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VXX Volatility Index CFDVXX Volatility Index CFDVXX Volatility Index CFD

VXX Volatility Index CFD

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VXX trade ideas

Vix is predicting a Black Swan EventI believe contrary to common thought; TVC:VIX is chartable with definitive patterns it follows. The pattern in question? Basic double bottom consolidation phases followed by breakouts bull flags retest of the bull flag bottom and follow through from there. We are currently breaking out of 2 double bottom patterns on the chart; one double bottom is the consolidation being used as the stand in for retest of the bull flag bottom with the bull flagpole being the sharp rally back in March 2020. The 2nd double bottom the chart is simultaneously breaking out of is the huge double bottom consolidation with the first bottom being from '91 to '08 while 2nd bottom is from '09 to now. Based on all of the above evidence I believe Vix is predicting a black swan event of biblical proportions for the market
CBOE:VIXLong
by atogabati
1
Is a Massive Surge to $100 Coming in March 2025?Understanding the VIX Index: A Comprehensive Analysis for Market Predictions The VIX index, often referred to as the “fear gauge” of the financial markets, provides crucial insights into market volatility. Since its inception, the VIX has been a valuable tool for investors and analysts seeking to gauge market sentiment and potential turning points. Historical Overview and Elliott Wave Analysis Our analysis traces back to the market bottom around November 2017, where the VIX index embarked on an upward trajectory in a three-wave pattern, identified as an ABC structure. The wave B was characterised by a triangle formation, and the concluding wave C terminated around the $85 mark. Following this, the VIX entered a corrective phase, forming a W-X-Y pattern. In this structure, wave W was a zigzag, wave X formed a triangle, and wave Y concluded around the 14.47 level. Potential Bullish Signal and Market Implications Looking ahead, we anticipate that a breach of the 22.51 level could trigger a bullish signal for the VIX, potentially driving it towards the $100 target by late March 2025. This projection suggests that the S&P 500 may experience further declines until this timeframe. Seasonality and Confirmation of Analysis Supporting our analysis is the seasonal pattern of the VIX, indicating a market bottom around mid-February and a peak in mid to late March. This seasonal behaviour aligns perfectly with our Elliott Wave Theory, Gann analysis, and Fibonacci projections, reinforcing our forecast of a significant market movement.
TVC:VIX
by VitalDirection
Market Open: VXX Pops...This morning, the VIX popped to $19.26, not seeing levels like this since the Jan. 27th, 2025 jump to $19.93, where the SPY saw an almost 3% drop, NASDAQ dropped 5%. We saw concerns of heightened market uncertainty, with investors weighing robust consumer spending against mixed economic signals. There were murmurs that the subdued durable goods orders and emerging signs of slowing GDP growth might signal that the current momentum is hard to sustain. Additionally, dovish cues from the Fed—which hint at a more cautious approach to rate hikes—raised questions about whether these measures could ultimately mask underlying inflationary pressures and economic challenges. On the corporate front, the market was further rattled by underwhelming earnings reports from several key technology players, a sector that had previously driven much of the market’s optimism. This divergence in performance—where defensive sectors such as consumer staples and financials held their ground while growth stocks stumbled—added to the overall anxiety. Finally, the backdrop of ongoing geopolitical tensions and sporadic trade disputes continued to contribute to a risk-off sentiment, ensuring that market volatility remains elevated. Follow us for more Financial & Investment News at @MyMIWallet
SKILLING:VXX
by MyMIWallet
VIX Shark Is Set to Soar. the VIX Shark is about to go through the roof, like seriously, it's set to soar by about 14.6! That's some crazy movement right there. I can already picture the market going wild with all that volatility. It's like the calm before the storm, you know? Better hold on tight and brace ourselves for some serious action. Who knows what's gonna happen next? It's like a rollercoaster ride, but for your investments. So, if you're in the game, get ready for some adrenaline-pumping moves. And if you're not, well, maybe now's the time to dip your toes in and see what all the fuss is about . Either way, it's gonna be one heck of a ride!
TVC:VIX
by SEYED98
5
Prepere yourself for buying opportunities ... So there we are ... CPI little bit higher than exceptating , powel clearly talks about monetary policy and Trump goin wild with tarrifs ... what to except in this macro&political economic driven environment ? I don't think it will grow to extreme values ​​now. Rather, there will be some more carving and from a short-term perspective an opportunity to buy at a good price ... Well, it is very important, at least for me in this environment of a trade war combined with a period when historically the Fed has raised rates and not lowered them as many expect. It is important to take profits and hold losses short and uncompromisingly exit losing positions. The year 2025 will be full of opportunities, which goes hand in hand with pain. What is heaven for one guy is hell for another guy. I am a fan of everyone who tries to make money in this environment and I hope to rob you of your money. Because that is what the market is about. Good luck and enjoy your game
TVC:VIX
by STLMfx
1
Trading the VIX - A Balanced Strategy for Smart InvestorsWarning: This strategy is presented as a trading idea and should not be considered guaranteed trading guidance. Traders are responsible for their own decisions and should carefully evaluate risks before executing any trades. Given that VIX is generally between 13 and 20, I designed this option strategy. Combination VIX Vertical Spreads Strategy Overview: Days to Expiry (DTE): 37 Option Positions: Buy VIX 13 Call Sell VIX 15 Put Sell VIX 20 Call × 2 Visualized Setup Strategy Summary: This strategy results in a combination resembling a modified short straddle centered at VIX 20. However, in structure, it is better understood as a short strangle (neutral) combined with a bull call spread (bullish). The bullish component of the spread suggests that the trader expects the VIX to rise above 13 but remain below 20. The inclusion of a short strangle component helps offset the premium of the debit call spread. This structured approach allows for a calculated risk-reward balance, aligning with the trader’s outlook on implied volatility while leveraging option spreads to optimize capital efficiency. Risk and Reward Assessment: The strategy is heavily weighted towards a long VIX bias, meaning the trader anticipates an increase in VIX, though at a measured pace within a month. There is a slight increase in risk to the short side of VIX due to the exposure created by the short options. The expected profit range suggests that VIX volatility will stay within a defined range of 14 to 24. While the trader acknowledges the possibility of VIX exceeding 20, it is not expected to surpass 24. The probability of profit at expiry is estimated at 65% if entered today. Despite the additional short-side risk, the overall risk remains comparable to a standard short strangle. Historical VIX data indicates that the index fluctuates between 12 and 40 on a monthly basis, with a 52-week high of 65.7 and a 52-week low of 10.6. This reinforces the strategy’s inherent higher risk to the long VIX side. Key Considerations for Execution: Event Risk: Confirm that no major events (e.g., geopolitical instability, Federal Reserve announcements) are expected that could push VIX above 30. Entry Timing: Optimal entry is when VIX is at a relatively low level, such as observed last Friday (2/7/2025) morning. Exit Strategy: The position should be closed in approximately two to three weeks or when profit exceeds 100%. Notes and Alternative Strategy: One challenge of this strategy is the uncertainty in determining a precise stop-loss strategy. However, given the nature of a strangle, there is no immediate need to exit within the first 20 days, making it a relatively "lazy" management strategy. The trader has ample time to adjust after the initial 20-day period. Management should be approached by treating the bull call spread and short strangle separately. Given the natural variance of VIX, this approach should not be overly difficult to execute. A suggested alternative strategy might provide more controlled risk exposure. For example, I would start the trade with a butterfly at 20 if I see the potential rise of VIX. Then, I would reassess it after 30 days (assuming DTE=37; a shorter DTE may also be considered). Alternatively, I could simply wait until expiration day to make a final decision. This strategy has a limited loss while maintaining a similar profit potential. The suggested strategy manages the cost-efficiency aspect while also limiting potential losses. The decision-making process can then be based on market direction after the expected conditions begin to form. In comparison to the original strategy in terms of profit and exit timing, the proposed strategy may offer a faster exit, whereas a butterfly setup may require waiting until expiration. However, traders may find early exits possible for condors or strangles. Here is a visualization of the alternative setup: Alternative Strategy Visualization Thank you for reading. Wish you a successful options trading!
TVC:VIXLong
by yungyeh
3