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S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 3.3-7.3 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 8th week of the base cycle (average 20 weeks), which began with the pivot forecast on January 13—still in Phase 1. The bear is completing the overdue 50-week and 4-year cycles. Target levels were outlined in the previous post. Based on cycle timing and structure, signs of Phase 1 completion are emerging. 👉 Retrograde Venus pushed indices lower after Friday’s attempt to bounce. On March 3, the extreme forecast provided an excellent intraday shorting opportunity right after the regular trading session opened—the market never looked back. ⚠️ Short positions remain from January 24 or the triple top on February 20. The next extreme forecast is March 17—a classic setup coinciding with the start of retrograde Mercury. At the beginning of the week of March 10, there’s a chance of retrograde Venus retracement lagging upwards (mentioned in the last report). This could mark the closure of Phase 1 of the base cycle.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
Market Snapshotwww.saferbankingresearch.com In light of Jerome Powell speaking Friday thought this was a great article The below quote is from the FED as referenced in the article and Avi Gilburt rightfully asks why they would make stress tests LESS STRINGENT....hmmnnn "The current severely adverse scenario features a slightly smaller increase in the unemployment rate in the United States compared to the 2024 severely adverse scenario. The current severely adverse scenario also features slightly smaller declines in house prices, which reflects the Scenario Design Framework’s response to the slightly lower ratio of nominal house prices to per capita disposable income at the end of 2024. The current severely adverse scenario reflects a decline in commercial real estate prices that is 10 percentage points smaller compared to the previous year’s severely adverse scenario, recognizing that those prices have already declined by a little more than 10% relative to their most recent peaks and limiting the procyclicality in the stress tests. The potential for spillover effects in asset markets and sharp changes in investor sentiment are captured by a decline in equity prices and an increase in corporate bond spreads, although these changes are less severe relative to last year’s scenario, reflecting less severe stress in commercial real estate markets. The international component of the current severely adverse scenario shows a recessionary episode that, relative to last year’s severely adverse scenario, is the same for the euro area and less severe in all other countries or country blocs."
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
1
SPX Is About to Explode – Here’s What I’m WatchingSPX is at a critical level, and whichever way it breaks, the move could be huge. Here’s my take: If we drop below 5663, I see a move down to 5534 – 5445. If that zone fails, we could head toward 5332, and if selling pressure keeps up, 5234 might be next. But if we break above 5800, the bulls could take over, pushing to 5972, and maybe even 6149. It’s all about reaction levels now. I’m watching these zones closely—what’s your take? Are we heading up or breaking down? Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange Trader Smarter Live Better
SP:SPX
by Mindbloome-Trading
2
Up for SPX500USD again?Hi traders, At the start of last week the price action of SPX500USD went up as predicted in my outlook but it could not reach the higher 4H FVG and dropped to the target. The bigger (red) WXY correction could be finished. So next week we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher 4H FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish and after that a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 successfully retested the Mean Resistance level of 5967; however, it subsequently experienced a significant decline. This decline brought the index back to the Mean Support level of 5860 and further down to the next major Key Support level of 5710. After this downturn, the index established a new critical support level at 5683. It is now positioned to target the Mean Resistance level of 5840. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current position and successfully surpass this key resistance, it may continue to ascend toward the subsequent Mean Resistance level of 5955. Conversely, suppose the index experiences a decline from the retested level of 5840. In that case, it will likely target the Mean Support level of 5683, with a further descent to an Outer Index Dip of 5576.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
3
S&P500 The Week Ahead 10th March '25 Sentiment: Bearish INTRADAY Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range Resistance: Key Resistance is at 5920, followed by 6003 and 6010. Support: Key support is at 5664 followed by 5600 and 5554. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPX Price Action Analysis | Swing & Scalping OpportunitiesSPX is currently at a key support zone, showing signs of bullish rejection. A potential long opportunity exists if a strong bullish candle forms, confirming the rejection. Trade Plan: 📌 Entry: Around the highlighted support zone, once a bullish confirmation appears. 📌 Stop-Loss (SL): Below the rejection candle to minimize risk. 📌 Targets: Scalping Target: Small resistance area (~5,815) Medium Target: Next key resistance (~5,880) Swing Target: Major resistance (~6,000) If the price fails to hold the support and breaks below, we might reconsider the bullish bias. Keeping an eye on market sentiment and fundamentals is crucial. Let me know if you need any modifications! 🚀📈
SP:SPXLong
by ayushpanchal92
$SPX Trading Levels for March 7 2025 Y’all doing ok after this pullback down to the 200DMA? Now the question… do we hold this level. 200 Day Moving Average right in the middle today. Weekly 35EMA right above just underneath yesterday’s bear gap. Top of the implied move on the day is 5840 and 5865 on Mondays contract. Then if we break the 200DMA then the bottom of the implied move is 5635 and there is a support gap there. 5610 on Mondays contract. Let’s go Traders!!!
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P500 1week MA50 test is the last before the Cycle tops.S&P500 / US500 tested this week its 1week MA50 successfully as the price almost touched it and rebounded. We have seen this kind of behavior in the last 9-12 months before a Bull Cycle tops. In fact with the 1week RSI trending downwards on a bearish divergence, today's price action looks more similar to the October 13 2014 1week MA50 fakeout, which was breached marginally but rebounded immediately. Based on that, a 6500 Cycle Top target by October 2025 is very much realistic. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:SPXLong
by TheCryptagon
SPX500 at Key Support Level: Rebound Towards 5,860?FOREXCOM:SPX500 has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the price toward 5,860. However, if the price breaks below this zone, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, opening the possibility for further downside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
FOREXCOM:SPX500Long
by TrendDiva
27
SPX edges towards the final buy zoneSPX has an anticipated market top of 6650 (view our long term analysis below) We can see that the ascending channel which the SPX is trading in has been respected since October 2022 (below idea) Now that the equilibrium level has been broken, we would expect to see a test of the lower channel support trend line, which lines up nicely with previous structure, as well as a 38 Fib retracement on the most recent move. Multiple confluences strengthen the validity of a particular level and add weight to our decision. Therefore, we will wait for the SPX to come down and test this level at around 5756 which could take another month. Sitting on our hands, being patient, waiting only for the most likely trades is the logical way to play. Long term SPX:
BLACKBULL:US500.FLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
Tariff Wars, NFP & Range-Bound Markets – What’s Next? Tariff Wars, NFP & Range-Bound Markets – What’s Next? | SPX Market Analysis 07 Mar 2025 The market is acting like a drunk sailor, stumbling between a sideways range and a downsloping channel, leaving traders scratching their heads and redrawing trendlines daily. If this feels frustrating, welcome to the real evolution of price action—the part nobody talks about. Traders love to show off the perfect trade after it happens, but the real challenge is navigating price movement as it unfolds. One day, it’s a range, the next, it’s a channel, and by the time you’ve figured it out, the market’s already moved on. For now, I remain hedged and in a no-lose position, watching how this range resolves.With Trump pulling a 2018-style tariff play, and NFP looming, we could be in for a big move soon—or just more of the same slow churn. Either way, I’ll be ready when the market finally decides to commit. --- Price action is in full “make up its mind later” mode, bouncing between a short-term range and what could evolve into a downsloping channel. The only certainty? Traders who force trades in this mess will get chewed up. The problem with trendlines and pattern analysis is that they’re constantly evolving. One day, it looks like a clean range, the next, it’s a slanted consolidation, and suddenly, what looked like a breakout yesterday is just noise today. This is why I never rely on one rigid framework—instead, I follow my six money-making patterns that adapt as price action develops. At the moment, I see three scenarios playing out. If price respects the range, we get a bounce toward the highs. If it breaks the range, we could see a sharp downside continuation. And if we keep drifting in no-man’s land, then it’s just more of the same. Forcing trades when the market hasn’t committed is a recipe for frustration. Thankfully, I don’t need to guess. My hedge is holding firm, keeping me in a no-lose position while the market sorts itself out. I’m not eagerly adding trades or picking a direction yet—I’m waiting for the market to show its hand first. Meanwhile, in tariff news, Trump just announced a temporary removal of tariffs under the USMCA agreement until April 2nd. If this feels like déjà vu, that’s because it is. The market is mirroring the 2018-19 trade war, where even in a declining market, we saw strong rallies. No two market cycles are ever exactly the same, but they do tend to rhyme. So, will NFP be the trigger that finally kicks this market into gear? Or will we be stuck with another day of watching paint dry on the charts? Either way, I’ll stay patient, stay hedged, and be ready for when the next real move arrives. --- 📢Did you know? In 1987, a trader at Salomon Brothers coined the phrase “Dead Cat Bounce” to describe a brief market rally during a larger downturn. The idea? Even a dead cat will bounce if dropped from high enough. 💡The Lesson? Short-term rallies don’t always mean the trend has changed—a bounce isn’t the same as a recovery.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton