NDX trade ideas
Nasdaq insights: 26-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! As a seasoned price action trader, I'll share my Nasdaq insights to help you improve your trading skills.
I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession NASDAQ 100Hey everyone, here’s my quick take on the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) and why I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession:
1. Bearish Divergence on the Chart
We’ve got the price pushing higher while the RSI is sloping lower—classic bearish divergence. It’s a big red flag that momentum isn’t matching price action. Sure, it doesn’t guarantee a drop, but it definitely makes me cautious about chasing new highs.
2. Rising Wedge / Channel
The trendlines I’ve drawn suggest a rising wedge or narrowing channel. Those often break to the downside if buyers can’t keep the momentum going. I’m watching that lower boundary like a hawk—if we close below it, that’s usually a bearish signal.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Levels
We’re still hanging around the top of the Cloud, which means the longer-term trend isn’t totally broken yet. But if price falls into the Cloud or below it—and the Tenkan-sen crosses under the Kijun-sen—that’s another sign that sellers might be taking control.
4. RSI Confirmation
The RSI is showing that classic lower high pattern, which means the market’s losing steam. A drop below typical support ranges on the RSI (like 40-50) would back up the idea of a deeper pullback or correction.
5. Macro Picture & Recession Risks
The NASDAQ 100 is a pretty good indicator of market sentiment, especially for big tech. If we see a bigger breakdown here, it might hint at broader economic weakness. Combine that with ongoing concerns about inflation, interest rates, and global supply issues, and we have a recipe for recession chatter to get louder. I’m not saying it’s a done deal, but the chart is telling me to stay on my toes.
Bottom Line
Yes, the chart is flashing bearish signals, and the macro environment is still uncertain. If we break below key support levels, it could be the start of a bigger downtrend—potentially lining up with a global economic slowdown.
NAS100 (4H) Technical Analysis 🔹 Trend Overview:
The market recently broke out of a downtrend, showing signs of a bullish reversal with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
🔹 Key Levels:
📈 Resistance: 20,600 – If broken, bullish momentum could continue.
📉 Support: 20,200 – Could act as a retest zone if price pulls back.
🔹 Market Structure:
✅ Higher highs & higher lows confirm an uptrend.
🚀 If 20,600 breaks, targets are 21,000 → 21,300.
⚠️ Rejection at 20,600 could lead to a pullback toward 20,200 or 19,880.
🔹 Trade Idea:
Bullish above 20,600 with a target of 21,000+.
Bearish rejection at 20,600 could provide a short opportunity toward 20,200.
📌 Risk Management: Wait for confirmations before entering trades. Set SL below recent structure lows.
Nasdaq Short: Top of channelThis is similar to the S&P500 short idea. In fact, they complement each other. While S&P500 has breached the top trendline, Nasdaq hits the trendline.
Also something different from S&P500 is that the Nasdaq correction unfolds is 5 waves instead of 3 in S&P500.
Place the stop loss where I indicated and you should be fine to take one a positional short.
Good luck!
Bullish Signal NAS100Trade Setup:
Market: NAS100 (US100 Cash CFD)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Entry Strategy: Looking for a retracement to a key price level (Killzone) before a bullish move toward resting liquidity.
Key Components of the Analysis:
1. Market Structure & Price Action
The market is in a downtrend, but there is a sign of a potential reversal.
Price is approaching a key Fibonacci retracement zone, around 19,565 - 19,668, where buying pressure is expected.
The 50% - 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels indicate an area of interest for buyers.
2. Liquidity & Key Price Levels
A key price level is marked around 20,450, acting as a potential resistance zone.
Resting liquidity (liq) is positioned higher at 20,880, suggesting an upside target if the trade plays out.
The killzone (highlighted in red) is the ideal area for a possible buy entry.
3. Trade Execution Plan
Entry: Within the Fibonacci retracement zone (Killzone) around 19,565 - 19,668.
Stop Loss: Below the 100% Fibonacci retracement level (19,403) to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
Take Profit: Targeting the resting liquidity zone around 20,880, aligning with a previous supply zone.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the green risk/reward box indicates a positive R:R setup.
4. Additional Confluences
The 200 EMA (blue line) may act as dynamic support.
Volume profile shows a high liquidity area near the killzone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
Previous price action suggests strong reactions from similar levels.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 25 March 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 20500.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance zone between the round resistance level 20000.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of March.
Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 20500.00 (former strong support from January and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
Nas100 buy opportunity Nas100 breakthrough trend line should continue to top resistance levels GTE VIP
NASDAQ: Short term Channel Up on critical Resistance.Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.418, MACD = -276.610, ADX = 37.535) as it has recovered from the oversold state of 2 weeks ago. By doing so, it has formed a Channel Up on the 1H timeframe but as the price hit its top and the 1H RSI has formed a bearish divergence like the previous HH, it is possible to see a quick pullback. As long as the price stays inside the Channel Up, target the 1H MA200 (TP = 19,900). If it crosses above the top of the Channel Up, buy and target the R1 level (TP = 20,650).
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$NDX Bear Flag FlaggingAs we can see on the NASDAQ:NDX there is a Bearflag pattern that has yet to be broken. As it develops on the lower time frames we will watch for price to trade in this channel and develop on the higher time frames.
After struggling at the top, we expect a short term rejection of the channel back down to the 19,516 Level.
US100 Short Fear rises of FED possible ,,No-Rates Cut,,!wE CAN SIMPLY TELL THE SAME REASON trading stocks,indices! Simple: Economy under big inflation pressure.
2 approaches:Conservative and agressive entry. Where breakout traders enter,where others put their takeprofits,where others put stops: Thats my entry.Simple.
Near details ,please take a look at the chart above
US100RSI indicates Bullish Divergence. Trendline Break: A break above a significant downtrend line signals a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This is a key technical signal that buyers are starting to gain control.
USTECUSTEC price is in a correction period. If the price cannot break through the 20664 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will fall.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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NAS100USD Buy Idea: Bullish Momentum Targets 20705🚀 OANDA:NAS100USD Buy Idea: Bullish Momentum Targets 20705 💹 - 24h expiry
OANDA:NAS100USD - We look to Buy at 20025
Stop Loss: 19825
Target 1: 20705
Target 2: 20730
Resistance: 20234, 20705, 20730
Support: 20025, 19423, 19125
Technical Setup:
📈 Continued upward momentum from 19424 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday .
⚠️ Overbought extremes indicate scope for mild selling at the open, but losses should remain limited .
🔑 Medium-term bias remains bullish .
🏁 Key resistance level at 20705 .
📰 News Sentiment
📊 Recent sessions show a bullish uptick in News Sentiment (Red Line), aligning with the price movement (Blue Line).
🌟 Positive sentiment (Red Line) is extending higher, suggesting further upside potential in the short term.
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NQ: 300-500 to end the bounceGood day!
Asian session consolidated and European session continued the bounce. Price is currently above yesterday High. Price might reach the last target of this retrace today. Price is 300-500 points away from it. Then, we should see a short consolidation. around that area. Hence, price will resume the down movement early next week.
Nas100 Gap fill?!! maybe?! NQ for the day i believe we bearish and might maybe try to fill yestersday's opening gap but for a more realistic outcome we can look for the midpoint of the volume imbalance as a possible exit and maybe even the bottom red horizontal line with is the low of the gap.
1hour TF we have a shift in structure lower and price is currently on the OTE levels
US100 Buy Limit not a fan of indices but when opportunity shows themselves we go in , the Goal is bigger than the pairs🤞🏽🥺
BUY Nas100*I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed.
SL 19,818
TP 22,165
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning Folks,
As you can see we are nearing a take profit zone. If you followed my NDX profile you would have started accumulating stocks during the 19500 Zone - This accumulation would have giving you roughly 30% on most stocks trending with the NASDAQ (This is also applicable to other Indexes).
We are nearing another point of uncertainty which is the April tariffs - Will this strike fear in investors again or is it already priced in.
Amidst uncertainty I will always take profit - I am a swing trader which means there is opportunity everyday and every week!
Will NASDAQ Rally Continue? Technical Analysis & Trade Idea.NASDAQ NAS100 (4H Chart) Analysis 📊📈
The NASDAQ NAS100 is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart. The chart suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a potential move toward the 21,013.0 target. 🚀
Key Levels to Watch 👀
Support Levels:
19,750.9: Near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, this level has seen strong buying interest.
19,405.8: The 100% Fibonacci retracement, marking the swing low and a critical support zone.
Resistance Levels:
20,209.4: The 0% Fibonacci retracement, acting as immediate resistance.
20,611.2: The 50% Fibonacci extension, a key target for bullish continuation.
21,013.0: The 100% Fibonacci extension, representing the ultimate bullish target in this trend.
Volume Profile Insights 📉
The Volume Profile shows heavy trading activity between 19,800–20,000, confirming strong support in this range. Above 20,200, trading volume thins out, suggesting that a breakout could lead to a quick rally toward 21,000.
Momentum and Indicators ⚡
Trend: The index is in a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows since the recent swing low.
Fibonacci Confluence: The alignment of the 50% retracement and Volume Profile support strengthens the bullish outlook.
Curved Arrow Projection: A pullback to the 19,800–19,750 zone is likely before the next leg higher toward 21,013.0.
Social Media Sentiment 🌐
Twitter: Analysts are optimistic, citing strong tech sector performance and easing interest rate fears. Many traders are eyeing the 21,000 level as the next milestone.
Reddit: Discussions emphasize the importance of the 19,800 support zone, warning that a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup.
Conclusion 📝
The NASDAQ NAS100 is set for a bullish continuation, with key support at 19,750–19,800 and resistance at 20,209.4 and 21,013.0. Watch for a potential pullback to the 50% Fibonacci retracement before the next upward move. A break below 19,750 could signal a shift in momentum, while a breakout above 20,209.4 would confirm the bullish trend. 🚀
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a professional before trading. 📢
