VIX: time for some long vol?A price action above 23.95 supports a bullish trend direction.
Crossing below this level will negate the bullish trend and acts as a stop-loss.
Further bullish trend support above 25.25.
Crossing above 26.35 will support the price action to reach 28.70, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Crossing below 24.75 will be the first sign of pending bearishness.
VXX trade ideas
VIX a telling… the first hintDespite the recent bear rally and the optimism that has built up, the VIX has been giving heads up that we broke seasonal cycle and is likely to be gearing up for another bout of volatility. Using the daily VIX chart and the TD Sequential Setups, it can be see that the major VIX trend is still Bullish. The recent drop in volatility appears to be a retracement, deeper and overdone. Now, all it needs is a TD Flip and the primary (bullish) trend takes off.
Crossing and closing above 27 would be indicative, and closing above 28 would be confirmative.
So watch the VIX… appears to be about to spike.
$VIX getting to our target level$VIX is SLOWLY getting to our target level
It MAY bounce around high 22's but don't be shocked if it fills the gap before it bounces
#VIX is SEVERELY oversold
$SPX looks ok & may keep pushing
Can this do 300 points?1
$NDX forming higher low?
#stocks setting up for more rally?
VIX Red, Markets Down, Nothing makes sense anymore:)VIX is waiting for its prime time and its coming soon imo
Im bullish with VIX and will start buying Apr 2023 40 calls on Monday.
There was no capitulation on the markets so is the VIX 2-3x rally!
Means the markets have more down to go and the next move will be very violent!
Things will start to move after the elections, means very soon!
Vix , Rock and a hard place..If you look at my last post I said a big move was coming either way and here we are, at that trend where we bounced at 24.
3 straight times vix got rejected at 200sma. Now we are trading between 200sma and trendline support. One will give way next week. IF we break above 200sma chances are the SPY is testing 360 and lower.
If we break below trendline there is a gap at 20 that will probably get closed.
VIX - what what what ?!What Do I see here ?! The Double Top Neck didn't get retested (red circle)
Ladies and gentlemen.... this means only one thing - if a retest hasn't appeared yet, it is more than likely to reverse the other way in the near future - and that is no surprise to me.
So far VIX has been following my lines - and I expect nothing else for the next months. We are now at support, ofcourse consolidation may happen but overall this should be the local bottom and we should start going up - and from here - in theory - sky is the limit. Anything can happen any time. And sadly it won't happen when expected so just keep monitoring. Yesterday's FOMC was really bearish and gave no hope for bulls.
Now stocks and risk-on assets have a pretty open highway to the downside.
Vix (Wake up) Somebody hit this with some Narcan!
Support is now resistance (Yellow line)
We are bouncing off of 25.50 but can't get anywhere. The vix is running out of room because it's caught between Yellow line and white; one or the other will give out.
If we break below 25 we're headed towards 23.74 or 24 (Purple line).
If you look at your RSI on the daily time frame and place a horizontal bar at around 36.30 you'll see we're at support. With that being said the next 2 trading sessions will be interesting
VIX - Will the FED spark another rally in the volatility index?On 18th October 2022, we warned investors that our short-term price target of 35 USD would be pushed further into the future if the market rallied until the FED meeting. Now, we are growing increasingly bullish on the index and expect it to return above 30 USD and then continue toward our short-term and medium-term price targets.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
VIX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022 VIX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022
Currently the volatility for this week is around 12.11% , up from expected 8.8% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 10th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 9.4% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 11.6% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 22.8% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:
TOP: 29.3
BOT: 24.5
Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
35% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
60% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low
VIX vs BTCOkay can someone explain this to me ? I guess not, Because I know that this can't be explained - and worst is - mathematicians have proofs of life being a "thing" made out of fractals - literally everywhere and between everything.
Well, back to markets - here We can See the Daily chart BTC fractal on the 1h timeframe of BTC - and also on the 1h timeframe of VIX - vis has played out nicely ( have posted about this fractal last week)
Now let's see if it leads us to low 19k on BTC.
Risk for Stocks increasing again $VIX $DJI
$VIX in middle of range, normal for now
RSI RARELY oversold
Maybe 1x per year & we're @ lower end
$DJI Comparison to last peak
In overbought territory
"2.5% upside" - ??? downside
Reducing longs
Our LARGEST position $TWTR = cash now
As we go higher raising more cash again