SOLUST trade ideas
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HolderStat┆SOLUSD 165 retest could launch 195-200CRYPTOCAP:SOL escaped a falling channel in April and has since respected a well-behaved growing channel. After tagging 180 USDT resistance, price is backing into the channel heart around 170 with potential for a classic 165 support retest. A bounce there would position bulls to challenge the 180 lid again and potentially sprint toward the channel extension at 195-200 USDT. Breakdown below 160 would mark the first technical warning of fatigue.
#SOL/USDT#SOL
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 158.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 161.70
First target: 164
Second target: 168
Third target: 173
SOLANA 14Months AccumulationSOLANA had a rally from $20 to $190 , and now for 14 Months is accumulating above the strong support at $100.
As the RSI ON Monthly is playing inside a falling channel, upside movement for SOL in the coming months to about $600 is very likely IMO.
Solana has unfinished business up, 192.5 is nextGap still not filled there, likely up to there, then down to 149 zone before continue the bullrun with BTC
Unlocking Market Cycles with the RSI Cyclic Smoothed IndicatorIntro
In the world of technical analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is established. However, the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator takes this classic tool to the next level by incorporating cyclic smoothing and dynamic bands. This post will explore the features, configuration, and practical applications of this powerful indicator.
What is the RSI Cyclic Smoothed Indicator ?
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is an advanced version of the traditional RSI. It enhances the classic RSI by adding cyclic smoothing and cyclic memory, allowing it to better adapt to market cycles and provide more accurate signals.
Dynamic Bands
One of the standout features of the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is its dynamic bands. These bands adjust automatically to the asset’s cyclical levels, providing clearer signals in varying market conditions. The adaptive upper and lower bands help traders avoid whipsaw trades and identify overbought and oversold conditions more effectively.
What kind of indicator is it ?
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator falls into the category of oscillators. Oscillators are technical analysis tools that vary over time within a banded range, typically used to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Leading or Lagging ?
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is primarily a lagging indicator. It smooths the RSI data to reduce noise and provide more reliable signals, but it does not predict future price movements.
Key Features
Cyclic Smoothing: Reduces noise and enhances signal accuracy.
Dynamic Bands: Adaptive upper and lower bands that adjust to market cycles.
Cyclic Memory: Uses the dominant cycle length to optimize signal accuracy.
Benefits Compared to Normal RSI
Enhanced Signal Accuracy: The cyclic smoothing reduces noise and false signals, providing more reliable trading signals.
Adaptability to Market Cycles: The cyclic memory allows the indicator to adapt to the dominant market cycle, making it more responsive to cyclical changes.
Dynamic Bands: Unlike the fixed levels in normal RSI, the dynamic bands adjust to market conditions, offering better identification of overbought and oversold levels.
Reduced Whipsaw Trades: The smoothing process helps avoid the frequent false signals that can occur with the normal RSI, especially in volatile markets.
Indicator Configuration
Configuring the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator involves setting the dominant cycle length and adjusting the smoothing parameters. The key parameters include:
Dominant Cycle Length: Defines the duration of the dominant market cycle.
Smoothing Factor: Reduces fluctuations and noise.
Cyclic Memory: Stores the indicator’s history to calculate dynamic reference levels.
Ideal settings vary based on market conditions, but a common approach is to start with a dominant cycle length that matches the asset’s typical cycle and adjust the smoothing factor to balance responsiveness and noise reduction.
Enhancing Signal Accuracy with a Trend Indicator
To enhance the accuracy of signals generated by the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator, it can be used in conjunction with trend indicators. Examples of trend indicators include:
Moving Averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are widely used to identify trend direction.
MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence helps reveal both direction and underlying momentum.
ADX: Average Directional Index measures the strength of a trend.
Combining these tools helps confirm signals and reduce false positives.
MTF Chart Setup
Below is an example chart showcasing the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator in action. The chart highlights trading signals where the signal line crosses above or below the adaptive bands, providing clear entry and exit points. Below are the 1H, 2H and 4H overbought aligned.
Alternatives
While the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is powerful, there are other alternatives that also focus on overbought and oversold conditions:
Stochastic Oscillator: This indicator measures the level of the closing price relative to the range of prices over a certain period. It identifies overbought and oversold conditions with key levels below 20 (oversold) and above 80 (overbought).
Williams %R: Similar to the Stochastic Oscillator, Williams %R compares the closing price to the high-low range over a specified period. It indicates overbought conditions above -20 and oversold conditions below -80.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index): The CCI measures the deviation of the price from its average price over a given period. It identifies overbought conditions above +100 and oversold conditions below -100.
Bollinger Bands: While not an oscillator, Bollinger Bands can be used to identify overbought and oversold conditions when the price touches the upper or lower band.
Additional Insights
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is highly responsive to market moves and can be fine-tuned to match the dominant cycle of the asset being analysed. For more in-depth information, refer to Chapter 4 of "Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm, Part 1".
Practical Tips
Combine with Trend Indicators: Use the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator alongside trend indicators to confirm signals.
Adjust Cyclic Parameters: Fine-tune the cyclic parameters to match the market conditions and dominant cycle.
Monitor Dynamic Bands: Pay close attention to the adaptive bands for overbought and oversold signals.
Backtest Thoroughly: Before using the indicator in live trading, backtest it on historical data to understand its performance and adjust settings accordingly.
Stay Updated: Market conditions change, so periodically review and adjust the indicator settings to ensure they remain optimal.
Which Securities Does This Apply For?
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator can be applied to a wide range of securities, including: Stocks: Useful for identifying cyclical patterns and overbought/oversold conditions in individual stocks. ETFs: Effective for analyzing exchange-traded funds, especially those tracking cyclical sectors. Forex: Valuable for currency pairs, helping traders identify market cycles and potential reversals. Commodities: Applicable to commodities like gold, oil, and agricultural products, where cyclical movements are common. Cryptocurrencies: Can be used to analyze digital assets, providing insights into cyclical trends and volatility.
Conclusion
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to enhance their technical analysis. By incorporating cyclic smoothing and dynamic bands, it provides clearer and more accurate signals, helping traders navigate complex market cycles.
SOL/USDT LONGBINANCE:SOLUSDT.P
Entry 66
SL 163.5
TGT 180
It can form a W pattern and give a big target
Remember we only follow risk reward ratio which is usually 1:6
SOLANA BUYLIMITHello friends
Considering the good growth we had, you can see that the price has made a small correction after reaching its ceiling and has entered a range.
Now, with the price correction, there is a good opportunity to buy in stages and with capital management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
Solusdt forming bearish h&s patternIf the price closes below 167.2 on the 1-hour timeframe, the pattern may activate.
The entry area is between 167.2 and 174.42.
The target prices are 163, 158, and 152.
The pattern is invalidated if the price closes above the previous swing high (right shoulder) at 174.42."
SOLUSD OUT LOOKSOLUSD broke out of falling wedge in 1hr time frame. Meanwhile, it portrays a strong bullish bias. nice buy opportunity is possible if the analyzed scenario unfolds .
Poised for a Breakout at $168?Solana is currently trading around $168, showing a period of consolidation after some recent volatility. The price has been hovering in a tight range over the past few hours, which often signals that a bigger move could be on the horizon. With the broader crypto market showing mixed signals, SOL’s ability to hold this level suggests it’s gathering strength, but traders should stay alert for a breakout.
Recent News:
Solana’s ecosystem has been buzzing lately, with its decentralized finance (DeFi) sector showing solid growth, total value locked (TVL) recently jumped from $7.5 billion to $9.6 billion as of May 2025. This uptick reflects growing confidence in the network’s high-speed, low-cost transactions. On the flip side, over 1.4 million SOL tokens were unstaked in the past week, adding some selling pressure.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s stability above $100,000 provides a supportive backdrop for altcoins like SOL, though any sudden market shifts could sway the momentum.
Technical Analysis:
Solana is sitting just above the 50-hour moving average at $165, which is acting as a short-term support. The 200-hour moving average at $160 offers a stronger safety net below. As long as the price stays above $165, the short-term trend leans bullish.
A bullish flag pattern seems to be forming, hinting at a potential upward breakout. If SOL pushes past the $170 resistance, it could aim for $180 next.
The RSI is at 55, showing neutral momentum with room to climb before hitting overbought territory. The MACD is teasing a bullish crossover, which could confirm stronger upward pressure if it completes.
Watch $165 as key support, with $170 as the immediate resistance. A break above $170 opens the door to $180, while a drop below $165 might test $160.
SOL is at a pivotal moment on this 1-hour chart. Positive network developments and a stable broader market give it a bullish edge, but the recent unstaking adds a layer of caution. If the price clears $170, a run to $180 looks likely, especially with technical indicators tilting upward. However, a failure to break resistance could see it retest $165 or lower. Traders should keep an eye on volume and the $170 level—any surge there could signal the next big move!
SOL/USDT Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe) – 17th May 2025In today’s technical outlook, we observe a bullish reversal pattern on the SOL/USDT daily chart — the Inverse Head and Shoulders. This classical formation suggests a strong potential for an upward trend continuation, especially after breaking above the neckline.
🔸 Pattern Identified: Inverse Head and Shoulders
🔸 Entry Point: 167.77 USDT – near the neckline breakout, confirming bullish sentiment
🔸 Stop Loss: 139.69 USDT – placed below the right shoulder for prudent risk control
🔸 Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: 208.26 USDT – aligns with previous resistance zone
• TP2: 252.47 USDT – a projected target based on the measured move from the neckline
📉 RSI Divergence Indicator currently sits at 58.59, indicating moderate bullish momentum. Several bullish divergences observed in March and April supported upward movement, while the recent minor bearish divergence warns of possible short-term consolidation before continuation.
The chart shows a clear neckline breakout with strong upward trajectory, validating the bullish structure. Entry at this level offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for swing traders targeting mid- to long-term price appreciation.
📌 Strategy Summary:
This setup provides an opportunity to enter on confirmed breakout with tight risk control and clear upside targets. Traders may consider entering near 167.77, with a stop loss at 139.69 and taking profits progressively at 208 and 252 levels.
📅 Analysis By: Musarrat
🗓️ Date: 17th May, 2025
$SOL / USDT - Signals Potential Reversal???CRYPTOCAP:SOL
BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P
Solana is currently trading within a descending wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart, which is typically viewed as a bullish reversal structure.
The price action is compressing between the converging trendlines, suggesting a potential breakout may be on the horizon.
The current support zone between $164 and $167 is holding well and remains a critical area to watch.
A breakdown below this range could lead to a deeper correction toward the next support levels at $153.98, $151.91, and possibly $148.31.
Conversely, a breakout above the wedge resistance could signal a shift in momentum and continuation of the broader uptrend.
It is advised to wait for confirmation before entering any positions.
TradeCityPro | SOL: Key Retest at Support Before Next Breakout👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I’m going to review the SOL coin—one of the most requested assets and a very popular project in the crypto space.
✔️ This coin holds a market cap of $3.61 billion and is ranked 6th on CoinMarketCap.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, a bullish leg started from the 142.25 support and extended up to the 177.51 resistance.
🔍 Currently, after a fake breakout of 177.51 and a rejection from 183.86, the price has dropped back below 177.51 and formed a support level around 166.82.
📈 So far, the price has tested the 166.82 level twice and shown a strong bullish reaction. Recently, a powerful support candle has formed at this level, suggesting it’s being defended.
💥 If the price can move back toward the upper levels, a breakout of either 177.51 or 183.86 would provide a long entry trigger. If a higher low and higher high form before the breakout of 177.51, the trigger becomes even more reliable.
📊 Market volume has declined since the upward move ended. If volume increases as price rises again, it would provide a volume confirmation.
🔽 For a short position, the 166.82 level serves as a valid trigger. In my view, it’s a strong enough level to justify opening a short. The next major support below lies at 142.25.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Quasimodo on 4hPrice arrived to POI of HTF. We can see a formation of BOS on 4h as part of Quasimodo. Mark short position with entry from the 2hOB to new low to the OB in 0.5 of correction of the last impulse. Stop behind first deviation.
2025.05.17 SOLANA Short-term long positionWe are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Long Position Strategy Proposal
Entry: At market price
Stop-loss: 167.80
Target 1: 173.34
Target 2: 175.89
Target 3: 177.97
This strategy is based on the Elliott Wave Theory and assumes a continued bullish trend. Currently, Solana appears to be in the early phase of the 5th wave, following the completion of an extended 3rd wave and a corrective 4th wave.
The 3rd wave extended approximately 2.618 times the length of the 1st wave, which is characteristic of a strong bullish move.
The 5th wave typically mirrors the length of the 1st wave with a 1:1 ratio.
Skeptic | Solana’s Uptrend Ignites: Big Moves Ahead?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off this Friday morning with a deep dive into Solana , one of my favorite coins! 😊 In this analysis, I’m breaking down the charts, spotting spot and futures triggers, and exploring what’s next for SOL. Stick with me to the end, and we’ll grow together! <3 Let’s start with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
We’re riding a solid upward channel on Solana’s daily chart. The price has reacted beautifully to the ceiling, floor, and especially the midline, which gives this channel a ton of credibility—we can trust it. After a strong price surge starting October 20 and running through January 25 , we entered a price correction. I expected a pullback to 80.78 , but we corrected to 95.15 instead. Now, we’ve formed a head and shoulders pattern, and the neckline has broken, activating the pattern. This pattern, at the end of a correction, signals a trend reversal and a continuation of the major uptrend. The target for this pattern is the height from the head to the neckline, which takes us to 202.82 —coincidentally, a key resistance level ahead. I expect we might range around that level or, if we break it, it’ll likely be a sharp and messy move. So, plan ahead to avoid FOMO or making rash moves. Our spot entry was at 151.78 , but a break above 202.82 could be another solid trigger, with a stop loss below the support at 147.97 . Don’t FOMO —wait for confirmations from SOL/BTC and Bitcoin’s action. Volume is your friend for spotting momentum, so keep a close eye on it. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for long and short triggers.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
After breaking the 153.29 resistance, we saw a nice rally, but then we hit some turbulence. If you look closely, the market seems to have formed a symmetrical triangle—the worst pattern for breakout and momentum-based strategies. Why? The market doesn’t care about support or resistance here, making it tough to tell if moves are fake or real. So, what’s the plan?
Let’s drop to the 1-Hour Timeframe.
The last level we got rejected from was 174.51 . If we revisit this level with rising volume and candles showing buyer strength—think good lower shadows and strong green bodies with high closes—it means sellers pushed the price down, but buyers stepped in and drove it back up. If you see this setup and we break the 174.51 resistance, you can open a long position. For shorts, since the major and secondary trends are uptrends, I’m not giving any short triggers—it’s completely against the trend, and the risk of hitting a stop loss is way too high. Be patient. Wait for this uptrend to fake out and drop below 149.07 —then we’ll hunt for shorts. 🙂 Let’s also take a quick look at SOL/BTC.
SOL/BTC Analysis
On the daily timeframe, we’ve got a clean head and shoulders pattern for SOL/BTC, with the neckline broken and a pullback to it now. This could lead to a strong rally moving forward, provided it’s not a fakeout and we don’t fall back below the support at 0.0015043. What does this mean? If the market stays in an uptrend, Solana could outperform Bitcoin. And if BTC.D is dropping during a market rally, Solana could see some serious growth. That’s the Solana breakdown! If you’ve got your own technical or fundamental analysis on this coin, I’d love to hear it—drop it in the comments so we can grow together! 😄
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost —it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
$SOL Breakout & Retest SetupCRYPTOCAP:SOL Breakout & Retest Setup
SOL has broken out of a long-term descending trendline (red) and is currently trading at $171.49. The price has also reclaimed the ascending support trendline (blue), suggesting strong bullish momentum.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $150–$160:
This area aligns with a potential retest of the broken trendline and ascending support confluence. A successful retest here would confirm the breakout and offer a strong entry zone.
🔸 Upside Target: $250+
Once the retest confirms support and buyers step in, SOL could begin a strong upward move toward $200, with $250+ as a mid-term target.
🔸 Risk Level at $140:
A daily close below $140 would invalidate this bullish structure and shift the bias to bearish.
🔸 Action Plan:
Monitor for a pullback toward $150–$160
Look for bullish confirmation (wicks, volume, bullish engulfing) before entering
First major resistance around $200, followed by $225–$250
Solana short back to $159 todayJut now opened a short position on solana.
Targeting $159
Potential early close at $161
Stop: $171 or higher
Time sensitive
Solana (SOL) Cup & Handle (1W Log)BINANCE:SOLUSDT has formed a Cup & Handle pattern on the weekly chart, and arguably already broke out of the handle.
The measured move target based on the linear depth of the cup is ~$510.
Key Levels to Watch
• ~$100: Local low and 0.618 Fib of the cup depth, a typical handle retracement in a Cup & Handle pattern.
• $260: Cup & Handle neckline and key horizontal resistance. A decisive weekly close with strong volume above this level would confirm the pattern and activate the measured move target.
• $510: Measured move target based on the depth of the cup from the neckline.
Considerations
Volume confirmation remains key. A breakout above $260 with strong volume could validate the pattern and open the path to $510.
Its Solana summer time, SOL will outperform bitcoinBitcoin going to 114k zone then heading back to 96500, will fit this
