The Burst of the DAX Bubble: What's Next?In the previous scenario, the price bubble of Germany's DAX stock index burst, leading to a sharp drop in the index.
Now, we're anticipating that the second bubble might burst as well.
GDAXI trade ideas
DAX WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅DAX is trading in an uptrend
And the index made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 23,400 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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DAX H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The DAX (GER30) is trading close to an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 23,447.57 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 22,700.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 24,732.86 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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UPDATE: Text book W Formation for DE40 heading to target 25,113Since the last update, the Germany 40 index has been moving like a champ.
There is no slowing momentum, and it seems like there is more push to come.
We also have further reasons for the rally:
🤝 Easing Global Trade Tensions Boost Investor Confidence
The recent 90-day suspension and significant reduction of tariffs between the U.S. and China have alleviated fears of a prolonged trade war, leading to a global market rally that propelled the DAX to new heights.
🏗️ Germany’s Fiscal Stimulus Spurs Economic Optimism
The German government's increased spending on defense and infrastructure has invigorated domestic industries, contributing to the DAX's upward momentum.
💻 Tech Sector Performance Drives Market Gains
German tech giants, notably SAP, have experienced substantial growth due to strategic shifts towards AI and cloud services, significantly influencing the DAX's performance.
So we can just let this play out until it hits the first target at 25,113.
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Bullish momentum to extend?DAX40 (DE40) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 23,438.30
1st Support: 22,533.30
1st Resistance: 24,741.85
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Bullish momentum to extend?GER40 has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 23,511.62
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 23,150.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 24,780.49
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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German DAX – Bearish Alt-Bat Pattern in Play?FX:GER30
The German DAX remains technically trapped in a defined range, with resistance now under pressure at €23,960 and intraday support printed at €23,358 . Notably, the index continues to reject the idea of reclaiming the weekly fractal resistance from March, forged at €23,478 .
The index is forming a bearish at-bat pattern , with a PRZ projected at €24,075 , corresponding to the 113% Fibonacci extension of the prior XA leg. This extension presents a technically significant reversal point and warrants close observation for price exhaustion.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
We could see a corrective leg targeting the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at €22,085, which also aligns with prior structural lows. The daily fractal support at €22,306 becomes a critical interim level to watch during this potential pullback.
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: €23,960 / €24,075 (alt-Bat PRZ)
Intraday Support: €23,358
Weekly Fractal Resistance (broken): €23,478
Daily Fractal Support: €22,306
Bearish Target (38.2% fib): €22,085
📌 Outlook:
Bias leans bearish while below €24,075. A reaction at the PRZ could provide tactical short opportunities, especially if confirmed by momentum divergence or candlestick rejection signals on lower timeframes. As always, manage risk accordingly.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
GRMAN 40 (DAX) BEARS ON THE HORIZONThe 10 year German Bond yieds have been falling since March from 2.95% to current levels just above 2.4%. The falling yields are mainly due to the ECB intrest rate cuts, which lowered its benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point to 2.25% on April 17 for the seventh time. Bond yields fall when interest rates fall; they have to, since bonds reflect the cost of borrowing money. They also fall when there is flight to safety from the stock market to the bond market when investors are looking for moderate returns. Falling yields in the 10 year German note shows that investors are buying bonds for moderate returns and selling the German stocks.
Technically, yesterday the DAX daily candle closed as a long legged doji which shows there's indecision at this level. Further price action at this zone should confirm weakness at this level, probably a shooting star with high volume.
DAX Intra-day Analysis – 08 May 2025Market participants are closely monitoring the escalating geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan, as well as ongoing global trade discussions—particularly between the U.S. and China. These factors may influence sentiment and market volatility throughout the session.
Possible intra-day price behavior to consider:
• If the index approaches the 23,600 level but fails to sustain above it—especially if accompanied by technical signs of slowing momentum—some traders may interpret this as a scenario where the index could revisit the 23,100 zone.
• A sustained move below the 23,000 level could potentially open the way for further downside exploration toward the 22,400 area, which has previously acted as a zone of interest.
• In the event the index approaches 22,400 and shows signs of holding above it, a short-term bounce toward 23,100 could be observed. Alternatively, if downward pressure persists and the 22,400 level does not hold, attention may shift toward the 21,900 area as the next significant support.
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DAX: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 23,491.05 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Technical Weekly AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
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Analysis
Germany 40 is trending bullish and currently in an impulsive phase, trading at 23,741. It’s comfortably above its VWAP of 22,652, highlighting strong upside pressure. RSI at 70.0 suggests the move may be getting stretched. Support sits at 21,025, with resistance at 24,280.
UK 100 remains in a bullish trend and impulsive phase, with price at 8,580.8 and a VWAP of 8,492. Momentum is stable with RSI at 57.7. Support is noted at 8,259, while resistance is up at 8,724.
Wall Street is now bullish and impulsive, trading at 42,145.6 and well above its VWAP of 39,404. With RSI at 63.3 and price above resistance at 41,340, sentiment remains positive. Initial support is lower at 37,468.
Brent Crude is in a bullish trend and impulsive phase, trading at 6,549.7 above its VWAP of 6,362. RSI at 53.9 reflects moderate buying strength but importantly back over the 50 level. Support lies at 5,892, while resistance is overhead at 6,833.
Gold has entered a correction phase within a broader bullish trend and could be about to see a bearish trend reversal. It trades at 3,218.4, now below its VWAP of 3,317. RSI at 45.5 confirms fading momentum. Support is seen at 3,200 and resistance at 3,426.
EUR/USD is now starting to trend bearish and in an impulsive move lower, trading at 1.1110, below the VWAP of 1.1337. RSI at 39.8 points to negative momentum. Support is at 1.1167, with resistance higher at 1.1510.
GBP/USD is correcting within what is still an overall bullish trend, trading at 1.3184 under its VWAP of 1.3311. RSI at 46.8 reflects fading strength. Support is at 1.3200, and resistance is seen at 1.3426.
USD/JPY has broken back into a bullish trend and impulsive phase, trading at 148.19, well above its VWAP of 143.66. RSI at 63.1 (its highest since Jan) confirms the strong upside momentum. Support is located at 140.22, while resistance is at 147.10.
Distribution phase?!Seems like the market is getting into a range bound in this case, a distribution phase where the market is falling in high volume and rising in low volume. It could be a good bet for this double top !
Germany 40 – Focus on the All Time HighsThe Germany 40 index has been on a wild ride in the first 4+ months of 2025 as European equity markets have reaped the benefits of a shift out of US assets, an expected major spending up lift by European governments on defence and more importantly for the Germany 40 specifically, a commitment by the country’s lawmakers to lift the debt break, which is expected to unleash billions of EUROs of spending on infrastructure projects moving forward.
This all saw the Germany 40 index climb from 19,753 on January 2nd to a new all time high of 23479 on March 18th. However, its not all been plain sailing, as US President Trump’s introduction of trade tariffs on global allies saw a capitulation of these initial longs all the way down to 18800 on April 7th, although this weakness didn’t last long as a month later, more specifically on Tuesday May 6th the index returned to its all time highs again. Wow!
Now, with the index pausing just below this important peak, it seems like a good time to consider the technical outlook.
Technical Outlook: Break or Fail at All Time Highs
An all-time high in any asset is an important resistance focus for traders, as having seen it previously hold and reverse an advance in price, the potential is that it may do so again.
Therefore, as a previous all-time price is neared, the question will always be asked, will it hold and see fresh selling pressure once more, or will it give way on a closing basis, to suggest possibilities of a more sustained period of price strength.
The Germany 40 index currently finds itself in such a situation, and activity over coming sessions may offer clues to its next direction.
On March 18th 2025, the Germany 40 index traded to a level of 23479, which represented a new all-time market high. Significantly, from here, a fall of 19.90% materialised into the April 7th low.
Interestingly, having posted this 18800 April 7th session low, a near 100% upside retracement of the early April decline has developed, with Tuesday’s high this week at 23430. The question traders may now be asking is, can new all-time highs be posted to suggest extension of recent strength, or will it hold again and see fresh price weakness?
Of course, it is an impossible question to answer, as much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends. However, it should be remembered, even if closing breaks of previous all-time highs do develop, it may still not guarantee further strength.
That said, if closes above the 23479 March 18th 2025 extreme do materialise, it may skew possibilities to higher levels. However, it is always difficult to gauge where the next higher resistance points stand in all-time high territory, but it might prove to be the 38% Fibonacci extension of the March/April price decline, which stands at 25232, that could be the next resistance focus.
It is equally possible, as it is an important resistance that 23578 holds and reverses the latest strength again, in which case, we must be aware of possible supports that if broken, may see increasing downside pressure in the index.
The first support, may now be 22860, which was Tuesday’s session low, as this held and prompted a rally in price. This level giving way, while not an outright negative, might then see a deeper decline emerge towards 22237, equal to the April 30th low, even possibly the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 21914.
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DE40 / GER40 "Germany40" Index Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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DAX40 INTRADAY uptrend supported at 23300The DAX index remains in a long-term uptrend, reflecting a bullish overall sentiment. However, recent price action shows consolidation, with the index trading sideways after earlier gains.
The key support level is at 23,300, which marks the lower boundary of the recent trading range. If the index pulls back and holds above this level, it would suggest continued bullish momentum. A rebound from 23,300 could see the DAX pushing toward resistance levels at 23,990, then 24,200, and potentially 24,450 in the longer term.
On the downside, a confirmed break and daily close below 23,300 would weaken the bullish case. This would open the door for further declines, with the next support at 23,060, followed by a deeper retracement toward 22,615.
Conclusion:
The DAX outlook remains bullish while holding above 23,300. A bounce from this level supports a move higher, but a break below it would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
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Is DAX ready for a slight correction lower?We are watching the German XETR:DAX as it is currently struggling to go for a new all-time high. Can this be the moment for a deeper correction lower?
Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:GERMANY40
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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DAX 15.05.2025~+ post US-China trade talks positive sentiment
~+ Latest US ec. data (Claims, Philly Fed, Retail. PPI down)
Dax Trend Analysis for Today dated 08 May 2025As of May 8, 2025, the DAX 40 index is exhibiting a bullish trend, trading around 23,355.00 EUR, marking a 1.03% increase for the day .
Technical Analysis:
Moving Averages: The index is trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI stands at 48.69, suggesting neutral momentum without overbought or oversold conditions.
Average Directional Index (ADX): A high ADX value of 91.42 points to a strong prevailing trend.
Support and Resistance Levels: Key support is identified at 23,000 EUR, with resistance around 23,500 EUR.
Market Sentiment:
The combination of strong technical indicators and positive price action suggests a continuation of the bullish trend in the near term.
Strategic Outlook:
Given the current technical setup, the DAX 40 index appears poised for further gains, potentially testing the resistance level at 23,500 EUR. However, investors should remain vigilant for any macroeconomic developments or geopolitical events that could impact market dynamics.
Sources
DAX at a Crossroads: Will Resistance Trigger a Pullback?The German 40 (DAX) has been on a strong bullish run, now trading into a key resistance zone near previous range highs. This area is likely packed with liquidity (buy stops), making it a potential turning point. Given the overextended price action and current fundamentals, a retracement is likely as profit-taking and stop orders trigger. While sentiment has been bullish, caution is warranted at these levels. I am expecting a pullback before any further upside. Not financial advice.
DAX Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in a strong
Uptrend but the index is
Locally overbought so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Bearish correction
Sell!
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DAX CAUTION!"From Errrections Come Corrections." Unlike the Eiffel Tower pattern, this setup is less severe. It’s more likely to resolve through time and price consolidation than a complete reversal.
Bearish Look for potential Reversal bearish candlestick formation upon the retest of daily supply zone
Massive GER30 Short 1. This trade is at an all-time high and has made a double top on weekly with massive divergence
2. H4 is overbought and has a double top with divergence as well
3. This will indicate a fall until H4 is oversold to compensate for the sharp movement up
4. Stop loss of 250 pips
5. There is a Deep Crab pattern on M15
