19.98 (โ8.73%) โ confirms volatility unwind
VVIX / VX2: Both sharply lower โ no near-term option hedging pressure
๐ช Crypto Snapshot
BTCUSD: 104,442 | +1.20% โ holding breakout structure
ETHUSD: 2,550 | +9.02% โ explosive breakout, outperforming BTC
MBT1!, BTC1!: All futures > +1.1%
Takeaway: Crypto is no longer lagging โ it's leading. ETH outperformance confirms rotation into altcoins and risk
๐ข Commodities Overview
XAUUSD (Gold): 3,221 (โ3.14%) โ breaking down
XAGUSD (Silver): 32.27 (โ1.4%)
WTI Crude (CL1!): 63.00 | +3.38% โ firming up
NatGas (NG1!): +1.03%
BCOUSD (Brent): +2.76%
Copper (HG1!, MHG1!): Flat โ industrial metals holding up
Takeaway: Precious metals are retreating, crude oil rallying, industrials steady = clear risk-on commodity rotation
๐ก Equity Sector + Index Flow
Top Performers:
RTY (Russell 2K): +4.06%
NQ1!, MNQ1!: +3.8%
JP225USD (Nikkei): +2.55%
MAG7 Index: +27.82% ๐
TSLA: +4.72%, AMD: +1.14%, AAPL, MSFT, AVGO all green
Short Covering:
SPY_SHORT_VOL: โ48%
QQQ_SHORT_VOL: โ23%
DLTR_SHORT_VOL: โ9.6%
U_SHORT_VOL: โ38.0%
Message: Shorts are being forced out, especially in tech โ this is driving part of the upside.
๐ Macro Dashboard Signals
US02Y: +2.7% (Yields climbing โ bond market confirming move)
US10Y: 4.44% (+1.35%)
FEDFUNDS / UNRATE: Steady
CPI Due: Market is clearly pricing in confidence pre-print
TLT, AGG: Firming slightly โ not a flight to safety, just positioning
โ Final Word
Today is not noise, this is a confirmed rotation into high-beta, crypto, and breakout names.
The collapse in volatility, short squeeze flows, and crypto leadership make this one of the clearest risk-on signals weโve seen in weeks.
CPI remains a wildcard mid-week, but todayโs tone is one of assertive accumulation, not hesitancy.
This isnโt financial advice โ just how Iโm reading the board using Titan Protectโs structured lens.
โ Titan Protect โ Alpha Insights
๐น Instrument:
๐ก๏ธ Signal Type: Bullish Continuation | Breakout Confirmed
The neckline has broken. The down-channel has given way. And price is now running above 20,800, confirming the breakout we've been watching for weeks. Volume and structure support the move. Bulls now have momentum on their side, and any dip toward the breakout zone could offer opportunity for continuation entries. This is now a trend-trade environment โ trade the strength, not the retrace.
๐ Supporting Titan Indicator References:
Trend Alignment: โ Fully Bullish โ confirmed breakout across Titan structure
Sentiment Gauge: โ 100% Buy
Macro Score: โฌ๏ธ 64% and rising
Volatility Matrix: Expansion beginning โ compression bands opening post-break
Titan Guide Lines: Price has cleared FAST and MEAN; now aiming for upper expansion targets
Checklist: All green โ volume, momentum, structure aligned
๐ Quick Setup Snapshot:
Breakout Zone (Retest Watch): 20,358โ20,367 โ former neckline and prior resistance
Current Price: โ 20,800 (trading above all compression levels)
Next Target: 21,000โ21,250 (based on Titan RR levels)
Invalidation Zone: Close back below 20,350 without reclaim
Scalp Bias:
Buy-the-dip toward 20,500โ20,600 if structure holds
No short bias unless full reversal with rejection signal
Core Positioning: Longs remain active. Trailing stops can be widened to just under neckline retest
๐ง Titan Summary Breakdown:
Market Overview: Risk-on continues post-breakout. Indices strong. Dollar neutral.
Sector Flow: Tech, semis, discretionary remain in control. Risk appetite healthy.
Price Action: Breakout confirmed. First real momentum expansion in weeks.
What Iโm Seeing: Structure is clean. Volume supports the move. Reactions at 21k will be key.
Macro View: CPI this week may bring volatility, but flow suggests dip-buying behaviour remains intact.
โ Final Word:
The breakout is real โ and itโs live. We've waited for this move for weeks. Now it's about trade management, not trade prediction. Respect the structure. Trail the trend. Watch for clean retests and build from strength.
This is not financial advice โ just how Iโm managing my own book using Titan Protect.
