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DOW JONES: 5 month Channel Up bottomed and 1D MA100 hit. BullishDow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.675, MACD = -65.830, ADX = 38.532) after yesterday's sharp drop due to the Fed announcing an outlook shift to 2 rate cuts in 2025 from 4 previously. Technically though that fall presents a unique long term buy opportunity as despite crossing under the 1D MA50, it managed to hit the 1D MA100 for the first time since Aug 8th while touching the bottom of the 5 month Channel Up. Today the price is showing the first signs of rebounding. The 1D RSI rebounding from below 30.000 (oversold) is also a great bullish indicator. The drop that resembles most December's is the first bearish wave of the Channel (July-August). When it recovered, the rebound hit the R1 level at first and that is our target (TP = 45,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
US30 4HFollowing up on the Dow Jones analysis ( link here ): As anticipated, the previously stated targets were successfully hit. However, the Dow Jones is expected to continue its decline toward the 42,000 level, where the market is likely to enter a correction phase. Looking ahead, I predict a break below 41,670. The next identified targets are 41,120 and 40,820, but I will hold off on focusing on them for now. As the market evolves and new data emerges, I will provide updated and precise analyses. Stay with me and enjoy accurate, professional insights.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by GreyFX-NDS
US30 Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trend ScenariosTechnical Analysis The price currently shows bearish momentum toward 42900 and 42770, after which it is expected to consolidate between 42900 and 43170 until a breakout occurs. However, as long as the price trades below 43200 and 43350, the downward trend remains intact. To enter a bullish zone, the price must break above this range by closing a 4-hour candle above 43350. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43060 Resistance Levels: 43160, 43350, 43650 Support Levels: 42770, 42580, 42390 Trend Outlook: Bullish Momentum: Stabilized above 43350 Bearish Momentum: Stability below 42900 Consolidation: Between 42900 and 43160
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
Price Tests Key Levels as Bullish and Bearish Momentum CompeteTechnical Analysis The price dropped as anticipated in the previous analysis. Today, the price is likely to attempt to reach 41,960. A break below this level would confirm further bearish movement toward 41,740. However, if the price stabilizes above 41,970, it could support a bullish move toward the pivot zone at 42,370. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 42130 Resistance Levels: 42370, 42590, 42770 Support Levels: 41970, 41740, 41560 Trend Outlook: Bullish Momentum: Expected if the price stabilizes above 41,970. Bearish Momentum: Likely with stability below 41,970. previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
3.5% Decline on The Dow Jones 30 But Is This Unusual?Looking at the trend structure over the last 8 months, we can see a pattern play out. Since April, pullbacks of between 3.5% and 7% have been part and parcel of the Dow Jones’s trend structure. (highlighted in red) The current pullback of 3.5% falls within this range. Note also how our trend filter remains mostly green and grey, with speckles of red, since April, in line with the long-term bull trend. The index has now fallen to the d50sma (orange line), where we want to see it find support, bounce, break out and continue its climb to 50,000, as it has done since April. The Dow Jones is also a good example of how trend structures can change despite no change in direction. October to March saw a much faster trend, using the d20sma (blue line) as support, eventually breaking through in April and leading to a change in trend structure. The Dow Jones is currently lagging behind the Nasdaq 100, which is setting record highs above 20,000 for the first time, and the S&P 500, which has settled into a mini consolidation above the 6000 level. We ideally want to see Santa deliver in the final 2 weeks of December. However, if the indices and stocks don't show new trend continuations through the rest of 2024, we want them to hold within consolidation, which will act a bases for trends in the New Year. If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment. :0) See below for more information on our trading and trend-following techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
DJ:DJILong
by Sublime_Trading
Technical Analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average The Dow Jones Industrial Average, as one of the most important benchmarks in the US stock market, is currently approaching a sensitive area in the range of 41363-41191 units. A review of the chart shows that this area acts as a strong support level and there is a possibility of a positive price reaction to this level. A full analysis of this situation will be provided below. 1. Price Structure Analysis The Dow Jones Industrial Average has recently exited the ascending channel it had maintained in the past months and entered a corrective phase. This correction has led the index towards the aforementioned support area, which is considered a key and valid level given the history of price performance. Level 41363-41191 units: This support area is obtained from the collision of several technical tools, including Fibonacci ratios (100% and 113% retracement) and the dynamic support of the lower trend line of the channel. Also, the price being near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator also indicates the possibility of slowing down the decline and starting an upward rebound. 2. Bullish scenario If the index can maintain the support area of ​​41363-41191 units, a positive reaction and price increase can be expected. Short-term bullish targets: The price returns to the resistance level of 43749 units, which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci line. This level is considered the initial target for the rise if the price is supported successfully. Breaking through this resistance can pave the way for reaching higher levels in the medium term, including the psychological resistance of 45000 units. 3. Bearish scenario If the index fails to maintain the support area and stabilizes below the level of 41191 units, there is a possibility of continuing the downward trend. Bearish targets: The next support level is around 40800 units, and if it is broken, the possibility of further decline towards 39500 units will be strengthened. This decline could push the index into a deeper correction phase and increase selling pressure in the market.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by arongroups
US30 POSSIBLE BUY The market is currently testing the current Weekly 0.78 Fib area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
TRADENATION:US30Long
by WiLLProsperForex
Dow Plummets 1,100 Points Amid Fed’s Hawkish GuidanceMarket Reacts to Limited Rate Cut Projections and Elevated Economic Uncertainty Dow Drops 1,100 Points in Turbulent Session After Fed Announcement Investors rushed to reduce exposure to risk assets on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell signaled a shift in the central bank's outlook for 2025. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged over 1,100 points following the Fed’s anticipated 25-basis-point interest rate cut and its updated forward guidance. While the rate cut was expected, the announcement that only two cuts are projected for 2024 rattled investors. Powell’s message marked the end of an extended period of monetary easing, further weighing on market sentiment. This marked the Dow’s tenth consecutive losing session, a streak not seen since 1974, when the index endured eleven straight losses. Technical Analysis The Dow's price dropped more than 4.5% ahead of Powell's speech, maintaining a bearish momentum. Stability below the pivot point of 42,590 suggests further downside potential, while a close above this level could indicate a reversal. Today, the U.S. GDP release will be a key driver of market movement: If the GDP comes in below 2.8%, it may support a bullish move toward 42,770 and possibly 42,900. If the GDP exceeds 2.8%, bearish momentum could drive the index toward 42,380 or even as low as 41,120. Key Levels Pivot Point: 42,590 Resistance Levels: 42,770, 42,900, 43,190 Support Levels: 42,380, 42,150, 41,970 Trend Outlook Bullish Momentum: If the price stabilizes above 42,590. Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 42,590.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
How to Identify Market Downtrends Without Fundamentals🔍 A Fundamental Perspective On December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to a range of 4.25%–4.5%. However, their guidance suggested a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025, with projections of only two reductions instead of four as previously expected. This cautious stance, driven by lingering inflation concerns and a resilient labor market, triggered a sharp market sell-off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plummeted over 1,100 points, recording its steepest single-day drop since 1974. 🔍 Market Breadth: A Technical Perspective If you’re not tracking fundamental events, Market Breadth indicators can offer valuable insights into market trends and the health of the index. 1️⃣ US30 Market Breadth EMA 20 The histogram bars in yellow reflect the number range of stocks in the DJIA with strong uptrends. Recently, the height of these bars has been steadily declining, signaling that fewer stocks are maintaining bullish trends. 2️⃣ Market Breadth MACD Conversely, the red line of the MACD indicator, which represents stocks in a strong downtrend, has been rising. This divergence indicates that bearish momentum is building across the market. 3️⃣ Market Breadth EMA Alignment The red line crossing above the green line in this indicator confirms a strong downtrend, providing additional evidence of bearish dominance. 📈 Price Action Analysis The price has broken below the ascending channel, which further supports the bearish case. Combining this with signals from the Market Breadth indicators strengthens the probability of a sustained downtrend in the DJIA. ✅ Key Takeaway By analyzing Market Breadth and combining technical indicators, you can gauge the market's strength even if you're not following the fundamentals. As DJIA breaks below critical technical levels, traders should exercise caution and watch for further confirmation of bearish trends.
TVC:DJIEducation
by Investic_analytics
US30 Falls to 42200 and is now in buyers ZoneUS30 Falls yesterday causing much of the traders to lose their bullish trades. The market faked like it wanted to go bullish but slid over 250 points. Price is currently closer to support 42300 and is likely to continue to consolidate between here and 92900. This is a zone to take small intraday trades to make up for any losses sustained with yesterday's slide. For bullish confirmation look for a retest above 42900. Be careful by paying attention to look for higher highs and higher lows. Be safe out there. Good trading.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by leslyjeanbaptiste
DOW JONES 13-year pattern that never failed eyes $48000.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us the best bullish break-out signal exactly 1 year ago (December 13 2023, see chart below), as our buy entry at 36577 hit our 42900 long-term Target last October: At that time we made a clear point why that rally 'shouldn't surprise you' and it is because of this pattern's consistency for so many years. This 1W time-frame chart shows the cyclical behavior of the index, which peaks (Sine Wave top), then pulls back and starts forming a Rising Wedge (Sine Wave bottom) and when it breaks above the Rising Wedge, is where it flashed the bullish break-out signal we got a year ago. As you can see it then starts a gradual rise on the BB20 and completes the Cycle again (Sine Wave top) after roughly a +47% rally. The title mentions that this pattern 'never failed', practically it only broke during the COVID flash crash, which was a non-technical event than occurs once every 100 years. As you can see even the 1W MACD sequences between the cyclical patterns are identical. As a result, our Target towards the Sine Wave peak is 48000. If this is achieved in Q2 2025, based on Dow's current Channel Up (dashed), then we expect the index to remain on those high levels but turn more neutral sideways towards the end of 2025 and then eventual start of the new Bear Phase. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
US30 4H Dow Jones Analysis : Introduction: My previous analysis is here . As noted, while Nasdaq was predicted to be bullish, Dow Jones remained bearish. This contrast reflects the precision of price action analysis combined with a strong strategy that enables accurate market readings. Main Scenarios: The current trend remains bearish, and I expect the price to drop to 43530, where a potential reversal may occur. Invalidation Level: A breakout and consolidation above 44500 will invalidate my analysis and signal a potential trend reversal. Forecast and Strategy: Short-Term Targets: 43350 42900 Upon reaching 43530, I will update the analysis to evaluate whether the market continues downward or reverses. Closing: As we approach the year-end, risk management becomes even more critical. Avoid entering trades without a solid plan. For further updates, please like this analysis and share your thoughts in the comments.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by GreyFX-NDS