KEEP LONG ENTRIES FOR NEXT TOP AT 46500We will move our pivot point up from previous pivot, target price is 46500, timezone is marked between 2nd to 23rd December 2024 to align with the top. Price and time are growing out in well structured Phi models and we expect that if 46500 price is reached within the marked timezone then a strong market correction will follow.
Although our actual projection for the major market top still remains at 27th October 2025 we expect that markets will begin to stall if price reaches the 46500 price level earlier.
Trade safe
US30 trade ideas
DowJones INTRADAY falling resistance at 41420Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41420
Resistance Level 2: 41900
Resistance Level 3: 42470
Support Level 1: 40240
Support Level 2: 39760
Support Level 3: 39150
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones Index (US 30) – Further Recovery Potential?The Dow Jones Index (US 30) has moved steadily higher over the last 10 trading days as traders continue to unwind short positioning attached to the popular sell US assets idea that seemed to dominate at the beginning of April, in the pre President Trump 90 day tariff pause era.
At the start of this new week, after a period of quiet trading on Monday, mainly due to the UK bank holiday, the focus for traders across the next 4 days may well be on whether President Trump and his negotiating team can report progress on trade deals with allies, as well as the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday 1900 BST) and Press conference, led by Chairman Powell (commencing 1930 BST).
Now, while no change to US interest rates is expected at this meeting, the update from policymakers regarding their current outlook for the economy, inflation and path of interest rates across the rest of the year, could well generate some market moving headlines that may impact whether the US 30 continues to post fresh highs, or gives up some of its recent gains.
Technical Update: Further Recovery Potential?
The recent sharp sell-off that saw the Dow Jones Index fall more than 19% eventually found support around 36873, which was a level that was equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the October 2022 to December 2024 strength.
This type of decline back to such a retracement can sometimes see a reactive recovery materialise from the downside extremes in price, and as the weekly chart below shows, 36873 seems to have helped prompt the recent upside move.
Interestingly, the reactive recovery in the index has now seen closing breaks above 40783, a level that is equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of December 2024 to April 2025 price weakness, and traders may now be viewing this move as suggesting further possibilities for a more extended phase of price strength.
Assessing the Daily Chart
While the weekly chart levels are useful, it can also be helpful to assess the daily chart to try to gauge which levels, if broken, may suggest earlier clues for the next possible directional move in the Dow Jones Index, in the run up to, during and after the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Meeting and Press Conference.
Possible Resistance Levels:
With recent price strength breaking above resistance at 40783 (50% retracement of the latest decline) this may lead to a more sustained period of price strength.
As such, this may result in further attempts to push higher towards 41809, which is the 61.8% retracement, possibly even towards 42834, which is the March 26th session high.
Possible Support Levels:
The recent strong rally from the weekly support at 36873 (50% retracement of the October 2022 to December 2024 advance), possibly points to this as a long term support.
However, is there anything within the daily chart that may offer clues to shorter term support levels?
By calculating Fibonacci retracements of the April/May 2025 price strength, we can see the 38.2% level stands at 39991.
If closing breaks under this potential support were to occur, then risks might turn towards a more extended phase of price weakness towards 39570, the 50% retracement support level, even 39150, which is equal to the deeper 62% retracement.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Break at 41000
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 40950
We are watching this zone closely.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 40850
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 41000
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 40800 – Major support / Key level
➗ 41000 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 41000 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 6 Swing Retest
• 41100 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 40950 – Equal lows
• 41050 – Equal highs
US30 (Dow Jones) – Trade Update | May 6, 2025As shared earlier today, price tapped perfectly into the demand zone around 40,920, and we're now seeing the bounce unfold.
✅ I’m currently looking to go long, targeting the 15-min FVG zone (around 41,160–41,240) — as per this morning’s projection.
🎯 Trade idea remains the same:
Valid bullish structure forming
Patience for price to push into the key supply/FVG zone
Will reassess for shorts once that level is reached
⚠️ As always: This is my personal prediction, not financial advice. Please do your own analysis, especially on a volatile NFP day like today. Protect your capital first.
#US30 #DowJones #LongSetup #FVGTarget #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingUpdate #VERUMAcademy
Is everyone missing the leading diagonal Ive seen conflicting Elliot Wave Counts with both Bullish counts suggesting a new ATH is at hand as the decline is only a 3 wave decline and not five and bearish counts suggesting this is only a bear market rally since the Trump Tariff Tantrums.
However if we look at the decline as either a leading diagonal in a primary 4th Wave of an overall bull market or a leading diagonal which often occurs in reversal of trend from Bull to bear or vice versa.
What is not commonly recognized is that the C wave in these structures is often pronounced and extended.
If this count is correct the Dow has about 1000 points of upside before a very sharp decline in an E wave that will probably throw-over the lower trendline and find support in the 35000 area for a significant Wave 2 or B wave rally.
The typical characteristics of the e wave are sharp and deep.
US30 (Dow Jones) – Bounce + Rejection Setup – May 6, 2025🔍 Setup Summary:
Price followed my Tuesday prediction precisely, breaking down from the mid-range and now tapping into a demand zone. From here, I expect a bounce into the descending channel, targeting the 15-min FVG and supply zone around 41,160–41,220, before a potential rejection for a deeper move down.
📉 Trade Idea:
Waiting for confirmation of bullish intent from the current demand zone (~40,960–41,000), with a potential retracement into the FVG zone. I’ll then be watching closely for bearish price action to re-enter short in line with overall structure.
✅ Confluences:
Demand zone reaction expected
15-min Fair Value Gap + trendline + supply confluence
Downward channel still in play
Previous prediction unfolding as expected
📌 Bias: Short-term bullish bounce, then bearish continuation
🕒 Timeframe: 15-minute chart
🎯 Watch Levels:
Entry long: ~40,960–41,000 (confirmation needed)
TP1 (for longs): 41,160
Re-entry short zone: 41,160–41,220
Extended bearish targets: below 41,000
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This idea reflects my personal analysis and bias. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research, apply risk management, and trade only when you have clear confirmation. Protect your capital first.
US30 Stalling Under Resistance – 06/05/2025📉 US30 Stalling Under Resistance – 06/05/2025 📉
🔥 Relief Rally Slowing Down?
After bouncing clean from the 36,700s, US30 has been grinding higher and just tapped into 41,200–41,300 — the same resistance zone that’s been rejecting price since early April. Now, the 1H EMAs are starting to curl, and we’re seeing signs of hesitation 🧊.
Momentum is fading just under key resistance. Bulls still have control above 40,700, but if that level goes… lights out 💡
🔍 Key Technicals:
🔹 Resistance Zone = 41,200–41,300 (retested multiple times)
🔹 Support = 40,700, key structure from April
🔹 Final upside target = 42,359 if we break
🔹 EMAs (blue/white) starting to compress → volatility loading ⚡
🎯 Trade Scenarios:
🟰 Current Range = 40,700 – 41,300
🚀 Break + close above 41,300 = clean runway toward 42,359
🔻 If price loses 40,700 = short setups down to 39,775 then 39,200
Bonus 🎁: If we flush fast, look for liquidity grabs below 39,775 to snipe scalp longs 🥷
🧠 Mindset Notes:
✅ No breakout? No trade. Let the chart prove it.
❌ Don’t short blindly into strength — let levels confirm!
💎 Remember: "slow grinds up often lead to sharp dumps down"
US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day or Swing)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1D timeframe (41000) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 35000 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💵💸US30/DJI "Dow Jones" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
US30: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41,170 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred. And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41,039..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DOW JONES: This is why it targets 70,000Dow Jones is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.838, MACD = 20.320, ADX = 34.615) as the recovery since last month's low is taking a pause ahead of the Fed on Wednesday. Last month's candle closed with an incredible reversal and all this is just noise for long term investors who look at this very chart you have in front of you. The index is basically on the usual -20% correction it undergoes when it is in the middle of a multidecade Bull Cycle. If this is indeed what many call the A.I. Cycle, Dow has a minimum target of 70,000 expected somewhere in 2032.
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Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Break Out at 41280
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 40990
We are watching this zone closely.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 40850
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 41400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 41000 – Major support / Key level
➗ 40600 – Major support / Key level
➗ 41280 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 40990 – level X 6 Swing Retest
• 41270 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) /15min
• 41000 – Equal lows
• 41400 – Equal highs
US30 is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
Dow Jons artistic outlook - a proposition for you to take or disWhen I'm looking at my chart, i like to know what this story is about.
This is what
the whole world is looking at,
some say between 1-5 years from, now we are all going to see what it is about.
Most of us want to prosper but there is a certain minority group who doesn't want that. Why? IDK tell me that.
--------------------------------------------------
The chart do not represent a prediction of any kind its more an invitation how to start thinking -about build.
---------------------------------------------------
Time is short although my chart is on 12 month time line
=================================================
they say 1-5 years but very unlikely now. I don't know if you can see that
there is a time in next 3 years when the trend goes up.
Its my 10 years of experience i and some hard challenging times. i tracked dow nearly 24/7 for 3 years now so i know what it is about. to explain it to you in full could take some time and here is not a place to do just that.
You can see some general shapes and possible traversals, it happens i track them quite correctly due to my different mind.
"I have good intuition when I'm true to myself
this is my point of view I hope to share with you."
SimonTheBeekeeper
PS:
when things starts to move fast
i have my map to find out
where and how.
--------------
thanks for watching I
US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025🛑 US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025 🛑
📈 Strong Bounce – But Watch This Supply Zone!
US30 ripped from the 36,700s all the way back above 41,000 🔥 — but now we’re seeing price stall just under a major resistance zone at 41,200–41,300. Bulls have full control for now, but signs of exhaustion are building 🥵.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Price holding above 40,700 (key support)
🔹 41,200–41,300 = local resistance zone
🔹 42,359 = next major upside target 🎯
🔹 EMAs still bullish but starting to curve → 🌀 possible slowdown?
⚠️ Expect a squeeze or rejection play soon — market is winding up for the next breakout or pullback 💣.
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟰 Current range = 40,700 – 41,300
🔻 Lose 40,700 = retrace likely to 39,775, possibly 39,200
🚀 Break + close above 41,300 = upside open toward 42,359–42,787
🧠 Mindset Reminder:
🔁 Don’t chase highs! Wait for clean structure or rejection
⚡ When EMAs compress, expect volatility to explode
💎 Patience + plan = edge
US30 – Key Supply Rejection at 41,000 | Is a Pullback ? The Dow Jones (US30) is currently trading at 41,089, slightly below the critical supply zone between 41,000 - 41,150, as identified by LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand Visible Range. Price is showing signs of exhaustion after testing the top of the range, hinting at a potential short-term correction.
Chart Breakdown:
Supply Zone: 41,000 – 41,150 (visible resistance from recent price reaction).
Current Price: 41,089
First Support: 40,971 – the last breakout zone.
Next Support: 39,703 – major structure break level.
Demand Zone: 38,735 – 38,000 (bullish reversal zone, high volume node).
Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below 40,971 could confirm short-term bearish momentum.
Watch for price to fill the inefficiency gap toward 39,703 and possibly test 38,735 if weakness continues.
Red arrows on chart signal likely downside zones if buyers fail to defend higher levels.
Bullish Scenario:
Reclaim and close above 41,150 on strong volume may invalidate the bearish bias and push price to new highs.
Upcoming Volatility Alert:
Key U.S. economic news is on the calendar (highlighted on chart) – could cause sharp movement in either direction. Stay alert!
Trade Idea: Look for short entries around current levels with stops above the supply zone. Target the 39,703 and 38,735 levels with proper risk management.
---
Will Dow stay strong or finally give in to bearish pressure? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #VolumeProfile #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #Forex #Indices #MarketUpdate
US30 Eyes 41,300: Bullish Momentum Builds for Major BreakoutTechnical Analysis: The US30 has established a strong support base at 40500, with major support at 40000 serving as a safety net. Price action shows an upward channel formation on the 4-hour chart, indicating potential trend reversal. The risk-reward ratio of 1.60 (500 points risk for 800 points potential reward) provides favorable trading conditions. Recent price action demonstrates higher lows, suggesting accumulation phase and bullish momentum building.
Sentiment Analysis: Market sentiment shows cautious optimism despite recent volatility. Institutional investors maintain bullish positions, particularly in technology and energy sectors. The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey indicates decreased bullish sentiment, which often serves as a contrarian indicator suggesting potential upside movement. Economic forecasts pointing toward a soft landing rather than hard recession support continued equity market strength.
Support and Resistance Levels: Entry zone established around 40500, supported by historical price action and recent consolidation patterns. Major support at 40000 provides clear stop loss level, limiting downside risk. Target of 41300 aligns with previous resistance zone, offering realistic profit objective before encountering major resistance at 41500. Multiple tests of support levels have created strong foundation for upward movement.
Trade Management: Entry: 40500 Stop Loss: 40000 (500 points risk) Target: 41300 (800 points reward) Risk/Reward: 1.60
Additional Considerations: Recent market correction has created oversold conditions, suggesting potential mean reversion toward higher levels. Institutional buying pressure remains strong, with increased volume on upward movements. Technical indicators suggest room for upside before reaching overbought conditions. The 2024 performance showing 12.88% gain supports continued bullish momentum.
The combination of strong technical setup, positive institutional sentiment, and clearly defined support/resistance levels presents a compelling case for longing US30 with 41300 target. The favorable risk-reward ratio and multiple confirmation factors enhance the probability of successful trade execution.
US30What is US30?
The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or simply the Dow 30, is a widely followed stock market index that tracks the performance of 30 large, publicly traded U.S. companies. These companies are considered some of the most important and influential in the U.S. economy, representing a diverse range of sectors such as technology, healthcare, finance, consumer goods, and industrials.
The index is price-weighted, meaning that stocks with higher share prices have a greater impact on the index’s value than those with lower prices. The DJIA is calculated by adding the prices of all 30 component stocks and dividing by a divisor that adjusts for stock splits and other corporate actions.
The US30 acts as a barometer of the U.S. stock market and overall economic health, though it only includes 30 companies and is not weighted by market capitalization like the S&P 500.
Companies That Make Up the US30 (As of 2025)
The 30 companies in the US30 include some of the largest and most influential U.S. corporations:
Apple Inc. (AAPL) – Technology
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) – Technology
Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) – Technology
Visa Inc. (V) – Financial Services
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – Healthcare
Procter & Gamble Company (PG) – Consumer Goods
Walmart Inc. (WMT) – Retail
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) – Financial Services
The Coca-Cola Company (KO) – Consumer Goods
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) – Retail
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) – Consumer Services
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) – Healthcare
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) – Insurance
The Boeing Company (BA) – Aerospace & Defense
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) – Biotechnology
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) – Financial Services
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) – Machinery
Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) – Pharmaceuticals
Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) – Technology
Chevron Corporation (CVX) – Energy
IBM Corporation (IBM) – Technology
Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – Industrials
Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) – Technology
The Walt Disney Company (DIS) – Media & Entertainment
Nie, Inc. (NKE) – Consumer Goods
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) – Telecommunications
American Express Company (AXP) – Financial Services
3M Company (MMM) – Conglomerates
Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. (WBA) – Retail
Dow Inc. (DOW) – Chemicals
How Bond Yields and the US Dollar (DXY) Affect US30 Price Movement
Bond Yields Impact
Rising bond yields (especially U.S. Treasury yields) generally increase borrowing costs for companies, which can dampen corporate profits and weigh on stock prices, including those in the US30.
Higher yields can also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, causing some investors to shift capital out of equities and into fixed income, putting downward pressure on the US30.
Conversely, falling bond yields reduce borrowing costs and can boost stock valuations, supporting gains in the US30.
US Dollar Index (DXY) Impact
The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the strength of the dollar against a basket of major currencies.
A stronger dollar can hurt multinational companies in the US30 by making their exports more expensive and reducing the value of overseas earnings when converted back to USD, often leading to downward pressure on the index.
A weaker dollar tends to support US30 companies with significant international sales, potentially boosting the index.
Additionally, dollar strength often reflects risk-off sentiment, which can coincide with stock market declines, while dollar weakness often aligns with risk-on sentiment and rising equities.
Summary
Factor Effect on US30 Price Movement
Rising Bond Yields Negative: Higher borrowing costs, shift to bonds
Falling Bond Yields Positive: Lower borrowing costs, stocks more attractive
Stronger US Dollar Negative: Exporters hurt, overseas earnings worth less
Weaker US Dollar Positive: Boosts multinational earnings, supports stocks
In essence, the US30 reflects the performance of 30 major U.S. companies weighted by stock price. Its price movements are influenced by macroeconomic factors such as bond yields and the US dollar, which affect corporate profitability and investor risk appetite.