NAS and Oil Down - Minimal DrawdownQuick thoughts and reasons for trades taken with almost zero drawdown
Nas Short/Oil Short Trades
NDX trade ideas
Can Tech Strength Still Drive Markets Amid Trade Tensions?Macro approach:
The Nasdaq 100 (USTEC) began Jun with strong momentum after its best monthly performance since 2023, fueled by robust tech earnings and a brief lull in tariff concerns.
- However, renewed US-China trade tensions resurfaced early in the week, briefly weighing on sentiment before a market rebound restored cautious optimism.
- Nvidia (NVDA) surged due to the continued demand for AI chips. At the same time, Tesla (TSLA) drew investor focus ahead of its 12 Jun robotaxi launch, helping maintain positive momentum in the face of geopolitical uncertainty.
Technical approach:
- USTEC is now testing the previous swing high near 218000, staying above both EMAs, a sign of ongoing bullish strength.
- A clear break above 21800 would likely open the path toward the record-high zone near 22200.
- Failure to do so may trigger a pullback toward the nearest support of around 20700.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
starting shortIt seems that the week is set to start with a bearish move. Again, bulls can't hold or defend levels.
there isn't much to say, if bulls wont support America, it`s on them
Short US100Think we see a move up to the 0.786 fib level from the recent highs with a rejection down further if more blocks or doubt is cast on the new trade deals and tariffs.
TP would be the weekly lows
Bearish thoughts
- The fundamentals of the tariffs deals are getting challenged
- A bit more aggressiveness from china and we might see a move down
- Daily MACD is pointing down suggesting downward pressure which we are seeing on hourly chart
Bullish structure remains on the 4hr chart
NASDAQ - SellsHey fellow traders - did you see the sells today on the US100?
Same as a few other pairs - had very good signal alerts to have take.
As per instructions - you always enter on the label print with SL above or below the signal bar - depending on buys or sells.
Hope you are enjoying the indicators we made available.
NASDAQplanning this coming weeks trade on NAS... so here do have a common reaccurence that happens where price goes into accumulation then making a fake out just to go the opposite way, not its retracing to mitigate a candle i found in the 1hr entry but going to wait, quick RR 1:20
NASDAQ Markup- Not in the Trade, But the Lesson's ClearDidn’t take this one—not trading NASDAQ right now—but I still mapped it out from the 30M perspective just to stay sharp.
4H gave bullish intent after breaking the major macro LH, so I followed the flow.
Saw a clean 30M inducement sweep, price then mitigated internal structure OB, and I marked exactly where I would’ve entered with LTF confirmation.
Didn’t trade it, but the logic’s there—and if you’ve been watching… you already know what it’s doing now. 🧠📈
Every setup teaches something.
– Inducement King
Bless Trading!
NAS100 BEARISH FOR 35,532 TICKS1. Understanding the Target (35,532 Ticks)
1 tick in NAS100 (CFD/Futures) typically represents 0.25 index points (varies by broker).
35,532 ticks = 35,532 × 0.25 = 8,883 points.
This suggests a long-term bullish outlook if starting from current levels (~18,000-19,000).
2. Key Analysis for NAS100 Forecast
Trend: NAS100 is strongly influenced by tech stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, etc.) and Fed policy.
Support Levels:
Major support at 18,000-18,500 (2024 consolidation zone).
Resistance Levels:
19,500-20,000 (ATH zone).
21,000-22,000 (next psychological barrier).
3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy
If entering a long position (assuming bullish trend continuation):
Short-term TP: 19,500 (scalping).
Medium-term TP: 20,500-21,000 (swing trade).
Long-term TP (35,532 ticks): ~26,883 (if starting from 18,000).
If entering a short position (unlikely given bullish bias):
TP at key supports (17,500 or lower).
4. Risk Management
Use stop-loss (SL) below key support (e.g., 17,800 for longs).
Position sizing: Risk ≤1-2% per trade.
5. Conclusion
Bullish Case: If NAS100 breaks 20,000, the 35,532-tick (8,883-point) target could be possible in a strong bull run.
Bearish Case: Unlikely unless major crash (Fed tightening/geopolitical crisis).
US100 Not yet ready for ATH - Structural BreakdownHere’s a detailed breakdown of the US Tech 100 - NASDAQ on the daily chart and why a lift off to ATHs may not be in play just yet.
✅ Key imbalance zones mapped out
🔻 Expecting downside clean-up before upside continuation
📊 FVGs & inefficiencies stacked below = high-probability revisit zones
If you’re trading NASDAQ, this map could be your cheat sheet before price makes its real move.
The market is respecting the ascending channel, but I’m expecting a cleanup of inefficiencies stacked below before any major continuation. Keep an eye on the key zones marked — price may revisit these areas for liquidity.
📉 Possible short-term correction
📈 Bias still bullish, but not without some pain first
Happy Trading !
Nasdaq analysis: 29-May-2025Good morning, everyone! Today's Nasdaq analysis is designed to educate and empower. Use these insights to refine your price action trading strategy.
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Swing-low support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,877.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 20,640.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 21,243.05 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Trend Line Breakout – USNAS100The USNAS100 has shown signs of bearish momentum following a decisive break below a key trend line. This breakdown suggests increased selling pressure, potentially leading to lower price levels. Technical indicators support the bearish bias, with momentum shifting in favuor of the bears. The first target at 20,898 represents an initial support zone, while the second target at 20,270 could be reached if downside pressure intensifies. Traders should monitor volume and price action for continued confirmation and use appropriate risk management strategies, including stop-loss placement above the trend line, to protect against reversal scenarios.
Entry: 21,170
1st Target Point: 20,898
2nd Target Point: 20,270
2008 - 2025 History repeats itselfHistory is nothing but repetition.
Mankind writing their own history.
US 100 – Further Moves Await NVIDIA Earnings UpdateGlobal stock indices have reacted positively at the start of this new trading week to President Trump’s decision to extend a deadline which would impose a tariff of 50% on EU goods imported into the US from June 1st to July 9th.
Taken alongside a new willingness being signalled from the EU side to speed the negotiating process along in key areas, means trader hopes have increased that a deal between the first and third largest of the world’s economies can be agreed in principle within the allotted time.
Focusing on US stock indices, the US 100 has risen 2.4% this week, taking it only a small step away from its recent highs at 21493 seen on May 20th. However, later today, the rally is about to face possibly its biggest challenge of the week in the form of earnings from the second biggest company on the planet ($3.3 trillion mkt cap) and AI bellwether NVIDIA, which are released after the market close.
Traders will not only be looking to judge company’s actual performance against expectations but will be eager to receive updates on the impact of President Trump’s tariffs on future revenue, chip deals with the Middle East, competition and its outlook for AI demand moving forward.
Answers to these questions and others may well impact sentiment towards technology stocks and the US 100 moving into the end of the week, and month, on Friday.
With increased volatility a possibility, knowing the technical outlook can also be helpful.
Technical Update: Focus on the May Highs at 21493
While last week did see correction themes develop within the US 100 index, there appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift yet, as fresh buying developed above support provided by the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772 (see chart below).
However, looking forward, if the NVIDIA earnings prompt an increase in US 100 price volatility, what are the levels traders may be watching for clues to the next directional themes?
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772, represents a first support for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves while not a guarantee of declines, could lead to a deeper sell-off towards 20001, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 21st to May 20th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With this week seeing fresh price strength emerge from above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers currently being willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the May high at 21493 (May 20th), with closing breaks above this level required to suggest further strength might then be on the cards, towards what could prove to be the next potential resistance level at 22226, which is the February 18th 2025 all-time high.
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4hr break and retestgoing long here, price action is nice and simple
i am aiming for a 50 percent retracement to or close to the gerneral price action where it has previously broke out
NASDAS PLANHello, good ? Me no.
I see this pattern. Consolidation this summer and fall in August and Setpember.
Bottom is December 2025.
After ? idk.
Good luck
NAS100-TEC100 - THE SECRETE OF TRADING INDICES STRATEGYTeam,
yesterday we short the NAS, DOW, DAX and long the GOLD - 4 out of 4 perfectly target hit
Now, we are going long, i want you to carefully look at the picture and understand the concept of how I structure the trade. This has been calculate using my statistic and probability to ensure our entry is safe.
First picture, is buying small volume, if market volatile and push further down, i need you to double up your trade, this allow us to win better.
That's the reason why you saw my videos that everyday i show LIVE trading and profitable every trade. However, always carefully look at your capital and know exactly how much risk are you going to take.
Remember, you can win straight 3-6 months and if you failed risk management and overleverage yourself, the account can easily be kill within 1 day.
Hope you all have a great day.!
NASDAQThe target is for the price of 21272.4 to fall, with any correction if the ceiling of 21802 is not broken, a short trade can be made.
CAPITALCOM:US100
NAS100 ChannelThis is a channel on nas100 to be checked whenever you wish to , and observe the deviations of the trend
NASDAQ Potential Bullish ContinuationNASDAQ price action seems to exhibit signs of potential Bullish momentum as the price action may form a credible Higher High (after tarriff delays on the EU) with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 21600
Stop Loss : 20550
TP 1: 22649
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21290 Zone ( Break Out Done )
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 21300
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 21000
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 21250 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 21150 – Liquidity Engineered
Bearish US100everything is clear that the price will goes down after several times rejected from top.
