Solonaolana/USD is consolidating with mixed signals. Traders should monitor:
Bullish Scenario: Break above 144.53 targeting 145.15 resistance.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below 144.09 testing 142.16 support.
SOLUSD.P trade ideas
Solana (SOL/USD) Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Bearish
Key Levels:
Resistance: $140, $148
Support: $134, $128
Indicators:
MACD: Weak bullish divergence, but momentum lacks strength
RSI: 54.1, slight recovery but no confirmation
EMA 200: Resistance at $148, strong rejection likely
Liquidity & Volume:
Increasing trading volume, but lacking strong bullish confirmation
Large liquidations indicate potential market maker activity
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping (Short Bias)
Entry: Short at $138-$140
Target: $134 (-2.9%), $128 (-7.2%)
Stop-loss: Above $141
Expected Profit: 2.9%-7.2%
🩸 2. Range Scalping
Buy Zone: $134-$132
Target: $138 (+3.1%)
Stop-loss: Below $130
Expected Profit: 3.1%
🩸 3. Breakout Scalping
Entry: If SOL breaks below $132
Target: $128 (-3.0%)
Stop-loss: Above $134
Expected Profit: 3.0%
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If SOL fails to reclaim $140, a move to $128 is highly probable
If SOL breaks above $140, expect a retest of $148
Only a breakout above $148 will flip the trend bullish
🔥 News & Market Context:
SOL liquidations over $1.5B indicate recent market manipulation
Lack of institutional inflows, weak recovery signs
Sentiment remains uncertain, waiting for a catalyst
🔥 Decision & Risk Rating (1-10):
🩸 Short-term (Scalping): Short bias, 7/10 (High probability but needs confirmation)
🩸 Mid-term (Swing): Bearish, 6/10 (Still weak, potential downside)
🩸 Best Play: Short near $138 with a target of $134-$128
👑 Final Verdict:
Solana remains weak, struggling to hold key levels. Short setups are more favorable. If $140 holds as resistance, expect further downside.
🔥 FinCaesar's Statement:
"Fortune favors the prepared, not the reckless."
SOLUSD Megaphone bottomed. $205 min and $340 max Targets.Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a Megaphone pattern, which technically had the price bottomed on its Lower Lows 3 days ago. That bottom was also a 1D RSI oversold barrier (30.00) test, which is exactly where the December 22 2024 Low was priced.
Being below both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the natural short-term Target is again the 1D MA50 at $205.00, similar to the January 03 test.
On the longer term, if SOL makes a 1W candle closing above the 1D MA50, we can resume buying and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone at $340, which is where the 1.236 Fibonacci extension is, exactly where the January 19 High was priced.
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ANALYSISCRYPTOCAP:SOL is breaking below the blue support level! 🔵 If the breakdown continues, the next target will be the green line level. 📉
🎯 Target:
🔄 1️⃣ Green line level 🟩
SOLUSD - $134 key level
Based on a trend based fib extension placed early 2023, late 2022: Solana has found fierce resistance at it's 2.618- roughly around the previous cycle's all time high. After a second attempt to continue upward, we have had a fierce rejection back down towards $130.
As you can see, $134 has acted as a major support and resistance level dating back to 2021, and it has found solid footing at this price.
In fact, it has traded between $134 and $167 - the 1.618 level based on a trend based fib extension placed on the daily candle where it reached it's new ATH - consistently since May 2024.
What I find promising is that we have major confluence at exactly $134 and so far between these two and other fibs and SOL has shown really good strength at this price.
If $134 holds, we should see continuation.
If it breaks, I expect ~105-108 (weak support), falling further to ~$90 (much stronger support than $108).
Keep in mind, we COULD see SOL re-test it's diagonal support line and remain in a bullish structure, but the bear case would be much stronger if we reach that point.
Solona "Support & Resistance Levels"Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: 140.00 (psychological level) and 136.28 (lower support).
Resistance: Levels cluster between 150.00–175.00, with 158.42 and 152.09 as intermediate hurdles.
SOL/USD SELLThis analysis is based on the provided image and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and it is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
$SOL smashes through the EMA9 and SMA20 above $170CRYPTOCAP:SOL smashes through the EMA9 and SMA20.
Looking for the cross for confirmation.
As previously mentioned, that green box was critical to clear $170.
Need a cluster of closes above this.
My 4x LONG is happy rn 🥳
The Art of the Dick-n-Balls Setup A.K.A. Head & ShouldersTL;DR: This is a textbook Head & Shoulders pattern, but let’s be real—it also resembles something more… anatomical. Regardless of how you see it, the market structure is screaming impending breakdown as we gear up for a possible move toward $125-$130.
1️⃣ The Left Shoulder → Initial rally followed by a pullback, setting the first high.
2️⃣ The Head → A euphoric breakout attempt, swiftly rejected, forming the highest peak.
3️⃣ The Right Shoulder → A weak push upward, failing to reclaim the highs, signaling distribution.
💀 Neckline Break = Confirmation: Price is slicing through key levels, rejecting off moving averages, and forming lower highs.
📉 Target Zone:
Fibonacci extension and previous liquidity pools align around $125-$130, making this the next logical support zone.
📊 Additional Confluence:
Volume Profile: Decreasing volume on right shoulder = buyers losing steam.
EMA Rejection: Price struggling below key moving averages.
Liquidity Grab: Stop hunts above the head indicate smart money distribution.
🚨 Final Take:
If this setup plays out, the move down could be swift. While it may look like a "Dick-n-Balls" to the untrained eye, the market only cares about order flow, liquidity, and psychology—all of which suggest a bearish continuation.
Stay sharp, trade smart. 🔥💎
SOLUSD Weekly Outlook: Bullish Shark PatternUPDATE
Bullish Shark Completion & Emerging Divergence
Shark Pattern in Play: Following our previous analysis, BINANCE:SOLUSD has completed the Bullish Shark pattern at the 0.886–1.13 retracement of the 0-X leg. Price action is now reacting around this deeper PRZ, suggesting a potential reversal may be underway.
DMI Delta Divergence: We’re seeing a bullish divergence between price and the DMI Delta—an early sign that bearish momentum could be fading. This divergence reinforces the likelihood of a bounce from the current levels.
If this divergence is confirmed with a strong bullish candle or surge in volume, it may validate the Shark pattern and open the door for a trend reversal. Keep stops below the 1.13 extension to manage risk, and watch for price targets around the 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of the new leg.
SOLUSD looks to be aiming towards golden ratio - time to buy..Currently, SOLUSD is showing signs of aiming towards this pivotal level. Fibonnaci retrace from beginning of bullrun shows gold ratio to be at 120-130 level, a local support. Going to buy heavy here at 120-130.
$SOL RSI Fully Reset! Could Very Well Have Seen the BottomI’ve been waiting a few days before posting an update on CRYPTOCAP:SOL to see if it forms a cluster that mimics the fractal before the Trump Pump.
So far it has been playing out perfectly.
I still think we might have a wick at the very least to retest $155, but it does not necessarily have to happen as we’ve already have some confirmed price action in that region.
Main target is reclaiming the DMA9 and then prior Trend.
The RSI has FULLY RESET, so we could very well have seen the bottom here.
SOL Historic rise Paused for GasolineForget the Argentina Texas Tango, SOLANA has endured far worse (FTX) and is still on a historic rise that has seen go 800% in 2 years and has tons more upside left to go THIS CYCLE! But yeah a few dubious things are happening. Unlocks followed by ETFS next month -- hmmm the ETFS will mean companies want to SELL shiny new ETF products to customers.... Don't you think they a CHEAPER SOL to SELL? FUDD and Unlocks are good excuses to BRING THE PRICE DOWN! So whether that little conspiracy theory is correct or not, We are STILL ABOVE the HANDLE on the Historic CUP and HANDLE in SOL Price action. 149 is a particularly strong level that supports the ENTIRE HANDLE in this CUP. Rock SOLID 123 is a possible WICK target. BEARS BEWARE any down side on SOL will probably be quick and happen this week. After unlocks I think it is ETF time and the buzz alone could send SOL to 450.
"M Pattern" puts Magnet at Horizontal Support & 200 MASOL FUD dump drove high leverage Revenge Trade longs at 160. Stops will be Hunted. Capitulation wick to 120 may produce quick bounce to 260 for 2X+ w/o leverage. Smart Money is waiting.
Solana - Likely to hold the 50% level at $138Solana at $139
50% level from top 2021 to bottom 2022 is at 138. Most likely this is the bottom area and we should eventually bounce form here. If it takes days or hours is hard to say. But for the bulls this is the area to hold.
For the bears you want to break below and hold below for days.
Im bullish. Total 3 going down on low volume is also a bullish sign for the market. Im buying.
Are you buying?
Key: 3 day close below or above $170 line
SOL's indicators are showing strength here at the key $170 line. However, I believe with a 3 day candle close below this key line, we will see a continuation down to the support line that started Jan 22 24 and was confirmed Aug 4th 2024.
Somewhere around $150-$155. It's bounced nicely off this line two times.
A break of this line indicates to me a further retracement to $120. This still leaves us in a bullish formation as it would be a higher low than August 2024.
Solana bullrun is over. Next bear market lowsSolana has super nice bullrun in 2023-24 but all good things comes to an end.
I will talk about long-term targets and not about short-term movements.
StochRSI formed bearish divergence on 1M timeframe. It continues to move down.
Price formed double top (clearly see if you change chart to line chart)
Price touched 2021 bullrun highs. It took all liquidity at this level.
Current candle is bearish engulfing candle (but month is not over yet)
It will be interesting again in coming bear market when price reaches 15-30$ region (liquidity level of spring-summer 2023) most likely in 2026
Solana Wave Analysis – 25 February 2025
- Solana reversed from support level 134.15
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 155.30
Solana cryptocurrency today reversed sharply from the key support level 134.15 (former Double Bottom from October) standing well below the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The price will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer today (strong buy signal for Solana) – if the price closes today near the current levels.
Solana cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 155.30 (former strong support from November, acting as the resistance now after it was broken earlier this month).
Alts Bleeding Out Off Topping Patterns. A while ago I flagged up the various different topping patterns we have in crypto alts.
There was a little more stop gaming (Nothing is ever easy)but these now trade typically around 50% off the high.
Today we met the first major pivot point for the bull trend with us reaching the levels one would expect to see in a typical correction.
A break under 140 - 135 could spell out a real bloodbath in these.
Critical test for crypto now.
$SOL RSI Most OVERSOLD Since June 2023!Still no clear signals on CRYPTOCAP:SOL yet.
However, the RSI on the DAILY IS THE MOST OVERSOLD its been SINCE JUNE 2023.
I personally opened a long here.
Not for the faint at heart.
Could dip down to $133’ish and range between $146.
We DO NOT want to range too long in this area as you can see there has already been HEAVY consolidation.
Look for a V-Shape reversal trying to reclaim that ~$157 level for bullish confirmation.
SOLUSD Weekly Outlook: Bullish Cypher PatternOverview
On the weekly timeframe, BINANCE:SOLUSD has shifted gears since our last analysis. Previously, we flagged a bearish divergence—higher highs in price paired with lower highs on the DMI Delta—hinting at weakening momentum. Price has since declined, and now it’s tapping into a key demand zone, completing what appears to be a Bullish Cypher harmonic pattern.
Why This Matters
Bearish Divergence Played Out : The prior divergence signaled fading bullish pressure, and the subsequent drop brought SOLUSD from its highs into this demand zone—a textbook pullback scenario.
Bullish Cypher Completion : The pattern’s structure is taking shape: X-A (initial up move), A-B (~38.2%-61.8% retracement of X-A), B-C (~113%-141.4% extension of A-B), and now C-D targeting a 78.6% retracement of X-C. The D point aligns with this demand zone, marking a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
Demand Zone Test : This level has historical buying interest. If it holds, it could validate the Cypher and spark a reversal.
Key Considerations
Watch the PRZ : The 78.6% X-C retracement (~D point) is critical. To confirm a bounce, look for reversal signals like a bullish candle, volume surge, or RSI/DMI Delta divergence.
Lingering Divergence Risk : While the drop aligned with the prior bearish signal, momentum remains a question. Cross-check with volume or DMI trends before committing.
Risk Management : For longs, set stops below the demand zone. If shorting a breakdown, target the next support level from prior lows.
Upside Potential : A confirmed Cypher could push the price toward the 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg—map these targets on your chart.
Conclusion
The recent decline in BINANCE:SOLUSD following our bearish divergence call has set the stage for a Bullish Cypher at this demand zone. If buyers defend this level with conviction, the pattern could drive a meaningful reversal, invalidating the prior bearish pressure. However, a failure to hold here might extend the correction. Traders should monitor price action and volume at the PRZ for the next actionable signal.
$SOL When in Doubt, ZOOM OUT! BULL FLAGHere's a better look at the RSI being the most OVERSOLD since JUNE 2023.
Obvious Bull Flag.
SOLUSD H4 The price trend has been moving in a downtrend for the past 1 month, currently the price is starting to continue its decline. You can take advantage of the sell opportunity with the setup:
SL: 179.943
TP 1: 146.100
TP 2: 129.475
Disclaimer ON!
Remember to keep setting risk limits and maintaining money management.
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