NDX trade ideas
NASDAQ Close to the 1st 1D Golden Cross in 2 years!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the December 2022 Low and is currently extending the gains of the latest Bullish Leg.
At the same time it is about to form the first 1D Golden Cross in more than 2 years (since March 08 2023). The last two major Bullish Legs of this pattern, before the previous one was interrupted by the Trade War, were pretty symmetrical, peaking at +49.21% and +47.47% respectively.
If the current one follows the +47.47% 'minimum', we should be expecting Nasdaq to hit 24000 by late Q3.
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"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), here’s our master plan to heist the NDX - NASDAQ 100 INDEX. Follow the strategy on the chart—long entry is the play! Aim to escape near the high-risk RED Zone (overbought, consolidation, potential reversal). The bears are lurking, so take profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🚀Entry (The Vault is Open!)
"Swipe the bullish loot at any price!"
For precision, place buy limit orders within 15-30min timeframe (recent swing lows/highs).
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🛑 Stop Loss (Safety Net)
Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,000.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
🏴☠️ Target 🎯: 22,800.00
Bullish momentum is fueling this heist—ride the wave but exit before the trap!
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Macroeconomic trends, COT data, geopolitics, and sentiment align for bullish moves.
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Avoid new trades during high-impact news (volatility = danger).
Use trailing stops to lock profits and dodge sudden reversals.
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NSDQ100 bullish continuation supported at 21300Markets & Geopolitics:
Investors are holding back as Trump may try diplomacy before acting against Iran. Oil prices dropped, European stocks rose, and the dollar slipped.
Tensions remain high: Israel hit Iranian missile and nuclear sites, and Iran’s president demanded Israel stop unconditionally. Iran’s foreign minister is in Geneva for talks, and the country is speeding up oil exports.
Technology:
SoftBank’s founder Masayoshi Son wants to partner with TSMC to build a huge AI and robotics hub in Arizona. It’s unclear if TSMC will join, as it’s already investing $165 billion in the US.
US Politics & Immigration:
A court backed Trump’s use of the National Guard during LA protests, despite pushback from California’s governor. A deeper report looks at how immigration raids affect workers.
Trade & Business:
Canada may raise tariffs on US steel and aluminum if trade talks stall. Meanwhile, Temu’s US sales are falling as it cuts back on ads. A Fidelity manager says markets have likely priced in Trump’s tariff threats and sees opportunity in mid-sized companies.
Key Trading Levels:
Resistance Level 1: 22070
Resistance Level 2: 22370
Resistance Level 3: 22780
Support Level 1: 21300
Support Level 2: 21060
Support Level 3: 20820
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ 2 Expected Scenarios Very Clear , Which One You Prefer ?Here is my opinion on Nasdaq on 4H T.F , The price still below my res so we can sell it if the price touch the res level again , and if we have a daily closure above my res then we can buy it with retest for the broken res , so it`s very easy if we still below the res we can sell and if we going up it we can buy it . but we need a daily closure above first .
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21710
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 21550
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
NASDAQ READY TO CONTINUE THE LONG-TERM WEEKLY BULLISH RUN
FX:NAS100
I just entered this buy trade on Nasdaq on the daily time frame.
The trade setup is a Swing trade following the monthly and weekly orderflow.
The Monthly is bullish, the weekly is also bullish, so I entered on the daily time frame retracement.
My overall take profit is a risk reward of 1:4.
Pullback before next leg up
NASDAQ’s looking weak short term. We’ve seen multiple rejections from the highs, an M pattern forming on the daily, and RSI divergence creeping in on the daily — momentum is clearly fading. I already took profit around 21980. And a few small swings between the range since 3rd of June.
The rally off the tariff drop was sharp, but it feels mechanical. Bulls look tired here. You can see price is stalling — pushing into the same highs but getting nowhere. Classic signs of distribution.
That said, this isn’t the start of a full-blown bear market. The long-term trend remains bullish. AI investment is still piling into the U.S., tech’s still leading globally, and structurally we haven’t broken down yet. Some weakness is starting to show though.
But short term, I think we see a pullback. The Fed’s still sitting on the fence with rate cuts, which is creating uncertainty. Add that to the current geopolitical tensions, and there’s enough on the table to justify a temporary risk-off move.
If price breaks and closes above 21,860, I’ll reassess and potentially shift back to a bullish bias. Until then, I’m leaning short and letting price action do the talking.
My key downside levels:
TP1: 21,483 — scale out and protect.
TP2: 21,322 — potential bounce from this area.
TP3: 21,145 — structure starts to weaken.
TP4: 20,894 — bears starting to control and a deeper flush, I’ll reassess bias at this level.
SL @ 21850 on my second entry short
Short term: pullback likely.
Big picture: still bullish — but bulls need to reset before any next leg up.
Nasdaq100 currection into ATH OANDA:NAS100USD
i was asked, are we still in an up-trending bull market?
Assuming nothing fundamentally changes with the US tech market, technicals still point to a heavy up-trend, this implies a high likelihood of US100 making an ATH again, but we are likely to see a correction back to 300 dayMA before significant liquidity supports a break of ATHs.
US100 2H in a Symmetrical Triangle—Eyes on BREAKOUT!1. A Symmetrical Triangle in Play
Rising support line (green) connecting the sequence of higher lows.
Falling resistance line (red) connecting the lower highs.
Price is squeezing into the apex of that triangle – classic consolidation/indecision.
What to watch:
A clean break above the red trendline (~21,820–21,850) would be a bullish signal.
A break below the green trendline (~21,650–21,670) would open the door for a move down toward 21,500 or even the 21,400 zone.
2. Value & “Premium” Zones
The green shaded area around 21,500–21,600 is marked “Equilibrium/Value,” where buyers have stepped in repeatedly.
Above ~21,950 there’s a “Premium” supply zone (red) where heavy selling has shown up.
These zones can act as sensible targets or rejection areas once price breaks out of the triangle.
3. Key Reference Levels
PDH / PDL (Previous Day High / Low): ~21,860 / ~21,620
PWH / PWL (Previous Week High / Low): ~21,960 / ~21,430
Traders often use these to confirm break-outs (e.g. holding above PDH now that it’s pierced).
4. Momentum Indicators
MACD: Lines hovering just under zero, histogram weakening → suggests the bulls aren’t quite firing on all cylinders yet.
RSI: Sitting around mid-40s, neutral but with a slight downside bias.
Neither is over-extended; momentum is “sleepy,” which aligns with the triangle/consolidation picture.
5. What This Means for Traders
Neutral bias until one side wins the breakout.
Bull scenario: Triangle → breakout → retest of ~21,820 → rocket toward 22,000–22,200 supply zone.
Bear scenario: Failure at the red trendline → drop through support → test 21,600 then 21,400 demand areas.
FOMC short: waiting for this short entry to get activated.1. Entry ~21,884.4
Why here? Price has rallied into that red “supply” zone (fair-value gap + bearish order block), then chopped down and back up to retest its lower edge. That level also coincides with the broken swing pivot (Change-of-Character from bull→bear). We short the retest, expecting supply to push price lower.
2. Stop-loss 21,912.0
Why there? Just above the top of the supply zone/weak high. If price climbs above 21,912, it’s cleared the zone and negated the bearish bias—so we get out.
3. Take-Profits
TP1 at 21,800.9 (the old swing-high turned support, labeled “PMH”)
First support zone—locks in quick gains and covers your risk.
TP2 at 21,675.0 (the previous day’s low, labeled “PDL”)
A deeper support area where sellers will likely pause or flip to buyers.
(Optional TP3 at 21,575.8 if you want a final scalp into the gray “equilibrium”/demand zone.)
NASDAQ Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup Example XIIaight, so im gonna break down a trade i took on nasdaq today using a setup i picked out myself from the ict concepts. just my own flavor of it, ya know
before i knock out at night, i open up the charts real quick — just tryna see if there's any clean liquidity chillin’ nearby. if there aint, i shut it down and catch some solid sleep. but if there is... bingo baby
this basically means i might just wake up rich tomorrow, bro. on the daily, im seeing two strong green days back to back, and right above that boom some equal highs just sitting there, begging to get run. they are even cleaner on the 1h. bias locked in. im waking up tomorrow and hunting longs, simple as that.
i mark up the daily open first thing. if im lookin for longs, i wanna see some turtle soup under the open. if im hunting shorts, i need that setup above the open. thats just how i roll.
if there is a swing low, trend liquidity, or some equal lows carryin over from yesterday, im locked in on those levels for turtle soup. if not, im just chillin, waitin for price to build some fresh liquidity during the day and then snatch it.
in this setup, i got some leftover liquidity from yesterday plus a clean 4h fvg sittin there like a neon sign.
next, i check the time. liquidity grabs usually hit during one of the killzones depends on the pair, but im watchin asia, london, or new york sessions.
then i scope out if there is any news droppin around that time, especially stuff that could move the pair. no point in getting blindsided.
and yeah, i always peep correlated pairs too sometimes they snitch before your chart even says a word.
when all the stars and planets line up just right, that is when I drop down to the 15m and wait for a clean csd to show up. but here is the thing i dont jump in the second i see it. i wanna see price actually leave the liquidity zone.
yeah, it might lower my rr a bit, but the win rate goes way up. It keeps me outta those fake-ass turtle soups that look good at first but just wanna wreck your stop.
once im in the trade, i usually try to close out half the position the same day take profits where the chance of price reversing is damn near zero. then i let the other half ride toward my target liquidity. just lettin it breathe, do its thing.
thats it, peace out
NSDQ100 Geopolitics, Fed & Rates Outlook Geopolitics & Market Sentiment
Iran-Israel conflict enters its sixth day, raising fears of broader escalation.
Speculation is building that Donald Trump may authorize the use of the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (bunker-buster bomb) to target Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Trump is also meeting with Pakistan’s army chief today for talks on Iran, adding to geopolitical uncertainty.
So far, Iran’s oil infrastructure remains intact, and Hezbollah has stayed out of the conflict, limiting immediate economic fallout.
Fed & Rates Outlook
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady today as it waits for clearer economic signals amid ongoing Trump policy shifts.
Trump is pressuring the Fed, now arguing for lower rates to cut US debt costs.
Traders are building record positions betting on a dovish Fed shift after Powell's term ends in May 2026.
Market Implications for NSDQ100
Nasdaq futures are mildly positive, supported by:
Stability in tech earnings outlook
Expectations of Fed staying on hold, with a possible dovish bias emerging
However, Middle East tensions remain a risk. Any strike on oil infrastructure or major military escalation could:
Trigger a risk-off move
Push oil prices higher, raising inflation concerns
Weigh on tech stocks sensitive to rate outlooks and sentiment
Key Focus for Nasdaq Traders Today:
Fed decision and Powell’s tone (especially on inflation and growth risks)
Headlines from the Middle East
Oil price action near the five-month high (WTI around $73.50–$74)
Resistance Level 1: 22070
Resistance Level 2: 22370
Resistance Level 3: 22780
Support Level 1: 21300
Support Level 2: 21060
Support Level 3: 20820
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to the money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history. Despite the significant amount of money pumped in during the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy has not kept pace with all the zeros added to Gov debt.
If we can't lower deficits now at max employment, when will we?
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
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USNAS100 - Mideast Conflict & Fed Uncertainty Pressure FuturesWall Street Futures Edge Lower Amid Prolonged Mideast Conflict
U.S. stock index futures slipped slightly on Tuesday as the ongoing Middle East conflict entered its fifth day, weighing on global sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting.
Technical Outlook:
Price action remains in a sensitive zone, but the bias stays bearish below 21930.
🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 21790 would likely trigger a deeper move toward 21635, and potentially 21470.
🔺 On the upside, a break above 21930 would indicate renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 22065 and 22200.
📌 If price holds above 21790, a test of 21930 is likely.
Any positive geopolitical developments or ceasefire negotiations could spark a stronger upside move.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 21790
• Resistance: 21930 / 22065 / 22200
• Support: 21635 / 21470 / 21375
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) daily analysis Distribution & Accumulation Zone🧭 CAPITALCOM:US100
Market Interpretation & Scenarios
🟢 Accumulation Zone (Demand / Buy-Side Liquidity)
21,640–21,720 region
• Strong buying reaction post-CHoCH + bullish BOS.
• Green FVG + “Long” entry = Smart Money likely accumulating.
• Price made a new HH and is now retracing into the gray FVG & BB zone.
• 🔍 If 21,800–21,775 holds, price may push higher and retest or break 21,960.
• 🎯 Upside Targets: 22,000–22,050 (next liquidity grab).
🔴 Distribution Zone (Supply / Sell-Side Liquidity)
21,920–21,960 region
• Premium zone where HH formed, followed by retracement.
• Red FVG + rejection = Smart Money potentially distributing.
• Failure to close above suggests a temporary distribution range.
• ❗️ If gray FVG breaks down, expect a drop toward green FVG (~21,680) or lower.
• A CHoCH near 21,775 would confirm a bearish shift in structure