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Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Scenarios for 1.30.2025 📅 Thu Jan 30 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Advance GDP q/q: 2.7% (prev: 3.1%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 223K) 🌎Global Events: 🇪🇺 European Central Bank Meeting: The ECB is expected to announce its monetary policy decision, with markets anticipating a rate cut. 🇩🇪 Germany GDP Release: Germany will publish its GDP figures, providing insights into the health of Europe's largest economy. 💹 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Markets might overreact, but this meeting was void of new information. All things markets knew beforehand. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely bounce hard from these lower levels and hold higher. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by PogChan
Rip or Dip? SPX at a Crossroads!📈 Rip or Dip? SPX at a Crossroads! 🚀🔻| SPX Market Analysis 29 Jan 2025 SPX is at an inflection point. Will it rip higher or take a dive? We’ve just rolled into the notorious Feb/Mar correction season, and I can’t help but notice a Bollinger Band W-Bottom potentially setting up on the daily chart. We saw something eerily similar on the 30-min chart back around the 12th of Jan, which played out beautifully. Could we see a repeat – but on a larger scale? Let’s break it down. SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📊 The SPX Setup: What’s Next? 🔹 Correction Season – Historically, Feb/Mar tends to see some turbulence, making this a crucial time to assess the market’s next big move. What is the next seasonal correction window? Sep/Oct – but let’s deal with one at a time! 🔹 Bollinger Band W-Bottom – A potential W-bottom is forming, which, if it is confirmed, could see price hug the upper Bollinger band in a rip ‘n ride scenario. 🔹 Tag ‘n Turn Says Bullish! – The SPX Income System has done its job. We’ve profited off Monday’s gap down and bear swing, but now the setup suggests a possible bull swing unfolding. 🔹 What About 30-Min Charts? – If you check the 12th Jan move, we saw a similar Bollinger Band structure play out on the smaller time frame, leading to a solid push higher. Déjà vu on the daily charts? 🎯 The Plan Moving Forward ☑ Monitor bullish follow-through – If SPX holds momentum, we could see a breakout and run higher. ☑ Watch for confirmation – A failed breakout or exhaustion candle could hint at a February dip instead of a rip. ☑ Trade the setups, not the emotions – Following the Tag ‘n Turn system keeps us on the right side of the market, bull or bear. Fun Fact: 📉 Did you know the 1987 stock market crash happened on a Monday? Dubbed Black Monday, the Dow dropped 22.6% in a single day, making it the worst one-day percentage decline in history. The cause? A mix of programmatic trading, high valuations, and market panic. 🔎 The eerie part? The market recovered all losses within two years, proving once again that panic selling rarely pays off!
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.29.2025🔮 📅 Wed Jan 29 ⏰ 2:00pm 📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%) 📜 FOMC Statement ⏰ 2:30pm 🎙️ FOMC Press Conference 💡 Global Events: 🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting: Market-moving interest rate decision and policy updates. 🇪🇺 Eurozone GDP: Preliminary Q4 GDP data for the Eurozone could impact global sentiment. 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down to EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Semis haven't recovered yet, so there's a leg higher in the markets. Looking for a chop after. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a massive recovery in 1-2 days and go back to 6050. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by PogChan
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.28.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 28 ⏰ 10:00am 📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7) 💡 Global Events: 🚩 China PMI: Key manufacturing data impacting global growth. 🍵 U.K. Business Report: Updates on investments and pensions. 📊 Earnings: GM and LMT pre-market results. 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPXLong
by PogChan
SPX: yep, ATH againThe inauguration of the new-old US President was in the spotlight of markets during the previous week. As there were no changes with respect to the pre-election promises, the markets continued to react positively for the rest of the week, bringing the S&P 500 to a new historically highest level. The level of 6.122 is a new historical point. Friday's trading session brought some profit-taking moments, where the index ended the week at the level of 6.101. The short reversal was mostly driven by tech companies, where Nvidia slipped by 3% to the downside. Tesla followed by 1% dip. Regardless of positive sentiment in an after-inauguration period, the fear of tariffs still holds on the market. Investors do not perceive such a move, especially with China, in a fear that increased import prices might bring back inflation in the US. Depending on the level of tariffs, this further might imply that the Fed could be in position to hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time, which in the end, might impact the US growth for this year. This is why mentioning tariffs in public by the new US administration will always imply some contraction of markets in the coming period, which means increased volatility. Another moment which is important is the US President's address at the business forum in Davos, Switzerland, where he noted that he will request a drop in interest rates, immediately. It is unclear how Fed Chair Powell and FOMC members will perceive such rhetoric, and intrusion of the US President into US monetary policy. Certainly, this will be one of the questions which will be addressed in an after-the meeting speech of the Fed Chair Powell, in the week ahead. Overall, the week ahead will bring PCE data, Fed's interest rate decision, overview of macroeconomic data, and address of Fed Chair Powell. At the same time, big tech earnings are expected to be posted, so this could be a promise of another challenging and volatile week on financial markets.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
S&P 500: Bullish Breakout or False Move?Chart Analysis: The S&P 500 is at a critical juncture, trading just below a significant horizontal resistance level near 6,114. 1️⃣ Key Resistance Level: The horizontal level at 6,114 represents a pivotal resistance, as prior attempts to breach this zone were met with selling pressure. A successful breakout above this level could signal further upside potential and a continuation of the bullish trend. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Rising around 5,980, providing dynamic support and reflecting sustained upward momentum. 200-day SMA (red): Trending upward near 5,628, confirming the long-term bullish trend. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Hovering near 65, indicating strong bullish momentum but approaching overbought conditions. MACD: Bullish momentum remains intact, with the MACD line rising and staying above the zero line. What to Watch: Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakout above 6,114 on increased volume to validate further upside potential. Failure to break above this resistance could lead to a retracement toward the 50-day SMA or previous support levels. Keep an eye on RSI for any bearish divergence or signs of momentum weakening. The S&P 500 is at a make-or-break level, and its reaction at 6,114 will determine the next directional move. -MW
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & TargetsThe expected move for today is between 6185 and 6150 and that is a .50% move today and the only level we have in our trading range today is that 35 EMA you could see it’s been a pretty support all week and then we have that up gap from This Wednesday, which could give some added support at the bottom of the trading range. Monday’s contract at the bottom takes us in the middle of that gap and with how extremely overbought we are that 50 day moving average could be a really great target for next week.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Situational Awareness – Morning of January 18th, 2025Market Overview: Asia: China has been strong this morning, continuing its base breakout. Japan: Up for six consecutive days, showing steady upward momentum. South Korea (Kospi): Range-bound since January 8th. Europe: EU50: Up approximately 8-9% YTD. Germany: Up nearly 8% YTD, with eight consecutive positive days. France: Continues to show strength this year. Bitcoin and Ethereum: Bitcoin: Trading in a tight range for the last 5-6 days, consolidating. Ethereum: Also consolidating, showing potential for a breakout. Key Indicators and Sectors: VIX: At 15.07, remaining low. Gold: Showing strong momentum over the last 30+ days. Copper: Taking a breather, currently at $4.30. RSP (Equal-Weighted S&P 500): Stable for three days, continuing its strength since January 13th. QQE (Equal-Weighted Nasdaq): Fairly stable for the past two days, holding gains from January 13th. Russell 2000: Seven consecutive days of gains, showing resilience. FANG Stocks: Breaking out of a rectangular box pattern, indicating potential for special moves. XLE (Energy ETF): Strong since December 20th, now facing three down days. XLV (Healthcare ETF): Trending upward since January 17th; could be a sector to watch in the coming days. XLU (Utilities ETF): Took a breather after a strong week. Weekly momentum remains upward. XLF (Financials ETF): Flat this week after a strong previous week. XLI (Industrials ETF): Continues upward momentum since January 13th. Semiconductors: Eight consecutive positive days, but approaching resistance levels where previous reversals occurred. DAPP (Digital Transformation ETF): Hovering near its baseline with false breakouts so far; a breakout would be noteworthy. Plan of Action: Focus on potential range expansions in individual tickers that show strength. Consider two reversal bullish plays during the latter part of the trading day if setups present themselves. Overall, the market looks stable with no significant red flags at the moment.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by GreenBkk
SPX500 Long Trade Setup Entry BreakdownThis is the last setup that I posted, I wanted to show what it looks like zoomed in the 15m. Price approached the level of reaction during NY session, made a high and a low, if it breaks higher we buy, in this case we bought when buyers broke the range, that's the confirmation. Because we always buy when price breaks highs and sell when price breaks lows. Stoploss placed under the low and targeted the highs from the previous setup. ICC, we simply follow what price tells us it wants to do.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by FlyFlamingo2001
SPX500 ICC Long Trade SetupPrice dropped from 6070 creating the bottom (L). Before that bottom, price made that push upside (H). After (L) price broke above (H), giving us an indication. We knew that every time price broke back above (H) buyers were ready to buy. First entry was valid, it was on session and zooming in the 15m buyers were strong and price was creating higher lows. Although price didn't hit TP, stopped us and continued down to grab the liquidity sitting below the last low (L). Then again, higher supports, zoom into 15m around the level of reaction to find highs breaking highs. Back in session, price broke above the level so we re-entered buys, same trade as before, same SL and TP. Some we lose some we win, what's important is sticking to the plan and managing risk!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by FlyFlamingo2001
WHAT'S FLOWING: FX & ASIA The visual shows a mix of bullish and bearish setups across various assets, indicating a diverse market sentiment. Here’s a breakdown of the flow: Bullish Assets: 1. EUR/CAD - Indicating potential upward momentum, likely off strong support. 2. NZDJPY - Suggesting renewed buying interest around key levels. 3. AUD/CHF - The chart points to buyers stepping in, pushing prices higher. 4. SG30 (Singapore 30 Index) - A strong bullish continuation with new highs being tested. 5. CHINAH (HONG KONG CHINA H-SHARES) - A bullish setup on the daily with fair value above the market. Bearish Assets: 1. SPX500 (S&P 500) - Facing resistance and showing signs of weakness, likely due to profit-taking or risk-off sentiment. Observations: • Gold (XAU/USD) appears range-bound but leans slightly bearish in the short term, with resistance overhead. • Several FX pairs (e.g., EUR/CAD, AUD/CHF) align with risk-on moves, while indices like SPX500 counter the flow. Strategy: • For bullish assets, watch for pullbacks to support levels as entry points. • For bearish assets, monitor breaks below key support levels for short opportunities. • Keep an eye on fundamentals like central bank policies or macroeconomic data, as they could influence these flows. It seems the market sentiment is mixed, with certain sectors showing resilience while others struggle, offering opportunities for both long and short positions depending on your risk appetite.
SKILLING:SPX500
by moneymagnateash
1
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.23.2024🔮 📅 Thu Jan 23 🗓️ Day 4 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 217K) ⏰ 11:00am 🎙️ President Trump Speaks 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -0.1M (prev: -2.0M) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: If we gap up once more, we will break all-time highs. This will be met by a big decline to juice liquidity. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Only resistance left, looking for a small pop up into the weekly zone to get a drop back down into the HCZ and HEL. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely get a small bounce, hold, and chop down. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by PogChan