SOLUSDT trade ideas
SOLUSDT: The Bears' Defense Holds Firm at the Golden Ratio. SOLUSDT: The Bears' Defense Holds Firm at the Golden Ratio. What's Next?
The Solana market has undergone a significant correction from its all-time highs, and the recent price action suggests the downtrend may not be over. The current structure is defined by a clear rejection from a formidable resistance zone, signaling that sellers remain in control for now.
The Bearish Rejection & Crucial Resistance ๐ด๐จ
Following the initial sharp decline, price made a notable attempt at a recovery, forming a rising intermediary support trendline. However, this recovery rally was decisively halted at a critical levelโa confluence of a Crucial Resistance Zone and the 0.5 to 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. This red zone, from approximately $195 to $218, has proven to be a major supply area. The recent price action saw a strong rejection from this region, with the price now breaking below its intermediary support trendline.
The Breakdown of Intermediary Support ๐
The rising white trendline, which had provided support for several months, has been broken. This breakdown is a significant bearish signal, indicating a loss of momentum and a potential shift in the short-term trend from bullish to bearish. This event increases the probability of a move toward lower support levels.
The Ultimate Line in the Sand: Long-term Support ๐ช๐ข
Should the current bearish momentum continue, the next major demand zone is the Long-term Support area, a wide green band from approximately $100 to $120. This region has historically served as a strong base of support and represents the last major line of defense for the bulls. A test of this zone would be a significant event, and a break below it could lead to further extended declines.
What to Watch For: The Path to Bullish Confirmation ๐
For the sentiment to turn definitively bullish, Solana needs to demonstrate a new wave of buying power that is strong enough to overcome the current overhead resistance. The market must see a sustained break and close above the Crucial Resistance Zone ($195-$218), specifically above the 0.618 Fibonacci level. A successful push above this formidable barrier, especially with strong volume, would invalidate the current bearish outlook and signal a potential move toward new highs. Until then, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
SMC Breakdown: Liquidity, Inducement & Trap Playbook๐Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) Grab:
Price sweeps equal lows (EQL), triggering retail stop-losses and fueling institutional entries.
๐CHoCH (Change of Character):
A bullish shift in structure confirms the reversal after SSL is cleared.
๐Fair Value Gap (FVG) Fill:
Price retraces to rebalance inefficiency left by the impulsive bullish move.
๐Inducement:
A lower high tempts breakout sellers just before price reclaims the zoneโclassic trap formation.
๐Buy Entry Confirmation:
Entry is triggered at the FVG zone, in confluence with CHoCH, SSL grab, and inducement.
๐Buy-Side Liquidity Target:
Price aggressively rallies to sweep buy-side liquidity resting above previous highs.
๐Trap Above Highs:
A final liquidity grab above highs where late buyers enter, only for price to rejectโmarking smart moneyโs exit.
SOLANA: THE ULTIMATE TECHNICAL CONVERGENCE..๐ THE TRADING PLAYBOOK
๐ก๏ธ CONSERVATIVE SUPPORT PLAY
Setup: Buy at Fibonacci support levels๐จ
Entry: $158-$165 (0.618-0.5 zone) ๐
Stop: $140 (Below all major support) โ
Target:
Tp1 : $200(25% gain) ๐ฐ
Tp2 : $232 (40% gain) ๐ฐ
โก Position Size: 3-5% of portfolio โก
Time Horizon: 3-6 weeks ๐ฏ
______ NOTE _______
DYOR โ ๏ธ Not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
#SOLANA #SOL #SymmetricalTriangle #Fibonacci #Breakout #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #AltSeason #DeFi #MemeCoins #TradingSetup
SOL BEARISH CONTINUATIONAs the market continues to create new lows, something caught my eye.
3 areas of unwicked impulsive moves (FVG's) lying around 165.18 - 166.80, 167.65 - 169.69 and 170.32 - 172
With this, I identified two order blocks
.
I'm traditionally wired to prefer the latter because there's more confluence factors;
A liquidity pool 169.70 - 170.3 established by price struggling to close above that level followed immediately by a FVG into an OB.
Price would have an instant reaction downwards if it traded to those levels.
However, the buying pressure might not be sufficient to push price to those levels before the crash.
Hence the other order block.
I'd be paying close attention to observe how it plays out.
Chart Overview (SOL/USDT โ 1D, Binance)Key Insights:
Support Zone: Around $160โ165, aligning with Ichimoku support lines.
Fibonacci Levels: Price broke above the 1.618 level (~$175) and is now retesting.
Indicators Below: Showing a strong bullish crossover, supporting upward momentum.
Target Path: Drawn to reach $223, then $240โ260 if bullish trend continues.
๐ Bullish Scenario:
Bounce from $160โ165 zone
-Short-term target: $195โ200
-Mid-term target: $223
-Long-term: $240โ260
๐ Bearish Scenario:
If $160 support breaks:
Next support levels: $145, then $122
Worst-case retest: $95
โ
Conclusion:
Crucial zone now: Either a strong bounce or a bearish breakdown.
Current indicators and structure favor a bullish continuation if support holds.
SOL/USDT: High-Probability Long from Major Support OversoldHello traders,
Here is a detailed analysis for a potential long setup on SOL/USDT (4H Chart). This trade idea is based on a strong confluence between my LSOB price action indicator and the MC Orderflow momentum oscillator.
1. Trend & Context (The "Why")
The overall structure on the 4H chart has recently shifted bearish, confirmed by a Bearish Change of Character (ChoCh). However, the price has now pulled back into a major area of interest where a bullish reversal is highly probable.
Here are the key confluence factors for a long entry:
Major Support Level: Price is currently reacting to the EMA 400, a significant long-term moving average that often acts as strong dynamic support.
Liquidity Sweep: We have a clear Liquidity Sweep (LQDT) below the recent lows, which is a classic institutional tactic to grab stop losses before a potential move in the opposite direction.
Momentum Exhaustion (MC Orderflow): This is the most crucial confirmation.
The MC Orderflow oscillator is deep in the OVERSOLD territory (below 20), signaling that downside momentum is exhausted.
The MTF Cycle Table provides powerful confirmation: both the 4H and Daily timeframes are showing an "Oversold" status. When higher timeframes align like this, the probability of a reversal increases significantly.
2. Entry, Stop Loss, and Targets (The "How")
While the signals are strong, a disciplined entry strategy is key.
Entry: Look for an entry around $168 - $170. A safer confirmation would be waiting for the MC Orderflow oscillator to cross back above its yellow moving average.
Stop Loss (SL): $165.50. This places the stop just below the wick of the recent liquidity sweep, invalidating the trade idea if that low is broken.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: $178.00 (Confluence of the Bearish ChoCh level and the 50/100 EMAs).
TP2: $192.00 (Targeting the next significant swing high/resistance area).
TP3: $202.00 (Long-term target at the major LSOB supply zone).
Conclusion
This setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity. The combination of a price action liquidity sweep into major MA support, confirmed by extreme multi-timeframe oversold readings on the MC Orderflow oscillator, creates a high-probability environment for a bullish reversal.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
SOL/USDT Analysis โ Breakdown or Bear Trap in the Making?The BINANCE:SOLUSDT price has tumbled more than 7.5% in the last 24 hours, breaking below its ascending wedge support on the daily chart. This technical breakdown has shifted market sentiment, with bears now pressing for deeper losses.
The Bull-Bear Power Index has flipped negative for three straight sessions, its longest bearish streak since June. This confirms growing sell-side dominance as BINANCE:SOLUSDT trades around $169, clinging to key support at $166. A clean break below this level could open the way to $156 or even $143, extending the downtrend.
While BINANCE:SOLUSDT price action dominates the picture, network demand has also weakened, with active addresses falling sharply since Julyโs highs. This dip in participation aligns with the breakdown, hinting that buyers lack the strength to defend key levels. Meanwhile, liquidation data shows that shorts significantly outweigh longs, adding pressure as bearish positions accumulate.
For this to become a classic bear trap , bulls need a swift rebound above $175โ$180, forcing shorts to unwind and flipping momentum back positive. Until that happens, the technical setup and order flow favor bears, keeping downside risk firmly in play.
SOL 4H โ 42% Win From Trend Filtered MACD Entry, But Is MomentumSOL just delivered a textbook 42.84% rally using the MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy (Normal Mode). Entry was triggered once MACD momentum aligned with the 60/220 EMA trend filters โ a clean breakout from consolidation with no noise or fakeouts.
The system captured the full leg up from ~$143 to over $205, holding through the expansion phase and exiting as bearish momentum began to show. Now, price has dipped below key EMAs and MACD is printing red โ signaling a possible shift in structure.
๐ Will bulls defend the $165โ$170 zone, or is a deeper pullback on deck?
๐ Strategy Settings:
MACD: 25 / 60 / 220
Trend Filter: 60 & 220 EMA
System Mode: Normal
Timeframe: 4H
SolusdtHi snipers. On the one-day timeframe, the price is fluctuating in an ascending channel. It has now reached the middle line of the channel and the 103-day moving average support line is below it, which will help the price to move up again and reach the channel ceiling. If this support is broken, the price is likely to fall to the channel floor. This analysis is just a possibility. It is not a trading recommendation.
Solana maintains its upward structure โ HolderStatBINANCE:SOLUSDT is bouncing from the $170โ172 zone, building higher lows just below resistance at $180. The structure is shaping into a rounded bottom with signs of accumulation. If SOL clears $180 with volume, targets lie at $188 and beyond. Trend remains bullish as long as price stays above the local demand zone.
Weekly trading plan for SolanaLast week BINANCE:SOLUSDT played out perfectly according to our orange scenario. Currently, we're in a correction phase, trading below the key weekly reversal level at $190
Key Observations:
Bullish divergence forming on the hourly chart
But 4-hour chart shows further downside potential
Critical Levels:
Break above weekly pivot + trendline โ Targets $220
Failure to reclaim above hourly MAs โ Opens path to $160
Trade carefully - this could go either way