SPOTBRENT trade ideas
The Price of Brent Oil Approaching the Highs of the YearThe price is driven up by:
→ the policy of limiting oil production by OPEC+ countries. For example, Saudi Arabia last week announced a cut in production by 1 million barrels per day until the end of September, adding that the decision could be extended. Russia is also reducing production volumes. We wrote about the scenario of increasing growth in the price of Brent oil due to production cuts in a post dated July 7;
→ hopes/rumors that the Chinese authorities will stimulate the economy, which is not recovering enough after the lifting of COVID-related restrictions.
Selling pressure is driven by:
→ raising rates by Western central banks to fight high inflation.
Under the influence of these and other factors, the price of Brent oil rose close to the highs of the year around USD 87 per barrel, forming an upward channel. At the same time, in August, the price bounced strongly from its lower border twice, indicating the strength of demand. On the other hand, the progress of the bulls in the formation of the August high is very small, if you compare this peak with the previous one, set on the 2nd of August — a sign of the exhaustion of the bullish momentum.
It is reasonable to assume that the market can find a balance at current levels, and the price will enter the consolidation range, as holders of long positions can take profits after the increase in the price of Brent oil by more than 14% since July 1. At the same time, false breakdowns of the high of the year are not ruled out.
Important levels:
→ USD 87.15 – resistance of the high of the year;
→ USD 86.45 – resistance from August high;
→ borders of the ascending channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Oil jumps.Oil quotes rose to a four-month high and it seems that growth has lost momentum. The increase came amid the decision of Russia and Saudi Arabia to cut production. An interesting question is whether the growth will continue. I would venture to share my opinion - I think the growth will not continue. But it is not exactly)
How long can the oil price rise? How long can the oil price rise?
It’d be quite possible to see an extended uptrend with Brent retesting $97 later this year if sentiment in markets remains generally positive and fears of recession don’t clearly return. Oil can often trend for quite a long time compared to other popular CFDs, so if this is indeed a new main uptrend it might continue into the fourth quarter.
However, sentiment will almost certainly change to some degree when significant activity returns to markets in September. Negatives for crude fundamentally include weaker economic data from China in recent months combined with Russia’s avoidance of sanctions by exporting through Saudi Arabia, though the latter specifically and OPEC+ generally seem to be determined to keep prices high.
Equally, January’s high around $88.40 might be an important resistance which could resist testing. The main goal as a trader of oil during seasonally low volume is usually to avoid entries at extremes while trying to use support, moving averages and others to determine when a retracement becomes short-term downtrend.
ukoil 8hours sell side 15% swing trade setup🔸Today let's review the 8 hour chart for brent oil . Noteworthy bounce in progress
after accumulation near lows, however currently getting overbought.
🔸OPEC production cuts finally kicked it, therefore we got a decent pump in the oil
market. Strong resistances overhead near 87.20 and 89.20, expecting bull trap setup
after we break above the stop loss clusters.
🔸Recommended strategy for BEARS: look out for bull trap setup near 90.60 and get
ready to short sell from overhead. limited upside beyond 90.60 usd, bears will target
re-test of mirror s/r level at 77.80 and 75.20 usd. this is a 15% swing trade setup
on sell side, good luck traders!
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
DeGRAM | UKOIL fibo cluster levelUKOIL is moving to resistance at 86.00 and a fibo cluster.
The price is printing potential of the AB=CD pattern.
The oil market is approaching major resistance on the D chart.
We anticipate a reversal from the resistance level.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Down the rabbit holeUnfortunately I have no clue if the coincidences will keep on popping on this one as I was doing a little bit of a Stand Up while drawing this. Actually I was standing down, but that's for that's for another story.
Don't go down the rabbit hole. It's not what you expect.
No trading advice on this one. This is more crazy than it should be.
Original idea linked to this one. Don't go down the rabbit hole.
What's with the oil?Brent oil is moving towards a three-month high at 85 at a cheerful Cavelrian pace, and most likely will reach it in the near future. Now it is much easier for me to imagine a rebound from this level than its breakdown. Therefore, for the time being, I am oriented to sell from 85, of course, if there is a signal to sell.
REAL ACCOUNT 25118205 and 25118160REAL ACCOUNT - 25118205 and 25118160
Timeframe: H1
Lot: 0.03
why We do that ?
1. 1D and 4H trends go via bullish line
2. we can see easily THE TRIANGLE PATTERN
3. Moving average is bullish , Trend is bullish , Also triangle module
Tactics :
Entry price: 83.98
Take profit:85.5 ( 45.60 $ ) 152 pips
Stop loss:83.36 ( 18.60$ ) 62 pips
Warning :
SWAP - 2.01$ per day
Spread> 1.8$ - (make accurately !!)
REAL ACCOUNT- 25118205 and 25118160REAL ACCOUNT - 25118205 and 25118160
Timeframe: H1
Lot : 0.1 and 0.03 lot
why do we can do it ?
1. Traingle pattern in bullish trend
2. Moving average show us this trend is bullish
3. Trend is bullish
Tactics :
Entry price: 83.98 - 0.03 lot
Take profit:85.50 ( 45.6 $ ) - 0.03 lot
Stop loss:83.36( 18.60 $ ) - 0.03 lot
Warning :
SWAP - 2.01$ per day
Spread> 0.6 and $ - (make accurately !!)