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SP500FT trade ideas

Bullish bounce off pullback support?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,326.10 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,211.08 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 5,517.82 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
S&P 500 Index Most Bullish Signal In 15 YearsThis is why it is very clear, certain, that the stock market, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is set to grow in the coming months. Last week produced the highest volume session, on the bullish side, since April/May 2010, that's 15 years. Back then, when this signal showed up, this index went to grow for years non-stop. The SPX also produced the strongest weekly session in several decades, maybe the strongest week ever, and a bounce happened (support found) exactly at the 0.618 retracement Fib. This is all we need to know. When the bulls enter the market and do so with force, it is because the market is set to grow. The correction produced decline of 21%. This is pretty standard. The fact that the correction happened really fast, it means that it will also have a fast end. The low is in. The correction is over. The S&P 500 Index is set to grow. You can be certain. If you have any doubts, just ask the chart. Namaste.
SP:SPXLong
by MasterAnanda
7
Planning to short a little higher. I made a full pivot on my bear position while we were 6% down on the day into the end of last week, switching to long positioning at 5150 and adding a couple times once the first resis levels broke, now I'm starting to get ready to try to position short again into a move a little higher (5550 or so). My bias at this point is fairly neutral. As a trader, it really doesn't matter which way the market goes. One could equally make the polarised case for us to trend up 1000 points or down 1000 points. Many people think I want to be a bear for the sake of being a bear, but those 1000 points pay the exact same. I'd opt for the one with no systemic risk. After all, the money I make I keep in banks and brokerages. Nicer to know they'll be okay. But markets are not a place for preference. Heading into 5550 is where we have another window of risk for the bear setup. We took a large position (relative to typical exposure) betting 4% long on SPX at 5150 with 100 points stop. Banked on this for 300 points. With the added positions this was a bit over 15%. Basically, we made as much as a non leveraged long would make trading from the absolute low to a retest of the high. Still currently have some light exposure betting on 5550 hitting. If and when we get there, we'll cycle some of our long profits back to shorts. Even inside of a bull market case I could make a reasonable case for 5000 retesting. And if we're actually inside a bear market, then we've just been through the eye of the storm. Over the last few days I've not done much. Caught up on work outside the market (or related to work I do based on the market that isn't trading). Caught up on sleep (because I slept very rarely through March / early April). Whatever way it goes, I think we're going to be back to being super active some time in the next few days. For now, locking in the profits. Through this year the market has made over 50% worth of swings when you add them all up. We caught a lot of them. Covering multiple years of the standard expected gains for the style and low risk setting used. My priority is keeping that. But I can see myself repositioning as a bear in the coming days. I'm undecided of how deep a bear move I'd be targeting. But I do strongly suspect I'll be a short 5550 if it trades.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by holeyprofit
$SPX - Recap of April 14 2025So if you just read SPY - this is just a copy and paste because of course we had almost identical price action here. Today, Monday April 14th we opened with a gap UP to the 30min 200MA and we also gapped right to the top of the bear gap (always considered resistance and strengthened by the downward momentum of the 30min 200. We did see resistance with those combined bearish levels and we brought is back down to the middle, closed the gap from open and took it back to the 30min 200MA and got pushed back at close. This chart setup was bearish today - even though we closed green - how? The 30in 200MA pointing down. The bear gap under that. And the 35EMA trading Under the 30min 200MA. It was an easy trading day and just looking at the momentum you could feel that price was going to stay in the center of the implied move. At least I mentioned that in last night’s video. Excellent day. How did you guys do??
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2
SPX500USD (S&P 500) Technical A`nalysisThe S&P 500 (SPX500USD) is currently approaching the 5,500.0 resistance zone after a strong bullish recovery. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price successfully breaks and retests 5,500.0, continuation towards the 5,708.6 resistance zone may follow. A further break could push the market up to 5,795.6. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If SPX500USD fails to break and sustain above 5,500.0, a rejection could send price down towards 5,196.8 support. A deeper breakdown below 5,196.8 could extend losses towards 4,859.8. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a trading signal. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any decisions.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SPOT_FX
1
“Markets are strong” – Are they really?President Trump recently stated that "markets became very strong once they got used to tariffs." But let’s look at the facts: 📊 AMEX:SPY is down -9% YTD, and major names like: MSFT: -7.55% AAPL: -18.66% NVDA: -12.94% Tech is bleeding, and the broader S&P 500 is clearly reflecting the pressure of trade policy uncertainty. 🟥 Tariffs = market stress 🟩 Market resilience = not the same as strength What we’re seeing is not a “strong market” — it’s a market under pressure trying to survive political noise. The weekly chart shows a clear drop after the peak, followed by uncertainty, not conviction. 💭 Is this truly the “strength” investors want to see?
VANTAGE:SP500FT
by SmartSignalss
US500 (S&P 500) Sell Limit Trade IdeaBearish Daily Signals Align with Key Resistance Levels 📅 Published: 14/04/2025 14:22 | ⏳ Expires: 15/04/2025 12:00 Market Outlook The US500 is showing signs of fatigue at higher levels. A Doji-style candle formed near the highs suggests indecision and potential reversal. Current levels are near the 50% Fibonacci pullback at 5485, an area that previously attracted selling pressure. The 20-day EMA at 5466 and the pivotal level at 5501 reinforce this as a strong resistance zone. With no major economic events in the next 24 hours, technicals are likely to dominate near-term price action. Trade Details Entry (Sell Limit): 5459 Stop Loss: 5611 (-152 pts) Take Profit: 5016 (+443 pts) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.91:1 Key Levels Resistance: R1: 5446 R2: 5501 (Pivotal Level) R3: 5600 Support: S1 : 5381 S2: 5280 S3: 5135 Technical & Sentiment Highlights ✅ Bearish Daily Signals – Doji candle and declining momentum suggest exhaustion at highs. ✅ EMA & Fibonacci Confluence – 5466 EMA + 5485 Fib zone aligning with resistance. ✅ High Reward Potential – Offers a strong 2.9:1 risk/reward ratio. ⚠️ No Major News Catalysts – Technicals expected to guide near-term direction. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Short
by Signal_Centre1
Tariff Exemptions Stir the Bounce | SPX Analysis 14 April 2025It’s Monday… and the markets are once again dancing like a puppet on a tweet-fuelled string. One minute, tariff fears. The next, selective exemptions for “favourites.” Now the weekend’s over and futures are bouncing higher like none of it happened. SPX looks set to test – or break – the 5400 bull trigger, and if you’ve been following the last few newsletters, you’ll know that’s a big one. We’ve mapped it. We’ve rejected it. Now we’re staring it down… again. --- The 5400 Line Returns Let’s back up. 5400 has been my bull/bear trigger for weeks. When we’re below it, I’m hunting bear swings. Above? I start reassessing bullish setups, GEX bulls-eye trades, and pullback long entries. This week, the GEX flip is also sitting around 5400. That’s no coincidence. It’s now more than just a price level – It’s the emotional fault line between headline-driven panic and headline-driven hope. So… do we flip bullish? Not so fast. Strategy: Structure First, Narrative Second Just because futures are up doesn’t mean momentum is back. We’ve seen far too many fakeouts, tweet-spikes, and algorithm blinks to trust the first move on a Monday. That’s why my plan is simple this week: ✔️ 5400 is still the decision line ✔️ No aggressive trades until price confirms ✔️ Will adapt only if structure shifts – not just sentiment This week isn’t about swinging for the fences. It’s about precision. Patience. And setup clarity. Behind the Charts: Tinkering, Rebuilding, Refining While the markets work out their next identity crisis, I’m taking the time to: Optimise my new charting layout Tweak + update my indicator codebases Re-align my tools for speed and efficiency Because if the market wants to act like a circus, I’ll tighten the tent and sharpen the knives. --- Expert Insight – Don’t Rush the Flip Common mistake: Flipping long just because futures are green. Fix: Use anchored levels like 5400 as your decision points – and only flip bias when structure confirms. GEX flips, pulse bars, and price action matter. Tweets do not. --- Fun Fact Did you know? In 2023–2024, over 60% of intraday SPX rallies over 1.5% failed to hold past 2 days when triggered by political headlines. Translation? Headline rallies are easy to sell into – unless they’re confirmed by price.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Was this the best buying opportunity since 2011?Sure, here's a rewritten version of your text in an engaging tone: "Have you ever heard of the Zweig Breadth Thrust? Well, let me tell you, it’s an incredible metric that can really shed some light on the current market situation! So, what would it take for me to believe that this bounce isn't just another bear market rally? My first step would be to dive into the breadth indicators and look for signs of that elusive breadth thrust. Think of a breadth thrust like a rocket taking off. You need a strong initial boost to break free of gravity's grip. If the thrust is weak, the rocket can’t escape, and the same applies to stock market reversals. When we see a robust breadth thrust, that's a signal that a significant reversal is underway. Without it, we could be facing another false bounce. Now, let’s talk numbers! As of Friday, April 25th, the SPX has surged an impressive 14.2% from its recent lows, and while that’s quite a leap, it’s essential to keep it in perspective. Just think back—this index was down 21.35% from its all-time high earlier in February during the panic sell-off. Now, with the recent strength, it’s only 10.75% off its peak. The Zweig Breadth Thrust is calculated based on the 10-day EMA of NYSE Advances divided by the sum of Advances and Declines. A bullish signal pops up when the ZBT shifts from below 0.40 to above 0.615 within just ten days or less. Keep an eye on that—it might just help us navigate these choppy waters!" On the monthly chart, it’s clear that what we’ve been seeing in the broader economy (you know, Main Street) is actually showing us some bearish divergence—a concept I've mentioned in my previous ideas. Since 2009, we've had four notable instances on the Monthly chart where the ZBT dipped below 0.40, only to bounce back up past the 0.6 mark. Remember back in November 2011? That was when we got a significant signal with a low reading of 0.31, which climbed back to 0.62 by February 2013. That surge sparked a bull run that peaked in February 2020! So, the takeaway here is that this breadth thrust is generating the positive momentum we need to reach new stock market highs this year. Exciting times ahead!
SP:SPXLong
by BallaJi
Option Insights – Trading the Greeks Part 3 of 4: Gamma ScalpingOption Insights – Trading the Greeks Part 3 of 4: Gamma Scalping Gamma Scalping is a trading strategy that combines long option positions with a hedging position in the underlying asset to isolate and profit from the convexity of options. It is essentially a non-directional swing trading strategy that aims to capture price swings—regardless of direction—by neutralizing the linear component of option value changes and focusing on the convexity gains. ________________________________________ How It Works Gamma Scalping begins by purchasing a single option or a strangle, and simultaneously entering a hedging position in the underlying to achieve Delta neutrality (the "Delta hedge"). The strategy then waits for a swing in the underlying price in either direction. Because of the long Gamma position, the position’s value is a convex function of the underlying price. This means that the position will either: • Gain more than the Delta hedge in a favorable move, or • Lose less in an adverse move. The combined position becomes profitable as the underlying moves, regardless of direction. The linear component of the option’s value change—driven by Delta—is hedged, so any residual profit comes from the convexity, i.e., the Gamma. To realize this convexity profit, the Delta hedge is re-adjusted after the swing has played out. In other words, after the market appears to have reached a turning point, the position is brought back to Delta neutral. The optimal adjustment points are at the sequential peaks and troughs of the market. Rebalancing at intermediate points captures some convexity value, but typically less than adjusting only at clear turning points. This is illustrated in the two subcharts of the introductory chart. ________________________________________ How Does Gamma Scalping Make Money? The change in the value of an option due to a change in the underlying price is approximately the sum of the Delta-weighted change in the underlying (the linear portion) plus a Gamma-weighted convexity component (convexity portion). • The linear portion is hedged by the underlying. • The convexity portion remains and represents the profit opportunity. While the convexity component is typically smaller than the potential linear gain, it is always positive—unlike the linear term, which is only profitable when the direction is predicted correctly. ________________________________________ What’s Being Traded? Gamma scalping involves adjusting the hedging position—not the options—at perceived turning points in price swings. The options position is kept intact as long as it maintains sufficient Gamma to deliver meaningful convexity. Even in volatile markets that demand frequent trading, all activity is confined to the underlying, which tends to be liquid and low-cost to trade. Once the option’s Gamma decays significantly, the entire position (options + hedge) may be reset to “refresh” the Gamma exposure. ________________________________________ What’s the Catch? The convexity value isn’t free—it comes at the cost of time value decay, as measured by Theta. If Delta neutrality isn’t re-established promptly during a swing, even a brief counter-move in the underlying can erode the accumulated convexity gains due to time decay. Gamma scalping thus becomes a race between capturing convexity and losing value to Theta. The key challenge lies in timing: • Too early: Frequent adjustments reduce overall convexity capture. • Too late: Time decay eats into the gains. • Too slow: As expiration approaches, the range in which sufficient Gamma exists narrows, shrinking the window of opportunity. Despite these challenges, Gamma scalping offers an appealing alternative to traditional directional swing trading, with a more nuanced risk profile. However, it does require experience in managing Theta—especially with short-dated options. ________________________________________ Is Gamma Scalping the Opposite of Time Value Trading? In a way, yes, but not quite. Time value trading involves selling options and Delta hedging them—such as in volatility premium strategies (e.g., selling index strangles). These traders aim to minimize realized volatility and capture the decay of implied volatility. By contrast, Gamma scalping buys options and seeks to maximize realized volatility—through the trader’s own hedging actions. The subtle differences in hedge execution distinguish these two approaches. This contrast—and what it means to minimize or maximize realized volatility in a hedging strategy as well as time value trading itself—will be explored in more depth in Part 4 of the “Options Insights – Trading the Greeks” series. ________________________________________ Coming Up Next: 📘 Part 4: Time Value Trading and Volatility Premium by parsifaltrading
TVC:SPXEducation
by parsifaltrading
The Bear Is Dead. Long Live the Bull.From Fakeout to Full Send - SPX Flips Bullish You could almost hear the financial media pop champagne today. “Markets Surge Amid Easing Trade Tensions” they yelled. “Global confidence returns!” they assured. And sure, that’s a cute story. But for us, Wednesday’s bear push now looks like a feint. A setup. A spring. By Friday, the bull had not only taken the ball - it ran with it. That V-shaped reversal pattern on the daily chart? It’s live. And it’s loud. Technically, it’s now pointing to a projected upside of 6106. That’s not just some random number. That’s the prior range high zone coming back into focus. And in case you needed a reminder… The bear is dead. Long live the bull. (until it isn't) --- SPX Market View - Bullish Flip Confirmed Wednesday gave us a classic tease. Bearish energy. A flicker of downside. But it fizzled fast. Then came Thursday - and with it, a clean sweep into Friday. The V-shaped daily reversal triggered. Price pushes off the lows Sentiment flipped And a new upside target emerged at 6106 It’s not just technical fluff. This level marks a structural return to the previous range highs - a natural magnet for bullish continuation. Meanwhile, I’ve done a bit of chart housekeeping myself. After two months of letting bias sneak in and lines and notes multiply like rabbits, I’ve hit the reset button. 🧹 Clean charts. Clean mind. Just the essentials. The direction has changed - and I’m treating it with fresh eyes. One line I am keeping? 5400. It’s been the pivot point for weeks. A battle-tested zone. It now serves as the bull’s first major checkpoint. If price respects that level on any dip, it’s game on. And if we breach it? That’s when the doubt returns. --- 💡Expert Insights: Common Trading Mistakes & How to Avoid Them MISTAKE: Letting cluttered charts and old bias cloud current decisions. FIX: Regularly clean your charts — strip them down to what matters. Use setups that speak for themselves (like the V-shape). Don’t bring yesterday’s opinion into today’s trade. A new direction demands a new perspective. And as price shifts, so must your lens. --- 🗞️Rumour Has It… BREAKING: Powell Declares Bull Market, Blames Moon Phase for Midweek Bear Tease Financial news outlets were caught scrambling when the SPX reversed higher through thursday despite Wednesday’s doom-and-gloom. “Clearly the moon was in retrograde,” Powell reportedly muttered, while clutching a Fibonacci ruler. In other news, China's trade delegation released a statement saying, “We’re not sure what’s happening either.” (This section is entirely made-up satire. Probably.) --- 🤯Fun Fact - The Original “Clean Chart” Addict Was… Jesse Livermore Before indicators, algos, and triple-screen madness, Jesse Livermore – the OG speculator – was famous for trading from price and price alone. In fact, he refused to use charts with clutter. He would manually draw his price levels, log his trades by hand, and sometimes go days without placing a trade – waiting for the market to tip its hand. His trading edge? Patience. Price action. And a clean, unobstructed read. One of his favourite tricks? He’d mentally mark key inflection levels (like your 5400) and wait until price either exploded past or rejected hard before acting. So next time you reset your chart – you’re not just decluttering… You’re channelling Livermore.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton