US30 Weekly Forecast – Bullish Bounce or Breakdown?Hope everyone had a great weekend!
This chart outlines a critical US30 intraday structure with price currently pulling back into a key confluence zone composed of:
A rising trendline from July 23rd
Two stacked demand zones, the upper around 44,850 and lower near 44,700
Bullish Scenario (Preferred Bias):
If price respects the trendline and upper key zone, we may see a bullish continuation targeting the 45,150–45,250 range.
The clean bounce zone, marked by the green arrow, suggests smart money might defend this level.
Watch for bullish engulfing or low-volume traps near 44,850–44,880 to confirm entry.
Bearish Scenario (Alternate Play):
If price fails to hold the trendline, and breaks below the 44,850 key zone with momentum, expect a drop into the lower zone (44,650–44,700).
A breakdown below this lower demand could shift the bias entirely, opening the door for a deeper correction back into the mid-44,000s.
Weekly Playbook:
Early week: Monitor the reaction at the upper key zone for sniper long opportunities with tight stops.
Mid to late week: If structure fails, flip bias and look for supply rejections on retests for shorts.
Risk: Account for FOMC/major U.S. news events that may introduce volatility traps around these zones.
Verdict: Stay patient. Let price dictate bias at the trendline. If it holds, this could be a textbook bounce continuation setup.
