Boom📉 SOLUSD Reversion Entry – Capturing the Recovery
This chart shows a textbook example of how the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Strategy can help identify panic-driven lows and offer early reversal signals for a clean intraday recovery.
⸻
🟢 Signal Breakdown:
1. Sharp Drop into Oversold Territory
Solana (SOLUSD) experienced a large, fast selloff, breaking multiple support levels and triggering a flush in price. This type of move often represents emotional or news-driven liquidation — perfect for statistical reversion setups.
2. First “UP” Signal Printed at the Low
The strategy fired a buy signal just as price reached peak selling pressure:
• Price closed well below the lower volatility band
• RSI reached an extreme oversold zone
• The reversal candle marked the turning point
3. Second “UP” Signal on Confirmation
A follow-up signal printed one candle later, offering traders a second chance to enter the reversal with RSI already starting to recover upward.
4. Bounce Followed Shortly After
Price rallied from the lows, recovering several dollars in value and offering a strong mean reversion trade with limited downside risk.
⸻
✅ How Traders Could Have Used This Setup:
• Wait for the first “UP” label to print on a fast drop — especially after a vertical move like this
• Confirm with RSI turning up from deeply oversold conditions
• Use the low of the signal bar as your stop
• Target previous minor support/resistance or the moving average reversion zone as your first TP
⸻
💡 Why This Worked:
The trade worked well because:
• It was a statistical outlier move (rare volatility event)
• Volume and momentum exhaustion were confirmed by RSI
• The script visually identified the moment where price had likely stretched too far
⸻
This is exactly what the ELFIEDT strategy is designed for — catching those high-stress extremes where most traders panic, but structured reversion logic finds opportunity.
SOLANA trade ideas
Possible retest of 130$ support line incomingLooking at the downtrend (shown in orange) the 130$ support line will probably be retested again. When we hold the same support line, we can expect another retest of 146$. Hopefully with a good result 🚀! Anyway, I am buying some more if this will happen (going long from 130$) because there was enough volume at that level.
Do not try to buy the dip!!!! It can go lower. My overall bias for Solana is bullish based on its fundamentals. I am a solana investor so I have been accumulating Sol and staking them. I think the price will eventually move up but at this stage I don't see anything bullish in the Solana chart. It is certainly not the buy the dip moment because I can see the price can go much lower from here. (and I can be gladly wrong on this!).
Bearish setups I see in the chart:
1) The $140.50 zone had been working as a support line since April 2025 (red horizontal line in the chart), but the price decisively broke and closed below the zone on Friday.
2) The price has been trapped in the descending parallel channel since early May. Now the price broke below the support line, it might drop further to touch the bottom parallel channel.
3) There is an unmitigated fair value gap (not very strong one) around $125-6 area and the area also was working as a strong support line for several months last year (see blue horizontal line in the chart)
4) There is a large order block at $104 zone. If the downside move is aggressive, it can wick down to this level.
5) The price is below all EMAs.6) EMA 9<14<21<55<200 - Bearish
7) MACD and RSI are deep in the bear zone and they are pointing to the downside.
8) There is a big fair value gap in the weekly chart in the $95 area.
I don't like to go short on the asset I am fundamentally bullish on, so I will just stay on the sideline and observe how the price will unfold in the next few months.
SOL/USDT Rejected at Key Fib Zone – Bulls’ Last Stand at SupportRecap and Bias
The short-term bullish “orange” bounce scenario from the previous analysis failed to materialize. Solana’s price was rejected near 150, printing a lower high, and has since dropped back into the mid 140s. This confirms that the recent rally was a dead-cat bounce rather than a trend reversal.
The updated bias is cautiously bearish. This stems from rejection at resistance, weakening momentum, and a deteriorating volume profile. Unless price reclaims the 148 to 150 zone with strength, the bears remain in control. Only a decisive breakout above that level would shift the short-term outlook back to bullish.
Macro Context
Global risk sentiment remains fragile. The sudden escalation between Israel and Iran in early June, including reports of missile strikes, sparked a flight to safety. Solana’s rally quickly reversed, with price dropping over 15 percent since June 11.
Other geopolitical flashpoints also continue to weigh on investor confidence. The protracted war in Ukraine and ongoing disruptions in Red Sea trade routes have fueled broader market caution. This is contributing to periodic risk-off moves and spikes in volatility across both traditional and crypto markets.
On the economic side, uncertainty around US monetary policy is adding to pressure. Although May inflation cooled slightly, investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming Fed decisions. Crypto assets have traded weakly into these events, reflecting a wait-and-see approach.
Taken together, this geopolitical and macroeconomic backdrop is driving elevated short-term volatility and a higher risk premium in the crypto space. In this context, market participants are increasingly hesitant to take large directional bets without a clear catalyst.
One such catalyst may be the potential approval of a Solana ETF. Optimism has grown, with prediction markets now placing the likelihood of approval near 76 percent by late July. If approved, this could be a game-changing event that re-rates SOL’s medium-term valuation and breaks it out of its current downtrend.
Until then, traders should remain cautious and assume headline risk is elevated.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Outlook
Daily and 4H Trend
The high timeframe structure shows a clear downtrend. Lower highs and lower lows are intact. A double top formation from May broke down cleanly. Most recently, Solana was rejected at a key Fibonacci confluence zone around 149 to 151, which included the 0.618 retracement, the 20-day SMA, and a well-defined supply zone.
After that rejection, SOL has traded along the lower Bollinger Band with increasing volatility. The 20 SMA is now acting as dynamic resistance. All major trendlines have broken.
2H, 1H, and 30m Perspective
Shorter-term charts show SOL attempting to base near 143 to 145 support. Several oversold RSI conditions have triggered bounces, but these have lacked momentum. Harmonic pattern recognition shows that a bearish Deep Crab completed near 152, which marked the local top.
Currently, price remains pinned below descending trendlines and the 1H 20 EMA. Bullish momentum has yet to reappear in any meaningful way.
Key Technical Factors
Resistance: 149 to 151
This zone holds multiple levels of confluence. It includes the 50 to 61.8 percent retracement of the last swing, a 1.272 Fib extension, the 20-day SMA, and prior supply. The rejection at 151.7 was sharp and decisive. Unless price reclaims this zone, it remains a ceiling.
Support: 142 to 145
This is the last meaningful support zone holding price up. It is the neckline of a 12H Head and Shoulders pattern and the base of a previous multi-week range. It also coincides with the lower bound of a prior rising channel. The 50-day MA and 0.236 Fib retracement are also near this zone. If this area breaks, sellers will likely target 130 to 135 next.
Momentum: RSI 14 with MA Overlay
Daily RSI rolled over from above 70 with bearish divergence as price topped. RSI is now below its MA across all timeframes, reflecting negative momentum. On the 4H chart, RSI dipped below 30 and remains weak despite minor relief bounces. Lower timeframes show early divergence but no confirmed reversal signals.
Trend Structure
Price continues to make lower highs and lower lows. The 200-day MA was lost weeks ago. The 50-day is now flattening near 140. A death cross recently printed on the 12H chart, confirming bearish short-term pressure.
Volume and PVT
Volume favors the bears. PVT is in decline, showing more volume on down days than up days. The rally to 150 occurred on weak volume, while selloffs continue to show increasing size. This signals distribution, not accumulation.
Harmonic Patterns
A bearish Deep Crab pattern completed at the recent high. No bullish harmonics are confirmed yet. Traders should monitor the 130 to 125 zone for potential bullish completion patterns like a Gartley or Bat. If those form with oversold signals, they could mark the bottom.
Green Scenario: Bullish Breakout Path
Bias
Only valid on confirmed breakout
Trigger
Break and hold above 150. Ideally, an hourly close above 150 or daily close above 152 confirms the move.
Confirmation
Rising volume, RSI reclaiming 50, and a PVT uptick. A retest of 148 to 150 from above would reinforce the breakout.
Targets
First target is 155, which aligns with the 12H 50 EMA.
Second target is 162 to 165.
Extended targets include 170 to 180 and eventually the 200 psychological level if ETF news hits.
Stop Loss
Below 147 or back inside the 143 zone would invalidate the breakout and suggest a failed move.
Logic
If bulls reclaim 150 with strength, this would invalidate the lower-high structure. Shorts would begin covering and momentum could quickly shift. Breakout entries should focus on confirmation and volume expansion.
Red Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Continuation
Bias
Default scenario
Trigger
Clean break below 142. Daily close under 140 confirms the H and S neckline break.
Confirmation
Failing retests of 142, rising sell volume, and RSI staying suppressed. Price action showing impulsive red candles validates the move.
Targets
First target is 130 to 135.
Second target is 115 to 120.
Final measured move would project into the 100 to 110 zone if trend acceleration continues.
Stop Loss
Any reclaim of 145 to 148 would likely invalidate the breakdown and trap late sellers.
Logic
If this support fails, shorts will press. Bounces will likely be sold into. Traders can enter on the break or the first failed retest of 142. Consider scaling out near 135 and trail stops from there.
Strategy Summary
Current Bias
Leaning bearish unless bulls reclaim 150
Key Levels
148 to 150 is breakout zone
142 to 140 is breakdown zone
Trading Strategy
Range traders can play 144 to 150 but must be nimble
Breakout traders should wait for confirmation above 150
Breakdown traders can short under 140 with stops over 145
Risk Management
Volatility is elevated. Trade smaller size. Use tight stops and trail them. Wait for confirmation, not anticipation. Watch ETF news closely. If delayed, expect continued weakness.
Already ready to go longMy bias for Solana is super bullish. I invest in Solana and I think it is still a good price to buy and hold, but I am planning to trade with leverage.
Currently, Daily EMA200 is dead flat and running across the candles.
MACD moving to the upside but still in bear territory.
There is a bullish momentum building up, however, there is a large sell order block sitting above the current price area, and the price can oscillate around EMA200. The similar situation is marked in the blue rectangular box in the chart.
I will open a long position when:
1) EMA 21 >EMA55> EMA200
2) MACD lines cross and move in the bull territory.
3) a daily candle closes above EMA21. (see red vertical line)
Weekly trading plan for Solana Solana looks weaker against BTC & ETH, but still the price is above PP and we can expect continued growth either now or after a local correction as long as the price is above PP
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
Solana Wave Analysis – 9 June 2025
Solana: ⬆️ Buy
- Solana reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 163.80
Solana cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 141.65 (which has been reversing the price from April), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse (1) from April.
The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern, the Piercing Line.
Given the improved sentiment across the cryptocurrency markets, Solana can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 163.80 (top of the previous wave B).
Is there hope for Solana?After a retest of support around $142, SOL is testing previous support as resistance around $152.
A strong break and retest of the $153 area could signal price reclaiming support and heading towards $166.
Failing to do so could lead to a retest and confirmation of $140 as support. Of course, losing support would signal further weakness towards $136 before a reversal potentially taking place.
As mentioned before, price is still trading below 1D 200MA, which could either be signaling weakness or the potential for more upside.
Considering the downward direction of the 1D 200MA could also be a bearish signal, however, this also usually happens before a reversal.
SOLUSD AT CRITICAL ZONE: Bounce or Breakdown? | Price Action Solusd has entered a major demand zone between $146.92 – $150.77, holding price for the last 24 hours. Buyers are showing signs of stepping in after a prolonged downtrend — could this be the start of a bullish reversal?
🔶 Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone (Support): $146.92 – $150.77 🟠
Mid-Range Resistance: $165.70 🔷
Major Supply Zone: $183.18 🔵
📌 Current Price: $150.77
🔍 Recent Reaction: Strong bounce from the lower bound of demand, signaling potential accumulation
🚀 Bullish Targets If Momentum Builds:
1. TP1: $165.70 (~+10%)
2. TP2: $183.18 (~+21%)
🔔 What to Watch For:
1H or 4H bullish engulfing candle close
Break and retest of $155 for confirmation
RSI/Volume divergence or early reversal patterns
📉 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below $146.92 opens room to revisit sub-$140 levels — caution advised if support fails.
💬 Your Move: Will bulls push SOL back to $180 or is another leg down coming?
Drop your predictions in the comments 👇 & Follow for daily crypto chart updates!
#Solana #CryptoTrading #SOL #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #PriceAction #CryptoCharts #BuyTheDip
BULLISH SOLANAI am Bullish From $147.00 with stop loss at $110.
Price has retraced 50% from 7 April LOW to 23 May High Fibo Levels. With A good fundamental backing from the US jobs/Labour reports it seems that we might have a bottom in play an also good buy entries for solana. (RISK APPETITE)
My view on solana is long term and not yet very clear on where to place my TARGETS, but as long as my SL holds on a daily Chart at $110 I will stay Bullish.
Yes we are below the 200 EMA as Well as the 100EMA but as per the Fibo Levels I will stay bullish, A Pullback to $130 is possible if $140 cant hold that will line up with the 61.8% FIBO from the SAME Time as mentioned previously.
IF, Indeed this happens and the price holds at $130 I will add to my Bull Trade.
Technically Solana looks very BUllish for the Medium to long Term with Solid Support at $100, Until Broken My Bullish Analysis will stay in Play
Solana H4 | Potential bounce off 50% Fibonacci supportSolana (SOL/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 140.92 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 122.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 160.65 which is an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Sol, setting!? or will it rise!
In our last Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) update, we discussed the potential for a bounce and posed the critical question: would it be a retest or a reclaim? That distinction is now front and center as price action unfolds.
The 141 area remains the level bulls must defend. A clean reaction here, ideally with a supportive pattern, would create favorable conditions for upside continuation. However, if price returns above 169 , the current impulsive structure downward would be invalidated and a recount would be warranted, that could also be the end of the correction.
Zooming out, the bigger question is whether we are in the C wave of a flat correction. If that’s the case, then this impulse Should be the final move before a change in trend. Conversely, an impulse shouldn't be taken for granted nor lightly, I could set the stage for further down side. If a C wave, this pattern could set the stage for a powerful move after it completes.
In simpler terms:
If bulls hold 141 and reclaim momentum, the structure could shift bullish quickly.
If this is a flat, the C wave down is still unfolding, and we may need to endure one more leg lower before a true trend reversal.
Either way, patience is key. Let the chart print clarity.
Weekly trading plan for SolanaIn this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
The situation is similar to BTC & ETH, not a big correction, but the RSI already shows a local bearish divergence. Therefore, it is possible to see a correction before further growth
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura