USCRUDEOIL - Potential SellHi Traders,
Here is my view on CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOIL
BIAS: SELL
Logical Analysis:
From April 2020 to March 2022, oil experienced strong buyer demand, pushing price aggressively from the $7 level up to around $120.
At that point, sellers stepped in, and a temporary agreement between buyers and sellers was established around the $120 zone — a fair value at the time.
Since March 2022, price has been declining — entering a discount phase.
However, the move has not been sharp or aggressive, suggesting sellers are not in a rush.
Importantly, no significant buyer interest has been observed during this entire discounted phase.
🛒 Interpretation:
The “store” (market) offered oil at a huge premium until buyers stopped stepping in at high prices. Since then, the price has been marked down gradually, waiting for a new batch of interested buyers — who haven’t shown up yet but be aware.
Technical Analysis: see chart
Good Luck
SPOTCRUDE trade ideas
WTI OIL May be closer to $50 and below than a recovery.WTI Oil (USOIL) is having a strong green 1W candle but remains on a strong selling sequence since the January 13 2025 rejection on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). So far this is technically the Bearish Leg of the Channel Down that started after the March 07 2022 market top.
The Bearish Leg that was initiated then, declined by -48.60% so if the current one repeats this we are looking at prices close to $41 by the end of the year or beginning of 2026. Technically, as long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, the immediate Targets within a 3-month horizon are $50 and $46.
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USOILOPEC+ decisions have a significant and multifaceted impact on oil prices in the near future:
Short-Term Impact
Supply Increases Lead to Price Drops:
Recently, OPEC+ agreed to increase oil production by about 411,000 barrels per day in May 2025, with plans to accelerate output hikes further in June and beyond, potentially adding up to 2.2 million barrels per day by November. This surge in supply amid weakening global demand, especially due to escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, has already caused oil prices to plunge to multi-year lows
Market Surplus Pressure:
The increased production is expected to exacerbate an existing surplus, putting downward pressure on prices in the near term unless demand recovers.
Medium to Long-Term Impact
Market Stability Through Gradual Adjustments:
OPEC+’s cautious, phased approach to increasing production aims to reduce volatility and stabilize the market over time. By managing supply carefully, OPEC+ attempts to balance between preventing sharp price drops and avoiding excessive shortages.
Dependence on Global Demand Trajectory:
The effectiveness of OPEC+’s strategy heavily depends on global demand, which faces headwinds from the energy transition toward renewables and climate policies like the Paris Accord. If demand declines faster than expected, OPEC+ may need to adjust production cuts or increases accordingly.
Geopolitical and Strategic Considerations:
OPEC+ decisions also have geopolitical implications, influencing relations between member states and global powers. For example, Saudi Arabia’s recent moves to discipline overproducing members like Iraq and Kazakhstan reflect internal dynamics that affect production policies. Additionally, OPEC+ output decisions are intertwined with U.S.-Saudi relations and broader energy security considerations.
Market Reaction Dynamics
Volatility Around Announcements:
OPEC+ meetings typically trigger immediate price volatility, with oil prices moving 3-7% depending on the size of production adjustments and market expectations.
Trading Algorithms and Futures Positioning:
Automated trading and futures market positioning amplify price swings around OPEC+ announcements.
Hedging and Seasonal Effects:
Consumer industries adjust hedging strategies based on OPEC+ signals, and seasonal demand (e.g., summer driving season) also influences price sensitivity
In essence:
OPEC+’s near-future decisions to accelerate oil output hikes are currently driving prices lower by increasing supply amid fragile demand. However, their gradual and flexible approach aims to stabilize the market over time. The ultimate impact on prices will depend on how global demand evolves, geopolitical dynamics within OPEC+, and the broader energy transition.
USOIL: Oscillating and Declining within the RangeFor USOIL, its short-term trend has rebounded after hitting the bottom again. The oil price has repeatedly crossed the moving average system, and its objective short-term trend is in a sideways oscillation. Overall, it has formed a wide fluctuating range in its rhythm. In the early trading session, the oil price oscillated above the range, showing signs of insufficient upward momentum. It is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will mainly fluctuate within the range.
USOIL
sell:60.5-61.5
tp:59.5-58.5
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USOIL Bulls Eye Breakout – Can Momentum Carry It to $64The 4-hour chart of USOIL shows a market that has recently experienced a sharp decline, followed by a consolidation phase near a key support level. This key support zone is clearly defined at 55.21 USD, where the price found strong buying interest and bounced back up. From there, the market started to climb, attempting to form a potential short-term bottom.
The price is now approaching a previous trendline, which used to act as support during the uptrend and is now being retested as resistance. This retest area overlaps with horizontal resistance at around 60.00 USD, making it a critical decision zone. The two red arrows in the image mark failed attempts to break higher, indicating sellers are still active at this level.
If the price manages to break through this resistance with strength, the next likely objective is Target 1, set at 64.76 USD. This level coincides with the prior support that was broken during the selloff and could now act as a strong resistance. Beyond that, Target 2 at 72.44 USD marks a major resistance zone from which the last downtrend began.
From a trade setup perspective, the chart suggests a bullish opportunity:
The entry is near 59.98 USD, just above the short-term consolidation area, ideally after a breakout.
The stop loss is placed just below the recent swing low, at around 57.82 USD, providing room for volatility without exposing the trade to unnecessary risk.
The take profit is positioned at 64.76 USD, giving this trade a clear structure with a risk-to-reward ratio of about 1:3.75, which aligns well with strong risk management principles.
Additionally, the MACD indicator at the bottom supports the bullish bias. It shows a recent crossover of the MACD line above the signal line, with a rising histogram—indicating building upward momentum.
In summary, this chart presents a well-structured bullish setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, clear entry and exit levels, and supporting momentum signals. However, the region around the trendline retest remains crucial. A strong close above this zone would confirm the breakout, while another rejection could signal the need for caution or reevaluation.
WTI Oil H4 | Heading into resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 60.44 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 63.80 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 56.05 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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WTI CRUDE OIL(USOIL): Classic Gap TradeI see a nice gap down on USOIL, with a strong possibility that the gap will be filled soon.
The price approached an important support level and showed signs of a potential bullish signal.
I also observed a breakout of the neckline of an ascending triangle pattern on the hourly chart.
It is likely that USOIL will continue to rise and reach the 57.7 level in the near future.
Bullish breakout?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 59.28
1st Support: 57.84
1st Resistance: 61.83
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Crude Oil Macro Setup Structural Bottoming cascadeWTI Crude Oil has completed a prolonged complex correction from its historical high of $146.68, forming a structurally mature accumulation base between the $33.06–$42.80 demand zone. This zone aligns with multi-year support and marks the potential terminal point of a corrective macro structure positioning the asset for a major impulsive phase within either Wave 3 or Wave 5 of the broader cycle.
Recent price behavior near $33.06 reflects a critical inflection, signaling strong institutional absorption and suggesting exhaustion of the long-term bearish momentum. The projected bullish scenario envisions a reversal targeting $114.63 as the primary technical pivot, corresponding with significant resistance and the neckline of the long-term structural setup. A confirmed breakout above this level would unlock higher targets toward $129.23 and potentially a full retracement to the $146.68 high, contingent on macroeconomic alignment.
Fundamentally, this scenario is underpinned by key catalysts including OPEC+ production adjustments, U.S. inventory dynamics, geopolitical instability across major oil-exporting nations, and global macro data such as GDP trends, inflation prints, and energy demand forecasts. These elements are poised to fuel volatility but also support a sustained recovery phase, provided demand fundamentals remain intact.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 55.204.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue its downward movement. At the moment we are observing a combined correction. I expect the completion of wave “Y”. Even if it is already completed, the price is still waiting for a downward correction to the support area of 55.204. Therefore, I think that 55.204 is the 1st minimum target.
There are two possible ways to enter the position:
1) Market entry
2) Pending Limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Oil Drop Short Position
Greetings Traders this is my idea on Oil and it is a Long shot for a Short.
This is my explanation:
On the 4H chart of WTI crude oil, we can observe a well-defined downtrend that began near the $72.50 level. After a sharp sell-off, price entered a brief accumulation phase and has now pulled back into a previous support zone — now acting as resistance — offering a prime opportunity for trend continuation.
🔑 Key Technical Zones:
🟥 Beginning of a Downtrend: Around $72.50 – local top and start of bearish momentum.
🟧 Breakdown Zone: Around $59.00 – key support turned resistance after a strong breakdown.
🟦 Accumulation Zone: Around $62.00–64.00 – consolidation phase before continuing lower.
✅ Retracement Area (Green Box): Around $60.00–60.25 – previous support now acting as resistance; ideal zone to re-enter short.
🔵 Target Zone: $53.30 – projected next support level and target for the short position.
🎯 Active Short Position:
Entry: $60.00
Stop Loss: $61.20 (above retracement zone)
Take Profit: $53.30
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:4.5
After a confirmed bearish structure, price pulled back into the retracement area, which previously acted as support. This area is now likely to serve as resistance, and price rejection here aligns with a high-probability trend continuation trade.
The target for the short is set at $53.30, which corresponds with the previous swing low, while the stop loss is positioned safely above the rejection zone to avoid false breakouts.
📈 Conclusion:
This setup reflects a textbook lower high formation within a strong downtrend, offering a clean structure and favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Watching closely for bearish confirmations within the retracement zone to validate momentum continuation.
Dear Traders like,comment let me know what do you think?
WTI CRUDE OIL: Short term rebound on RSI Bullish DivergenceWTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.958, MACD = -2.110, ADX = 28.985) as it remains on a multi-month Low. The 1D RSI however displays a HL Bullish Divergence and this can cause a short term price rebound. The Resistance is the Pivot Zone and short term the LH trendline is what maintains the downtrend. Consequently, we are now bullish, TP = 64.90.
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"US Oil Spot/WTI" Energy Market Bullish Heist (Swing Trade Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US Oil Spot/WTI" Energy Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Red Zone Level. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (59.700) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (57.400) Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 63.000 (or) Escape Before the Target.
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💴💸"US Oil Spot / WTI" Energy Market Heist Plan (Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness🐂.., driven by several key factors.☝☝☝
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The increase in crude oil production has, in the context of an uncertain demand outlook, sparked concerns about a rise in global supply. After breaking below the 60 mark last week, crude oil continued its downward trend and reached as low as around 55.3. Currently, there is a slight rebound. One can simply find an appropriate position to go short again. Go short on crude oil when it rebounds to around 59.8, and target the price levels of 58 to 57.
Trading Strategy:
sell@59.8-58.5
TP:58-57
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USO/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 60.04
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 62.00
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 56.89
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI on high time frame , price reach 53$?
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI on high time frames, the price is approaching the $60.50 level, which holds significant importance. There is a high probability of price rejection at this level due to fundamental analysis.
When the price reaches the $60.50 zone, it is advisable to observe candle formations, momentum, and other indicators. This could present a favorable opportunity for a short position targeting the $53 level."
If you have any further questions or need additional assistance, feel free to let me know!
USOILCurrent USOIL Price Drop (May 2025)
WTI crude oil (USOIL) has declined sharply in early May 2025, Key drivers include:
OPEC+ Surprise Supply Increase: OPEC+ announced plans to raise output in June, reversing earlier production cuts and flooding the market with additional barrels.
Tariff-Driven Demand Fears: U.S.-China trade tensions and retaliatory tariffs threaten global economic growth, reducing oil demand forecasts.
Dollar Strength: The U.S. dollar (DXY) has rebounded due to delayed Fed rate cuts and safe-haven demand, pressuring dollar-denominated oil prices.
EIA/Goldman Sachs Forecasts: The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and Goldman Sachs revised 2025–2026 oil price forecasts downward, citing oversupply risks and weaker demand.
Shifting Dollar-Oil Correlation
Historically, oil and the dollar were inversely correlated (strong dollar = lower oil prices). However, this relationship is weakening due to:
U.S. as a Net Oil Exporter: The U.S. is now the world’s largest crude producer. Higher oil prices improve the U.S. trade balance (vs. worsening it when the U.S. was a net importer).
Petrodollar Dynamics: As the U.S. exports more oil, revenue from oil sales strengthens the dollar, creating a positive correlation in certain scenarios.
Geopolitical and Policy Shocks: Tariffs, OPEC+ decisions, and Fed policy now dominate price action, overshadowing traditional correlations.
Future Directional Bias
Bearish Factors
OPEC+ Supply Surge: Increased production (post-June 2025) could push prices toward $50–$55/barrel (Goldman Sachs base case).
Recession Risks: Weak demand from China/Europe and U.S. tariff impacts may trigger a global slowdown, further depressing oil prices.
Dollar Strength: Fed rate cuts delayed until July 2025 or later could sustain dollar strength, capping oil’s upside.
Bullish Catalysts
Supply Disruptions: Escalating Middle East tensions or OPEC+ policy reversals could tighten supply.
Weaker Dollar: If the Fed signals rate cuts or tariffs ease, dollar weakness could lift oil prices.
Outlook:
USOIL faces downside risks in the near term due to oversupply and demand concern
Exogenous Shocks: Exogenous shocks to the U.S. real interest rate can cause a modest and short-lived decline in the real price of oil. Although there is a higher opportunity cost of holding inventories, oil inventories may increase, reflecting the decline in global real activity associated with higher U.S. real interest rate
Bullish bounce of pullback support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support support and could potentially rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 57.60
1st Support: 56.26
1st Resistance: 59.82
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USOIL:Adapt to the trendTechnical indicators such as moving averages and MACD have a certain degree of lag. The oil price repeatedly crossing the moving average system highlights the current stalemate between bulls and bears and the volatile and oscillating trend. USOIL is influenced by multiple factors, including geopolitical situations, economic data, and OPEC+ policies. Any sudden change may subvert the price trend, causing a certain deviation in technical analysis signals.
At present, with the trend clearly defined, trading in the direction of the trend is the optimal strategy. In the early trading session, we decisively went long at the price of $57. Currently, we are still holding the position, following the trend closely and waiting for the further expansion of the profit margin.
In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
"US Oil Spot / WTI" Energy Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US Oil Spot / WTI" Energy Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe nearest or swing low or high level for pullback entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (60.50) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 68.70
💰💵💴💸"US Oil Spot / WTI" Energy Market Heist Plan (Day / Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness🐂.., driven by several key factors.☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Future trend targets with targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩