SOL/USD🔹 Trend direction
Current short-term trend: down
Price below key moving averages:
SMA50 (green) ≈ 154.84
SMA200 (blue) ≈ 168.79
Price ≈ 142.49 – below both, confirming weakness.
🔹 Supports and resistances (key levels)
✅ Supports:
142.00–143.50 – current level where price is struggling (multiple price reactions).
131.00 – strong support, last low (June 18).
119.00 / 116.00 / 113.00 – next supports from previous consolidations.
95.61 – deep support if market breaks down.
❌ Resistances:
148.00–150.00 – local resistance, coinciding with the red SMA (short-term resistance).
154.84 – resistance (SMA50).
162.00 – resistance (SMA200).
183.00 – main resistance from the May peak.
218.55 – very strong resistance from March.
🔹 Technical indicators
📉 MACD:
MACD line < signal, negative histogram → bearish signal.
No signs of bullish strength.
📉 RSI:
RSI ≈ 41.31 – close to the oversold zone, but not there yet (below 30).
RSI trend also downward.
🔹 Formations and trend lines
Broken support line after the April-May bullish structure (white trend line).
The previous bearish trend line (yellow) was broken in April, but the momentum did not hold.
A lower high and lower low may be forming now – a classic bearish structure.
🔹 Potential scenarios
🔻 Bearish:
Breakout of 142 → test of 131 → possible drop to 119/116.
Staying below SMA50 and MACD still negative = high chance of continuing declines.
🔼 Bullish:
Recovery of 148–150 needed → only then a chance to test 154 and SMA50.
RSI close to oversold = possible local technical bounce, but not reversing the trend.
📌 Conclusions / Summary
General trend: Bearish (down).
Sentiment: Negative, no confirmed signals of strength.
If level 142 breaks - next test will be at 131.
A strong breakout above 150-154 is needed to talk about a change in structure.
