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SPX500 trade ideas

SPX500USD| BEARISH VOLUME HELLO SPX500 The price followed my previous analysis, experiencing a sharp decline. After such a steep drop, a corrective movement is necessary, and currently, the price is in a retracement phase toward the 5886 level. If it manages to break above this level, the price is likely to extend its upward correction, potentially reaching the upper boundary of the channel or even testing the 5947 resistance. However, despite this short-term correction, the overall bearish trend remains dominant. Once the correction phase is exhausted, we anticipate the price to resume its downward movement, breaking through all intermediate support levels until it reaches the primary bearish target at 5777. This expectation aligns with the prevailing downtrend structure, reinforcing the continuation of bearish momentum.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6140.Dear Colleagues, price has gone lower than I thought it would and now we need to redraw the waves. Apparently, the price has updated the minimum of wave “2”. Therefore, I believe that the price will soon continue the upward movement in wave “3” anyway. The “ABC” correction seems to be completed and the 5915 area served as support for the second time. I expect the price to touch this area once again and then continue to the resistance area of 6140. Or it will immediately start moving towards this area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
14
SP500USD| BEARISH CONFIRMATION AND KEY SUPPORT LEVELSHello traders, The price has stabilised below the support zone, reinforcing the bearish trend as long as it continues to trade beneath this level. Remaining below this zone is likely to drive the price down to 5,947. If this level is breached, the price will encounter the channel, which must be broken with a 4-hour candle close to confirm the bearish trend. Beyond this, a strong support zone lies ahead, which may cause multiple upward rebounds before the price eventually breaks through. The bullish trend is activated by passing the three main levels of 6002, 6074, and 6102.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
S&P 500 Breakdown | What’s Causing the Drop? The S&P 500 has broken down from a rising wedge pattern, triggering a sharp decline. Let’s break down why this is happening and what it could mean for the market. 🔍 Key Reasons for the Sell-Off 1️⃣ Rising Yields and Interest Rate Fears The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates remains a major driver of market movement. Recent economic data has delayed expectations of rate cuts, leading to a spike in Treasury yields. Higher yields make equities less attractive, pushing investors toward bonds instead of stocks. 2️⃣ Overextended Market & Profit-Taking The S&P 500 hit all-time highs recently, and many stocks had become overbought. Large funds and institutions may be taking profits, especially in high-growth tech stocks. This type of rotation can trigger a broader market pullback as traders lock in gains. 3️⃣ Technical Breakdown of Key Support Levels The S&P 500 broke below critical support at 5,866, which has now turned into resistance. The index also failed to hold key moving averages, confirming a technical breakdown. Volume on red days has increased, showing strong selling pressure. 4️⃣ Weakness in Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Big Tech stocks like NVDA, AAPL, and GOOGL, which have led the rally, are seeing a pullback. This weakness drags down the overall index, as these stocks have an outsized influence on the S&P 500. 5️⃣ Geopolitical & Economic Uncertainty Global tensions and rising oil prices are adding pressure to markets. Concerns about slowing economic growth are also weighing on investor sentiment. Earnings reports from major companies have been mixed, adding to the uncertainty. What’s Next? The S&P 500 could find support around 5,750 - 5,800 if the selling continues. A rebound above 6,000 would signal strength, but failing to reclaim key levels could mean further downside. The 200-day SMA is still holding, so bulls still have hope unless we see a deeper break. Is this just a pullback, or are we seeing the start of a larger correction? Let me know your thoughts!
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
S&P 500 Index Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025 - S&P 500 index broke support zone - Likely to fall support level 5800.00 S&P 500 index recently broke the support zone between the key support level 5925.00 (low of the previous waves a and c), the support trendline of the daily up channel from September and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term correction ii – which belongs to the higher raves 3 and (C). S&P 500 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 5800.00, a low of the previous minor corrections a and 2.
SP:SPXShort
by FxProGlobal
The stock market is not "Crashing"!I keep hearing people saying the stock market is crashing, a mild pullback is hardly a crash, we are not crashing, at least not yet, and maybe not for an extended period. We use the S&P 500 because it is the best gauge of our markets with the most diverse representation of any of our indices. A short history of the trend of our stock marker since 1992, correlated to presidencies. 1992-1999 Clinton: Stock market transitioned from fairly flat to a steady ascending path, we reduced our yearly deficit 6 years and had a budget surplus 2 years. 2000-2007 George Bush Jr: Descending or neutral trend most of the 8 years, we broke our 15 year ascending trend and started an overall descending trend. Deregulation led to the recession via predatory lending giving Walmart cashiers $300k loans, banks labeling bad debt as Grade A and banks leveraging 80% of all of Americans money on risky investments. 2008 was devastating for the US Stock market. Increased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years. 2008-2015 Obama: Converted descending trend back to ascending trend and trended up in a tight ascending channel for the rest of his presidency, while implementing an array of regulations to prevent banks from doing this to America again. Decreased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years. 2016-2020 Trump.v1: Maintained tight ascending channel and broke out of 15 year resistance, introduced a lot of lot of volatility and uncertainty, ultimately ended term with the market on the same trajectory it was when he took office. Diluted all US Dollars by 50%, 25% of the dilution was in 2020, coupled with $3T of quantitative easing in a single year (2020) and more than $2T direct stimulus, this dilution and excessive stimulus during a supply chain crunch directly conveyed into rising inflation the following 2 years. Increased our yearly deficit every year in office. 2021-2024 Biden: Broke out of ascending path to a much steeper and unsustainable ascending path, likely due to all the stimulus pumped into the market in 2020 & 2021. Hard pull back in 2021/2022 as Interest rates were increased to deter spending to reduce interest rates which skyrocketed to 10% in 2021 and was brought back down to just above 2% by 2024. We saw a volatile and sharp ascending channel form. At the end of his term, the market was at top of channel and well above all time highs with some of the most growth in the stock market ever witnessed anywhere on earth, ever, as seen in the charts, nearly doubling the S&P 500 in 4 years, the American economy was booming! Decreased the yearly deficit 2 of 4 years. 2025-2038 Trump.v2: Inherited the market at all time highs on the steepest incline we have witnessed to date, and at a point the market is expected to retract based on the charts. Currently it looks like the S&P could lose 15% or so of its value and still be in our ascending channel of 6 years now. As you can see recent pullbacks don’t even register on a weekly candle. Yes these tariffs and subsequent tariff wars will almost certainly wreak havoc on markets as we already see increase in unemployment, significant drops in consumer confidence, increase in debt ceiling, increase in debt through corporate tax breaks, uptick in inflation and uncertainty in policy but --- we still have a long way to fall before we can call this a bear market or a crash. If we do breakdown from the ascending channel, we can expect the S&P to eye around 3200, or nearly half of its current value. If this administration takes over the federal reserve, they can stimulate the economy to fight the decline and prolong the consequences but those measures will involve further dilution, further debt, further smoke in mirrors, further uncertainty and will likely ignite a ticking time bomb with even greater consequences then outlined here. So in short, stop saying the market is crashing, it is not. But, be vigilant, there is a high probability of short term pullback and a long term crash based on the charts, historical precedence and current administrations activities.
TVC:SPXShort
by EncryptShawn
S&P500, US GDP grew by 2.3% in Q4 The U.S. GDP grew by 2.3% annually in Q4, confirming the initial estimate and meeting market expectations. S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after a retest of an all-time high on 19th Feb ‘25. The key trading level is at the 5918 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 5918 level could target the upside resistance at 6018 followed by the 6060 and 6106 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 5918 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5866 support level followed by 5827 and 5777. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Bounce Doesn't Look Convincing SPX made a bit of a bounce off the support levels but it's not shown the strong properties I'd have expected to see in the bat D leg or the C leg I spoke of. All trailing stops on longs hit. If we can continue to break out to the upside I'll probably have to buy breaks with tight stops but I think the more likely looking setup here is we make a new low. If a new low comes from the setup we have a butterfly forms just under the last lows. This is a big inflection point. Either a low is made or we trend down strong under it. This would also agree with the big 1.61 inflection area. Starting to think I was wrong about the bigger bull trap idea and we might see a break. Back in shorts.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
1
Possible Bat Forming In my initial mention and entry at the low I posted the Elliot ABC corrective pattern. Then I remembered we live in the age of eternal stop hunting. Upon some further consideration, I suspect if my bear thesis is correct we'll likely see a new high first. Probably the short being 6160. The difference between the ABC and the bat D leg does not matter at this point. Both are strong buys to the retracement levels. Just a heads up because the possible bat pattern changes the way we go about fading the rally (And I will be trying to fade a rally if it comes). At things stand, I suspect 6160 is the destination for SPX. All long stops are in profit now, just waiting to see if we can break up.
SP:SPXLong
by holeyprofit
SPX the bullish case to 7k or is the top in now? or bearish?Here are the levels for bull or bear on the SPX based off a fib extension from the macro lows. What is interesting is how the price has reacted off the 0.618 and 0.5 levels suggesting that it has further to go because we have broken out However if you draw another fib extension from the lows it shows a top around 6100-6150 range where we are now. Good luck - lets hope the bulls win out and crypto takes off too. If you do the same analysis on the Nasdaq fib tops out at 26,400 where fib is equal to 1. that implies Nas to over perform to 20-25% from todays levels hence supports the argument here for higher prices on the SPX
CBOE:SPXLong
by William_Playfair
S&P 500 - What after 6010 – Key GDP Data in FocusS&P 500 (SPX500) Analysis – February 27, 2025 The S&P 500 has declined to 5937, as expected , after rejecting the 6010 pivot zone. Market sentiment remains mixed following Nvidia’s earnings, which were neither overly bullish nor bearish, while investors now shift focus to today’s GDP release: If GDP comes in below 2.3%, a bullish reaction is likely. A stronger-than-expected GDP could reinforce downside pressure on indices. Technical Outlook 📉 Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 6010, the downtrend remains active, with the next key support at 5979 and 5937. A 1H or 4H candle close below 5937 would accelerate the decline toward 5920. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A break and 1H or 4H close above 6010 would indicate a bullish shift, targeting 6031. Stability above 6031 would strengthen momentum toward 6055 and 6086. ⚠️ Market Impact: GDP data will drive today’s market movement—watch for increased volatility. Key Levels to Watch 🔸 Resistance: 6031 | 6068 | 6102 🔹 Pivot: 6010 🔻 Support: 5979 | 5952 | 5920 📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 6010, but a confirmed break above 6010 could trigger a bullish shift.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
"SPX500USD" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPX500USD" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Sell below (5930) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 6025 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 5875 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: "SPX500USD" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 👉Fundamental Analysis Earnings Growth: The SPX500 earnings growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions. Valuation: The SPX500 forward P/E ratio is around 17.5, slightly below the historical average. Dividend Yield: The SPX500 dividend yield is around 2.0%, relatively attractive compared to other asset classes. 👉Macro Economics GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions. Inflation: The US inflation rate is expected to remain around 2.0% in 2025, slightly above the Federal Reserve's target. Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates relatively stable in 2025, with a possible rate cut in the second half of the year. 👉COT Data Commitment of Traders: The COT data shows that large speculators are net short SPX500, indicating a bearish sentiment. Open Interest: The open interest in SPX500 futures is decreasing, indicating a declining interest in the market. 👉Market Sentimental Analysis Bearish Sentiment: The market sentiment is currently bearish, with many investors expecting the SPX500 to continue its downward trend. Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing high risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets such as bonds and gold. 👉Positioning Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in SPX500, expecting the index to continue its downward trend. Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in SPX500, expecting a potential bounce or reversal. 👉Next Trend Move Bearish Trend: The current trend is bearish, with the SPX500 expected to continue its downward trend driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions. Support Levels: The next support levels are seen at 5700 and 5600. 👉Overall Summary Outlook Bearish Outlook: The overall outlook for SPX500 is bearish, driven by economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and slowing earnings growth. Volatility: The market is expected to remain volatile, with investors closely watching economic data, earnings reports, and geopolitical developments. 👉Real-Time Market Feed SPX500 Price: 5990.0 24-Hour Change: -1.2% 24-Hour High: 6050.0 24-Hour Low: 5950.0 Trading Volume: 2.2 billion 👉Prediction Next Target T1: 5875 (short-term target) T2: 5750 (medium-term target) T3: 5650 (long-term target) 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Thief_Trader
SPX needs to close above $6,700 next month to be bullish. The 3 month on a breakout indicator is doing a higher low which signals a market reversal. The Red line on the Breakout indicator is a simulation if SPX will close above $6700. Usually, the market tops at the red step average, if SPX can close above that, it will be a massive move to the upside, if it touches it or barely touches it, it might be on a reversal. The support is the Step Average Blue line but im looking for it to go easily on the Green Step Average line.
SP:SPX
by Theordertaker
S&P500 - The 2025 Bullrun Just Started!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) will rally massively during 2025: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of years, the S&P500 has perfectly been respecting the trendlines of a rising channel formation. After the recent rally of +70%, it is quite likely that - following the 2020 cycle - we will see another final rally of about +20% before the S&P500 will correct itself. Levels to watch: $7.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
15