OIL🛢️ Oil is caught in an unbalanced price zone due to rising global tensions.
Prices have spiked and with that, inflation risks are back on the table.
Now here's the play I see forming:
📌 The Fed might choose not to cut interest rates as a way to cool inflation without printing more money.
📌 This also puts pressure on China to act since rising oil prices hurt their economy too, they may push Iran to scale back aggression in order to stabilize global markets.
Everything is connected. This isn’t just about oil it’s about global strategy, inflation control, and power dynamics.
SPOTCRUDE trade ideas
Crude Oil Tests $74FenzoFx—Crude Oil climbed to $74.0, testing the bearish Fair Value Gap and a high-volume zone.
The Stochastic Oscillator signals an overbought market, suggesting possible consolidation. Oil could dip toward the previous daily low if $74.0 holds as resistance during the NY session.
A breakout above $74.0 would invalidate the short-term bearish outlook.
The latest long - short trading recommendations for crude oil.On Monday, the two benchmark oil prices fell by more than 1% due to media reports that Iran might seek to ease the situation. However, the market's short-term optimism proved unsustainable. Currently, oil price movements are driven primarily by geopolitics rather than fundamentals. Market sensitivity to the Middle East situation has surged to an extremely high level, with even the slightest development triggering violent volatility. The possibility of supply disruptions remains high in the short term, and close attention should be paid to Iran's oil export trends and the actual execution of OPEC+ after its meeting. Meanwhile, be wary of the risk of sharp consolidation amid mixed geopolitical and negotiation news.
In terms of momentum, the fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator have crossed below the zero axis, forming a golden cross with an upward divergence, indicating a stalemate between bullish and bearish momentum. In terms of patterns, a flag continuation pattern has emerged, with penetration of the upper edge of the flag, and the overall trend is in a secondary rhythm. It is expected that crude oil prices will mainly fluctuate and consolidate within the pattern.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@70.0-71.0
TP:74.0-75.0
US OIL SHORT RESULT Crude oil eventually broke out of the major 4HTF Bearish falling Trendline, Moving against our direction as I thought it might respect the Resistance Trendline and dump.
But apparently I entered too early and should've waited for reversal signs or fake outs.
And done better Technical Analysis and 4HTF Trend.
WTI rebounds from key support as Middle East tensions intensifyThe latest escalation in the conflict between Israel and Iran initially didn't cause much panic in the oil market. After spiking initially to an overnight high of $75.70, WTI has since been on a decline, before hitting a low so far of $68.50. That represents a 9.5% drop from the overnight high, which is massive. Investors have been pricing out the risk of of oil supplies being meaningfully impacted. But the latest air strikes on Tehran and Israel declaring that it had "full aerial operational control" over Tehran means tension are rising another bombardment of Tel Aviv was most likely on the agenda for Iran. Oil has been bouncing back as a result. So far, it hasn't impacted equities, with major US indices remaining near their session highs. But will that change if oil extends it recovery?
Key support at $68.60 has been defended as we can see on the hourly chart. $70.00/$70.10 is now reclaimed, which is a bullish sign. Resistance is seen around $72.20. Above that, $73.00 will be in focus.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
WTI - ANALYSIS BUY AREA This week the ongoing conflict seems to bring more uptrend to this commodity
I believe that the last broken resistance now turning support at 67.300 will be tested prior to the OIL raising again
If the conflict doesn’t end and we don’t have a ceasefire we could see this commodity running to the 78.000 and 82.000 levels
Crude oil is the ultimate winner
💡Message Strategy
Currently trading around $70.00 a barrel during Friday's European session, crude oil prices surged on growing concerns about supply disruptions. Rising tensions in the Middle East threaten navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, a key passage for about 20% of global oil shipments.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil prices in the medium term broke through the upper resistance of the range and tested a new high of 75.50. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is upward.
The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued to fluctuate upward, and the price near 74 was tested. The moving average system relies on the bullish arrangement of oil prices, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. Oil prices hit a new high near 75.30, and then fell back and closed with a negative real candlestick. The short-term momentum is still bullish, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level oscillation upward rhythm.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:70.09-71.50
WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 71.83 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 68.50 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 77.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remains the core driver propelling oil prices higher. With U.S.-Iran relations at a critical juncture and the Ukrainian attack on the Crimean Bridge exacerbating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, markets are increasingly concerned about potential disruptions to Black Sea crude exports. As a key channel for 2% of global crude oil supplies, risks to Black Sea exports directly threaten supply chain security, triggering a surge in short-term market risk aversion and driving oil prices sustainably higher.
Since crude oil broke through the $64.8 resistance level with a solid candlestick last week, we have maintained a consistent bullish stance. After two weeks of consolidative oscillations, prices finally broke free from the trading range, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish momentum. When oil prices pulled back to the $71.5–$72.0 range last Friday, we once again emphasized the short-term long strategy, which was subsequently followed by a sharp rally catalyzed by news developments. With the current trend clearly defined, we advise trading in line with the momentum: short-term long positions can be initiated above $71.0 at the start of the week.
USOIL
buy@71-72
tp:75-78
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WTI OIL SPOT / Crude Oil SpotCrude has appreciated from 55 odd levels to 73+
In the wake of Iran israel conflict...
Crude is likely to surge higher...
Above 94$ Crude cruising to 102/104 levels in all likelihood.
Have marked important levels on chart for ur perusal
Happy trading
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Crude Oil to Continue Breaking Higher HighsMiddle East Tensions Escalate Sharply: Israel Launches Preemptive Strike on Iran, Targeting Nuclear-related Facilities
Iran's state media confirmed that senior Revolutionary Guard leaders were killed in the attack, with nuclear scientists and facilities also suffering heavy damage. In the short term, geopolitical risks will continue to dominate market sentiment. Oil prices are likely to oscillate at high levels or even edge higher. From a daily chart perspective, crude oil's moving average system forms a bullish arrangement, confirming the unchanged short-term objective uptrend. The morning session K-line closes as a large bullish candlestick, aligning with the primary upward trend. The MACD indicator is bullishly diverging above the zero axis, with bullish momentum prevailing. Intraday crude oil is expected to continue breaking higher.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70.0-71.0
TP:74.0-75.0
Crude oil is gaining volatilityCrude oil accelerates the momentum as the geopolitical situation escalates. Volatility is high, so trading might be dangerous both for longs and shorts, especially for day or short-term traders.
So, it would make sense to wait for a while until the “smoke goes down” and the price would establish a temporary trading range, which would later be broken to any direction.
The price currently is above the 20-day moving average for $12 in terms of asset price, which is more than 5 times greater than the average daily volatility. It either points to the “overheated” situation or potentially a momentum situation, which means the rapid continuation to the upside after a short phase of consolidation (usually 2-3 days).
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Unfortunate but an opportunity nonetheless Welcome to warring times. Energy of all kinds, oil, and many of the likes will see major spikes as conflicts and tensions rise. Currencies will spike and crash and gold MAY inflate as times of uncertainties rallies gold bulls like school bells to kids for recess.
USOIL: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 73.387 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 72.481.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL The current conflict between Iran and Israel has caused a sharp spike in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a geopolitically sensitive region that is critical for global energy flows.
Key Effects on Oil Prices:
Price Surge:
Oil prices jumped over 7% on June 13, 2025, reaching multi-month highs. Brent crude rose to $76.190 close 73.535 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to around $77.542 before closing at 72.91 per barrel on Friday
Earlier intraday spikes were even higher, with Brent briefly surging over 13% and WTI over 14%, marking the largest single-day gains since March 2022.
Risk Premium and Supply Concerns:
The Israeli strike on Iran significantly raised the "risk premium" on oil prices as markets worry about potential retaliation by Iran targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route for about 20% of the world’s oil.
Iran produces about 3.3 million barrels per day (3% of global supply) and exports 1.5 million barrels daily, mainly to China and Turkey. Disruptions here could tighten global supply considerably.
Potential for Further Price Increases:
Analysts warn that if the conflict escalates, oil prices could surge beyond current levels, potentially topping $93 to $100 per barrel if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz or attacks Gulf energy installations.
Goldman Sachs projects Brent crude could peak slightly above $90 per barrel before falling back as supply stabilizes.
Broader Market Impact:
The conflict has also caused stock market declines and a flight to safe-haven assets like gold, which rose sharply alongside the oil price spike.
U.S. gasoline prices are expected to rise in the coming days due to higher crude costs, potentially increasing fuel prices significantly if the conflict worsens.
Summary
The Iran-Israel conflict has already caused a major jump in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a key oil-producing region. The risk of Iran retaliating by targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sustained higher prices, with some analysts warning of a possible spike to $93–$100 per barrel if tensions escalate further. This situation is closely monitored by markets given its potential to impact global energy supplies and inflation worldwide
#USOIL #OIL
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 73.374.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 78.914 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsSupply Shortage Risks
Escalating Middle East tensions pressure Iran's crude supply: Israeli airstrikes have hit key facilities, and potential conflict escalation may disrupt oil production capacity and transportation through the Strait of Hormuz (where 20% of global oil shipments pass). Although OPEC+ has proposed output increases, doubts over implementation fuel concerns about supply gaps, supporting oil prices.
Peak Demand Season Support
Summer triggers peak travel seasons in Europe and the U.S., surging demand for gasoline, jet fuel, etc. Despite global economic slowdown, rebounding seasonal consumption—combined with supply-side uncertainties—exacerbates market fears of supply-demand imbalance, underpinning prices.
Panic Sentiment Drive
Middle East tensions spark panic buying of crude oil futures, amplifying short-term price volatility. As long as conflicts remain unresolved, emotional factors will sustain upward momentum for oil prices.
USOIL
buy@71-72
TP:75~76
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Crude Oil Weekly Chart Watch
The weekly crude oil line is still running within the channel. This is very interesting.
Last week, due to geopolitical conflicts, crude oil rose rapidly to the upper edge of the weekly channel.
It closed with a long upper shadow weekly K line.
This point is not suitable for chasing more. Observe more.
Wait and see
My personal opinion:Still leaning towards bullish
If it were you, what would you choose?
Welcome to discuss