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Marking the end of Bull rallyCouple months ago, I published my US30 Elliott Wave analysis stating the start of upward move which we saw in the past months. Today, I am publishing the Elliott Wave breakdown of the upward move we have seen in past months which was anticipated in previous idea. Coming to the point, it seems the rally is about to end and the correction is about to start. I am anticipating this correction to be somewhat big according to my Weekly wave count shown in previous chart, but lets see how things go.
EIGHTCAP:US30Short
by syedhamza2135
1
US Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame AnalysisUS Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame Analysis Overview: Today, let’s analyze the US Index (US30) on the daily time frame. Over the past several days, spanning more than a week, the trend has been distinctly bearish. Key Observation: The price is now nearing a significant key level in the range of 43,200–43,300. This area could act as a strong support zone, offering a potential opportunity for a long trade. Trade Idea: Entry Zone: 43,200–43,300 Monitor this range closely. Look for bullish confirmation signals, such as wick rejections, bullish engulfing candles, or other reversal patterns before entering a trade. Potential Target: If the setup aligns, the trade could aim for the previous week’s high. Keep in mind this move could take up to a week to materialize, but the potential gain from this trade could be significant. Important Reminders: Wait for Confirmation: Ensure a clear rejection or reaction at the key level before executing the trade. Focus on Risk Management: Safeguarding your capital is crucial. Avoid impulsive or revenge trading. Be Patient: Allow the trade to develop at its own pace; rushing can lead to mistakes. Trading is Reactive, Not Predictive: Respond to price action as it unfolds rather than trying to forecast the future.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by KainT21
Big Money Complacency AKA "Deer In the Headlights"The violent US market selloff this afternoon after the Fed cut interest rates was proceeded by 9 straight days of selling in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Yesterday I posed the observation that the 9 consecutive days selling had been a warning of something ominous and yet unknown coming soon to the market. But no, complacency reigned. The Fed would bail out the market the way they always do. But no, today quite the contrary. They're faith in all that was overwhelmingly "overwhelmed". The proof of that " massive surprise " was shown in the VIX, which get this rose, 74 % in just one day to 27. My point in all this is that traders in the venerable Dow Jones Industrial Average had sniffed out all of this 10 days ago. Sometimes broader markets show telling signs of "deer in the headlights". This one was about big money complacency. And as todays selloff proved.. they paid harshly for that misguided misjudgment. THE_UNWIND 12/18/24 WOOODS OF CONNECTICUT
TVC:DJIShort
by The_Unwind
US30 Bearish To Bullish Play for the WeekAfter following US30 on the way down through a beautiful 1hr-4hr TL we might finally be getting to our final target 43,550. Will look for a slight move to the upside touching the sell limit which will then propel back down for another bearish move, after reaching 43,550 I expect sideways movement consolidating for a couple days/weeks hopefully giving us a clear view for a bullish set up in the process. I expect a Major move back up potentially creating new highs into 2025. 43,550 is the end of the daily average move and it will meet with a weekly trendline as it hits the weekly support zone. Let’s see if the streak on US30 continues.. May the markets be w us..! P.s only way I would switch my bearish outlook is if we break through 44,150 following a break through 44,300 into full bullish territory
THINKMARKETS:US30
by jcatchinpips
Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30)Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) – Bullish Reversal Opportunity This chart highlights a potential buying opportunity in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) after a sharp correction. The recent dip into a key support zone could set the stage for a bullish reversal heading into 2025. Technical Analysis: Key Support Zone: The gray zone around 41,200–41,400 represents a strong demand area. Historically, this level has acted as a base for bullish recoveries. Oversold Conditions: The steep sell-off suggests that the market might be oversold, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. Weekly Pivot: The weekly pivot line serves as a near-term resistance, and a breakout above this level could signal bullish momentum. Bullish Scenario: A bounce from the support zone followed by a break above the weekly pivot would confirm the start of a new leg higher, targeting 44,000 and beyond. Fundamental Analysis: Economic Resilience: Despite recent corrections, the U.S. economy remains robust, with moderate inflation and stable growth supporting equity valuations. Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations of a pause or potential rate cuts in 2025 could reignite risk appetite, favoring indices like the DJIA. Seasonal Trends: Historically, Q1 tends to favor equities due to renewed optimism and capital inflows at the start of the year. Conclusion: Traders may consider entering long positions in the highlighted support zone, with stop-losses just below it to manage risk. A break above the weekly pivot could provide further confirmation of bullish momentum.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by DreamsForx
9 Straight Down Days...and CountingHave you been paying attention to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ? Today marks the 9th Consecutive day it is down a record daily losing streak since get this,.. 1978. Lead lower by the collapse of United Healthcare, down 20 % (which I wrote to you about in my last TradingView post) traders at the mighty New York Stock Exchange are starting to get very concerned. With record investor and trader bullishness on stocks, paper asset class and the Fed now willing to grease the skids with another factored in rate cut tomorrow, the Dow is sending a clear warning that someone knows something you don't THE_UNWIND 12/17/24 Woods of Connecticut
TVC:DJIShort
by The_Unwind
Santa abandons the Dow 30Buyers in the Dow Jones are likely frustrated given the recent gains in other stock indices, and as sellers are aggressively challenging the bullish uptrend, with the index nearly erasing all gains of its 5% rally off the November 19 low. As the price approaches a prior consolidation zone between 43,319 and 43,557, a reaction is likely, potentially forming a bottom and pushing higher as the December Santa rally begins. We maintain a bullish bias above 43,111, the November 20 low. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:US30Long
by ThinkMarkets
Dow Jones ready to go upAnalysts suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook for buying the Dow Jones, focusing on sectors showing resilience, such as technology and healthcare. A bullish case relies on sustained support at key technical levels and easing inflation concerns. It’s vital to monitor Federal Reserve signals, as dovish guidance could provide further momentum. Stay alert for any pullback opportunities to align with broader market sentiment. Always consider risk management
OANDA:US30USDLong
by iraza
1
US30 /Bearish Momentum and Key Levels Ahead of FED Rate DecisionTechnical Analysis The price has dropped about 700 points, as we mentioned previously, and remains under bearish momentum after breaking the bearish correction and trading below 43760. As long as the price trades below 43760 and 43900, it is likely to drop further to touch 43350. However, it is also possible for the price to retest 43760 before continuing to drop. On the other hand, the FED Rate Decision tomorrow will impact the indices. A rate decrease of 25 bps is expected, which could influence the bullish momentum depending on the market's reaction to the rate change. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43580 Resistance Levels: 43765, 43900, 44070 Support Levels: 43350, 43210, 42900 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum Previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 43,318.65 1st Support: 42,643.34 1st Resistance: 44,526.39 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish Potential for DJIA Towards 45,700 Amid Support BreakdownKey Observations Fibonacci Extension: • Fibonacci Extension is used to calculate potential price targets after a pullback. • Fibonacci Extension Levels: o 0%: 43,507.08 (beginning of the rise). o 100%: 45,762.55 (full price target). o The 45,762.55 level, as the 100% Fibonacci Extension target, serves as a potential take profit area if the price successfully rebounds from support and breaks through previous resistance. Support and Resistance: Main Support: • 43,507.08: Key support near the trendline. • 43,329.65: First horizontal support level. • 42,738.60: Second support if breakdown occurs. • 41,697.23: Last support that maintains the long-term bullish trend. Main Resistance: • 44,040.00: Initial resistance area. • 44,369.69: Second resistance level. • 44,902.61: Strong resistance (Fibonacci Extension 61.8%). • 45,762.55: Fibonacci Extension 100% as the main target. ________________________________________ Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: • If the price rebounds from the support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65, there is potential for a move towards 44,369.69 and 44,902.61. • A breakout above 44,902.61 will push the price towards 45,762.55 (100% Fibonacci Extension target). Bearish Scenario: • If the price falls below 43,329.65, the next critical support areas will be 42,738.60 and 41,697.23. SMA 50: • The 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 43,509.70 still serves as dynamic support near the current price. ________________________________________ Conclusion • The 100% Fibonacci Extension at 45,762.55 is the main bullish target if the price can rebound from support at 43,507.08 and break through the resistance at 44,902.61. • The support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65 remains a crucial level to maintain the bullish momentum. ________________________________________ Bullish Strategy Entry: • Buy in the support area between 43,507.08 and 43,329.65. Target: • Target 1: 44,369.69 • Target 2: 44,902.61 • Target 3: 45,700 (Fibonacci 100%). Stop Loss: • Below 42,738.60 to limit risk. ________________________________________ Bearish Strategy (If Breakdown Support) Trigger Entry: • If the price drops below 43,329.65 (horizontal support) and fails to rebound. Target Profit: • Target 1: 42,738.60 (next support). • Target 2: 41,697.23 (strong last support). Stop Loss: • Place the stop loss above 43,507.08, the former support now turned resistance after the breakdown. • This ensures that risk is controlled if the breakdown fails and the price reverses. ________________________________________ Important Notes • Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2 to maintain a profitable long-term strategy. • Confirmation: Look for a bearish candlestick pattern or high volume during the breakdown to validate the signal.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by KepoinTrading
US30 / Consolidation Ahead of Key Breakout LevelsTechnical Analysis The price has reached the support level we mentioned earlier and is now consolidating between 43,350 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs. Initially, the price may attempt to test 43,760 or 43,900, driven by the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut. However, it is also possible for the price to drop again, potentially breaking the support zone at 43,350. A break below 43,350 and 43,200 would confirm a bearish trend, with further downside targets at 42,900 and 42,770. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43580 Resistance Levels: 43765, 43900, 44070 Support Levels: 43350, 43210, 42900 Trend Outlook: Bullish Momentum: Possible within the consolidation range of 43,350 to 43,900 PREVIOUS IDEA:
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi