SPX Macro - Mega TrendSPX MEGA MACRO - US STOCK MARKET ROAD MAP
The US stock market has been in a megatrend since 1932.
SPCUSD trade ideas
Heading to the daily 50 (6000)Two days with a devastating selloff at the close, a clear sign that the index is not yet ready to position itself above 6100.
The first short-term light blue support was broken at Friday's close, and now the index will move towards the underlying support indicated by the blue trendline, where the daily SMA50 also passes through near 6000 points .
Holding this support will initiate a new attempt to break 6100.
Conquering 6100 is an important phase that will start a new bullish cycle and subsequently act as strong support. The breakout must occur with strength and large volumes.
Long term support on S&P 500Some support and resistance lines on the S&P 500. Important to keep in mind the long term support line from the 2020 bottom.
-10% CRASH Bears coming, Bulls, BTD for a Blow off Top $SPYDecline Ahead, we have the exact same chart on the monthly. I guess that means we could have just one month at least of red. This is a weekly chart with the same pattern as the monthly on SPX. I will post it shortly. We have a 9 Count Sell Signal with a 13 Count Follow up. The 14th Candle takes a 10% dip. On several occasions in this candle combo. I will attach a link to another example.
-10 Decline in the next month, Buy the dip for a Blow off top Refer to a Previous Post. Blow OFF TOP COMING. BUT NOT BEFORE A COUPLE OF SCARES. Short the RIP. BUY THE DIP. Patience. 4-6 weeks of 10% moves back and forth... Accumulate the wins for the Longs... Hold for a year... Short everything Mid 26' if it gets that far MCFLY
Market SnapshotHmmmnnnnn.......
www.dailymail.co.uk
"Hedge funds are making a multi-billion-dollar gamble against the US economy, betting Donald Trump's presidency will result in a massive market crash that could devastate 401(k)s, pensions, and household savings across America.
Data from Goldman Sachs has sent shockwaves through financial circles, revealing a dramatic surge in 'short' positions against US stocks - a move that signals a belief the market is headed for a precipitous crash.
Throughout January, investors placed 10 times more bets on American stocks falling than on their continued rise, a staggering shift that reflects growing unease over Wall Street's future under Trump's leadership.
The timing of such financial revolt is no coincidence and comes just as the world witnessed a $600 billion wipeout in major US tech stocks earlier this week, driven by fears over Chinese AI rival DeepSeek, which disrupted the once-unshakable dominance of America's technology sector. "
Down for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD did exactly what I've said in my outlook. On Monday it dropped impulsive to the downside and after it reached the Daily FVG it correctively went up again. On Friday it started the next move down.
So next week we could see the finish of the corrective move down into the lower 4H FVG and after that more upside.
Or if it breaks the low from the (orange) Y-wave, the correction down becomes bigger.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the bigger correction down to finish and a change in orderflow to bullish again. After that you could trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current weekly trading session, the S&P 500 has successfully retested the significant threshold of the completed Outer Index Rally at 6123. The market is presently exhibiting a downtrend phase, as the bullish momentum appears to be temporarily suspended. Analyses indicate that this downward trajectory will likely persist, with targets set at the Mean Support levels of 5996 and potentially 5936. This considerable corrective pullback may create an opportunity for the re-establishment of a bullish trajectory toward further rally targets. Should this development occur, the market could be favorably positioned for the subsequent phase of the bullish trend, which would involve retesting the completed Outer Index Rally level of 6120 and targeting the following Outer Index Rally levels of 6233 and the highly anticipated target of 6418.
S&P 500 SELL ANAYSIS SMART MONEY COCNCEPT Here on S&P 500 price form a supply around level of 6096.15 and now moving down so is likely to continue going down that means trader should go for short with expect profit target of 5946.21 and 5834.42 . Use money management
Bear market ideaWhich asset does well in a S&P bearmarket? Contra: NDQ, GOLD, QDVF, USDEUR, TLT. I will include more idea's in future.
bearmarket ideeWhich asset does well in a S&P bearmarket? Contra: NDQ, GOLD, QDVF, USDEUR, TLT. I will include more idea's in future.
FUKIN SEND IT! SPXBIG move coming soon, which direction? You be the judge. .
Down seems to be the easy interpretation of this chart, but don't rule out the "off-the-charts" level of fu*kery that could take place by a parabolic send above the 95 year resistance level.
*RULE OUT NOTHING*
SPY SPX ES_F SP:SPX
S&P500 is back on trackAfter a turbulent week, S&P 500 is recovering, displaying resilience and improving risk appetite. Both market strength and breadth are improving, and in spite of tech stocks having taken a hit, financial and communication sectors lead the rally.
With new earnings week coming in, S&P500 is on the rising track with an open road to achieving 6200 zone: the borderline of Bollinger Bands indicator with a parameter of 20.
Political narratives play on the side of growth, though create additional concerns, but market seems to be more focusing on growth.
Always do your own reserch and manage risk at all times!
SPX ( Bullish Zone Testing and Breakout Potential)The current price action is trading at a bullish level within a sensitive zone, marked between 6,102 and 6,002. For today's projection, the price is expected to initially test the upper boundary of this zone at 6,102. Upon reaching this resistance level, it is anticipated that the price will face rejection, leading to a short-term correction. However, following this retracement, bullish momentum may resume, driving the price upwards again with an aim to break the last resistance level at 6,102.
If this breakout occurs, the market would likely establish a new high level, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. Conversely, for a bearish scenario to unfold, the price would need to decisively break below the 6,002 support level. This would require a 4-hour candle to close below this critical zone, confirming a downward trend. If such a break occurs, it could lead to a significant price drop, potentially targeting the lower support levels.
S&P 500 Analysis: Retest or Breakout Toward New Highs?S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price has stabilized in the bullish zone and continues to maintain upward momentum.
A potential retest of 6,051 is expected before another push toward 6,074 and 6,103. A 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above 6,103 would confirm further bullish continuation toward 6,143, potentially marking a new all-time high (ATH).
However, a 4-hour candle close below the pivot level at 6,051 could trigger bearish pressure, driving the price down toward 6,020.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 6051
Resistance Levels: 6077, 6103, 6122
Support Levels: 6020, 5997, 5970
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while above 6051
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to the low of wave “a” 5920.Colleagues, the price reached the 5920 level too quickly, so I tend to believe that wave “2” is not completed. It should consist of 3 waves “abc” so I expect the low of wave “a” 5920 to be updated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.31.2025🔮
📅 Fri Jan 31
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%)
📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%)
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down into EEZ. Watch for resistance in the Hedge Pressure Zone before any reversal.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Slight move higher from earnings, then drop lower into 6055. Expect some chop and potential liquidity sweeps before continuation.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Consolidate lower into the Hedge Cushion Zone, then pump back higher. A strong bounce is likely if price interacts with the Weekly Hedge Cushion and liquidity builds up.
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A much needed resting day within a bullish backdrop for $SPXIdeally, I would like to see a few more days of resting / corrective activity, following 6 straight days of range expansion, and a prior pivot high is a logical place for a dip or an inside day.
Let's look at sector-by-sector analysis, using The Strat method:
1) Look at the colour of the candle on each timeframe to determine who is in control: bulls or bears✅
2) Make sure the top sectors of CBOE:SPX are confirming the index-level picture. Currently AMEX:XLY is showing some discord. Okay ✅ but something to watch for.
3) Make sure the lower timeframe timeframes confirm the thesis of the higher timeframes. They should be aligned to avoid chop. All green on the month. ✅
S&P500 starting a Channel Up on Golden Cross to 6200The S&P500 index is trading inside a Channel Up on the (1h) time frame.
A (1h) Golden Cross was just formed and the whole pattern draws comparisons with November's (2024) Channel Up.
Both started with a +6% rise that pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which in turn initiated the Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 6200 (near the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, like November).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is also forming the same Channel Up as November, after getting oversold under 30.00.
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SPX500: Bullish Triangle Breakout to 6,130 Before Major ReversalSPX500 has formed a bullish triangle, signalling an imminent move higher. Our Elliott Wave analysis suggests a rally from the current price of 6,050 to a double top around 6,130. However, a break below 6,029 would invalidate this bullish scenario. After reaching the 6,130 level, we anticipate a sharp downturn to new lows.
S&P 500 in Danger! Is the Drop Just Beginning?📉 The market is showing signs of weakness! The first resistance is at 5,896, and if it fails, we could see a deeper decline towards 5,740—a level that seems far, but not impossible!
😨 Losses come from ignoring the signs! Don’t let the market catch you off guard—stay ahead of the game!
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#SP500 #StockMarket #Trading #Bearish #MarketCrash #RiskManagement #Investing #TradingSignals #FinancialMarkets #TradingView
SPX : It will go higherLooks like there is more money to be made. It will go HIGHER. And the higher it goes, the HARDER it falls.
We wait, eat popcorn, and cheer it on.
Small, then Big = Higher.
Good luck.
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day TradersAll right today is the day after FOMC and some big earnings and because we had big earnings yesterday we have a pretty wide trading range today so just because we are options are we could have a more volatile day
The expected move on today’s contract is between 5980 and 6095. We did close underneath 35EMA and we have a red signal line.
If we get about the 35 EMA today which future so far are taking us above, we do have a down gap from yesterday and then a down gap from Monday that we haven’t completely filled yet. We also have an up gap from last Wednesday and they do overlap. It’s a little bit hard to see but right around 6075 is the overlap .
To the downside, we have the 50 day moving average so far that has been our support this week. You could see on Monday. We did see that balance and underneath that the 30 minute two and removing average and the one hour 200 moving average those levels have been supporting us With some nice technical bounces
