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SPCUSD trade ideas

SPX500 ,,, Probability of BreakoutUptrend As seen in the chart, the S&P 500 has been in a prolonged uptrend. By focusing on key highs and lows, my prediction is that the index will break out of its current level this week. The next target level is 6270, after which I anticipate a pullback to the newly broken level. Overall, I remain optimistic about the market and recommend identifying stocks with strong upward momentum. Consider establishing new buy positions following the breakout. Good luck.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by pardis
4
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively reached and tested the critical Key Resistance level at 6083. It retested the completed Outer Index Rally at 6120, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the intermediate target of 6233. However, a market pullback is anticipated due to this price action. Current analyses suggest that the designated downward target is set at the Mean Support level of 6049, with potential extensions to 5995, 5936, and the Outer Index Dip at 5878.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
S&P corrective pullback after bullish breakout to new ATHS&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after reaching the intraday all time high. The key trading level is at 6080 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance now newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6080 level could target the upside resistance at 6140 followed by the 6160 and 6200 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 6080 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 6030 support level followed by 6000. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPX Losing Steam As RRP Runs to ZeroSP:SPX has been enjoying lots of liquidity from the reverse repo facility at the Fed recently, but this balance is soon going to zero as indicated by the trend shown in the chart. The orange line is an inverted RRP chart to show the correlation with SPX going up. As liquidity in RRP runs out, the monthly SPX MACD also looks as if it's ready to swing down. The timing for when SPX rolls over is a challenge due to many factors, but RRP is on track to be zero within a month, and this will take away one major liquidity source driving markets. This event will be one to keep an eye on.
TVC:SPXShort
by DarklyEnergized
$SPX RECAP of Last Week Feb 10-14 SP:SPX RECAP of Last Week Feb 10-14 Last week was inflation data week and Monday and Tuesday we opened with a gap up and then stayed flat from there until CPI on Wednesday where we dropped down and filled the Monday gap and bounced on the 50 Day Moving Average. After CPI (which came in HOTTT) and the bounce on the 50Day we took it to the downtrend and then pushed passed resistance And then saw resistance at ATH’s - not making new ATH’s even though we did see that in SPY Friday closed Flat, SPY 0.00%, SPX -0.01% Vix UP 4.06% and we closed within the implied move on the day. —— Watching just the 35EMA and the 30min 200MA we opened the week neutral and when price dropped to the 50DMA the 35EMA bounced on the 30min 200MA and we bounced it from there. —- Stupid Willy reading overbought with initial red signal line
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
4
SPX: risky optimismA strong performance of the S&P 500 and increased investors optimism was back during the previous week. Despite hotter than expected inflation figures for January, the market was pushing the index to the higher grounds during the week. The highest weekly level was reached on Friday at 6.122, still the ATH has not been breached on this occasion. The reason for investors optimism analysts are noting a more clarity over US Administration trade tariffs, on one side, and a drop in retail sales of -0,9% in January, much higher from market expectations. The combination of released data is pointing that the current elevated inflation is not putting pressure on Fed rates. The S&P 500 gained around 1,5% for the week. Analysts from JPMorgan noted that the participation of earnings of the so-called Magnificent Seven tech companies included in the S&P 500 index are beginning to slow down compared to other companies included in this index. On the other hand, analysts from Swiss largest bank, UBS, are pointing to potential negative effects of US trade tariffs for the US economy. They are mentioning retaliation risks from trading with the US in case of higher tariffs. This points out that despite current market optimism, there are still ongoing risks which could easily impact investors' optimistic mood, and bring back higher volatility to the US equity markets.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Breakout or Fakeout? SPX at CrossroadsBreakout or Fakeout? SPX at a Critical Crossroads | SPX Market Analysis 17 Feb 2025 Welcome to another shortened trading week, thanks to Presidents' Day (or maybe an extended Valentine's weekend for the lucky ones). With all the nudge nudge, wink wink out of the way, let’s talk setups. I’m watching two key trade scenarios—a breakout continuation or a break-in reversal (aka a false breakout). For now, it’s time to grab a cuppa and a hobnob while waiting for the markets to open. --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: ☕ Tea, biscuits, and breakout confirmations With Tuesday’s open ahead, my focus is on two key setups that could determine the next tradable move. Scenario #1 – The Breakout That Needs to Prove Itself On Friday, SPX tried to break out, but price action was about as decisive as someone staring at a restaurant menu for 20 minutes before ordering a burger. Price meandered sideways, leaving traders guessing I chose to sit this one out, because long weekends can mess with momentum Now, we watch if Tuesday brings real follow-through If this breakout is legit, we should see: ✅ A strong push above Friday’s highs ✅ Sustained momentum without rapid reversals ✅ Clean continuation setups for bullish entries If we get weak price action, I’ll hold off on longs and consider the next setup… Scenario #2 – The ‘Break-In’ (A False Breakout Setup) Now, let’s talk about something you won’t find in trading textbooks—the Break-In setup. Think of it like this: Imagine SPX breaking out, getting everyone excited, then suddenly doing a U-turn and slamming back into the previous range. Traders who chased the breakout get trapped, and those who spot the reversal early have a golden shorting opportunity. Signs of a Break-In setup: ❌ Price fails to hold breakout levels ❌ Quick rejection and reversal back into the previous range ❌ Bearish momentum builds instead of continuation If SPX falls back into the range, I’ll be watching for short setups, because these moves can be quick and brutal. So What’s the Plan? 🧐 1. Watch for Tuesday’s Open – If SPX continues Friday’s breakout, we look for bullish setups. If not, the Break-In trade is on the table. 🎯 2. Avoid Jumping in Too Early – Long weekends can create fake momentum that doesn’t hold. Patience is key. 🍪 3. Keep an Eye on Volatility – If volume is weak, the move could be another dud. But if volatility spikes, we could get a real tradeable move. 🚀 Key Takeaway? SPX has picked a direction, but the real move happens once full liquidity returns. Until then, I’ll be enjoying my tea and biscuits while the market figures itself out. Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The biggest post-holiday market crash happened in 1929, when the Dow plunged 12.8% after a weekend—triggering the Great Depression. 💡 The Lesson? Markets don’t take holidays—they just store volatility for later. That’s why smart traders stay prepared for anything after a break.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
4
S&P 500 (SPX500USD) | Breakout or Rejection? Key Levels to Watch📊 S&P 500 (SPX500USD) – Key Technical Outlook (4H Chart) 🔹 Price Action: The market is consolidating around the 6,107 - 6,122 resistance zone (ATH area). A decisive breakout or rejection from this zone will dictate the next move. 🔹 Bias: As long as the price holds above 6,031, the bullish momentum remains intact within the ascending channel. 🔥 Potential Bullish Scenario: ✅ A 4H close above 6,127 = Breakout confirmation 🚀 📌 Targets: 📍 6,168 (first resistance) 📍 6,224 - 6,279 (next key resistance zone) ⚠️ Potential Bearish Scenario: ❌ A 4H close below 6,098 could trigger a retracement 🔻 📌 Targets: 📍 6,077 (minor support) 📍 6,031 (major support & channel base) 📍 6,010 - 5,979 (next demand zone) 🔑 Key Levels: 📍 Pivot Point: 6,098 📌 Resistance: 6,127, 6,168, 6,224-6,279 📌 Support: 6,077, 6,031, 6,010 Conclusion: 📈 Bullish bias remains intact unless price breaks below 6,098 with confirmation. 🔥 Breakout above 6,127 = new bullish leg targeting fresh highs! ⚠️ Rejection from 6,122 - 6,127 may trigger a retracement to 6,031 - 6,010 before further upside. 💬 What’s your bias? Are we breaking ATH or pulling back? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX500 Is Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,125.45. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,020.86 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
THINKMARKETS:SPX500Short
by SignalProvider
1