SOLUST trade ideas
Short trade
Entry: Day TF
Trade Type: Sell-side Trade — SOL/USDT
Date: Friday, May 30, 2025
Time: 4:36 PM — London Session PM
Observed Timeframe: 15min
Entry: 163.099
Take Profit (TP): 147.229 (−9.73%)
Stop Loss (SL): 164.373 (+0.78%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 12.46
Entry Rationale: The entry at 163.099 was based on a confirmed breakdown below a key support level, signalling potential for further downside movement. The take profit level at 147.229 was determined based on the next significant support zone, aligning with a previous consolidation area.
SOLANASolana (SOL) Current Bias, Dollar Relationship, and Bitcoin Correlation
1. Solana’s Current Bias
Bearish Pressure: SOL is trading near $160, down ~5% in 24 hours due to token unlocks, declining memecoin activity, and technical resistance at $187 .
Key support levels: $158–$163 (50-day EMA) and $140–$142 (critical demand zone). A drop below $142 risks a deeper correction to $133 .
Medium/Long-Term (2025–2026):
Bullish Outlook: Analysts project SOL could reach $275–$500+ by late 2025, driven by institutional interest, ETF approval prospects, and network upgrades .
2. Relationship with the Dollar Index (DXY)
Inverse Correlation: A stronger dollar (DXY↑) typically pressures SOL and crypto markets. Recent DXY surges have coincided with SOL’s 30% decline .
Current DXY Context: Testing 98.4 (May 2025). A breakout above 101.99 could further weaken SOL, while a drop below 97.92 may revive bullish momentum .
Fed Policy Impact: Expected rate cuts in 2025 could weaken the dollar, indirectly supporting SOL’s recovery .
3. Solana vs. Bitcoin (SOL/BTC)
Mixed Performance:
30-Day Trend: SOL is up 10.98% against BTC, reflecting relative strength in altcoin markets .
Recent Dip: SOL/BTC fell 5.75% in 24 hours to 0.001524 BTC, signaling short-term BTC dominance .
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.001633 BTC (May 24 high).
Support: 0.001524 BTC (current level); breakdown risks a test of 0.0014 BTC .
Summary Table
Factor Solana (SOL)
Price (USD) ~$160 (down 5% in 24h)
DXY Correlation Inverse (stronger USD = weaker SOL)
BTC Correlation Mixed (recent gains vs. BTC, but short-term dip)
Key Support $158–$163 (EMA), $140–$142 (demand zone)
Key Resistance $187, $220, $243
2025 Bullish Target $275–$500 (institutional forecasts)
Critical Factors to Watch
Fed Policy: Rate cuts could weaken DXY, boosting SOL.
ETF Developments: Approval odds for SOL ETFs may drive institutional inflows .
Technical Breaks: A daily close above $183 could reignite bullish momentum toward $200–$210 .
Network Activity: Declining memecoin trading volumes and MEV concerns pose short-term risks .
Conclusion
Short-Term: SOL faces bearish pressure from DXY strength and technical resistance, but the $140–$158 zone is critical for maintaining bullish structure.
Long-Term: Bullish institutional forecasts and potential ETF catalysts support a $275–$500+ trajectory by late 2025.
Bitcoin Influence: SOL’s recent outperformance against BTC may resume if altcoin markets rebound, but BTC dominance remains a headwind.
Traders should monitor DXY trends, Fed rhetoric, and SOL/BTC technical levels for directional cues.
#SOL #CRYPTO #BITCOIN
HolderStat┆SOLUSD reached resistance lineCRYPTOCAP:SOL just flipped the 157 pivot into support after escaping a falling channel and retesting the up-trend. Holding here fuels a run toward the 170 trend-cap and 180 supply shelf; failure invites 150 again. Growing channel, consolidation clusters, breakout watch.
BUY OPPORTUNITYTrade Setup: SOL/USDT
Entry: $161.13
Stop Loss: $156.57
Take Profit: $176.53
Time Frame:4H
Technical Analysis:
SOL price has decisively broken out above a strong resistance zone between $160.48 and $162, confirming bullish price action. This breakout is likely to trigger a retest of the broken range to confirm support before continuation higher.
Key resistance to target is at $177.20, which aligns with a significant supply zone. Traders should consider scaling out or taking profits near this level due to potential selling pressure.
Risk-Reward: Approximately 1.3 favoring the trade.
RSI: Currently at 63, showing sustained bullish momentum without being overbought.
MACD: Bullish crossover present, indicating upward momentum is intact.
Fundamental Update:
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has requested prospective Solana ETF issuers submit amended S-1 forms within the next week. The SEC will review and comment within 30 days of submission. Importantly, the SEC appears open to including staking within Solana ETFs, having asked issuers to clarify language on in-kind redemptions and staking mechanisms. This regulatory openness could add significant bullish catalyst for SOL, supporting increased institutional interest and demand.
On Solana, 162$ is criticalBINANCE:SOLUSDT
On Solana we are see 2 possible head ans shoulders pattern. İf we cant go past 162$ and the bigger pattern works, things for solana is not so good.
But if we can past beyond 162$ dollars with or without a reverse head and shoulders pattern, the bigger patterns is breaks and we can look for a further bullish movement.
İf you look to my analysis from past, you see a falling wedge on solana too.
I think if Btc dont give any harm, solana wants to go up but one piece of news can change everything.
Reading The Room: Market Sentiment TechnicalsThe Market Sentiment Technicals indicator, created by LuxAlgo , is a powerful tool that blends multiple technical analysis methods into a single, easy-to-read sentiment gauge. It’s designed to help traders quickly assess whether the market is bullish, bearish, or neutral by synthesizing data from trend, momentum, volatility, and price action indicators.
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
At @Xuantify , we integrate this indicator into our multi-layered strategy stack. It acts as a market context filter , helping us determine whether to engage in trend-following, mean-reversion, or stay on the sidelines. We use it across multiple timeframes to validate trade setups and avoid false signals during choppy conditions. This example uses MEXC:SOLUSDT.P , symbols like BINANCE:BTCUSDT or BINANCE:ETHUSDT are fine to use as well.
⭐ Key Features
Sentiment Panel: Displays normalized sentiment scores from various indicators.
Market Sentiment Meter: A synthesized score showing overall market bias. (Below image)
Oscillator View: Visualizes trend strength, momentum, and potential reversals.
Divergence Detection: Highlights when price action and sentiment diverge.
Market Sentiment Meter: A synthesized score showing overall market bias.
💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators
All-in-One : Combines multiple indicators into one cohesive tool.
Noise Reduction : Filters out conflicting signals by averaging sentiment.
Visual Clarity : Histogram and oscillator formats make interpretation intuitive.
Adaptability : Works across assets and timeframes.
⚙️ Settings That Matter
Smoothing Length: Adjusts how reactive the sentiment is to price changes.
Indicator Weighting: Customize which indicators influence the sentiment more.
Oscillator Sensitivity: Fine-tune for scalping vs. swing trading.
📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy
We pair this indicator with:
Volume Profile: To confirm sentiment with institutional activity.
VWAP: For intraday mean-reversion setups.
Breakout Tools: To validate momentum during sentiment spikes.
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
LuxAlgo Premium Signals: For entry/exit confirmation.
Relative Volume (RVOL): To gauge conviction behind sentiment shifts.
ADX/DMI: To confirm trend strength when sentiment is extreme.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Lag in Consolidation: Sentiment may flatten during sideways markets.
Overfitting Settings: Avoid tweaking too much—stick to tested configurations.
False Divergences: Always confirm with price structure or volume.
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Market Sentiment Technicals indicator is a game-changer for traders who want a 360° view of market psychology . At Xuantify, it’s become a cornerstone of our decision-making process—especially in volatile conditions where clarity is key.
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Sell signal by tiqgptMARKET NARRATIVE: The analysis across the four timeframes for SOL/USDT reveals a coherent narrative of smart money activity and price manipulation. Starting with the 1-hour chart, we observe a descending price action indicating a potential distribution phase. This is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, a classic indication of a market structure shift towards a bearish bias. The presence of a significant Order Block (OB) around the $150.50 level, which has not been revisited, suggests that this level may act as a ceiling for future price actions.
Drilling down to the 15-minute and 5-minute charts, we see a continuation of this bearish sentiment with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, confirming the shift in market structure observed on the higher timeframe. The 5-minute chart shows a rapid descent through previous low points, indicating liquidity sweeps below these levels. This action is typical of smart money inducing positions before a potential reversal or continuation.
The 1-minute chart provides a more granular view of the price action, showing recovery attempts being capped by lower highs, which aligns with the bearish market structure set by the higher timeframes. This micro-level view is crucial for pinpointing precise entries and understanding the immediate market sentiment.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: The overarching smart money intent appears to be a continuation of the bearish momentum, with potential liquidity targets below the current lows. The repeated failure to break above previous minor highs suggests an accumulation of sell-side pressure. Smart money may be positioning for a further push downwards, exploiting the liquidity pools formed below recent lows as retail traders are likely to have placed stop losses in these regions.
LEARNING POINT: The key concept here is the Break of Structure (BOS) on multiple timeframes confirming a bearish market structure shift. This is complemented by liquidity sweeps below recent lows, which are indicative of smart money's manipulation to trigger retail stop losses before potentially driving the price lower.
SIGNAL: SELL SYMBOL: SOL/USDT ENTRY PRICE: $148.60 STOP LOSS: $149.10 TARGET PRICE: $147.10 CONDITION: LIMIT ORDER: Place sell limit at $148.60 after a retest of the minor high on the 1M chart confirms rejection. RATIONALE: The trade is predicated on the bearish market structure across timeframes, with a recent BOS and liquidity sweeps indicating further downside. The entry at $148.60 is chosen based on the recent rejection points on the 1-minute timeframe, providing a tight stop loss just above the minor high at $149.10 to protect against potential whipsaws. The target is set at $147.10, near the next significant liquidity pool, offering a favorable risk/reward setup. STRATEGIES USED: 1H Bearish OB Continuation, Multi-Timeframe BOS, Liquidity Sweep Execution URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 75%
SOL Structural Analysis – Facing Weekly Resistance and Key LevelOn the 4H chart of Solana (SOL), the price has broken out of a temporary bullish trend and entered a clearly defined descending channel.
🔸 The major resistance around $164–$172 could limit further upside in the short term.
🔸 A confirmed breakdown below the $150 support may lead to a deeper correction toward the $115 zone.
🔸 The descending channel is currently guiding price action, and reactions to its midline and upper boundary will determine the next major move.
🔸 The analysis distinguishes between short-term impulses and the dominant daily downtrend, helping identify potential trade setups.
📌 This analysis is for educational purposes only.
SOLANAA scalp on solana here. We have generally a short term downtrend with confirmation
Hence I was looking for shorts.
I identified a valid Bearish OB because it lies near previous support level thus entering on the body of this OB.
Putting my SL above local highs and target closest 4h demand zone.