SOL Triangle Breakout + Fib Confluence – Aiming for $190+Solana (SOLUSD) just broke out of a multi-month triangle on the 8H chart, signaling a potential reversal and continuation toward previous highs.
Key Highlights:
🔹 Break of Structure (BOS): Price broke through descending resistance, flipping momentum in the bulls’ favor.
🔹 Fibonacci Confluence: Bounce came cleanly from the 0.5–0.618 zone ($129–$140), adding high-probability support.
🔹 Triangle Apex Break: Consolidation is over — the arrow is launched.
🔹 Targeting Previous Highs: $185–$190 range is in sight, with historical resistance marked.
🔹 Risk Defined: Stop idea near the previous low and triangle base (~$115).
⚠️ Watch for confirmation candle closes and volume follow-through — the move is just beginning.
SOLUSD trade ideas
Solana - *Bullish* Macro Count EW-Analysis#SOL
This is my preferred and most bullish scenario for Solana. We're currently in a higher-degree Wave 2 correction following a completed Wave 1. The micro count remains unclear for now, further price action should bring more clarity. It’s possible the X-wave has already completed, suggesting additional downside ahead. The only problem I see with this scenario is that, unlike Solana, other coins like XRP and BTC do not appear to be undergoing a larger corrective phase.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. All trading involves risk, and you should perform your own due diligence before making any trading decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses that may arise from reliance on this content. Always trade at your own risk.
SOL/USD in Clear Downtrend – Short Setup in PlayHi traders! , Analyzing SOL/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, price is currently moving within a defined descending channel, respecting lower highs and lower lows. A recent rejection from the channel top suggests continuation to the downside.
🔹 Entry: 150.09
🔹 Take Profit (TP): 145.47
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 154.51
The price failed to hold above the 200 EMA and has resumed its downward trajectory. The RSI shows a recent bounce from overbought levels, supporting the bearish momentum. This short setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio within the context of the broader downtrend.
A clean rejection at resistance and confirmation of the trendline add confluence to this trade idea. Keep an eye on the 145.47 zone, where buyers may attempt to defend the support.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own decisions and risk management.
SOLUSD – Snapped Back FastSOL broke down hard from $154 into $146 before staging a V-shaped rebound. After reclaiming $151, price surged back into $153+ and is now consolidating near highs. Short-term trend is strong, but $153.80–$154.20 is a key resistance zone. Above it opens door to $156+. Break below $151 = caution.
Solana/Ethereum Pair Flipping?$SOL/ CRYPTOCAP:ETH ratio may soon decline as Ethereum shows relative strength. ETH's new upgrade on scaling solutions and DeFi dominance could outpace Solana's momentum. Watch for ETH outperformance! #Crypto #Ethereum #Solana
Chart pattern is now showing a classic Elliot wave bearish ending diagonal pattern which will be confirmed when ratio breaks back below the prior all time high of 2022
SOLUSDTSOL/USD (Solana):
○ Trend: Very strong uptrend (exponential increase).
○ Current Conditions: Price has reached a new high above $180 after a very rapid and significant rise.
○ Entry Recommendation: Entry is strongly discouraged at this time. The risk of a deep correction is very high. Ideally, wait for a significant correction to a strong support area (e.g., $158-$162 or $148-$152) and look for a bullish reversal signal.
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"I am a passionate swing trader focused on analyzing financial markets to capture profit opportunities from medium-term price movements. With a disciplined approach and in-depth technical analysis, I concentrate on identifying trends, support-resistance levels, and price patterns to make informed trading decisions. I prioritize strict risk management to protect capital while maximizing profit potential. Always learning and adapting to market dynamics, I enjoy the process of refining strategies to achieve consistency in trading."
SOLANA Smart Money Breakdown 🔍 SOLANA (SOL/USD) Technical Analysis – July 18, 2025
Solana (SOLUSD) is currently reacting to a major resistance zone around the $185–$190 level, as shown in the chart. Price has rallied strongly from the support area near $130, breaking several market structures (BOS – Break of Structure) on its way up.
🧠 Smart Money Insight:
Multiple BOS events indicate strong bullish momentum that pushed price into a premium zone.
Current price action shows exhaustion near resistance, suggesting possible distribution.
🧱 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $185 – $190
Support Zone: $125 – $135 (untapped liquidity beneath)
Target Zone: $155 – $160 (where liquidity likely rests)
⚠️ Expectation:
A potential short-term retracement or pullback is expected toward the target area, as indicated by the downward arrow.
This aligns with a classic liquidity sweep setup, where smart money often engineers a false breakout before reversing.
📌 Conclusion:
If SOL fails to close strongly above the resistance zone, it could signal a reversal pattern toward lower support, offering an opportunity for short-term swing traders.
Solana Bounce Setup – Trendline + Demand Zone ConfluenceSOL is testing a confluence zone between rising trendline support and a key demand block around $161–$162. This zone has acted as a springboard for the last leg up and now overlaps with a full Stoch RSI reset on the 1H timeframe.
If price holds this structure, a continuation toward the previous supply zone at ~$166 is in play. Breakdown below $159.68 would invalidate the setup.
📉 SL: Below structural low
📈 TP: Prior high / liquidity zone
📊 Watching candle structure for entry confirmation
#SOLUSD #Solana #PriceAction #TrendlineSupport #CryptoSetup #QuantTradingPro #TradingView
Solana Wave Analysis – 11 July 2025- Solana broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 180.00
Solana cryptocurrency recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 159.80 (which has been reversing the price from the start of June) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the ABC correction (2) from May.
The breakout of this resistance zone should accelerate the active impulse waves 3 and (3).
Given the strongly bullish sentiment seen across the cryptocurrency markets today, Solana can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 180.00.
LONG - I am going to add more position when this happensI currently have a small size of long position but I am planning to add more (please see my previous article for my first trade set up), but I am waiting for a certain set up to come up:
Daily:
1) all momentum indicators are entering the bull zone, so there is a plenty of room to move to the upside.
2) The candle has crossed and closed above both EMA 21 and 55, but EMA 200 is currently working as a resistance.
3) EMAs have not crossed and lined up for the bull trend - 21> 55> 200
4H:
1) EMA55 has finally crossed above EMA200!! But when they cross, the price very often has a decent pull back before taking off.
2) Stochastic and RSI are already in the overbought territory which tells me the pull back is likely to happen.
The chart is looking really good for the bull but I am going to wait for the price to retrace to Fib0.5-0.618 zone (see blue rectangular box in 4h chart).
If the price rebounces from that zone and momentum indicators reset to move to the upside, I am prepared to go big on long.
$SOL | Triple Top or Launchpad?Macro to Micro Context:
SOL is now testing a third rejection in the upper 153s, forming a textbook triple top just under a multi-month descending trendline and major Fib resistance. This ceiling has held firm since late June, despite higher lows grinding up from below. Price is now squeezed tightly between compressing demand and stacked supply, with volatility contraction apparent across the board.
The structure is coiling hard but momentum and volume must confirm resolution before positioning aggressively.
Structural & Momentum Breakdown:
Resistance Layering (Reinforced):
Triple Top: Price has repeatedly failed to break above the upper 153s.
Fib Overlap: 50%–61.8% retracement range aligns with both trendline resistance and OB stack.
Order Block Stack: Resistance from mid-153s to low-154s is now reinforced across timeframes (30M → Daily).
Momentum Shifts:
RSI Divergence: Lower highs on RSI across 2H/1H, despite flat or slightly higher price.
PVT Flattening: No fresh accumulation during recent tests.
Volume Decline: Progressive volume deterioration on each retest distributional tone building.
Demand Shelf:
Key demand and support range from low-150s to mid-151s has held through three separate dips.
This is the immediate pivot zone — lose it and vacuum effect likely down into the upper 140s.
Updated Trade Plan:
Rejection Short Setup:
Entry: Breakdown through mid-151s with confirming sell volume.
Stop: Above low-154s to account for potential deviation wicks.
TP1: Upper 148s (first OB cluster).
TP2: Mid-146s (Fib + minor support).
TP3: Low 140s (macro demand + wedge base).
Bear Confirmation: RSI breakdown + volume expansion + OB flips into resistance.
Breakout Setup (Only on Clear Validation):
Entry: Strong candle close above low-154s with breakout volume.
Stop: Below low-151s — invalidation of reclaim.
TP1: Upper 157s (Fib zone).
TP2: Low 160s (swing high area).
TP3: Upper 160s (macro breakout expansion).
Bull Confirmation: RSI > 62 on 2H, strong PVT rise, and flip of local OB into demand.
Risk Warning:
Triple tops near macro resistance are high-risk unless clearly broken. This zone is overloaded with historical rejection. Don't front-run the breakout — volume will show you who's in control.
Closing Thoughts:
With a confirmed triple top now visible, SOL is facing its most important rejection zone in weeks. Bulls must reclaim with strength or this becomes a clean setup for rotation into the mid to low 140s. Patience and confirmation are key here. Keep risk asymmetric.
Opened longI opened a long position.
Ideally it is safe to wait for EMAs to line up for the bull trend (EMA21 > 55> 200) in the Daily chart. However, there are many indications that the price will start to move to the upside and the upside move might be quite aggressive. So I decided to open a long position with a small position size.
The reasons for opening a long position:
Daily:
Bull candle has closed above EMA21 for a few times.
RSI lines have crossed and entered the bull zone.
MACD lines are about to enter the bull zone.
Stochastic lines are above to cross and move up.
The price has been staying above Fib 0.236 level for about 10 days.
The price has broke and closed above the descending parallel channel.
4H:
All momentum indicators are in the bull zone.
EMA21 is above EMA 55.
The price has closed above EMA200.
The price is consolidating above the top descending parallel channel.
It is not the perfect bull trend set up, however, there are enough confluences for the price to start to move to the upside.
Entry price: $142.59 (blue horizontal line in 4H chart)
Stop Loss: $130.40 (red horizontal line in 4H chart)
Target: $195 (green horizontal line: Fib 0.5 level in Daily chart and fair value gap zone)
$178 is a strong support and resistance area, so if it starts to stall, I might take a partial profit.
Fingers crossed.
SOL Short Trading Setup: The Alligator Awakens!
Wave 4 wedge forming — watch for breakdown. Neely rules and Alligator indicator confirm setup.
SOL Trading Setup: The Alligator Awakens! 🐊
The Chart Breakdown
Looking at this SOL/USD hourly chart, we’ve got a textbook Elliott Wave setup using the Williams Alligator and Neely’s NeoWave rules .
The Wave Count Story
ABC : That larger three-wave rally? Done and dusted. ✅
1-2-3-4-(5) : We're now in a five-wave decline, currently sitting in wave 4.
Neely Rules Check ✔️
Price & Structure:
Wave 3 is not the shortest: travels farther than wave 1 and exceeds projected wave 5 → ✅
Alternation: Wave 2 was a sharp ABC; Wave 4 is a flattening wedge/triangle → textbook alternation ✅
No overlap: Wave 4 doesn’t enter wave 1 territory → clean as a whistle ✅
Equality guideline: The green box shows −2.74 %, mirroring wave 1 → picture-perfect ✅
Time Rules (Neely’s most overlooked):
Wave 4 has taken ~25 bars vs. wave 2’s ~15 bars → passes the time-ratio test ✅
Wave 5’s projected end falls within the vertical marker from wave 4’s high → on schedule ✅
Alligator & AO Confirmation 🐊
Alligator lines compressing during wave 4 → energy is building
AO divergence: red bars deepen in wave 3, shrink in wave 4 → classic wave 5 setup
The Trading Plan 🎯
Entry Strategy:
• Stop-limit sell just below wedge support (~$147)
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: One ATR above wave 4 high — protects against a throw-over
Time Stop: Exit at market if not in profit after 70 bars
Profit Targets:
TP-1: 100 % of wave 1 length (green arrow)
TP-2: Trail stop if AO shows bullish divergence near target zone
The Caveat ⚠️
If wave 4 drags on much longer (>2× its current length), it could evolve into a complex correction. Time is key — watch that clock.
Bottom Line
This setup checks all the NeoWave impulse boxes. The structure is clean. The Alligator is asleep. And we’re approaching a wedge break.
Short the break, target the equality zone, and respect your time stop.
Good traders follow rules. Great traders follow Neely rules. 😉
Agree or disagree? Drop a comment or share your chart!
SOL – Compression at Resistance IISolana remains locked in a corrective sequence, unwinding from the mid-June $164 high. Price has now respected a clearly defined descending trendline, recently validating it with a third consecutive rejection—establishing it as dominant short-term resistance. Compression is now occurring just above a well-tested 2H order block near 144–139, where bulls must respond or risk cascading into inefficiency zones.
Structural and Momentum Breakdown:
Descending Resistance Structure: Three clean rejection wicks off the same trendline establish this as firm structural resistance. The latest failed bounce confirms this diagonal as active seller control.
Fib Cluster Rejection: Price has struggled below the 50–61.8% retracement (152–155 zone) from the June high, marking that cluster as distribution resistance.
Volume Profile (VRVP): Sitting atop a low-volume pocket between 144.88 and 139.71; below that lies high-acceptance around 132.
Volumized OB Zones: 2H OB between 144–139 overlaps with key support shelf—any breakdown from here opens path to 132–129 range sweep.
RSI: Persistently sub-40 with no bullish divergence—momentum continues to degrade.
PVT: Flat-to-declining, showing no inflow response to support retests—suggests buyers are stepping back even at local lows.
Example Trade Strategy:
Bullish Reclaim Setup:
Entry: Only with breakout and 2H close above 152–153 (above OB and breaking descending resistance).
SL: Below 144.50 (reclaim invalidation).
TP1: 158–160 (Fib 78.6%)
TP2: 164 (100% retrace)
Confirmation Criteria: RSI >50 + breakout volume + PVT uptick.
Bearish Continuation Setup (If OB breaks):
Entry: 2H close under 144.88, confirming OB loss and trend continuation.
SL: Above 148.
TP1: 140
TP2: 138
TP3: 132–129 (macro demand + HVN)
Confirmation Criteria: Momentum stays sub-40 RSI, increased sell volume, and continued PVT drop.
SOL – Compression at ResistanceAfter retracing up toward the 50% Fib level (around 154.3–154.4 on the daily chart), SOL/USDT has now stalled beneath key resistance and is rolling back into the reaction range. A close look at both the 1D and 2H charts reveals a clear case of a failed swing high rather than a trend reversal.
1. Structural Context
SOL remains inside its broader downtrend channel (green lines). The bounce off the June low carved out a higher low, but the subsequent rally ran into:
The daily descending trendline (red) from the June high
The 50% Fib retracement of the June down-leg (154.3–154.4)
A sell-side order block (red volume bars on the left VPVR)
The daily 20-period SMA and upper Bollinger Band
Because price could not clear these layers, the move shows the characteristics of a lower high inside a downtrend rather than a genuine breakout.
2. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
Daily (1D) Chart
Retracement: Peaked at 50% Fib then reversed.
Volume Profile: Thick VPVR node at 154–156 acted as a supply shelf.
Bollinger Bands: Upper band contained the rally.
RSI: Pulled back from ~55 and printed a lower high as price challenged 50%.
PVT: Flat, indicating no real net buying during the bounce.
2-Hour (2H) Chart
Trendlines: A shorter-term red downtrend line capped the local rally near 154.
Order Blocks: Green buy-block around 137–140 held the low; red sell-block around 154–157 limited upside.
RSI: Printed a lower high on the second leg up, even as price revisited prior highs.
Volume: Tapered off on the approach into the 50% Fib zone, then increased on the pullback — a sign of distribution.
3. Key Levels & Next Moves
Immediate Support:
152.2–152.5 (38.2% Fib)
151.1–151.9 (23.6% Fib & daily BB midline)
Structural Support Zones:
146.1–144.6 (prior consolidation & lower Bollinger band)
141.5–140.9 (secondary order block)
134.0–137.0 (major demand cluster)
Immediate Resistance:
154.3–154.4 (50% Fib + daily trendline + SMA)
156–158 (78.6–100% Fib band + higher-timeframe supply)
If SOL fails to hold 152.2–152.5, look for a retest of the 146–144 zone. A breach below 144 opens the path back toward the 137–134 order block. Conversely, a sustained reclaim of 154.4 on volume would be needed to shift the short-term bias neutral.
4. Conclusion
This sequence—bounce into 50% Fib, capped by overlapping resistance, followed by divergence in momentum and rising volume on the pullback—confirms another lower high in SOL’s downtrend. Until price can clear 154.4 with conviction, the path of least resistance remains downward.
Give me 3 reasons not to be bullish on SolanaSolana’s Total Value Locked (TVL) expanded from $396M on Dec 26, 2022 to $8.69B by July 4, 2025, a 2,094% increase (~22x growth) across 80 weeks . This translates to a weekly geometric growth multiplier of ~1.089, or an 8.9% compound weekly rate .
This rapid TVL expansion reflects capital inflows, increased DeFi participation, and regained trust in Solana’s infrastructure following the FTX collapse.
————————————————
LST Ecosystem Expansion :
Liquid staking derivatives (JitoSOL, mSOL) accounted for a significant share of inflows, as yield-seeking capital returned with Ethereum-style primitives on Solana.
MEV Monetization & Compression Tech :
Validator-side MEV solutions and data compression (via Firedancer and ZK-state) improved scalability and trust in Solana’s low-latency environment.
Resurgence of DeFi-NFT Hybrids :
Protocols like Tensor and HadeSwap blurred lines between DeFi and NFTs, generating sticky liquidity and reinforcing Solana’s unique narrative.
Restored Institutional Confidence :
Post-FTX reforms and a more diversified validator ecosystem helped re-attract institutional capital, supported by enhanced wallet infra (e.g., Backpack, Phantom) and custodianship.
This pattern, paired with the geometric growth trend, suggests Solana’s DeFi ecosystem is entering a new structural bull phase, underpinned by both technical confirmation and fundamental evolution.
Anyways, let me know in the comments 3 reasons not to be bullish on Solana as we speak.
(PS: QC-resistant issues don’t apply only for Solana but for all major crypto assets!)
solusdtThe breakout area has been successfully tested and we will see the next step, the drop to the shaded area.
*In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.