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US100There’s a **Sell opportunity** forming on **US100**, but this one carries a bit more risk compared to the others. That’s why I recommend opening the trade with a **smaller lot size** just for this setup. 🔍 **Criteria:** ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 20021.8 ✔️ Take Profit: 19945.8 ✔️ Stop Loss: 20059.6 🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Nurlan_PT
Approaching 200SMA and long-term uptrend line, pullback expected(The following is a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please exercise independent judgment before making any decisions.) Last week, the market remained in a consolidation phase near recent highs. The current price has broken through and is approaching the 200-day moving average, while also nearing a retest of the uptrend line that began in 2023. Considering the price has been on a 9-day upward streak, there is a high probability of a significant pullback upon reaching these key resistance levels. At present, it is difficult to categorize the overall market trend as either bullish or bearish. With ongoing uncertainty around tariff-related policies, the market appears to be in a consolidation phase rather than a sustained uptrend, lacking fundamental support for further rallies. As such, there is a higher probability that the price will fill the lower gap at 18,264. Next week, special attention should be given to the FOMC rate decision and the press conference on Wednesday. Recent employment data has been strong, and inflation has shown signs of rising. The Fed is expected to maintain its current stance, which could trigger a market sell off. It's also possible the pullback may begin as early as Monday or Tuesday, offering opportunities for early positioning. From a technical perspective, if the price continues to rise, it may test the area around the 200-day moving average and previous trend resistance, roughly between 20,226 and 20,400. Should this area be tested early in the week (Monday or Tuesday), I would consider initiating short positions. Light positions can be considered above the 20,000 level, as the current price range offers a relatively favorable risk-to-reward. To the downside, a break below the 19,000 level is required first, after which there's a higher probability of filling the price gap between 18,264 and 18,583. If supported by macro news, the market may further test lower levels in the coming weeks, including 17,589, 17,278–16,946, and potentially 16,108–16,589. These levels will require further observation as developments unfold.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by zygliu
US100 Locking as Bullish directionUS00 Structure Looking as strong Bullish Pattern, Forecast from Mr Martin Date 02 May 2025, US100 Price will looking as buy side recently price will break and catch the support after push to buy side the bullish structure continue to play out the next project would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel US100 is holding its bullish structure well, Key Level to watch Resistance level 20,500 / 21,000 Support Levels 19,500 you can find more details in the chart of you find this idea help or learned something new then leave comments Thanks for Regarding.
SKILLING:US100Long
by MrMartin_11
Long-term bearish to 14kJust adding to the idea previously posted: A black upward trendline shows a strong bullish trend from mid-2022 through early 2025. Recently, there’s been a significant breakdown below this trendline, which signals a substantial change in trend from bullish to bearish. On Friday, we tested and rejected this trendline, which at the same time tested a 65% (golden pocket) retracement of the recent move, indicating a possible resistance area after a strong rebound. I expect the price not to break this level any further. The target remains 14k and below.
FPMARKETS:US100Short
by matejmn
1
US100 – Bullish Continuation Setting Up Inside the ChannelUS100 remains firmly bullish, showing consistent strength after breaking out from the prior consolidation range in mid-April. Price action has been moving cleanly within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by strong impulsive moves followed by shallow retracements. Each pullback so far has been relatively controlled, and buyers have been stepping in aggressively from clearly defined zones, which aligns with the current risk-on sentiment across tech-heavy indices. Consolidation Structure We’ve now had two solid retests of prior fair value gaps (FVGs), both of which acted as demand zones and helped fuel continuation. The first pullback dropped into a previously formed imbalance, consolidated briefly, and then launched a strong bullish leg. The second did the same, creating a layered structure of bullish continuation through efficient retracements. Each of these reactions confirms that price is respecting areas where institutional orders may have been left behind, which adds confluence to the trend’s strength. Currently, price is working on forming a third FVG within the upper half of the channel. This is developing just below recent highs and has not yet been retested, which makes it a key area of interest. If the market pulls back into that imbalance with proper structure, it could offer the next high-probability opportunity to join the trend. Bullish Scenario If price retraces into this newly forming FVG and holds, especially with a wick or lower timeframe rejection candle inside the zone, it could mark the start of the next impulse. The overall trend remains intact as long as we stay within the channel and each FVG continues to serve as valid support. Given the strength of the previous bounces and the orderly nature of this structure, any retest into this new FVG would likely lead to another push into fresh highs and a move toward the upper boundary of the channel. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if price fails to respect this new FVG and breaks below with momentum, especially if the channel support fails at the same time, it would be a sign that buyers are losing control. In that case, we’d want to see how price interacts with the last confirmed FVG below before making any bearish assumptions. A deeper pullback into that area could still provide another long opportunity if structure holds, but any sharp momentum break through both imbalances would put the bullish trend on pause and shift focus to downside levels. Price Target and Expectations Assuming the bullish structure continues to play out, the next projected move would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel. There’s enough space left between current levels and the upper trendline to justify an entry on the next pullback, provided it lands inside the newly created FVG. The setup is fairly straightforward, let price come back into the imbalance, confirm with lower timeframe strength, and ride the continuation leg. Current Stance There’s no need to chase price here. The best scenario is waiting for a patient retest of the fresh FVG forming now. If it pulls back cleanly, holds the zone, and gives confirmation, that would be the entry. Momentum, structure, and market context are all aligned for continuation, but the trade needs to be built off a level that shows actual commitment from buyers. Conclusion US100 is holding its bullish structure well, forming clean legs within an ascending channel, and repeatedly respecting fair value gaps as demand zones. With a new imbalance forming beneath the most recent high, the setup is shaping up for another continuation play if price rotates back and holds. It’s a wait-and-see moment for now, but if the FVG gets tagged and buyers show up, this could be the next leg higher in an already strong trend. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TehThomas
47
NASDAQ-100 Head & Shoulders Breakdown?I've been tracking a potential head and shoulders pattern on the NASDAQ-100, with a neckline at 17,720. If the pattern completes and breaks down convincingly, the measured move projects a target near 13,200 — a significant potential drop. While technical patterns aren’t guarantees, they often coincide with underlying fundamentals. In this case, there are several macroeconomic headwinds that could catalyze such a decline: Sticky Inflation and Interest Rate Uncertainty: Despite some progress, inflation remains above the Fed’s target. A “higher for longer” rate environment continues to pressure equity valuations, especially in tech-heavy indexes like the NASDAQ-100. Weakening Consumer and Corporate Spending: Retail sales and corporate earnings revisions have shown signs of fatigue, suggesting slowing momentum in key economic drivers. Global Tensions and Supply Chain Risks: Ongoing geopolitical instability, including issues in the Middle East and renewed U.S.–China trade rhetoric, could reignite volatility and affect global growth assumptions. Overvaluation and Narrow Market Breadth: A small group of mega-cap tech names have driven much of the recent rally, leaving the broader market vulnerable if leadership falters. With technical and fundamental factors aligning, this setup is worth watching closely. A confirmed break below the neckline could be more than just a chart pattern—it may reflect a broader shift in sentiment.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by technicaltrader18
Don't let the Recession paralysed you !!!!Read these few articles here , here and here If you buy into any of the above articles as the gospel truth, you may freak out and starts to sell your holdings in US as some gurus advised you to do so. Take a step back and asked - WHY ? Is the content creator saying this out of your interests or his ? Remember, positive news seldom receive likes and sharing but negative on the other hand will receive more. That is why it is easier to spell doom, gloom and boom and have lots of people liking it ! Of the 3 main indices, the Tech stocks have already gotten out of the woods as it has been up more than 20% from the bottom. SPX and DJA are still playing catch up. Due to the tariffs, many goods produced in US and are sold in China are now seeing dwindling sales. Patriotism or "guo chao" in Chinese is the anti-US sentiments that is now hot in China. That means the locals will rather buy Anta or Li Ning sports shoes over Nike or Adidas. Same for cosmetics! There are some technical chartists or analysts saying this is a dead cat bounce and once the price hit the support line (in purple), it will continue to sell down. Yes, it is possible though I think it is less probable. 6 months down the road when we look back and IF I am lucky and predicted correctly, there will be many people who will kick themselves for missing a nice bottom buy on 9th April (thanks to Donald Trump who tweeted it). Timing the market is TOUGH as I had learnt my lessons . WB , the legendary guru is right - be in the market meaning invest in the market for the long haul in fundamentally strong companies with economic moat and strong cash flows, etc will reap better returns. As usual, please DYODD
TVC:NDQLong
by dchua1969
Price Outcomes"This Is For The Record" Dealing Range(DR) -Previous day High and Low Seeing that Wednesday sell side liquidity DR swept by Thursday London sweep. To confirm Thursday sweep, Wednesday high broken by Thursday Price retraced 61% of Thursday DR to AOI-"iFVG" as support to go higher Today London open showed support to Asia Low displacing to Asia high and breaking through it Clear 1hr OB left in London session for NY to retrace and balance price Now that NY opened and went higher we can still be open to PDH challenged as no Session lows or major key levels PDH-PDL broken If still bullish price will have to break PDH and sweep internal liquidity lows If bearish previous day high- PDH to be sweep area of interest AOI in NY and show clear bearish rejection, NY now at 30min order block -OB in premium area of dealing range-DR, if there is rejection to the OB, Price must displace NY low and respect any form of resistance made to the NY low eg. FVG or OB I wont participate in sell unless previous day low displaced. Sit back and wait for the market to show its hand at key levels and AOI. Bravo Six. Badged member of the SAS. Task Force QT17
FX:NAS100
by Mr-Price
NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationTrade Tensions – Trump’s Tariff Plans Donald Trump said he will set new tariff rates on trading partners within the next 2–3 weeks. China tariffs may remain at 30% through late 2025, according to a Bloomberg survey. Relevance: Renewed tariff threats could pressure Nasdaq 100 names with global exposure, especially semiconductors and large-cap tech (e.g., Apple, Nvidia). Heightened inflation and supply chain risks may weigh on broader risk sentiment. Geopolitical Risks – Russia, Middle East Trump is open to meeting Vladimir Putin, though peace talks in Istanbul remain unproductive. Meanwhile, he returns from the Middle East with $200 billion in UAE investment deals. Relevance: Limited direct impact on Nasdaq 100, but reinforces broader geopolitical uncertainty, which may influence market volatility and global risk appetite. Meta Under Pressure – Competition and Regulation ByteDance, owner of TikTok, is reportedly on track to match Meta’s revenue this year. Meta shares fell on reports of delayed AI development and increasing EU regulatory pressure around user age restrictions. Relevance: Meta (META) faces increasing headwinds from both competition and regulation. Sentiment could spill into other ad-driven or AI-exposed Nasdaq 100 names. xAI Controversy – Grok AI Glitch Elon Musk’s xAI chatbot Grok posted controversial content due to unauthorized system tampering. The company has since corrected the issue. Relevance: Raises concerns about oversight and content control in the AI space. May indirectly affect sentiment around AI-related names in the Nasdaq 100, including Tesla and other emerging AI platforms. Conclusion – Nasdaq 100 Implications Caution warranted around large-cap tech, especially Meta and AI-focused companies. Trade war rhetoric and geopolitical risk could add volatility to the broader index. Watch for market reactions to tariff announcements, regulatory headlines, and key AI developments. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 21540 Resistance Level 2: 21710 Resistance Level 3: 21900 Support Level 1: 20890 Support Level 2: 20730 Support Level 3: 20600 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NASDAQ Potential Bullish Reversal OpportunityNASDAQ price action went through a massive correction during the global tariff war. However after potential recent developments, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape. This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the Daily and shorter timeframes. Trade Plan : Entry @ 20440 Stop Loss @ 19500 TP 1 @ 21380
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by LevelsBySBT