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S&P 500 Hits Record High as Trump Pushes for Lower RatesSPX: S&P 500 Logs First Record of 2025 as Trump Pushes for Lower Interest Rates The S&P 500 (SPX) has achieved its first record high of 2025, closing at 6,118.71, following a 0.5% gain in Thursday’s session. Investors appeared to respond positively to Donald Trump’s calls for lower interest rates “immediately,” despite the U.S. President having no direct authority over monetary policy. His statements, however, influenced market sentiment, pushing the index to new heights. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 has stabilized in the bullish zone after breaking a key resistance level. The price is likely to continue upward, targeting 6143 as the next milestone. However, if the price closes a 4-hour candle below 6103, it could signal a bearish correction toward 6077 and 6051. Key Levels Pivot Point: 6105 Resistance Levels: 6143, 6180, 6205 Support Levels: 6077, 6051, 6020 Trend Outlook Bullish: The trend remains upward as long as the price stays above 6103. Bearish: A 4-hour close below 6103 could indicate a move lower. Previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
4
S&P500 INDEX / US Stock Futures Eye Recovery Amid AI ConcernsUS Stocks Set to Rebound US stock futures climbed higher on Tuesday, with S&P 500 futures rising by 0.4%, as markets sought to recover from Monday’s sharp sell-off. The recent downturn was fueled by concerns over the US’s AI dominance amidst intensifying competition from China’s DeepSeek. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price is expected to maintain a bullish trajectory as long as it remains above 6020. It may test 6051, and if a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closes above 6051, it could drive the price higher toward 6077 and 6103. For a bearish scenario, the price must close a 1-hour or 4-hour candle below 6020, potentially targeting 5995 and 5970. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6020 Resistance Levels: 6051, 6077, 6103 Support Levels: 5995, 5970, 5937 Trend Outlook Bullish: While above 6020 Bearish: If a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closes below 6020 Previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P500 Yesterday's crash has confirmed +9.20% rebound.The S&P500 index (SPX) rebounded strongly back to its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), following yesterday's flash crash and recovered most than 50% of last week's Highs. The rebound took place exactly on the former Lower Highs trend-line of December's correction. This correction was the technical Bearish Leg of the post August 05 2024 Channel Up and the rebound on it indicates that the market has turned it from Resistance to Support. Similar Lower Highs trend-lines were formed during the last two major corrections (July and April 2024) and the common feature on all (including the current one) is that a 4H Golden Cross was formed immediately after the break-out. What followed after the Golden Cross was one last pull-back before a +9.20% rise. Yesterday's crash is most likely that pull-back. As a result, we should now be expecting a new +9.20% rise on the medium-term, with our Target being 6450. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
11
S&P 500 Maintains Bullish Momentum Near Critical ResistanceThe S&P 500 Index is currently in a strong uptrend, trading around 6,040.2 and approaching a key resistance at 6,102.1. This level previously acted as a barrier, and its breakout could confirm bullish continuation toward 6,200.0, marking a potential new high. However, if rejected, a temporary pullback may occur before another push upward. The support structure is well-defined, with 6,002.0 serving as immediate support. Below that, 5,947.1 and 5,886.1 offer further stability in case of a deeper retracement. If bearish pressure increases, 5,839.0 and 5,777.5 would be crucial areas to watch. Price action suggests minor fluctuations before a breakout attempt. A confirmed move above 6,102.1 could lead to continued bullish momentum, while failure to break may result in a consolidation or retracement before resuming the uptrend. The market remains bullish, but close attention is needed around key resistance and support zones.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
SPX Pullback Expected To Hold in 3, 7 Or 11 SwingsShort Term Elliott Wave view in S&P 500 ( SPX) suggests that rally to new all time high on 12.16.2024 at $6099.97 ended wave ((3)). Pullback in wave ((4)) is proposed complete at $5773.20 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Internal subdivision of wave ((4)) unfolded as Elliott wave double three structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave (W) ended in lesser degree 3 swings at $5832.30. Wave (X) bounce ended in 3 swings at $6049.75 high. Then wave (Y) lower ended at $5773.20 low with another lesser degree 3 swings thus completed wave ((4)) pullback. The Index has turned higher in wave ((5)) and managed to make a new high above previous wave ((3)) high of $6099.97 confirming the next extension higher. Up from wave ((4)), the rally took place as an impulse sequence where wave ((i)) ended at $5871.92 high. Wave ((ii)) pullback ended at $5805.42 low. Index nested higher in wave ((iii)) & ended at $5964.69 high. Then wave ((iv)) pullback ended at $5930.72 low. Above from there, wave ((v)) ended with extension at $6128.18 high & completed wave 1. Down from there, the index is doing a pullback in wave 2 against 1.13.2025 low. Therefore, pullback should hold in 3, 7 or 11 swings looking for more upside.
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?S&P500 is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the overlap support. Pivot: 6,040.89 1st Support: 5,930.68 1st Resistance: 6,100.41 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by ICmarkets
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.28.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 28 ⏰ 10:00am 📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7) 💡 Global Events: 🚩 China PMI: Key manufacturing data impacting global growth. 🍵 U.K. Business Report: Updates on investments and pensions. 📊 Earnings: GM and LMT pre-market results. 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by TrendTao
sp 500 fib analysissp 500 fib analysis Treasury bills are a secure, short-term investment, offering you returns after a relatively short commitment of funds. Treasury bill rates in Kenya are attractive, providing an excellent investment opportunity that is readily available, as they are auctioned each week. Treasury bills are sold at a discount. This means that investors choose the amount that they will receive when the bill matures, or the face value of the bill, and pay less than that amount when purchasing it.
SP:SPX
by akamunya
1
SPX week of Jan 27th 2025 The upcoming week could be a bit wild based on the recent gaps and the FOMC meeting. There are a few ranges from recent gaps up that are prime candidates to be filled on a retracement. Especially considering that the last time the FOMC spoke about rates, the index dropped over 3% in a single day. That move is pictured below, and it spans from the current level of 6100 to the top of the lowest gap at 5890. Compounding this is that the highest level of negative gamma exposure sitting directly below the highest gap. Since volatility could pick up if we breach that negative exposure level and there are 2 large gaps below we could see a significant move down. The flip side of this is earnings of course - some of the biggest players are expected to beat estimates this week. That combined with the multiple levels of high gamma exposure sitting above the current level might keep the index rising all week towards the 6200 level. A very inexpensive way to play both sides would be far out of the money inexpensive debit spreads expiring Friday 1/31 centered around the strikes of 6200 to the upside and 5980 or even 5900 to the downside. Of course I am literally brand new at trying to do this kind of analysis so I quite possibly am getting all of this wrong (although I feel like I am getting the jargon down pretty well ;)
SP:SPX
by MWFarmFarm
1
DeepSeek AI Model Drives Bearish Pressure on U.S. Stock FuturesDeepSeek Model Sparks Decline in U.S. Stock Futures U.S. equity index futures are experiencing a significant decline on Monday, driven by the overwhelming popularity of DeepSeek, an inexpensive Chinese artificial intelligence model. This has triggered a selloff in AI-related stocks, with megacap companies like Nvidia being particularly impacted. S&P 500 Analysis The S&P 500 has dropped over 5.00%, primarily due to the release of this cost-efficient AI model in China. The market remains under bearish pressure, particularly as U.S. stocks, including Nvidia, have already experienced substantial losses, with Nvidia alone losing approximately $400 billion in market capitalization amid this development. As long as the price remains below 6,020, the market is likely to see bearish and volatile activity. A break below 5,969 could signal further declines toward 5,937 and 5,863. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5970 Resistance Levels: 6000, 6020, 6051 Support Levels: 5937, 5890, 5863 Trend Outlook Bearish with Volatility
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
China threatens US AI dominanceUS stock index futures have tumbled overnight. Investors rushed to bail out of chipmakers and tech-related equities in reaction to China’s threat to US dominance over the development of generative AI. A relatively small Chinese company called DeepSeek has produced a powerful open-source artificial intelligence model at a fraction of the cost, yet with capabilities equal or better than, many US versions such as ChatGPT. The DeepSeek version is already the top-rated free application on Apple's US App. The threat has led to a sudden, and painful, reconsideration of tech stock valuations along with their plans for future capital expenditures. The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 was down close to 4% in early trade, with thumping losses for chipmakers. NVIDIA, Super Micro Computer and the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company were all around 10% lower in morning trade. ‘Magnificent Seven’ constituents Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Tesla were all 5-6% weaker. The final ‘Mag 7’ member, Apple, was little-changed. But it has fallen 15% from its all-time high from Christmas, and testing support around $220. Given this year’s sell-off, investors may decide to sit on their hands for now, at least until they can digest Apple’s earnings which are released after Thursday’s close. On Wednesday there are fourth quarter updates from Microsoft, Meta Platforms and Tesla. It’s worth considering that the ‘Mag 7’ members account for 34% of the total market capitalisation of the S&P 500, so there’s a lot riding on this quarter given current high valuations and the uncertainty that comes with a Trump presidency. Mr Trump has yet to impose tariffs despite threats to Canada, Mexico and China. He successfully threatened Colombia to take two plane-loads of deportees or face tariffs of 25%, rising to 50% next week. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates unchanged after its meeting on Wednesday. In the meantime, bond prices are picking up again. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell 11 basis points to 4.50% this morning-its lowest level in over a month. This suggests that investors are putting the proceeds of dumped stocks straight into the bond market for now. It could also imply that equities could have more downside, given opportunists don’t appear to be in any rush to buy at cheaper levels.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
US500 - Short-Term Pain!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈US500 has been in a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the blue channel. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong demand and structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #US500 approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) If the blue intersection is broken downward, a deeper correction towards the green intersection would be expected. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TheSignalyst
1
Earnings Season Playbook: What Traders Should Know to Stay Ahead🏈 It’s Earnings Season — Game On Earnings season is the market’s quarterly equivalent of the Super Bowl (with just as much action) or the Oscars (minus the red carpet but with just as much drama). Every three months or so (every quarter), companies parade their financial performances, guiding traders and investors through a rollercoaster of beats, misses, and that classic "in line with expectations" snooze-fest. It’s exciting, nerve-wracking, and, if played right, potentially profitable. So, how do you navigate this high-stakes quarterly event? With a solid playbook and a lot less stress than you might think. 🌀 Know When Things Kick Off Timing is everything. Earnings reports trickle in on a quarterly basis and are usually released after the regular trading session (for the most part) or before the opening bell (for the banks, mostly). Having a scheduled earnings calendar means that traders have enough time to digest the numbers — or panic — before the next batch of updates. So make sure you keep an eye on the earnings calendar — you don’t want to be caught holding ill-fated shares if Tesla TSLA announces its profit margins have shrunk because of that quirky Cybertruck, right? Preparation here means knowing who’s reporting, when, and what the expectations are. 📝 Read Between the (Income Statement) Lines Earnings reports are more than just numbers. Of course, revenue and EPS (earnings per share) are the headliners, but the juicy details often lurk in the fine print. Look out for annualized revenue growth (or shrinkage), profit margins, and forward-looking guidance. If a company beats earnings but lowers its full-year forecast, it’s like winning the lottery but learning half your prize is in Monopoly money. Market-fluent traders dig deep and connect the dots rather than reacting to headlines. 💡 Forward-Looking Projections: The Market’s Guiding Light Forward projections or guidance is among the most powerful tools companies use to set the tone. A quarterly performance is old news by the time it’s reported; traders want to know what’s next. Positive guidance can send stocks soaring, while cautious language can sink even the strongest performers. For example, if a tech company beats earnings but announces reduced hiring or slower revenue growth projections, brace for turbulence. Think of guidance as the “what’s next” teaser for a Netflix NFLX series you can’t stop binging. Btw, Netflix really outworked everyone in the last quarter. ☎️ Earnings Calls: Raw Market Reactions Earnings calls are where the magic — or chaos — happens. CEOs and CFOs are tasked with selling their story to analysts and investors, balancing optimism with realism. Listeners keep an ear out for key phrases like … you know it … “AI,” “generative AI” and “AI data centers”. It’s also where you’ll catch nuggets about new projects, market conditions, and management’s confidence—or lack thereof. Pro tip: Look for a transcript if the financial jargon on live calls makes you feel like you need subtitles. 🎡 The Volatility Playground: Trading Earnings Gaps Earnings season is a volatility wonderland. Stocks can gap up or down significantly in reaction to results, creating opportunities for savvy traders. Trading these gaps requires a blend of technical analysis and fast decision-making. Did the stock gap down despite a solid earnings beat? That might be a buy-the-dip moment. Conversely, a massive gap up can shout overbought. The trick is understanding the context of the move — is it justified, or is it speculative? 🐏 Avoid the Herd Mentality (or at Least Try to) Earnings season brings out the FOMO. Traders see a stock soaring post-earnings and rush in, only to get burned when the euphoria fizzles. It’s tempting to follow the herd, but disciplined traders stay cautious. Always ask: is this stock moving on fundamentals, or is it riding a hype wave? If it’s the latter, step back and let the dust settle — the market loves to overcorrect. 🖼️ Sector Trends: The Bigger Picture Matters Earnings season isn’t just about individual stocks; it’s a pulse check on entire sectors. If a major bank reports a sharp jump in profits, it’s a bullish sign for the financial sector (yes, we’re talking about JPMorgan’s JPM latest quarterly update ). Similarly, a blockbuster quarter from a tech titan might lift the entire tech space. By keeping an eye on sector trends, traders can spot opportunities and avoid pitfalls. Think of it as reading the room before making your move. 🎮 Play the Long Game Earnings season isn’t just for day traders. Long-term investors can use it to reassess their positions and look for entry points. If a company misses earnings due to short-term challenges but maintains strong fundamentals, it might be a buying opportunity. On the flip side, a stock riding high on hype but lacking substance could be a signal to exit. Patience pays off, especially when everyone else is chasing the next shiny object. ✍️ Wrapping It Up: Stay Sharp, Stay Informed Earnings season is as unpredictable as the plot twists in Succession. But with the right preparation and mindset, it’s also a goldmine of opportunities. Do your homework, keep your emotions in check, and don’t be afraid to sit out if the setup doesn’t feel right. So grab your coffee (or tea, no judgment), fire up your TradingView account, and get ready for the financial fireworks.
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
7