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SP 500 Cash Index / US Dollar

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SPCUSD trade ideas

S&P drops to test THIS key supportThe US markets wobbled at the start of Friday’s session, with major indices pulling back. However, the outlook isn’t overly bearish yet, as the S&P 500 is testing a key level here around 6075. A bounce into the close is still possible from here, but the bulls need to show and quickly. Even if the index closes near current levels, it wouldn't necessarily signal the end of the bullish trend. To turn short-term bearish, I would need to see a breakdown below the 6,000 level, which had been a strong support before the recent breakout. If that level fails, it would be a bearish signal, potentially leading to a deeper correction toward the long-term trendline or even the 200-day moving average. For now, the focus remains on short-term support and resistance levels. The 6075 level, marking the high of the hammer candle from last Wednesday, is a key short-term support level where the 21-day exponential moving average also converges. Should the S&P 500 experience a deeper pullback, this will be the first major test for the bulls. On the upside, 6100 is the level I am watching, which acted as resistance in December and January before breaking last week, and now we are back below it slightly. Beyond this level, there isn’t much immediate resistance until this week’s all-time high of 6148. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
S&P 500 Index Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025 - S&P 500 index broke support zone - Likely to fall support level 5800.00 S&P 500 index recently broke the support zone between the key support level 5925.00 (low of the previous waves a and c), the support trendline of the daily up channel from September and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term correction ii – which belongs to the higher raves 3 and (C). S&P 500 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 5800.00, a low of the previous minor corrections a and 2.
SP:SPXShort
by FxProGlobal
SPX needs to close above $6,700 next month to be bullish. The 3 month on a breakout indicator is doing a higher low which signals a market reversal. The Red line on the Breakout indicator is a simulation if SPX will close above $6700. Usually, the market tops at the red step average, if SPX can close above that, it will be a massive move to the upside, if it touches it or barely touches it, it might be on a reversal. The support is the Step Average Blue line but im looking for it to go easily on the Green Step Average line.
SP:SPX
by Theordertaker
Two Possible Trades - Which one will trigger?Two Possible Trades – Which One Will Trigger? | SPX Market Analysis 25 Feb 2025 Monday came in swinging, continuing Friday’s move and landing price right at the range low target. And what do we get? A beautiful V-shaped reaction—just like we discussed in detail during our Fast Forward mentoring call. Now we have two key scenarios unfolding, mirroring what we saw at the upper boundary of the range during the bullish breakout setup. Will we get a bullish turn, or will the market break down? Triggers are set, charts are marked—now we wait. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Monday continued Friday’s momentum, taking price straight into the range low target, where we saw a classic V-shaped price reaction. While no pulse bars have appeared yet, the location of this reaction is ideal, lining up perfectly with our 6 money-making patterns. This gives us two possible trade setups, similar to what we saw at the upper range boundary during the last breakout assessment. Scenario 1 – The Bullish Turn ✅ V-shaped reaction at a key level ✅ If confirmed, we could see a move back up into the range ✅ Waiting for additional confirmation (pulse bars, momentum shift, etc.) Scenario 2 – The Bearish Breakout ✅ If price breaks below the range low, it confirms a downside move ✅ A clean breakdown could lead to a continuation of bearish momentum ✅ This would be a mirror setup of the bullish breakout from earlier Right now, both triggers are marked up on the charts, waiting for price to confirm the next move. Until then, it’s a watch-and-wait game, keeping an eye on any momentum shifts or additional signals. --- Fun Fact Did You Know the phrase “buy the rumour, sell the news” originated in the 18th century? It was coined to describe the sharp market moves surrounding Napoleon’s defeat at Waterloo. Traders in the know made fortunes buying ahead of the news and selling into the ensuing hype! The phrase became famous when financier Nathan Rothschild supposedly capitalised on early news of Napoleon's defeat in 1815. He bought up British government bonds while others panicked and sold. Once the victory became public, prices soared, making Rothschild a fortune. It’s a timeless reminder to think ahead in the markets.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
S&P 500 key levels to watch The S&P 500 has bounced off its earlier lows in the last couple of hours, after dipping to take out liquidity below Friday's low (6011) and key support around 6000. Where do we go from here? On Friday, the index tumbled sharply to close near the lows. Whether that marked a near-term market top remains to be seen. A downside follow-through would attract selling activity, but the long-term trend remains bullish. The short-term trend line has been broken, which could be a bearish reversal signal, as too could be the bearish engulfing weekly candle. Given how strong the markets have been in recent months, a correction might be welcomed even by bullish investors as it could create better buying opportunities. On the daily chart, the key level to watch is 6000—a psychologically significant level. This level has acted as both resistance and support multiple times. A daily close below this level could potentially lead to a decline towards the lower end of the recent range circa 5830, with interim downside target being at 5908. Below that, the 200-day moving average may come into focus if selling pressure continues. Resistance is seen at 6033 and then 6075, levels that were formerly either support or resistance. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
SPX ready for the correctionhi traders, This is probably not what most traders want to see but we must be realistic. The monthly close is upon us and it's not gonna be a bullish close. A lot of selling pressure and it may be just the beginning. A 13 % correction on SPX is more than likely in my opinion. If the price loses the upsloping support, we will see the mark-down pretty soon. Stoch RSI suggests that the bears are taking control. My target for SPX is between 5200 and 5000. Get ready to buy cheap stocks and cheap crypto!
SP:SPXShort
by vf_investment
The stock market is not "Crashing"!I keep hearing people saying the stock market is crashing, a mild pullback is hardly a crash, we are not crashing, at least not yet, and maybe not for an extended period. We use the S&P 500 because it is the best gauge of our markets with the most diverse representation of any of our indices. A short history of the trend of our stock marker since 1992, correlated to presidencies. 1992-1999 Clinton: Stock market transitioned from fairly flat to a steady ascending path, we reduced our yearly deficit 6 years and had a budget surplus 2 years. 2000-2007 George Bush Jr: Descending or neutral trend most of the 8 years, we broke our 15 year ascending trend and started an overall descending trend. Deregulation led to the recession via predatory lending giving Walmart cashiers $300k loans, banks labeling bad debt as Grade A and banks leveraging 80% of all of Americans money on risky investments. 2008 was devastating for the US Stock market. Increased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years. 2008-2015 Obama: Converted descending trend back to ascending trend and trended up in a tight ascending channel for the rest of his presidency, while implementing an array of regulations to prevent banks from doing this to America again. Decreased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years. 2016-2020 Trump.v1: Maintained tight ascending channel and broke out of 15 year resistance, introduced a lot of lot of volatility and uncertainty, ultimately ended term with the market on the same trajectory it was when he took office. Diluted all US Dollars by 50%, 25% of the dilution was in 2020, coupled with $3T of quantitative easing in a single year (2020) and more than $2T direct stimulus, this dilution and excessive stimulus during a supply chain crunch directly conveyed into rising inflation the following 2 years. Increased our yearly deficit every year in office. 2021-2024 Biden: Broke out of ascending path to a much steeper and unsustainable ascending path, likely due to all the stimulus pumped into the market in 2020 & 2021. Hard pull back in 2021/2022 as Interest rates were increased to deter spending to reduce interest rates which skyrocketed to 10% in 2021 and was brought back down to just above 2% by 2024. We saw a volatile and sharp ascending channel form. At the end of his term, the market was at top of channel and well above all time highs with some of the most growth in the stock market ever witnessed anywhere on earth, ever, as seen in the charts, nearly doubling the S&P 500 in 4 years, the American economy was booming! Decreased the yearly deficit 2 of 4 years. 2025-2038 Trump.v2: Inherited the market at all time highs on the steepest incline we have witnessed to date, and at a point the market is expected to retract based on the charts. Currently it looks like the S&P could lose 15% or so of its value and still be in our ascending channel of 6 years now. As you can see recent pullbacks don’t even register on a weekly candle. Yes these tariffs and subsequent tariff wars will almost certainly wreak havoc on markets as we already see increase in unemployment, significant drops in consumer confidence, increase in debt ceiling, increase in debt through corporate tax breaks, uptick in inflation and uncertainty in policy but --- we still have a long way to fall before we can call this a bear market or a crash. If we do breakdown from the ascending channel, we can expect the S&P to eye around 3200, or nearly half of its current value. If this administration takes over the federal reserve, they can stimulate the economy to fight the decline and prolong the consequences but those measures will involve further dilution, further debt, further smoke in mirrors, further uncertainty and will likely ignite a ticking time bomb with even greater consequences then outlined here. So in short, stop saying the market is crashing, it is not. But, be vigilant, there is a high probability of short term pullback and a long term crash based on the charts, historical precedence and current administrations activities.
TVC:SPXShort
by EncryptShawn
NVDA Earnings - Must Watch EarningsNVDA Earnings Wednesday after market This is crazy that 1 stock may be the pain or gain for the markets in 2025 Glass Half Full -NVDA is a revenue monster -Earnings trend continues to point higher -Demand for chips remains high (minus DeepSeek scare and uncertainty) -19% weight on SMH -7% weight on SPY -8% weight on QQQ -NVDA bullish can single handedly lift the markets and renew optimism and risk appetite Glass Half Empty -NVDA is overvalued -NVDA hasn't hit all-time highs since Nov 2024 (with fakeout in Jan 2025) -NVDA's reign is over and competition is heating up in the chips space and AI arms race -NVDA bearish can be the wave of risk off that confirms current market concerns and fears It's a big deal - plan and trade accordingly. Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
Financial Cycle (not Economic Cycle) - Chu kỳ tài chính Financial cycle: - 10Y down and sideway -> Gold up (*) + In phase (*): In 10Y down -> capital will flow to manufacturing, Real estate, industrials, etc. - 20Y up and reaching top -> Gold down and sideway (**) Correlate with unemployment rate: - Rise stronger as the (**) reach its ending and vice versa US10Y: - Interestingly, interest rate does not affect how businesses operate and innovate economically. In fact, rising interest in long-term -> Economy doing great, innovations prosper, allowing lenders to charge high
SP:SPX
by quvo