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$SPY $SPX Pullback to Gap Fill? I've been waiting for a rocket to AMEX:SPY $630 but my monthly tells me that February wants to close red. Here is my daily with a fib that we cant seem to hold above although today we did close above once I have been waiting patiently in this box unlike others, I have constantly reiterated, don't try to be a hero inside of the box. Now that the Box seems to be pushing towards the upside, I can't help but notice we continue printing bearish candles regardless of direction. Today we closed with a Hangman, which begs the question, could we perhaps lean bearish for two of the most bearish weeks of the year in comparison? I'd like to think I'm not wrong here and we will get a spill before anyone gets an expected blow off top. Be careful out there, volatility remains present and the VIX was above the 50DMA last time I checked. If we can get this gap fill and start moving back up, I will be confident in the gap fill being bottom. Seeing as $593 AMEX:SPY alert for bottom never filled, I will have to assume it's still a possibility. Taz out.
SP:SPX
by TazmanianTrader
SPX Long Trade Setup Analysis (3H Timeframe - Vantage)🔹 Current Setup: - 🦈 The Bullish Shark Pattern has completed at D (5912.17), indicating a potential reversal zone. - 📉 Price is currently bouncing off the 1.001 Fibonacci extension level. - 📍 Key Resistance Levels (Take Profit Targets): - 🎯 TP1: Fibonacci 27.2% extension (~6201.66) - 🎯 TP2: Fibonacci 61.8% extension (~6286.52) - 📍 Key Support Levels: - ❗ Critical Stop Zone: 5889.73 (inside the previously broken channel) - 🔻 Deeper Bearish Target: 5782.41 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup) - 🟢 Entry: Above 5945 (current market price) - 🎯 Take Profit 1: 6201 (27.2% Fibonacci extension) - 🎯 Take Profit 2: 6286 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) - 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 5890 (to avoid whipsaws) ✅ Justification: - 🔹 Price has bounced from a strong Fibonacci support level - 🔹 Harmonic pattern suggests a potential bullish reversal - 🔹 TP targets align with Fibonacci extension levels and previous structure resistance 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup) - ❌ Invalidation Level: Below 5880 - 🔻 Downside Targets: - 5820: First support area - 5782: 161.8% Fibonacci extension ✅ Justification: - ❗ If the price breaks below 5890, the harmonic pattern fails, signaling more downside - ❗ 5782 aligns with channel equilibrium, meaning a further drop could happen ⚡ Key Takeaways - 🔹 Bullish bias above 5912, bearish below 5890 - 🔹 A break above 6000 will confirm the uptrend - 🔹 A break below 5880 could lead to 5782 or lower
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by Who-Is-Caerus
S&P 500 Trade Idea – Bullish OutlookS&P 500 Trade Idea – Bullish Outlook The S&P 500 has been ranging since November 11, 2024, consolidating within a well-defined structure. A Wyckoff Spring occurred on January 13, confirming a strong demand zone and establishing a firm floor for price action. Currently, price is trading above a key level at 6,100, signaling bullish momentum. As long as price holds above this level, any bullish pattern presents a strong buy opportunity with a long-term target of 6,400. Trade Plan: 📈 Bias: Bullish 🔹 Entry: Look for bullish confirmations above 6,100 🔹 Target: 6,400 🔹 Invalidation: Breakdown below 6,100 This setup aligns with the larger trend and market structure. Let’s see how it plays out!
FX:SPX500Long
by LeeNasdaq
S&P 500 Trade Idea – Bullish OutlookS&P 500 Trade Idea – Bullish Outlook The S&P 500 has been ranging since November 11, 2024, consolidating within a well-defined structure. A Wyckoff Spring occurred on January 13, confirming a strong demand zone and establishing a firm floor for price action. Currently, price is trading above a key level at 6,100, signaling bullish momentum. As long as price holds above this level, any bullish pattern presents a strong buy opportunity with a long-term target of 6,400. Trade Plan: 📈 Bias: Bullish 🔹 Entry: Look for bullish confirmations above 6,100 🔹 Target: 6,400 🔹 Invalidation: Breakdown below 6,100 This setup aligns with the larger trend and market structure. Let’s see how it plays out!
FX:SPX500Long
by LeeNasdaq
2025 Market Outlook - Cautiously Bullish (Important Bar Counts)Hey Everybody, Thanks for checking out the video. I'm reviewing all major instruments, US and Non US. US has carried the financial markets since 2020 and 2022 and this year out of the gate we're seeing big runs in "uninvestable" spaces like Europe and China. I say that jokingly because of how bad everything thought non US assets were, but here we are watching DAX, FTSE, and HSI running to double digit gains while the US lags behind. Will the US catch up and the global economy tide rise to lift all boats or are we truly seeing a catch up trade that will have headwinds uncertainties a plenty? Time will tell. This week is a holiday shortened trading week, RBA and RBNZ expected to cut rates, Europe and US printing PMI on Friday. BABA and BIDU earnings this week (China related), and NVDA earnings next week (#2 market cap in US). I discuss the big bar counts that I'm watching closely on SPY, SPX, XSP, RSP, NDX, QQQ, DIA, NVDA, META, NFLX, and others that I believe technically will matter for limited upside momentum without a bigger pause, snapback or correction ahead. Cautiously optimistic is a perfect play for 2025. I'm off to a good start for the year and intend to keep that way without chasing or doing anything silly. Thank for watching.
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
Breakout or More Range Trading?The price is currently consolidating between 6,031 and 6,098, awaiting a breakout direction. Bullish Scenario: Price is expected to retest 6,031 before attempting a move higher. Stabilizing above 6,031 will allow liquidity accumulation, potentially driving a rally toward 6,080 and 6,098. A breakout above 6,098 could extend gains to 6,122 and 6,150. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 6,010, this could confirm a shift to a bearish trend. Further downside targets include 5,979 and 5,920. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6070 Resistance Levels: 6098, 6122, 6150 Support Levels: 6031, 6010, 5973 Trend Outlook: Bullish above 6,031, targeting 6,098 Bearish below 6,010, targeting 5,979
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Disco-Dave
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 10.2-14.2 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 5th week of the base cycle (average of 20 weeks). Monday opened with a traditional gap down. Unfortunately, the gap was too brief to close the short position with a profit. On Wednesday, the extreme forecast on February 11 pushed the market upward after a brief dip on inflation data. Two long cycles remain open, as I have discussed in previous posts. ⚠️ By Friday’s close, there are signs of a triple top forming at the December 9 and January 29 extreme forecast levels. The next pivot forecast is February 24. The most interesting part is expected at the extreme forecast on March 3, coinciding with the start of the retrograde Venus period, which I mentioned in early December.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
SP500 vs. US intrest rateInterest rate hikes correlated with SP500 growth. Recent growth from the bottom of the March 21' COVID crash was financed by printing trillions US dollars. It allowed to mitigate unemployment rate spike. Inflation started to rise rapidly and interest rates are expected to grow. Will SP500 growth continue? Or is it overpriced by now? Maybe, Shiller P/E ratio for SP500 is now around 39 with median at 16 and maxiumum at 44 on Dec 1999. But how similar is current economics to previous decades? What to expect with unprecedented money supply and modern technologies? Is it time of Modern Monetary Theory? Maybe I would be able to answer any of the questions if I had any formal economic education ;) tradingeconomics.com www.multpl.com
SP:SPXLong
by greater_fool_
Market SnapshotHow do you see the economic future of America? www.youtube.com www.saferbankingresearch.com "As such, as of Q3 2023, the total equity of the banks participating in the 2024 stress test was already lower than their loans to shadow bankers. Given that on-balance sheet loans to shadow bankers have increased by nearly 20% since Q3 2023, and assuming off-balance sheet loan commitments have grown at the same rate, total loan commitments to shadow bankers from the largest banks are now even higher. This makes shadow banking lending one of the largest segments—and, for some, already the largest—of these banks' credit books."
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
SPX Finally Pops - But Will It Stick?SPX Finally Pops – But Will It Stick? | SPX Market Analysis 14 Feb 2025 Well, pop the champagne, sound the victory bells, and maybe slap my thigh and call me Rodger—SPX has finally broken out! The only thing missing is a trumpet fanfare and maybe a ticker-tape parade. But before we get too carried away, the real question remains—will this breakout hold strong or collapse into another Friday sell-off? Let’s break it down… SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 🎉 The Market Has Moved – But Will It Last? After days of tedious range-bound trading, SPX finally decided to pick a direction. But if history is anything to go by, we can’t get too comfortable just yet. 🔻 Friday Sell-Off Risk If the last few weeks are anything to go by, we’ve seen: A break higher, only for it to reverse sharply by Friday A hard and fast flush that wipes out the week’s gains A market that keeps traders on their toes 📉 Bear Trades Expire Today My bearish positions are expiring We never quite got the drop to range lows A last-minute sell-off could help—but I won’t be holding my breath 🔄 What’s Next? ✅ Option 1: Look for a fresh swing trade entry today ✅ Option 2: Sit back, relax, and enjoy a long romantic weekend 😉 📌 Final Takeaway? The range is finally broken, but we’ve been burned before by Friday sell-offs. Patience is key—there’s always another trade, but a long weekend is also tempting. 📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day stock market gain in history happened on March 24, 2020, when the Dow surged 2,113 points. 💡 The Lesson? Even record-breaking rallies can happen after massive crashes. Markets move in cycles—so while sell-offs seem endless, breakouts eventually happen… and vice versa.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
SPX500The S&P 500 (SPX500) is a major stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It is widely regarded as a benchmark for the overall health of the U.S. stock market and economy. The index includes companies from various sectors, including technology, healthcare, finance, and consumer goods. Trading activity is highest during U.S. market hours, with additional volatility during major economic events and earnings reports. Investors and traders use the S&P 500 for long-term investments, portfolio diversification, and market trend analysis.
THINKMARKETS:SPX500Short
by HavalMamar