Energy is life: tailwind for the global economy?Oil prices in gold in a clear down trend, presumably on the back of increased shale production and greater renewables, and resurgence of nuclear. Unless demand accelerates (AI? middle class growth in India?), this is very supportive of economic growth.
SPOTCRUDE trade ideas
What adjustments will be made to oil prices?If traders don’t know how to trade, they can refer to the strategy of the Swing Trading Center. Earlier, it was announced to sell at 57.24. The lowest price reached around 56.3, and now the oil price has returned to 57.24. How to trade? If you are also confused, you can refer to the views of the Swing Trading Center.
At present, the supply of oil prices exceeds the demand, and some oil-producing countries will continue to increase the production of oil prices. The market has never recognized that oil will become a slow-selling product. Oil prices can be allowed to fall. But oil is not allowed to have no production capacity. I like this sentence.
Oil prices are expected to be mainly adjusted in the short term. The clear trading instructions have been announced in the Swing Trading Center. Stay tuned. Prevent missing good trading opportunities.
Crude oil, still bearishAs global supply increases and macro risks rise, the price downside range reappears. If tensions in the Middle East escalate further, it may cause market volatility. The original trend of rising first and then falling today, after the downhill new low, the rise continued, and there was pressure at 57.7. It is expected that there will be shocks and then declines. The original trend is still in a bearish trend, so we consider shorting as the main. Pay attention to the 57.7 resistance and 55.5 support.
After a period of fluctuation, it will continue to decline.WTI crude oil has recouped part of the decline from the sharp drop at the start of this week. It was quoted at $57.55 per barrel during intraday trading. OPEC+ has unexpectedly increased production again, and WTI crude oil has continued the bearish trend that has gradually taken shape since March. With the increase in global supply and the rise in macro risks, the downward price range has emerged once again. If the tensions in the Middle East escalate further, it may trigger market volatility. The eight core member states of the organization, led by Saudi Arabia, have agreed to increase daily production by 411,000 barrels in June, which is the same as the unexpected production increase in May. The cumulative production increase now exceeds 800,000 barrels per day, marking an important step towards canceling the target of the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day that has been promised since 2022. Crude oil showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. After breaking through a new low, the upward movement continued. It faced resistance after reaching
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
USOIL Today's strategyFrom a technical perspective, if USOIL can take advantage of the weakening of the DXY, stabilize and rebound near the current price, and break through the key resistance level, it may be able to form an upward trend. However, if it fails to effectively withstand the impact of the production increase by OPEC+, and breaks below the key support level, the price is likely to decline further.
Currently, it is necessary to closely monitor the competition around the price level of $55. If this level can be held, the probability of a rebound will increase. Once it is broken, the next support level may be around the $53 area. At the same time, continuously tracking the trend of the DXY and the subsequent policy dynamics of OPEC+ is of vital importance for judging the future trend of USOIL.
USOIL
buy@55-56
tp:57.5-58.5
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Oil is Doomed: Time to SELL (Part 2/3)Drill, Baby, Drill & Trump’s Oil Pressure
🇺🇸 Trump’s Oil Agenda
Trump wants cheap oil to bring down inflation and interest rates. His rallying cry? *“Drill, baby, drill.”*
That means: more drilling, more refining, more pipelines → more US oil flooding the global market.
💼 MAGA & Low Oil Prices
Trump believes cheap oil = strong economy . He also wants to pressure OPEC and Saudi Arabia to cut prices as a way to end the Russia-Ukraine war.
Flashback: In 2020, oil went negative ($-40!) when Saudi and Russia ramped production. History may rhyme again.
⚠️ Demand Problems
OPEC, IEA, EIA, Rystad — all lowering demand forecasts for 2025.
Even the most optimistic see demand growth at 1.2 million bpd , down from 1.85.
And that’s before green energy kicks in harder:
🔋 Solar & wind are now cheaper in 96% of the world.
🌍 Renewables are eating into fossil fuel demand.
WTI Oil H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 59.71 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 62.30 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 55.10 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USOIL is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
A Preliminary Double Bottom Support Pattern May Be FormingCurrently, factors such as geopolitics, OPEC+ policies, and the trend of the US dollar all have a two-sided impact on USOIL. Only the technical aspect reveals directional signals.
This week, the crude oil price rebounded rapidly after hitting a low of $56. It has formed the embryonic form of a double bottom with the previous low point, and this pattern may become a turning point in the market trend. According to the theory we proposed earlier, "A deep correction breeds a strong rebound," the price of $56 has become a key support level. If the oil price stabilizes at this level next week, the double bottom pattern is expected to be confirmed, which will in turn trigger a technical rebound. Conversely, once this key level is effectively broken, it is likely to trigger a concentrated sell-off of stop-loss orders, intensifying the downward pressure on the price.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
WTI TRADE IDEAhello everyone
From the previous oil movement, the entry at 58.52 moved up by 80 pips before hitting breakeven. For the upcoming open market, if the trendline and support or resistance break out as shown on the M30 chart, it could signal an opportunity to enter the market.
Ensure strong confirmation before acting, and keep an eye on shifts in market structure.
Thanks a lot for your support & best of luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Analysis and Layout of Crude Oil at the Opening of the MarketThe international crude oil market has experienced intense fluctuations. Both Brent crude oil and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil have recorded significant declines, dropping by 8.31% and 7.58% respectively. The expectations of OPEC+ production increase, the trade concerns triggered by Trump, and the market's risk aversion sentiment due to the global economic slowdown have become the key factors dominating the trend of oil prices.
The crude oil has corrected and broken below the support line, and there is a high probability that the bearish trend will enter a further acceleration stage. After the initial rise followed by a fall, the demarcation line between the bulls and the bears is around 59.4. If it comes under pressure again, it will indicate the continuation of the future trend. The moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, and it is suppressed by the 30-day moving average. Objectively, the short-term trend direction remains downward. Next week, consider taking short positions around 59.4 and expect further decline.
Analysis of the Market Trend for Next WeekThe price of crude oil futures declined on Friday, falling by approximately 1% during the session, giving back the gains brought about by a brief technical rebound. Bearish demand signals continued to dominate traders' sentiment. The price of crude oil is likely to drop by more than 7% this week, which reflects the growing concerns in the market about the weakening of global demand. Traders remain cautious ahead of the crucial OPEC+ meeting scheduled for May 5th. It is expected that some member states will push for an acceleration of production increases before June. There are reports that Saudi Arabia has hinted that it has no intention of supporting oil prices through a new round of production cuts, which has further intensified the downward pressure on oil prices.
In terms of demand, the market remains skeptical about potential trade negotiations. The Ministry of Commerce of China stated that it is evaluating the proposal put forward by the United States to resume tariff negotiations. Analysts said that the trade environment remains unstable and fraught with uncertainties.
Crude oil showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. At the same time, the oil price correction broke below the support line, and the bearish trend of oil prices is expected to enter a further acceleration stage. After the rise first and then the fall, the demarcation line between the bulls and bears of oil prices is around $59.3. If it is under pressure again, it will indicate the continuation of the future trend.
Summary of the Crude Oil Market This WeekThis week, the crude oil market witnessed a significant decline. Brent crude oil dropped by a cumulative 8.3%, and WTI crude oil fell by 7.5%. Both recorded their largest single-week declines since the end of March.👉👉👉
OPEC+ convened a production meeting ahead of schedule and planned to discuss the production increase plan for June. The market bets that the probability of a production increase is as high as 70%. Previously, OPEC+ unexpectedly announced in April that it would increase daily production by 411,000 barrels starting from May, which is three times the original planned increase. This move aimed to punish member states that had overproduced oil. If production is further increased in June, it will further intensify the supply pressure on the market.
Although the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region have intensified, such as the postponement of the fourth round of nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran, which has, to a certain extent, provided support for oil prices, judging from the overall market situation this week, this supporting effect has failed to offset the impact of increased supply and decreased demand.
Overall, this week, under the intertwined influence of factors such as increased supply, uncertain demand prospects, and changes in the geopolitical situation, the crude oil market showed a significant downward trend. The market's expectations for crude oil prices are rather pessimistic, and it is expected that crude oil prices will still face certain downward pressure in the coming period. However, if OPEC+ changes its production increase plan, or if there is an unexpected improvement in the global economy, crude oil prices may rebound.
The decisive day of major data (USOIL)
Yesterday, it was pointed out in the analysis circle: The support of 58 needs to be tested. Sure enough, buying at low levels continued to expand profits. The current price is 59.6. From the pressure analysis, the market is still affected by data that oversupply, and institutions will not reduce production in a short time. Therefore, oil prices will fall further,
The oil price broke through 59. Due to supply reasons, the market still has a downward range. 60-61 is a good choice to sell in succession.
tp58-57
Crude oil is entering the seasonal growth windowCrude oil had tested the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. Being a momentum instrument, it has a chance of testing the area below the previous intermediate-term low (testing 52-55k area), after which the price may turn back to $60: the fair price according to the STEO forecast from eia.gov
As WTI oil is entering the seasonal window of growth, so we can assume the mean-reversion scenario to dominate in the near future, especially considering the improving market sentiment.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
WTI TRADE UPDATEhi all
Based on the current situation for WTI, with the stop loss hit from the previous trade idea, Plan A now relies on a breakout of the trendline and the support turning into resistance as confirmation for taking a long position.
However, if rejection occurs at the trendline or at the support-turned-resistance level, there's a possibility that the price will decline again, given that a breakout has already happened on the daily timeframe. Therefore, closely monitoring price movements around these key levels is crucial before making any trading decisions.
Ensure strong confirmation before acting, and keep an eye on shifts in market structure. Feel free to share any new updates, and best of luck with your strategy!
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
WTI Oil H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 60.49 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 62.30 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 56.68 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI is due for a pullbackWTI has been falling for the entire week now. A hammer has formed on the hourly candle just right above a support. We expect pullbacks. TPs are as followed and SL is located at the support below.
Please do not risk more than 1% per trade。
If you like the idea, please help like the post and comment down your thoughts below! I would love to hear your thoughts!
Trend is Your friend Took 2 years to understand the above . I kept thinking I knew when the reversals happen and lost over 200k in the process. Still love to trade and one day it will come back even that I know 2 things will make your successful in this game
1 # most important RISK MANAGEMENT
2 # Trend is your friend stick to higer timeframes stop the 1 and 5min charts
3 # Fibonacci is king
4 # trendines and S/R Matter wait for retest
5 # chart patterns is a must for reversal wait for W OR M then Fibonacci it
Anyhow you get told all these things as a newbie but takes time to get it through your thick skull not saying I have mastered it .
Lastly to all newbies stay away from NATGAS she will either make you or most likely destroy. Forget indicators !
Anyhow else love to trade like me
What do silver and oil have in common? Price.Since 1861, silver and crude oil charts have trended together rather well.
So, if you think there is a "cartel" which manipulates the silver, there must also be manipulating crude oil.
Or, the more logical explanation is that capital flows are carving out these price charts.