SOYBEANS trade ideas
broken correlation or im simply wrong.... but the waves say we're long...which from my perspective all markets really are breaking their correlation from their major waves...and have been adjusting really since 2010 or so when cyrptos started to really hit the scene! interesting....its setups like this...which IS my MAJOR signal, as to why i stopped trading these types of systems and went to ganns work...
its just not debatable and basically all other systems, from support/resistance to trap trading levels you think got people interested, theres just no consistency with it...and thus you might as well flip a coin....BUT when you do have the right wave count...it can be quite profitable for quite some time if you're tuned into the major wave, or even secondary wave sequences... This should be the end of the major 5 waves down and the end of the 2nd fractal...which in this case is the daily chart, completing its 5 wave sequence also.
If the wave counts are right i've been producing lately...ganns original work will have been offset, likely by the sheer mass of force that cryptos have created...but we'lll see! i mean president assasinations, wars and all sorts of other stuff has happened and its just keeep trucking right on que....i think we have a new leader tho if you will... a new source energy. from a spiritual perspective, this energy is strong, honorable and gets things done with much less of a winner/loser capitalist outcome.
spiral inside your rangeyou can use fibs with whatever... but gann is basically just even handle numbers with the ability to break them down nicely and have angles running off of them... the FIB A NAH C (not fibAnotchy) goes INSIDE your range and WHEN its done correctly, you'll get the NAN error... like you see here. from the .618 to the zero point of the year in this case... this is SUPER foundational base level stuff to build VALID complex harmonic multi-dimensional geomtry....i suggest using a scale, but to each their own :D
Bad Yield for Soya!The past two months saw a steady rise up to the monthly Kijun. Last month we got this level and made a wick on the monthly kijun,signalling rejection. This wick was represented by numerous wicks on the daily from 14 October to around 24 October. The bearish candle that followed on the 25th of October showed the bears mean serious business as this thrust through our monthly kijun level ( area shaded in blue) which was support on daily. We then tested this region for the 1st time as reistance and now looks like we are testing it again now culminating in a somewhat double top formation. We have not had a convincing close and follow up above this level on the daily. This could be a tell tell sign of more bearish movement imminent. Confluence is added by the TK crossover that happened on the 6 of November. If my thesis is right we should see a bearish weekly candle next week which would signal the start of a bearish drop to the monthly Tenkan before year end.
Entry: two small positions on close of a H4 candle below 9.232
SL : 9.440 (a safe distance from last month high)
TP1: 9.230 ( weekly tenkan)
TP2: 9.606 (monthly tenkan)
Soybean, possible long set upOANDA:SOYBNUSD chart on daily time frame interestingly forms an inverse head and shoulder pattern and makes quick breakout upwards. We are yet to test the support and see if it can bounce of that levels. Currently its at a short term resistance zone where a lot of price action has taken place in the past.
The story so far, we saw a dramatic and sharp fall in prices, then the price got into a rectangle like sideways formation where it tried to exit the channel and failed. This pattern being a bearish formation, was more like to exit downwards and so it did.
Post the downward break, it got into forming an inverse head and shoulder pattern, Please note that since this formation is made after a good fall in prices, there is a fair probability that the prices could have bottomed out
OBV and RSI also having an upwards slope.
Interesting to watch how price reacts from here.
Look out for LARGE CANDLES and VOLUME. These could be excellent times. If it doesn't breach current resistance (Blue zones) and drops to support levels (pink zone), wait for the bounce back of support to take long position with stop loss right below the peak of the right shoulder . Take profits initially as prescribed various higher Fib levels
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SOYBEANS WEEKLY ANALYSIS - PRICE HAS FINALLY BROKEN OUT OF RANGEFinally! Soybeans has broken out of the range its been trading at on the weekly time frame for almost a whole year. Wow.
Will price continue to go up? Probably, I'm going to wait for a delicious retrace before entering long.
Now since this is on the weekly time frame this might take a week or two before a setup emerges.
Be patient, wait for confirmation, wait for the bulls to show their hand and the bears to fold. Trade with the trend friends.
Daily trade analysis and ideas:
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SOYBNUSB Long and ShortLooking at the long term chart, soybeans are poised to make an aggressive move to the upside. However, this can happen in two flavours: a failure at the 9.224ish level followed by a correction and an extension of the building divergences, or, a break past that level followed by more upside. If the price hits the aforementioned price target and stalls out or piddles across on low volume / weak price momentum, then it would be wise to go short. At that point, soybeans will likely retest the 8.061 level and power on up from there. The other scenario is that soybeans cross above on a decisive move and continue further. There may be a pull back and retest of the wedge's current resistance but either opportunity will provide an objective long entry. For this trade, SOYB will be the vehicle of choice.
Long Term Bullish Movement on Soybeans by ThinkingAntsOkDAILY CHART EXPLANATION:
On this timeframe, we observe that at this moment the Resistance Zone is trying to be broken. if price can consolidate above, then we expect a corrective movement towards the Support Zone (broken resistance zone) before continuing the Bullish Movement. The first target of the upside move is the Resistance Zone at 10.30 zone.
WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS: